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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Pistons70%9998
20SuperSonics30%9296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.0
40.6
34.7
11
55%
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.5
40.0
32.4
21
50%
11
3
0
1
3
0
1
10
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
4-13
31%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.4
39.6
36.6
21
65%
0
11
2
1
0
2
0
0
5-5
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
4-6
67%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
39.4
36.1
9
47%
10
1
2
2
0
1
5
5
1-8
13%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.0
37.5
34.2
20
73%
2
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4-4
100%
5-8
8-16
63%
51%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
16.7
20.6
10
74%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.1
10.5
5.6
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.2
8.4
12.0
0
0%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
7.4
11.5
4
40%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
11.0
0
1-2
49%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.9
3.9
0
0-1
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.0
1.7
0
0-1
53%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.5
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.8
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
44.1
34.4
31
58%
9
3
0
1
0
0
2
7
2-2
100%
10-16
4-9
63%
46%
3-10
30%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
41.9
36.0
20
62%
7
3
0
1
0
2
2
5
4-5
80%
8-12
5-10
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
36.3
34.1
16
68%
2
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
5-9
4-10
56%
43%
1-1
100%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
23.7
22.1
7
51%
8
0
1
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
15.3
20.6
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
32.7
26.7
14
65%
8
2
0
1
0
2
3
5
4-4
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
24.3
20.7
4
25%
9
0
0
0
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.7
15.4
11.7
2
50%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
6.2
23.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
0.1
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
11.4
0
1-3
46%
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.