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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors30%94100
7Nets70%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.9
49.5
39.7
23
50%
11
4
0
1
1
3
2
9
11-14
79%
6-16
7-15
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
49.1
40.0
25
88%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
5-5
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
45%
2-3
67%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.5
48.5
35.4
14
50%
11
3
0
1
0
1
0
11
2-2
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
51%
0-2
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.7
46.5
34.7
22
59%
3
7
1
1
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
3-7
43%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
14.7
5.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.9
31.2
19.3
14
71%
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
2-6
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
10.3
16.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
9.9
18.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
3.7
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.7
1.7
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.3
10.6
0
1-2
41%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.0
1.4
0
0-0
36%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.1
48.8
34.4
31
49%
7
4
1
1
0
3
4
3
7-13
54%
12-23
7-14
52%
49%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.7
46.8
41.4
30
65%
8
5
2
1
0
2
1
7
8-9
89%
8-14
7-12
57%
53%
2-5
40%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.9
44.7
38.0
14
60%
13
15
2
2
1
4
0
13
6-6
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
2-6
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
38.2
26.6
18
51%
9
0
1
0
0
0
5
4
4-4
100%
7-16
5-9
44%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
27.8
32.0
0
0%
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
7
0-2
0%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.1
19.2
12.2
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.2
15.0
20.5
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.9
13.0
9.9
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
11.5
11.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.9
5.4
0
0-1
43%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.7
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.5
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.