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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Cavaliers58%9373
27Magic42%90102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.2
39.0
42.1
25
51%
7
2
2
2
1
5
2
5
5-6
83%
7-16
9-18
44%
51%
2-6
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
34.5
39.3
13
43%
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
5-7
71%
4-11
5-10
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.9
33.0
33.9
1
7%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-6
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.5
31.8
26.6
9
31%
12
0
1
1
1
2
6
6
3-3
100%
3-13
4-8
23%
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.8
26.8
26.1
13
73%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
6-8
5-10
75%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
19.5
18.4
2
25%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
19.3
19.9
3
26%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
13.3
20.2
3
80%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.3
10.9
5.5
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
4.9
3.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
4.9
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
2.3
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
31.2
23.8
13
89%
13
0
1
0
1
0
5
8
3-3
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
24.3
35.0
8
46%
9
2
1
1
1
4
1
8
2-4
50%
3-7
6-11
43%
53%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.9
20.2
27.7
6
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.1
20.2
24.5
6
38%
4
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.4
7.6
27.9
2
17%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.6
27.8
25.0
17
71%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-7
64%
42%
1-1
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.8
27.8
22.4
13
75%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
23.0
7.1
12
67%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
19.4
28.6
9
83%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
2-2
100%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.6
18.6
9.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
17.5
21.1
11
70%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.7
2.3
3.1
3
85%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.9
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.5
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.