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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Kings49%99107
14Wizards51%100117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.1
40.9
35.1
20
55%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
3-5
60%
7-11
3-7
64%
52%
1-5
20%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.3
38.4
37.3
30
71%
4
5
2
2
3
2
0
4
2-5
40%
11-14
5-11
79%
46%
2-5
40%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
37.4
33.1
10
54%
11
2
1
1
0
3
6
5
2-5
40%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.9
36.5
34.6
18
69%
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
6-7
86%
6-9
5-10
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.8
35.2
39.4
16
44%
1
5
2
1
0
5
0
1
4-5
80%
3-11
6-12
27%
47%
2-5
40%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
25.2
19.7
8
51%
6
4
1
1
1
1
4
2
0-2
0%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
16.1
20.8
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.2
5.5
4.2
3
85%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.8
4.9
4.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.0
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.0
48.0
35.1
22
46%
6
3
3
1
1
4
2
4
3-4
75%
8-19
5-12
42%
46%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
44.5
40.1
31
68%
8
0
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-4
50%
7-12
6-12
58%
47%
5-9
56%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
40.3
41.4
23
55%
1
6
2
2
0
3
0
1
7-9
78%
5-10
7-15
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.3
15.0
19.6
2
25%
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
8.3
25.9
6
75%
4
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.0
28.4
28.3
12
58%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
12-12
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.6
19.6
10.4
10
73%
2
6
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.1
14.5
7.1
2
100%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
11.5
22.8
7
93%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.8
9.8
2.2
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.5
3.2
0
1-1
50%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.8
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.