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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Celtics49%102105
16Raptors51%103111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
39.6
39.8
33
67%
7
5
0
2
0
6
2
5
8-8
100%
11-18
9-18
61%
51%
1-3
33%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.0
37.2
33.5
23
68%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
8-9
89%
6-10
4-9
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.5
33.9
34.2
15
79%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
51%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
28.7
31.4
7
50%
5
4
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.6
10.2
39.9
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
54%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.1
34.7
18.9
7
51%
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.1
23.0
8.0
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.2
16.8
13.1
13
57%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-11
3-5
55%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
11.9
13.5
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
3.9
2.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
0.2
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.9
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.3
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
48.0
41.3
27
64%
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
7-9
78%
7-10
4-8
70%
47%
2-7
29%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.9
46.4
41.3
24
69%
10
5
2
1
1
5
3
7
10-12
83%
7-12
8-15
58%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.5
36.3
38.6
18
71%
8
2
3
1
3
2
2
6
5-6
83%
2-5
6-12
40%
53%
3-5
60%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.7
36.1
37.4
20
72%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
7-9
78%
5-6
5-11
83%
49%
1-4
25%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
22.1
9.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.9
22.4
23.6
15
94%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
5-6
83%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
14.3
13.1
2
35%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
14.1
13.9
3
61%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
0.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.3
7.6
0
1-2
43%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.7
6.8
0
1-1
44%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.0
1.4
0
0-0
38%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.