Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 7, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	2	Spurs	49%	91	85
	7	Clippers	51%	92	98

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	96.6	88	90.3
LAC	110.1	89	86.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-13

LAC

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.01 50.6%

LAC

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAC
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		85 0%	98 100%
Q4 - 0:25.0	SAS	Udrih Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)	85 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	83 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0	LAC	MISS Mobley Layup	83 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0	LAC	Livingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	83 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0	SAS	MISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot	83 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0	LAC	Mobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	83 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0	LAC	Mobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	83 0.1%	95 99.9%
Q4 - 1:12	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	83 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 1:14	SAS	MISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot	83 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 1:23	LAC	Ross 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)	83 0.3%	94 99.7%
Q4 - 1:35	SAS	Parker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T13)	83 0.8%	92 99.2%
Q4 - 1:41	SAS	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	83 1.5%	92 98.5%
Q4 - 1:42	LAC	MISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot	83 1.3%	92 98.7%
Q4 - 2:04	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	83 1.1%	92 98.9%
Q4 - 2:04	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	82 0.9%	92 99.1%
Q4 - 2:18	SAS	Spurs Rebound	81 0.9%	92 99.1%
Q4 - 2:18	LAC	MISS Livingston Layup	81 0.7%	92 99.3%
Q4 - 2:20	LAC	Livingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	81 0.4%	92 99.6%
Q4 - 2:22	LAC	MISS Brand 16' Jump Shot	81 0.7%	92 99.3%
Q4 - 2:42	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	81 0.4%	92 99.6%
Q4 - 2:55	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	78 0.3%	92 99.7%
Q4 - 2:56	LAC	MISS Maggette 16' Jump Shot	78 0.3%	92 99.7%
Q4 - 2:58	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	78 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 3:00	LAC	MISS Maggette 11' Jump Shot	78 0.3%	92 99.7%
Q4 - 3:14	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	78 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 3:14	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	77 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 3:14	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	76 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 3:17	SAS	MISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot	76 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 3:30	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)	76 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 3:30	LAC	MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 2	76 0.1%	91 99.9%
Q4 - 3:43	SAS	Duncan Driving Layup (11 PTS)	76 0.3%	91 99.7%
Q4 - 3:59	LAC	Brand 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS)	74 0.2%	91 99.8%
Q4 - 4:17	SAS	Barry Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)	74 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 4:25	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	72 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 4:26	SAS	MISS Barry Free Throw 2 of 2	72 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 4:26	SAS	Barry Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	72 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 4:51	LAC	Mobley 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	71 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 5:13	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	71 0.4%	87 99.6%
Q4 - 5:15	SAS	MISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot	71 0.5%	87 99.5%
Q4 - 5:40	LAC	Brand 8' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)	71 0.6%	87 99.4%
Q4 - 6:00	SAS	Parker Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)	71 0.8%	85 99.2%
Q4 - 6:08	SAS	Barry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	69 0.9%	85 99.1%
Q4 - 6:21	LAC	Maggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	68 0.7%	85 99.3%
Q4 - 6:21	LAC	Maggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	68 0.7%	84 99.3%
Q4 - 6:31	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	68 0.9%	83 99.1%
Q4 - 6:37	SAS	Brand BLOCK (3 BLK)	68 1.0%	83 99.0%
Q4 - 6:57	LAC	Radmanovic 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Brand 5 AST)	68 1.2%	83 98.8%
Q4 - 7:16	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	68 3.1%	80 96.9%
Q4 - 7:16	SAS	MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2	67 2.9%	80 97.1%
Q4 - 7:24	SAS	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	67 3.1%	80 96.9%
Q4 - 7:25	LAC	MISS Brand 13' Jump Shot	67 2.9%	80 97.1%
Q4 - 7:40	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	67 2.3%	80 97.7%
Q4 - 7:59	SAS	Spurs Rebound	64 1.4%	80 98.6%
Q4 - 8:01	LAC	MISS Brand 12' Jump Shot	64 1.8%	80 98.2%
Q4 - 8:20	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	64 1.5%	80 98.5%
Q4 - 8:22	SAS	MISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot	64 1.6%	80 98.4%
Q4 - 8:37	LAC	Livingston Driving Layup (3 PTS)	64 1.9%	80 98.1%
Q4 - 8:53	SAS	Kaman STEAL (1 STL)	64 2.4%	78 97.6%
Q4 - 9:10	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	64 3.8%	78 96.2%
Q4 - 9:10	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	64 4.0%	77 96.0%
Q4 - 9:28	SAS	Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)	64 4.7%	76 95.3%
Q4 - 9:41	SAS	Spurs Rebound	61 3.0%	76 97.0%
Q4 - 9:41	LAC	MISS Cassell Layup	61 2.8%	76 97.2%
Q4 - 9:46	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	61 2.3%	76 97.7%
Q4 - 9:50	SAS	MISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot	61 2.5%	76 97.5%
Q4 - 9:55	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	61 3.0%	76 97.0%
Q4 - 9:56	SAS	MISS Bowen 6' Running Jump Shot	61 2.5%	76 97.5%
Q4 - 10:06	SAS	Spurs Rebound	61 3.6%	76 96.4%
Q4 - 10:06	SAS	MISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 3.1%	76 96.9%
Q4 - 10:20	LAC	Cassell 14' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)	61 3.6%	76 96.4%
Q4 - 10:33	SAS	Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)	61 4.4%	74 95.6%
Q4 - 10:54	LAC	Cassell 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)	61 5.5%	74 94.5%
Q4 - 11:18	SAS	Ginobili Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)	61 7.5%	72 92.5%
Q4 - 11:26	SAS	Horry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	59 6.1%	72 93.9%
Q4 - 11:28	SAS	MISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot	59 5.3%	72 94.7%
Q4 - 11:49	LAC	Radmanovic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 11 AST)	59 6.1%	72 93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		59 9.1%	69 90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	59 11.1%	69 88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Udrih 27' 3PT Jump Shot	59 9.6%	69 90.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0	LAC	Brand 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Cassell 10 AST)	59 12.3%	69 87.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0	LAC	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	59 14.7%	67 85.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0	SAS	MISS Horry 7' Hook Shot	59 15.5%	67 84.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0	SAS	Horry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	59 17.4%	67 82.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0	LAC	MISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot	59 16.5%	67 83.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0	LAC	Mobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	59 14.6%	67 85.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0	SAS	MISS Horry 20' Jump Shot	59 15.4%	67 84.6%
Q3 - 1:18	LAC	Cassell 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Brand 4 AST)	59 18.7%	67 81.3%
Q3 - 1:33	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	59 21.7%	65 78.3%
Q3 - 1:35	SAS	MISS Finley 19' Jump Shot	59 22.8%	65 77.2%
Q3 - 2:03	LAC	Brand 12' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Cassell 9 AST)	59 26.1%	65 73.9%
Q3 - 2:26	SAS	Udrih 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	59 29.4%	63 70.6%
Q3 - 2:46	LAC	Cassell 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)	57 26.0%	63 74.0%
Q3 - 2:57	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	57 29.4%	61 70.6%
Q3 - 2:58	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	57 30.7%	61 69.3%
Q3 - 3:25	LAC	Cassell 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)	57 34.5%	61 65.5%
Q3 - 3:45	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	57 38.3%	59 61.7%
Q3 - 3:48	SAS	MISS Udrih 12' Running Jump Shot	57 39.7%	59 60.3%
Q3 - 4:03	LAC	Kaman Layup (13 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)	57 43.3%	59 56.7%
Q3 - 4:05	LAC	Mobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	57 46.8%	57 53.2%
Q3 - 4:06	LAC	MISS Mobley Layup	57 50.3%	57 49.7%
Q3 - 4:27	SAS	Parker 21' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)	57 46.9%	57 53.1%
Q3 - 4:49	LAC	Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cassell 8 AST)	55 43.2%	57 56.8%
Q3 - 4:58	SAS	Ross STEAL (1 STL)	55 51.3%	54 48.7%
Q3 - 5:09	LAC	Kaman 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)	55 55.8%	54 44.2%
Q3 - 5:23	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	55 51.3%	54 48.7%
Q3 - 5:25	SAS	Ross BLOCK (2 BLK)	55 52.7%	54 47.3%
Q3 - 5:31	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	55 55.8%	54 44.2%
Q3 - 5:33	LAC	MISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot	55 54.4%	54 45.6%
Q3 - 5:46	SAS	Duncan Foul Turnover (P3.T9)	55 51.3%	54 48.7%
Q3 - 5:49	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	55 55.8%	54 44.2%
Q3 - 5:51	LAC	MISS Brand 8' Hook Shot	55 54.4%	54 45.6%
Q3 - 6:08	SAS	Ginobili Driving Layup (12 PTS)	55 51.2%	54 48.8%
Q3 - 6:28	LAC	Cassell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	53 47.5%	54 52.5%
Q3 - 6:37	SAS	Parker 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)	53 51.2%	52 48.8%
Q3 - 7:02	LAC	Kaman Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)	51 47.3%	52 52.7%
Q3 - 7:15	SAS	Parker 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)	51 50.6%	50 49.4%
Q3 - 7:43	LAC	Ross 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)	49 47.3%	50 52.7%
Q3 - 7:54	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	49 50.6%	48 49.4%
Q3 - 7:56	LAC	MISS Brand 15' Jump Shot	49 53.7%	48 46.3%
Q3 - 8:16	SAS	Duncan 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)	49 50.8%	48 49.2%
Q3 - 8:40	LAC	Kaman 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)	47 47.5%	48 52.5%
Q3 - 8:51	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	47 50.7%	46 49.3%
Q3 - 8:55	SAS	MISS Duncan 4' Hook Shot	47 52.1%	46 47.9%
Q3 - 9:10	LAC	Ross 24' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)	47 54.5%	46 45.5%
Q3 - 9:27	LAC	Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	47 58.0%	44 42.0%
Q3 - 9:28	SAS	MISS Duncan 23' Jump Shot	47 59.1%	44 40.9%
Q3 - 9:41	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	47 61.7%	44 38.3%
Q3 - 9:43	LAC	MISS Brand 14' Jump Shot	47 60.6%	44 39.4%
Q3 - 9:59	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	47 58.0%	44 42.0%
Q3 - 10:00	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 1	47 58.5%	44 41.5%
Q3 - 10:05	LAC	Mobley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)	45 54.6%	44 45.4%
Q3 - 10:09	SAS	Mobley STEAL (2 STL)	45 50.6%	44 49.4%
Q3 - 10:21	LAC	Ross Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)	45 54.6%	44 45.4%
Q3 - 10:33	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	45 50.6%	44 49.4%
Q3 - 10:34	SAS	MISS Ginobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot	45 51.8%	44 48.2%
Q3 - 11:03	LAC	Brand 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	45 54.4%	44 45.6%
Q3 - 11:20	SAS	Parker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	45 57.7%	42 42.3%
Q3 - 11:35	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 54.5%	42 45.5%
Q3 - 11:36	LAC	MISS Mobley 15' Jump Shot	43 53.4%	42 46.6%
Q3 - 11:51	SAS	Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	43 50.9%	42 49.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC		43 54.5%	42 45.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	43 50.9%	42 49.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC	MISS Livingston 33' 3PT Jump Shot	43 53.4%	42 46.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0	SAS	Udrih Driving Layup (8 PTS)	43 51.5%	42 48.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0	LAC	Brand 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)	41 47.2%	42 52.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0	SAS	Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	41 51.5%	40 48.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0	SAS	Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	40 50.5%	40 49.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39 47.2%	40 52.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0	LAC	MISS Kaman Free Throw 2 of 2	39 46.9%	40 53.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	39 44.8%	40 55.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0	SAS	Ginobili Driving Layup (10 PTS)	39 48.1%	39 51.9%
Q2 - 1:26	LAC	Cassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	37 43.8%	39 56.2%
Q2 - 1:26	LAC	MISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 2	37 44.2%	38 55.8%
Q2 - 1:37	SAS	Parker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)	37 45.3%	38 54.7%
Q2 - 1:55	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	35 40.6%	38 59.4%
Q2 - 1:55	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	35 41.5%	37 58.5%
Q2 - 2:13	SAS	Udrih 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	35 44.8%	36 55.2%
Q2 - 2:28	LAC	Brand Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)	33 41.5%	36 58.5%
Q2 - 2:50	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (4 PTS)	33 38.7%	36 61.3%
Q2 - 2:54	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 35.5%	36 64.5%
Q2 - 2:56	LAC	MISS Brand 11' Jump Shot	31 34.7%	36 65.3%
Q2 - 3:01	LAC	Cassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 33.4%	36 66.6%
Q2 - 3:03	SAS	MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot	31 34.3%	36 65.7%
Q2 - 3:08	SAS	Spurs Rebound	31 36.4%	36 63.6%
Q2 - 3:08	SAS	Brand BLOCK (2 BLK)	31 34.3%	36 65.7%
Q2 - 3:29	LAC	Brand 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)	31 36.4%	36 63.6%
Q2 - 3:42	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	31 38.8%	34 61.2%
Q2 - 3:45	SAS	Brand BLOCK (1 BLK)	31 39.8%	34 60.2%
Q2 - 3:59	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	31 42.1%	34 57.9%
Q2 - 3:59	LAC	MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 2	31 42.6%	33 57.4%
Q2 - 4:09	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	31 42.2%	33 57.8%
Q2 - 4:10	SAS	Ross BLOCK (1 BLK)	31 43.0%	33 57.0%
Q2 - 4:32	LAC	Kaman 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)	31 45.0%	33 55.0%
Q2 - 4:50	LAC	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	31 47.8%	31 52.2%
Q2 - 4:51	SAS	MISS Finley 14' Jump Shot	31 48.7%	31 51.3%
Q2 - 5:14	LAC	Brand Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)	31 50.9%	31 49.1%
Q2 - 5:31	SAS	Finley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	31 53.4%	29 46.6%
Q2 - 5:48	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 50.8%	29 49.2%
Q2 - 5:49	LAC	MISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot	29 49.9%	29 50.1%
Q2 - 6:08	LAC	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	29 47.8%	29 52.2%
Q2 - 6:11	SAS	MISS Mohammed 7' Hook Shot	29 48.8%	29 51.2%
Q2 - 6:21	LAC	Livingston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	29 51.1%	29 48.9%
Q2 - 6:26	SAS	Cassell STEAL (1 STL)	29 47.8%	29 52.2%
Q2 - 6:39	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	29 51.1%	29 48.9%
Q2 - 6:41	LAC	MISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 1	29 50.6%	29 49.4%
Q2 - 6:57	SAS	Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	29 53.3%	27 46.7%
Q2 - 7:16	LAC	Livingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	26 48.3%	27 51.7%
Q2 - 7:16	LAC	MISS Livingston Free Throw 1 of 2	26 49.0%	26 51.0%
Q2 - 7:22	LAC	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 48.1%	26 51.9%
Q2 - 7:23	SAS	MISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	26 49.0%	26 51.0%
Q2 - 7:46	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	26 50.9%	26 49.1%
Q2 - 7:48	LAC	MISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot	26 50.1%	26 49.9%
Q2 - 8:07	SAS	Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	26 47.8%	26 52.2%
Q2 - 8:21	LAC	Radmanovic Foul Turnover (P1.T8)	23 43.1%	26 56.9%
Q2 - 8:33	SAS	Brand STEAL (1 STL)	23 40.2%	26 59.8%
Q2 - 8:57	LAC	Brand Running Layup (10 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)	23 43.1%	26 56.9%
Q2 - 9:10	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	23 45.4%	24 54.6%
Q2 - 9:12	SAS	MISS Parker 15' Jump Shot	23 46.2%	24 53.8%
Q2 - 9:25	LAC	Ross Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	23 48.2%	24 51.8%
Q2 - 9:44	SAS	Parker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	23 45.3%	24 54.7%
Q2 - 9:57	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	21 43.1%	24 56.9%
Q2 - 9:57	LAC	Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	21 43.6%	23 56.4%
Q2 - 9:57	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	21 45.3%	22 54.7%
Q2 - 9:57	LAC	MISS Brand Layup	21 47.3%	22 52.7%
Q2 - 10:08	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	21 45.3%	22 54.7%
Q2 - 10:08	LAC	MISS Livingston Layup	21 47.2%	22 52.8%
Q2 - 10:20	LAC	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 45.3%	22 54.7%
Q2 - 10:22	SAS	MISS Parker 14' Jump Shot	21 46.1%	22 53.9%
Q2 - 10:43	LAC	Mobley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)	21 48.1%	22 51.9%
Q2 - 10:48	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 45.3%	22 54.7%
Q2 - 10:50	SAS	MISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot	21 46.1%	22 53.9%
Q2 - 11:02	LAC	Maggette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	21 47.8%	22 52.2%
Q2 - 11:12	SAS	Duncan Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	21 45.4%	22 54.6%
Q2 - 11:27	LAC	Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)	21 47.8%	22 52.2%
Q2 - 11:43	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	21 52.6%	19 47.4%
Q2 - 11:46	SAS	MISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	21 53.4%	19 46.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAC		21 55.1%	19 44.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0	SAS	Mobley STEAL (1 STL)	21 52.7%	19 47.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0	LAC	Maggette 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)	21 54.5%	19 45.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	21 57.4%	17 42.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	18 52.1%	17 47.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0	LAC	MISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot	18 51.6%	17 48.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0	LAC	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 50.3%	17 49.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0	SAS	MISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot	18 50.9%	17 49.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0	LAC	Cassell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	18 52.1%	17 47.9%
Q1 - 1:10	SAS	Horry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)	18 50.3%	17 49.7%
Q1 - 1:32	LAC	Maggette 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)	15 45.1%	17 54.9%
Q1 - 1:41	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	15 48.0%	15 52.0%
Q1 - 1:43	SAS	MISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot	15 48.5%	15 51.5%
Q1 - 1:49	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 49.8%	15 50.2%
Q1 - 1:51	LAC	MISS Radmanovic 27' 3PT Jump Shot	15 49.2%	15 50.8%
Q1 - 2:11	SAS	Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)	15 48.0%	15 52.0%
Q1 - 2:22	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	12 43.2%	15 56.8%
Q1 - 2:24	LAC	MISS Kaman 6' Hook Shot	12 42.5%	15 57.5%
Q1 - 2:41	SAS	Ginobili 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)	12 41.1%	15 58.9%
Q1 - 3:00	LAC	Maggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	10 38.6%	15 61.4%
Q1 - 3:00	LAC	MISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 2	10 38.9%	14 61.1%
Q1 - 3:02	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	10 38.9%	14 61.1%
Q1 - 3:04	SAS	MISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	10 39.6%	14 60.4%
Q1 - 3:21	SAS	Horry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 41.3%	14 58.7%
Q1 - 3:22	LAC	MISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot	10 40.6%	14 59.4%
Q1 - 3:27	LAC	Maggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 38.9%	14 61.1%
Q1 - 3:30	SAS	MISS Nesterovic 5' Hook Shot	10 39.6%	14 60.4%
Q1 - 3:53	LAC	Cassell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	10 41.3%	14 58.7%
Q1 - 4:11	SAS	Udrih 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)	10 39.0%	14 61.0%
Q1 - 4:27	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 37.3%	14 62.7%
Q1 - 4:29	LAC	MISS Brand 8' Jump Shot	8 36.6%	14 63.4%
Q1 - 4:45	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 34.8%	14 65.2%
Q1 - 4:47	SAS	MISS Finley 10' Jump Shot	8 35.6%	14 64.4%
Q1 - 4:55	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 37.3%	14 62.7%
Q1 - 4:59	LAC	MISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot	8 36.5%	14 63.5%
Q1 - 5:05	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8 35.5%	14 64.5%
Q1 - 5:05	SAS	Duncan Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)	8 35.5%	14 64.5%
Q1 - 5:10	SAS	MISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot	6 32.4%	14 67.6%
Q1 - 5:31	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	6 33.8%	14 66.2%
Q1 - 5:31	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 34.2%	13 65.8%
Q1 - 5:40	LAC	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 35.5%	12 64.5%
Q1 - 5:42	SAS	MISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot	6 36.1%	12 63.9%
Q1 - 5:49	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 37.6%	12 62.4%
Q1 - 5:51	LAC	MISS Brand 11' Jump Shot	6 37.0%	12 63.0%
Q1 - 6:12	SAS	Udrih Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	6 35.9%	12 64.1%
Q1 - 6:28	LAC	Brand Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	4 34.2%	12 65.8%
Q1 - 6:28	LAC	Brand Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	4 34.5%	11 65.5%
Q1 - 6:40	SAS	Duncan Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	4 35.9%	10 64.1%
Q1 - 6:48	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 34.1%	10 65.9%
Q1 - 6:49	LAC	MISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot	2 33.6%	10 66.4%
Q1 - 6:57	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	2 32.3%	10 67.7%
Q1 - 6:58	LAC	MISS Kaman 12' Jump Shot	2 33.6%	10 66.4%
Q1 - 7:13	SAS	Mohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)	2 33.1%	10 66.9%
Q1 - 7:22	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 35.0%	10 65.0%
Q1 - 7:24	LAC	MISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 34.4%	10 65.6%
Q1 - 7:37	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	2 33.1%	10 66.9%
Q1 - 7:39	SAS	MISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot	2 33.7%	10 66.3%
Q1 - 7:50	LAC	Kaman Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)	2 35.0%	10 65.0%
Q1 - 7:51	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	2 33.1%	10 66.9%
Q1 - 7:53	LAC	MISS Brand 11' Jump Shot	2 34.4%	10 65.6%
Q1 - 8:19	SAS	Bowen 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	2 33.5%	10 66.5%
Q1 - 8:48	LAC	Brand 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)	0 32.0%	10 68.0%
Q1 - 9:09	LAC	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 33.1%	8 66.9%
Q1 - 9:10	SAS	MISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot	0 33.8%	8 66.2%
Q1 - 9:32	LAC	Kaman Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	0 35.3%	8 64.7%
Q1 - 9:45	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 33.1%	8 66.9%
Q1 - 9:48	SAS	MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot	0 33.8%	8 66.2%
Q1 - 10:12	LAC	Mobley 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)	0 35.3%	8 64.7%
Q1 - 10:31	SAS	Mohammed Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	0 36.7%	6 63.3%
Q1 - 10:39	LAC	Ross 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)	0 38.8%	6 61.2%
Q1 - 10:51	LAC	CLIPPERS Rebound	0 40.3%	4 59.7%
Q1 - 10:51	SAS	MISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot	0 40.9%	4 59.1%
Q1 - 11:07	LAC	Cassell 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)	0 42.3%	4 57.7%
Q1 - 11:16	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 44.2%	2 55.8%
Q1 - 11:18	LAC	MISS Brand 13' Jump Shot	0 45.4%	2 54.6%
Q1 - 11:25	LAC	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 44.2%	2 55.8%
Q1 - 11:27	SAS	MISS Duncan Driving Layup	0 44.7%	2 55.3%
Q1 - 11:43	LAC	Brand 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)	0 45.9%	2 54.1%
Q1 - 12:00	LAC	Jump Ball Kaman vs. Mohammed: Tip to Mobley	0 47.9%	0 52.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.01 50.6%

LAC

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

75%

LAC

60%

Midrange

SAS

31%

LAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7.5

29%

44%

LAC

6.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

SAS

80%

LAC

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	20	59%	10.0 / 17
T. Duncan	16	53%	8.0 / 15
M. Ginobili	15	83%	7.5 / 9
B. Udrih	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Finley	8	40%	4.0 / 10
B. Bowen	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Barry	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Horry	3	38%	1.5 / 4
N. Mohammed	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic	0	-	0.0 / 3
F. Oberto	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Brand	30	54%	15.0 / 28
S. Cassell	15	47%	7.5 / 16
C. Kaman	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Mobley	11	61%	5.5 / 9
V. Radmanovic	9	113%	4.5 / 4
Q. Ross	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Maggette	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Livingston	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-13

LAC

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.01 50.6%

LAC

1.14 57.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	107.1 105.0	SAS 96.6 +13.5 LAC 110.1
Pace	88.8 92.1	SAS 90.3 +3.6 LAC 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time	16.9 15.6	SAS 15.9 +0.7 LAC 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.3% 48.7%	SAS 47.4% LAC 54.9% +7.5%
TO %	14.8% 14.9%	SAS 13.5% +0.1% LAC 13.6%
ORB %	26.1% 25.5%	SAS 13.2% LAC 23.3% +10.1%
FTrt	29.8 33.2	SAS 19.5 LAC 38.0 +18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.4% 57.1%	SAS 61.8% LAC 64.9% +3.1%
STL %	7.4% 7.0%	SAS 6.8% +0.1% LAC 6.7%
BLK %	8.4% 9.5%	SAS 4.8% LAC 8.3% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.1% 52.4%	SAS 50.6% LAC 57.0% +6.4%
Rim FG%	61.7% 58.2%	SAS 75.0% +15.0% LAC 60.0%
Mid FG%	39.0% 43.2%	SAS 30.6% LAC 50.0% +19.4%
3P %	38.5% 34.4%	SAS 29.4% LAC 50.0% +20.6%
FT %	70.2% 79.1%	SAS 80.0% +5.9% LAC 74.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.7% 29.3%	SAS 31.2% +10.0% LAC 21.1%
Mid Att. %	41.8% 57.6%	SAS 46.8% +20.9% LAC 67.6%
3P Att. %	21.5% 13.1%	SAS 22.1% +10.8% LAC 11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.74 and 2.74.

Game Totals	SAS	LAC
Possessions	88	89
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	85	98
Rebounds	28	40
Assists	21	24
Steals	6	6
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	33 (4)
Field Goals	34-77	37-71
At-the-Rim FG	18-24	9-15
Midrange FG	11-36	24-48
2-Point FG	29-60	33-63
3-Point FG	5-17	4-8
Free Throws	12-15	20-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	33.1	20	59%	2	2	0	0	4	3	0	2	2-3	67%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	31.5	5	42%	2	2	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 29	29.8	15	83%	1	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	28.9	16	53%	7	7	0	1	4	5	3	4	4-4	100%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 29	20.0	2	33%	5	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	25.7	12	60%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	24.8	8	40%	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36	14.6	3	38%	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	12.8	4	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	11.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	5.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel #31 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	51%	28	21	6	3	13	0	5	23	12-15	80%	29-60	48%	5-17	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	33.1	20	59%	2	2	0	0	4	3	0	2	2-3	67%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	31.5	5	42%	2	2	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 29	29.8	15	83%	1	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	5-5	100%	1-3	33%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	28.9	16	53%	7	7	0	1	4	5	3	4	4-4	100%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 29	20.0	2	33%	5	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	25.7	12	60%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	24.8	8	40%	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36	14.6	3	38%	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	12.8	4	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	11.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	5.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel #31 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	51%	28	21	6	3	13	0	5	23	12-15	80%	29-60	48%	5-17	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 27	41.6	30	54%	9	5	1	3	1	2	1	8	6-9	67%	12-24	50%	0-0	-
Cuttino Mobley G · 6'4" 215 · 31	39.4	11	61%	4	3	2	0	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-1	100%
Sam Cassell G · 6'3" 185 · 36	36.4	15	47%	1	11	1	0	2	3	0	1	1-2	50%	7-14	50%	0-1	0%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 24	32.8	15	75%	8	1	1	0	3	2	2	6	7-8	88%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Quinton Ross F · 6'6" 193 · 25	27.2	8	100%	4	0	1	2	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 20	22.8	3	30%	4	2	0	0	1	3	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 25	21.8	9	113%	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 26	18.1	7	44%	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	5	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Walter McCarty F · 6'10" 245 · 32
Daniel Ewing G · 6'3" 185 · 23
James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 25
Boniface Ndong C · 7'0" 205 · 29
Zeljko Rebraca #11 · C · 7'0" 265 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Yaroslav Korolev #8 · F · 6'9" 203 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Vin Baker #34 · F · 6'11" 240 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	57%	40	24	6	5	13	0	7	33	20-27	74%	33-63	52%	4-8	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE