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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Suns41%97115
4Mavericks59%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.8
46.4
40.4
22
65%
10
1
4
2
2
1
3
7
0-0
-
8-14
7-13
57%
52%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
42.5
34.0
24
66%
10
10
0
1
0
0
2
8
6-7
86%
9-15
5-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.1
35.2
33.5
25
73%
3
11
0
1
0
6
1
2
5-5
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
51%
2-4
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
35.2
38.1
7
44%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.4
9.7
21.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.3
31.3
28.4
20
101%
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
50%
4-6
67%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.0
26.8
10.1
8
39%
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
6
2-3
67%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
13.0
16.1
7
58%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
9.1
0
2-3
49%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.0
3.0
0
0-0
42%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 22.9
1.6
0
0-0
36%
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.3
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
42.4
36.0
25
56%
9
5
0
1
1
3
1
8
3-3
100%
11-20
7-14
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.7
38.4
25.5
14
88%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
7-8
2-4
88%
46%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
37.8
22.1
22
69%
2
2
2
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
11-16
3-7
69%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
37.7
34.7
21
62%
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
3-8
38%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.1
21.2
20.5
2
100%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.3
29.3
27.7
14
37%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-7
71%
3-11
4-9
27%
44%
1-5
20%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
21.8
23.7
7
42%
11
2
0
0
2
1
7
4
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.7
11.1
12.6
2
100%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.0
0.3
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
13.6
1
2-4
49%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
3.1
0
0-1
52%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.1
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.