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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors47%9290
23Timberwolves53%93103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
44.4
37.5
36
63%
6
1
3
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
6-15
6-12
40%
48%
7-12
58%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.9
40.2
16.7
12
39%
5
8
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
5-12
2-5
42%
45%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.6
34.9
36.3
9
38%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
42%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
32.5
32.3
7
39%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.9
21.4
19.7
9
65%
5
0
0
1
2
2
3
2
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
59%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.5
27.7
22.7
13
93%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.0
19.9
19.9
4
69%
4
0
1
0
3
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
7.8
24.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.4
6.2
18.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
5.1
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.6
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.4
45.7
40.3
19
41%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-5
60%
5-15
7-14
33%
49%
2-6
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
35.6
36.2
23
65%
21
5
1
1
0
3
9
12
3-4
75%
10-15
7-14
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.3
31.3
28.4
12
48%
5
6
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-1
0%
6-12
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.0
30.9
29.1
15
80%
4
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
3-3
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.3
26.9
23.3
10
46%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.4
27.3
24.1
11
53%
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-3
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 27.2
16.7
18.2
6
38%
6
2
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
16.0
19.7
3
22%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 23.8
9.7
5.2
4
33%
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.1
7.1
0
0-1
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
6.3
0
1-1
42%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.6
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.1
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.0
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.