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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics38%97116
12Wizards62%101115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
42.6
39.0
31
59%
5
4
1
1
0
7
1
4
12-14
86%
5-13
9-17
38%
49%
3-7
43%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.0
41.8
34.2
23
65%
5
4
1
1
0
1
3
2
2-4
50%
9-12
4-9
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.5
38.9
33.4
27
75%
9
5
0
1
0
1
4
5
8-9
89%
8-12
4-8
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
37.6
29.7
9
65%
12
0
0
1
3
1
2
10
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.1
25.3
25.1
7
50%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.2
28.1
14.6
5
51%
1
3
0
1
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
17.3
12.9
0
0%
5
4
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.2
15.2
15.0
12
51%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.9
11.0
2.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
7.3
3.3
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.6
27.2
1
3-5
52%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.5
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
51.0
40.1
39
58%
2
5
0
2
1
4
0
2
15-17
88%
9-20
7-14
45%
49%
2-6
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
46.9
40.9
25
57%
12
2
2
1
0
2
2
10
1-2
50%
9-17
6-12
53%
48%
2-4
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.0
45.8
39.2
23
73%
4
4
2
2
0
5
2
2
3-4
75%
7-11
6-13
64%
47%
2-3
67%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.6
15.9
14.2
4
52%
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.3
11.0
17.9
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.0
40.7
27.9
14
63%
3
5
1
1
1
4
0
3
6-7
86%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.1
27.4
10.4
4
67%
7
0
0
0
1
0
5
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
16.8
18.1
2
17%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
52%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
5.8
1.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.5
3.7
2.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
7.2
0
0-1
47%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.8
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.8
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.