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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Jazz40%9581
19SuperSonics60%99113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
30.4
30.8
12
67%
3
2
0
1
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
18.9
24.7
8
52%
6
1
0
1
2
1
2
4
2-4
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
18.4
25.2
2
35%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.8
17.4
32.4
7
40%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
3-4
75%
2-4
5-9
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.3
16.9
20.5
8
41%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
4-6
67%
2-7
2-3
29%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
31.1
23.8
11
51%
8
4
3
1
0
4
2
6
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
27.9
27.3
7
25%
7
3
1
1
1
0
4
3
3-4
75%
2-12
5-9
17%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.3
25.5
26.6
14
60%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
4-6
67%
5-9
5-9
56%
54%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.3
21.1
15.7
3
24%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.0
13.4
5.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
12.0
2.9
7
79%
0
0
2
0
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.9
7.0
3.6
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
30.9
38.0
22
66%
1
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
5-8
5-11
63%
50%
3-7
43%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
30.6
34.5
12
55%
2
9
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
4-10
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
29.0
38.3
20
80%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-6
5-11
83%
48%
3-6
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
17.0
22.4
6
63%
6
0
0
0
2
1
1
5
2-4
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
12.0
18.4
5
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
26.3
15.1
14
64%
1
0
7
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.7
23.1
13.8
10
45%
5
7
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.3
21.8
22.7
6
75%
7
0
2
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
20.6
28.8
10
71%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
53%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
15.4
7.0
4
69%
4
0
0
0
2
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
7.1
3.5
2
33%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
6.3
3.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.