FinalWin Prob.pScore
2820%92
93
1080%103
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
101.19285.4
MIA logo MIA
104.49198.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL93
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound93
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)93
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMourning Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)93
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
35.6%
93
64.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot93
49.6%
93
50.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
22.9%
93
77.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot93
29.8%
93
70.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAAnderson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)93
44.6%
93
55.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
57.4%
91
42.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)92
53.3%
91
46.7%
Q4 - 1:04MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)91
40.4%
91
59.6%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
24.1%
91
75.9%
Q4 - 1:24ATLMISS Stoudamire Driving Layup91
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
35.6%
91
64.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
37.2%
90
62.8%
Q4 - 1:56ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)91
46.2%
89
53.8%
Q4 - 1:56ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)90
43.3%
89
56.7%
Q4 - 2:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
35.9%
89
64.1%
Q4 - 2:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
37.7%
88
62.3%
Q4 - 2:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
42.2%
87
57.8%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
53.8%
87
46.2%
Q4 - 2:24ATLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)89
41.9%
87
58.1%
Q4 - 2:46MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)89
59.0%
87
41.0%
Q4 - 2:52ATLPayton STEAL (2 STL)89
62.6%
85
37.4%
Q4 - 3:03ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
75.1%
85
24.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 289
73.6%
85
26.4%
Q4 - 3:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
67.9%
85
32.1%
Q4 - 3:25ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)89
71.4%
84
28.6%
Q4 - 3:45ATLHawks Rebound86
49.8%
84
50.2%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Haslem Layup86
46.9%
84
53.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
40.5%
84
59.5%
Q4 - 4:00ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot86
43.5%
84
56.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)86
50.8%
84
49.2%
Q4 - 4:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
68.4%
81
31.6%
Q4 - 4:47ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
71.0%
81
29.0%
Q4 - 5:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)86
76.5%
81
23.5%
Q4 - 5:07MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
81.4%
78
18.6%
Q4 - 5:09ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
83.0%
78
17.0%
Q4 - 5:20ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)86
86.2%
78
13.8%
Q4 - 5:22ATLMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot86
83.1%
78
16.9%
Q4 - 5:43ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
86.4%
78
13.6%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 286
85.9%
78
14.1%
Q4 - 5:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)86
84.0%
78
16.0%
Q4 - 5:55ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)86
86.3%
77
13.7%
Q4 - 5:55ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 285
85.3%
77
14.7%
Q4 - 6:13MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)85
81.9%
77
18.1%
Q4 - 6:28ATLHarrington Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T14)85
85.5%
75
14.5%
Q4 - 6:39ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)85
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q4 - 6:41ATLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)85
86.9%
75
13.1%
Q4 - 6:44ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q4 - 6:46ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot85
86.9%
75
13.1%
Q4 - 7:03ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
85.7%
75
14.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 185
85.2%
75
14.8%
Q4 - 7:22ATLStoudamire Layup (7 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)85
88.5%
73
11.5%
Q4 - 7:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q4 - 7:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)83
88.6%
71
11.4%
Q4 - 7:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)82
88.1%
71
11.9%
Q4 - 8:09MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)81
82.6%
71
17.4%
Q4 - 8:26ATLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)81
86.0%
69
14.0%
Q4 - 8:30MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)81
88.9%
69
11.1%
Q4 - 8:43ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)81
86.1%
69
13.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)79
82.8%
69
17.2%
Q4 - 8:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
78.8%
69
21.2%
Q4 - 8:54ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
80.1%
69
19.9%
Q4 - 9:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
79.8%
69
20.2%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
78.5%
69
21.5%
Q4 - 9:22MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
75.5%
69
24.5%
Q4 - 9:24ATLWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)79
76.9%
69
23.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)79
79.9%
69
20.1%
Q4 - 9:47ATLSmith Layup (16 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)79
75.6%
69
24.4%
Q4 - 10:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
68.4%
69
31.6%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 177
67.7%
69
32.3%
Q4 - 10:18MIAHEAT Rebound77
72.8%
67
27.2%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot77
76.0%
67
24.0%
Q4 - 10:34ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)77
72.9%
67
27.1%
Q4 - 10:56MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
68.6%
67
31.4%
Q4 - 10:56MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
69.3%
66
30.7%
Q4 - 11:09ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)75
71.1%
65
28.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
66.8%
65
33.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
75.5%
62
24.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound73
75.5%
62
24.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 11' Jump Shot73
78.3%
62
21.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLSmith Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)73
72.6%
62
27.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
68.3%
62
31.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 9' Jump Shot71
65.2%
62
34.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWalker Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)71
68.5%
62
31.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLPayton STEAL (1 STL)71
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
76.6%
60
23.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot71
74.0%
60
26.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
76.7%
60
23.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 271
76.2%
60
23.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
74.3%
60
25.7%
Q3 - 1:06ATLStoudamire Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)71
73.6%
59
26.4%
Q3 - 1:06ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)70
73.2%
59
26.8%
Q3 - 1:06ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)69
72.8%
59
27.2%
Q3 - 1:25MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
65.7%
59
34.3%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 268
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 1:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
65.7%
58
34.3%
Q3 - 1:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)67
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 1:57ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
61.3%
58
38.7%
Q3 - 1:59ATLMISS Stoudamire 14' Jump Shot66
57.9%
58
42.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)66
58.5%
58
41.5%
Q3 - 2:25ATLMourning STEAL (1 STL)66
66.8%
55
33.2%
Q3 - 2:40MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)66
71.2%
55
28.8%
Q3 - 3:02ATLSmith Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)66
72.8%
53
27.2%
Q3 - 3:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
69.4%
53
30.6%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
68.1%
53
31.9%
Q3 - 3:13MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
65.2%
53
34.8%
Q3 - 3:14ATLMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)64
66.5%
53
33.5%
Q3 - 3:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
69.4%
53
30.6%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 164
68.9%
53
31.1%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
72.9%
51
27.1%
Q3 - 3:39ATLMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot64
74.1%
51
25.9%
Q3 - 3:49ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)64
76.5%
51
23.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWalker 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
73.2%
51
26.8%
Q3 - 4:20ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)63
73.7%
49
26.3%
Q3 - 4:34MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T12)61
70.9%
49
29.1%
Q3 - 4:40ATLPosey STEAL (1 STL)61
66.7%
49
33.3%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
71.0%
49
29.0%
Q3 - 4:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
66.7%
49
33.3%
Q3 - 4:52ATLMISS Ivey Layup61
68.0%
49
32.0%
Q3 - 5:08ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
68.8%
49
31.2%
Q3 - 5:10ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot61
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMourning Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)61
68.9%
49
31.1%
Q3 - 5:38ATLJohnson Driving Layup (23 PTS)61
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 5:58MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)59
69.0%
47
31.0%
Q3 - 6:16ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)59
69.7%
45
30.3%
Q3 - 6:39ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
66.6%
45
33.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
65.4%
45
34.6%
Q3 - 7:00ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)57
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
53.7%
45
46.3%
Q3 - 7:45ATLPachulia 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)54
57.0%
43
43.0%
Q3 - 7:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q3 - 7:51ATLMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)52
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q3 - 8:08MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)52
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q3 - 8:21MIAHEAT Rebound52
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q3 - 8:22ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q3 - 8:39MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
52.5%
43
47.5%
Q3 - 8:39MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
53.0%
42
47.0%
Q3 - 8:58ATLJohnson 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
55.8%
41
44.2%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWilliams 10' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)50
50.1%
41
49.9%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
53.7%
39
46.3%
Q3 - 9:25ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot50
54.8%
39
45.2%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWilliams Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)50
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q3 - 9:45ATLMISS Harrington Driving Layup50
62.0%
37
38.0%
Q3 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T9)50
64.5%
37
35.5%
Q3 - 10:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q3 - 10:09ATLMISS Ivey 20' Jump Shot50
59.6%
37
40.4%
Q3 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)50
62.3%
37
37.7%
Q3 - 10:40MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
65.3%
35
34.7%
Q3 - 10:42ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot50
66.4%
35
33.6%
Q3 - 11:06MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)50
66.4%
35
33.6%
Q3 - 11:17MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
69.3%
33
30.7%
Q3 - 11:19ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot50
70.3%
33
29.7%
Q3 - 11:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
72.4%
33
27.6%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot50
71.5%
33
28.5%
Q3 - 11:44ATLJohnson 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
69.4%
33
30.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
66.6%
33
33.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
66.6%
33
33.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup48
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLEdwards 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)48
61.8%
33
38.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)46
57.7%
33
42.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
55.4%
33
44.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 246
55.7%
33
44.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
57.9%
33
42.1%
Q2 - 1:11ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
52.9%
33
47.1%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 245
52.7%
33
47.3%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 245
51.2%
33
48.8%
Q2 - 1:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 1:22ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot45
51.8%
33
48.2%
Q2 - 1:46MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)45
53.0%
33
47.0%
Q2 - 2:06ATLEdwards 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)45
58.4%
30
41.6%
Q2 - 2:15ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
55.2%
30
44.8%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
54.3%
30
45.7%
Q2 - 2:34ATLJohnson 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWilliams Layup (3 PTS)41
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q2 - 3:11MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)41
49.7%
28
50.3%
Q2 - 3:29ATLJohnson Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)41
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 3:38MIAPayton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)39
50.2%
27
49.8%
Q2 - 3:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
46.8%
27
53.2%
Q2 - 3:49ATLMISS Edwards 18' Jump Shot39
47.9%
27
52.1%
Q2 - 4:00ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
50.2%
27
49.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 239
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 4:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
46.2%
27
53.8%
Q2 - 4:15ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q2 - 4:15ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 238
47.3%
26
52.7%
Q2 - 4:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q2 - 4:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q2 - 4:41ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)38
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q2 - 4:41ATLHawks Rebound38
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 4:42ATLMISS Ivey 20' Jump Shot38
51.7%
24
48.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q2 - 5:33ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
55.2%
22
44.8%
Q2 - 5:33ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q2 - 5:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
52.6%
22
47.4%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup36
51.7%
22
48.3%
Q2 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
49.6%
22
50.4%
Q2 - 5:48ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot36
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWalker Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q2 - 6:21ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T8)36
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q2 - 6:41ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
56.9%
20
43.1%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot36
55.9%
20
44.1%
Q2 - 7:09ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)36
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q2 - 7:26MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)34
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q2 - 7:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q2 - 7:31ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)34
52.7%
18
47.3%
Q2 - 7:53ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
54.7%
18
45.3%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 234
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 234
53.2%
18
46.8%
Q2 - 7:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
53.9%
18
46.1%
Q2 - 8:23MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q2 - 8:24ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 234
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q2 - 8:24ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)34
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q2 - 8:25ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Payton Layup33
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q2 - 8:31ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)33
48.3%
18
51.7%
Q2 - 8:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot33
49.2%
18
50.8%
Q2 - 8:50MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)33
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q2 - 9:01ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T6)33
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q2 - 9:07MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)33
49.6%
18
50.4%
Q2 - 9:36ATLHarrington 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
46.9%
18
53.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
44.8%
18
55.2%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 231
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q2 - 9:55MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q2 - 10:12ATLBatista Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q2 - 10:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
41.1%
17
58.9%
Q2 - 10:47ATLIvey Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)29
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q2 - 11:04MIAAnderson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)27
35.6%
17
64.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
38.0%
15
62.0%
Q2 - 11:08ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot27
38.7%
15
61.3%
Q2 - 11:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
40.3%
15
59.7%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot27
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q2 - 11:24MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
38.0%
15
62.0%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Anderson Layup27
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q2 - 11:46ATLStoudamire Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)27
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHarrington 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)27
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
34.8%
15
65.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLSmith Driving Layup (6 PTS)25
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 1:04MIAAnderson Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
34.7%
13
65.3%
Q1 - 1:07MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 1:09ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot23
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 1:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot23
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 1:38ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)23
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 1:53ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 221
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 221
33.0%
11
67.0%
Q1 - 2:06ATLStoudamire Foul Turnover (P1.T4)21
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 2:15ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot21
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 2:38ATLStoudamire 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 2:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 3:02ATLBatista 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 3:03ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 3:05ATLMISS Williams Driving Layup17
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 3:11ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Anderson 4' Jump Shot17
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 3:30ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 3:54ATLHawks Rebound15
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 4:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
20.4%
11
79.6%
Q1 - 4:12ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot15
20.9%
11
79.1%
Q1 - 4:21ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Walker 10' Fadeaway Jumper15
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.4%
11
79.6%
Q1 - 4:35ATLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)15
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)15
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 5:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 5:10ATLMISS Ivey 18' Jump Shot15
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 5:28ATLHawks Rebound15
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot15
20.9%
11
79.1%
Q1 - 5:36ATLWalker STEAL (2 STL)15
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)15
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 6:13ATLHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)15
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
19.5%
9
80.5%
Q1 - 6:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 6:41ATLMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
18.6%
9
81.4%
Q1 - 6:48MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
19.5%
9
80.5%
Q1 - 6:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.1%
9
80.9%
Q1 - 7:14ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 7:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 210
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 7:46ATLHarrington Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 7:59ATLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)8
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 8:12MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 8:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 8:26ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot8
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 8:41ATLHawks Rebound8
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot8
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 8:59ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 8:59ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 27
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 9:14MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 9:34ATLIvey Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)7
17.2%
4
82.8%
Q1 - 9:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 9:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
16.9%
3
83.1%
Q1 - 9:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 25
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 9:58ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 10:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:03ATLMISS Harrington 20' Fadeaway Jumper4
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 10:19MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:19MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
17.8%
1
82.2%
Q1 - 10:35ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:35ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 10:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:06ATLJohnson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:27ATLHawks Rebound0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 11:34ATLWalker STEAL (1 STL)0
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 11:37ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Haslem Dunk0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Williams0
14.2%
0
85.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
21
67%
MIA
22
30
73%
Midrange
ATL
17
44
39%
MIA
7
17
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
ATL
22
28
79%
MIA
28
44
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2864%14.0 / 22
J. Smith2181%10.5 / 13
A. Harrington1444%7.0 / 16
M. Williams750%3.5 / 7
S. Stoudamire732%3.5 / 11
R. Ivey429%2.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia440%2.0 / 5
E. Batista467%2.0 / 3
J. Edwards467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2166%10.5 / 16
U. Haslem1563%7.5 / 12
J. Williams1464%7.0 / 11
D. Anderson1458%7.0 / 12
A. Walker1354%6.5 / 12
A. Mourning1192%5.5 / 6
S. Anderson550%2.5 / 5
G. Payton214%1.0 / 7
J. Posey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+13
-15
90
MIA
75
+8
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.0
ATL 101.1
MIA 104.4 +3.3
Pace
90.3
92.2
ATL 85.4
MIA 98.7 +13.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.9
ATL 16.9
MIA 14.6 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
51.7%
ATL 48.0%
MIA 53.2% +5.2%
TO %
16.5%
15.0%
ATL 15.6% +0.7%
MIA 16.3%
ORB %
31.5%
26.8%
ATL 27.5% +9.9%
MIA 17.6%
FTrt
34.0
36.3
ATL 37.8
MIA 69.8 +32.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
55.7%
ATL 58.8%
MIA 65.6% +6.8%
STL %
7.8%
6.9%
ATL 7.6%
MIA 11.0% +3.4%
BLK %
7.5%
8.5%
ATL 10.6%
MIA 10.8% +0.2%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.9%
ATL 51.7%
MIA 56.5% +4.8%
Rim FG%
55.8%
64.2%
ATL 66.7%
MIA 73.3% +6.6%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.9%
ATL 38.6%
MIA 41.2% +2.6%
3P %
36.7%
34.5%
ATL 33.3% +14.5%
MIA 18.8%
FT %
75.0%
70.0%
ATL 78.6% +15.0%
MIA 63.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.3%
ATL 28.4%
MIA 47.6% +19.2%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
38.0%
ATL 59.5%
MIA 27.0% +32.5%
3P Att. %
17.8%
22.7%
ATL 12.2%
MIA 25.4% +13.2%
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points9395
Rebounds3935
Assists2021
Steals710
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)29 (1)
Field Goals34-7432-63
At-the-Rim FG14-2122-30
Midrange FG17-447-17
2-Point FG31-6529-47
3-Point FG3-93-16
Free Throws22-2828-44
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 20
45.3
21
81%
8
5
2
2
4
3
3
5
2-2
100%
8-10
80%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
45.0
28
64%
2
6
0
0
2
0
0
2
7-9
78%
9-16
56%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
31.3
14
44%
3
3
1
0
3
4
0
3
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
26.1
4
29%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
16.6
4
40%
1
3
2
0
1
6
0
1
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 20
26.3
7
50%
8
0
0
1
3
3
2
6
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
20.0
7
32%
1
1
1
0
2
4
0
1
3-3
100%
2-9
22%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
18.9
4
67%
9
0
0
0
0
6
5
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 25
10.5
4
67%
4
0
0
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
C · 6'10" 305 · 22
#15 · G · 6'7" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
39
20
7
5
15
0
11
28
22-28
79%
31-65
48%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.