FinalWin Prob.pScore
1224%96
112
576%105
118
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
117.99593.5
MIA logo MIA
124.29596.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA112
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0WASWade STEAL (3 STL)112
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)112
0.2%
118
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)112
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)112
0.5%
116
99.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)112
2.0%
116
98.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)112
2.4%
115
97.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)112
4.5%
114
95.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2112
5.2%
114
94.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2112
9.2%
114
90.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (38 PTS)112
13.6%
114
86.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)112
25.7%
112
74.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot112
31.4%
112
68.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)112
44.0%
112
56.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot112
38.5%
112
61.5%
Q4 - 1:11MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)112
26.6%
112
73.4%
Q4 - 1:13WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2112
28.3%
112
71.7%
Q4 - 1:13WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)112
37.0%
112
63.0%
Q4 - 1:29WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)111
27.5%
112
72.5%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2111
25.8%
112
74.2%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2111
21.8%
112
78.2%
Q4 - 1:36MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
17.4%
112
82.6%
Q4 - 1:38WASPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)111
20.2%
112
79.8%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)111
27.3%
112
72.7%
Q4 - 2:16WASArenas 15' Jump Shot (27 PTS)111
45.2%
109
54.8%
Q4 - 2:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)109
38.9%
109
61.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2109
43.5%
108
56.5%
Q4 - 2:32MIAHEAT Rebound109
33.7%
108
66.3%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
45.1%
108
54.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)109
33.5%
108
66.5%
Q4 - 2:50WASMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 2109
35.6%
108
64.4%
Q4 - 2:50WASRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)109
39.8%
108
60.2%
Q4 - 2:51WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
37.7%
108
62.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot108
33.6%
108
66.4%
Q4 - 3:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)108
25.0%
108
75.0%
Q4 - 3:10WASMISS Butler 13' Fadeaway Jumper108
28.5%
108
71.5%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)108
38.1%
108
61.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)108
40.0%
107
60.0%
Q4 - 3:40WASRuffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)108
43.1%
106
56.9%
Q4 - 3:40WASRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)107
39.1%
106
60.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)106
35.0%
106
65.0%
Q4 - 4:18WASArenas Layup (25 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)106
53.1%
103
46.9%
Q4 - 4:30WASWizards Rebound104
44.3%
103
55.7%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot104
41.3%
103
58.7%
Q4 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)104
34.7%
103
65.3%
Q4 - 4:45WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
37.6%
103
62.4%
Q4 - 5:00WASThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)104
44.5%
103
55.5%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2104
39.6%
103
60.4%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2104
34.3%
103
65.7%
Q4 - 5:14WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)104
32.7%
103
67.3%
Q4 - 5:14WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)103
31.7%
103
68.3%
Q4 - 5:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
26.1%
103
73.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
29.1%
102
70.9%
Q4 - 5:38WASButler Foul Turnover (P1.T11)102
32.8%
101
67.2%
Q4 - 5:55WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
41.0%
101
59.0%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot102
38.5%
101
61.5%
Q4 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)102
30.7%
101
69.3%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2102
37.5%
101
62.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2102
34.6%
101
65.4%
Q4 - 6:30WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)102
30.8%
101
69.2%
Q4 - 6:30WASHaywood Tip Shot (4 PTS)102
30.8%
101
69.2%
Q4 - 6:31WASMISS Butler Layup100
21.2%
101
78.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)100
25.6%
101
74.4%
Q4 - 6:57WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)100
30.9%
99
69.1%
Q4 - 6:57WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)99
30.1%
99
69.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)98
25.2%
99
74.8%
Q4 - 7:12MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
26.3%
98
73.7%
Q4 - 7:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)98
30.0%
97
70.0%
Q4 - 7:17WASMISS Jamison 9' Running Jump Shot98
32.0%
97
68.0%
Q4 - 7:41MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)98
37.0%
97
63.0%
Q4 - 7:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
49.6%
94
50.4%
Q4 - 7:52WASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
52.1%
94
47.9%
Q4 - 8:12WASButler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)98
54.4%
94
45.6%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot98
52.4%
94
47.6%
Q4 - 8:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)98
47.9%
94
52.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
52.5%
94
47.5%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)98
48.0%
94
52.0%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 298
53.6%
94
46.4%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 298
50.9%
94
49.1%
Q4 - 8:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)98
48.0%
94
52.0%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade Layup98
52.5%
94
47.5%
Q4 - 8:46WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)98
48.0%
94
52.0%
Q4 - 8:46WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
47.0%
94
53.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWalker 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)96
41.8%
94
58.2%
Q4 - 9:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)96
45.7%
92
54.3%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
50.1%
92
49.9%
Q4 - 9:26WASTaylor Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)96
45.8%
92
54.2%
Q4 - 9:32WASButler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)96
52.1%
92
47.9%
Q4 - 9:34WASMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot96
47.8%
92
52.2%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (34 PTS)96
52.2%
92
47.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
57.9%
90
42.1%
Q4 - 9:59WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
59.8%
90
40.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)96
61.6%
90
38.4%
Q4 - 10:31WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
66.4%
88
33.6%
Q4 - 10:31WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
65.6%
88
34.4%
Q4 - 10:52MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)94
61.7%
88
38.3%
Q4 - 11:18WASArenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
64.9%
86
35.1%
Q4 - 11:38WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
54.8%
86
45.2%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Walker 6' Running Hook Shot91
53.1%
86
46.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
49.2%
86
50.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
49.2%
86
50.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 51' 3PT Jump Shot91
50.9%
86
49.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
47.3%
86
52.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 290
46.5%
86
53.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIADoleac Tip Shot (6 PTS)90
47.4%
86
52.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
52.6%
84
47.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot90
56.1%
84
43.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0WASArenas Layup (15 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)90
52.7%
84
47.3%
Q3 - 1:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)88
45.6%
84
54.4%
Q3 - 1:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)88
46.6%
83
53.4%
Q3 - 1:19WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)88
50.4%
82
49.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)85
40.9%
82
59.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
36.1%
82
63.9%
Q3 - 1:33WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot85
37.6%
82
62.4%
Q3 - 1:42WASThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)85
40.9%
82
59.1%
Q3 - 1:44WASMISS Arenas 3PT Jump Shot85
37.6%
82
62.4%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)85
39.3%
82
60.7%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
40.2%
81
59.8%
Q3 - 2:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q3 - 2:18WASMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot85
40.5%
81
59.5%
Q3 - 2:27WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
44.0%
81
56.0%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot85
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q3 - 2:40WASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)85
39.1%
81
60.9%
Q3 - 2:58MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)85
44.1%
81
55.9%
Q3 - 3:10WASButler Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)85
47.3%
79
52.7%
Q3 - 3:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)83
43.1%
79
56.9%
Q3 - 3:27WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)83
38.5%
79
61.5%
Q3 - 3:27WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
38.0%
79
62.0%
Q3 - 3:45WASWizards Rebound81
34.6%
79
65.4%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
33.3%
79
66.7%
Q3 - 4:06WASJamison 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)81
29.3%
79
70.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Driving Dunk (29 PTS)79
26.4%
79
73.6%
Q3 - 4:44WASButler Layup (13 PTS)79
29.4%
77
70.6%
Q3 - 4:46WASButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
26.5%
77
73.5%
Q3 - 4:48WASMISS Jamison 7' Jump Shot77
23.9%
77
76.1%
Q3 - 5:06MIAWade Layup (27 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)77
26.1%
77
73.9%
Q3 - 5:17WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
29.2%
75
70.8%
Q3 - 5:17WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
28.7%
75
71.3%
Q3 - 5:29WASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)75
26.1%
75
73.9%
Q3 - 5:31WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
23.7%
75
76.3%
Q3 - 5:51MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
26.1%
75
73.9%
Q3 - 6:15WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
28.5%
73
71.5%
Q3 - 6:32MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)72
22.7%
73
77.3%
Q3 - 6:45WASArenas 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
25.4%
71
74.6%
Q3 - 7:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
23.0%
70
77.0%
Q3 - 7:16WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
24.9%
69
75.1%
Q3 - 7:16WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
24.3%
69
75.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)68
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q3 - 7:38WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)68
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 7:47WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q3 - 7:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 7:59WASMISS Arenas 18' Jump Shot65
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 8:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
19.8%
67
80.2%
Q3 - 8:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 8:23WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)65
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)62
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 8:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 8:52WASHaywood Foul Turnover (P2.T8)62
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (25 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)62
17.0%
65
83.0%
Q3 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
19.2%
63
80.8%
Q3 - 9:13WASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)62
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 9:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)62
21.6%
63
78.4%
Q3 - 9:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q3 - 9:28WASHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)62
27.9%
60
72.1%
Q3 - 9:30WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
30.0%
60
70.0%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot62
29.1%
60
70.9%
Q3 - 9:44WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
27.0%
60
73.0%
Q3 - 9:44WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)60
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
21.0%
60
79.0%
Q3 - 10:05WASMISS Butler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot60
21.8%
60
78.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q3 - 10:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 10:46WASMISS Haywood 6' Hook Shot60
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 11:02MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)60
31.2%
57
68.8%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q3 - 11:10WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 11:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)60
37.5%
55
62.5%
Q3 - 11:45WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
44.0%
52
56.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS57
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound57
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASMISS Jamison 54' 3PT Jump Shot57
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
36.1%
52
63.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
36.7%
51
63.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0WASButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
40.2%
50
59.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)54
33.2%
50
66.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0WASThomas Dunk (10 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)54
37.1%
48
62.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
33.2%
48
66.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot52
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q2 - 1:22WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
31.1%
48
68.9%
Q2 - 1:22WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)50
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q2 - 1:50WASTaylor Layup (3 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)50
34.0%
45
66.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)48
29.8%
45
70.2%
Q2 - 2:08WASButler 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 2:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)46
24.9%
45
75.1%
Q2 - 2:37WASButler Layup (6 PTS)46
27.6%
43
72.4%
Q2 - 2:40WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
24.9%
43
75.1%
Q2 - 2:42WASMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot44
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 2:47WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
24.9%
43
75.1%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 3:05WASThomas 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
22.2%
43
77.8%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)42
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 3:28WASPosey STEAL (1 STL)42
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 3:46MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)42
26.9%
40
73.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 3:58WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot42
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 4:21MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)42
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 4:41WASBlatche 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)42
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 4:49WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)39
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 4:51WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot39
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 5:18WASBlatche Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)39
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 5:19WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 5:21WASMISS Jamison Layup37
24.2%
35
75.8%
Q2 - 5:32WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot37
25.1%
35
74.9%
Q2 - 5:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
23.5%
35
76.5%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
25.1%
35
74.9%
Q2 - 5:49WASTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
23.5%
35
76.5%
Q2 - 5:49WASMISS Taylor Free Throw 1 of 236
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 5:59MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T7)36
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 6:04MIAHEAT Rebound36
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Payton Layup36
22.8%
35
77.2%
Q2 - 6:24WASJamison Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)36
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)34
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 6:35MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
17.8%
35
82.2%
Q2 - 6:37WASMISS Taylor 18' Jump Shot34
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 6:40WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 6:42WASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)34
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 6:43WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 6:47WASMISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot34
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 6:53WASWizards Rebound34
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 6:54WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIAAnderson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)34
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 7:05MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 7:07WASMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot34
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 7:35MIADoleac 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)34
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q2 - 7:51WASBlatche 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 8:13MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 8:13MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 8:16WASWade STEAL (2 STL)32
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 8:19WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q2 - 8:47WASThomas 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 9:00WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot30
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 9:20WASArenas 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIAAnderson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)28
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 9:52WASArenas Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)28
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 10:07MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS)26
14.0%
31
86.0%
Q2 - 10:25WASButler 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q2 - 10:26WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q2 - 10:28WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot24
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot24
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q2 - 11:08WASThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)24
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q2 - 11:22WASWizards Rebound22
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot22
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q2 - 11:33MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q2 - 11:36WASMISS Arenas 17' Turnaround Jump Shot22
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS22
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound22
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Blatche 3PT Jump Shot22
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot22
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0WASDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 1:05WASButler 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q1 - 1:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)17
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 1:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)17
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 1:48WASJamison 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)17
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)15
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot15
13.4%
20
86.6%
Q1 - 2:25WASHaywood Foul Turnover (P1.T5)15
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)15
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 3:01WASJamison Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 3:15WASWizards Rebound15
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 3:16WASPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)15
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 3:36WASArenas Foul Turnover (P2.T3)15
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 3:40WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS O'Neal Layup15
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 3:59WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 4:04WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 4:06WASMISS Haywood 7' Fadeaway Jumper15
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 4:38MIAHEAT Rebound15
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 4:39WASMISS Haywood 7' Running Hook Shot15
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 4:56MIAWade Slam Dunk (10 PTS)15
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 5:01WASWade STEAL (1 STL)15
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)15
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 5:33WASJamison 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)15
20.5%
13
79.5%
Q1 - 5:43WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
19.3%
13
80.7%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot13
18.9%
13
81.1%
Q1 - 5:59WASArenas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
17.9%
13
82.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 6:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 6:23WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot11
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)11
19.1%
11
80.9%
Q1 - 6:48WASO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)11
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 7:04WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS O'Neal Layup11
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
19.8%
9
80.2%
Q1 - 7:27WASMISS Butler Layup11
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 7:33WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot11
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 7:52WASArenas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
19.9%
9
80.1%
Q1 - 7:59WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.8%
9
81.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot9
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 8:22WASDaniels 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 8:28MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 8:53WASDaniels Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 8:58WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 9:11WASMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot5
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 9:16WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 9:18WASMISS Haywood 4' Hook Shot5
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 9:23WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 9:25WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 9:51WASMISS Haywood 10' Jump Shot5
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 10:33WASHaywood Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)5
19.3%
3
80.7%
Q1 - 10:42WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
18.3%
3
81.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot3
18.0%
3
82.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.1%
3
82.9%
Q1 - 10:55WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot3
17.5%
3
82.5%
Q1 - 11:02WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
18.1%
3
81.9%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot3
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 11:22WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
17.1%
3
82.9%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Haywood: Tip to Williams0
17.1%
0
82.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
15
23
65%
MIA
20
25
80%
Midrange
WAS
17
41
41%
MIA
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIA
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
WAS
27
33
82%
MIA
31
41
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas2856%14.0 / 25
A. Jamison1950%9.5 / 19
A. Daniels19106%9.5 / 9
C. Butler1948%9.5 / 20
E. Thomas1071%5.0 / 7
A. Blatche770%3.5 / 5
B. Haywood429%2.0 / 7
D. Taylor350%1.5 / 3
M. Ruffin375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4077%20.0 / 26
J. Williams2175%10.5 / 14
S. O'Neal1948%9.5 / 20
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
A. Walker880%4.0 / 5
M. Doleac880%4.0 / 5
G. Payton750%3.5 / 7
J. Posey375%1.5 / 2
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
D. Anderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
82
+18
-13
100
MIA
82
+13
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.6
108.0
WAS 117.9
MIA 124.2 +6.3
Pace
93.0
92.2
WAS 93.5
MIA 96.5 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.9
WAS 15.4
MIA 14.9 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
51.7%
WAS 51.2%
MIA 58.0% +6.8%
TO %
14.3%
15.0%
WAS 11.8% +0.5%
MIA 12.3%
ORB %
29.5%
26.8%
WAS 33.3% +3.9%
MIA 29.4%
FTrt
37.5
36.3
WAS 39.8
MIA 54.7 +14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
55.7%
WAS 38.5%
MIA 56.4% +17.9%
STL %
8.6%
6.9%
WAS 8.4% +2.1%
MIA 6.3%
BLK %
6.6%
8.5%
WAS 3.8%
MIA 7.8% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.9%
WAS 56.0%
MIA 62.1% +6.1%
Rim FG%
58.0%
64.2%
WAS 65.2%
MIA 80.0% +14.8%
Mid FG%
37.8%
38.9%
WAS 41.5% +5.8%
MIA 35.7%
3P %
35.7%
34.5%
WAS 36.8%
MIA 40.9% +4.1%
FT %
75.7%
70.0%
WAS 81.8% +6.2%
MIA 75.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
39.3%
WAS 27.7%
MIA 33.3% +5.6%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
38.0%
WAS 49.4%
MIA 37.3% +12.1%
3P Att. %
20.9%
22.7%
WAS 22.9%
MIA 29.3% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points112118
Rebounds3838
Assists1522
Steals86
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)28 (1)
Field Goals39-8339-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2320-25
Midrange FG17-4110-28
2-Point FG32-6430-53
3-Point FG7-199-22
Free Throws27-3331-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
46.4
28
56%
0
4
2
0
2
5
0
0
6-8
75%
8-14
57%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
39.8
19
50%
6
1
1
0
3
6
0
6
3-5
60%
5-11
45%
2-7
29%
G · 6'4" 205 · 31
39.0
19
106%
5
3
0
0
1
2
0
5
8-8
100%
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 26
37.7
19
48%
12
4
1
1
3
4
5
7
4-4
100%
6-17
35%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 263 · 26
21.5
4
29%
5
0
1
0
2
5
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 28
26.4
10
71%
7
1
1
1
0
5
5
2
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20
12.5
7
70%
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 193 · 24
11.9
3
50%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29
4.8
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 30
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29
G · 6'5" 220 · 30
#1 · F · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'8" 228 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'3" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
56%
38
15
8
2
13
0
14
24
27-33
82%
32-64
50%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.