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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Timberwolves44%9496
21SuperSonics56%96107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.5
46.0
39.8
16
44%
5
6
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
8-15
6-12
53%
50%
0-3
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.3
44.4
26.5
23
78%
8
3
0
1
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
10-13
4-8
77%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
35.9
37.9
21
51%
11
3
2
1
1
1
4
7
7-8
88%
7-15
8-15
47%
54%
0-2
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.3
33.9
25.8
15
48%
5
9
4
1
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
6-13
3-7
46%
50%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.0
24.8
35.1
6
50%
1
0
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.5
20.8
22.8
8
44%
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
2-6
33%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
20.2
14.7
7
55%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-3
33%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 27.2
14.1
20.7
0
0%
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 23.8
7.7
0
1-2
45%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.1
3.3
0
0-0
50%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.6
1.9
0
0-0
53%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
45.4
34.8
38
63%
2
5
2
1
1
2
0
2
8-9
89%
9-17
4-9
53%
48%
4-9
44%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
42.2
33.9
15
49%
8
2
0
1
0
4
1
7
9-10
90%
3-8
5-9
38%
50%
0-3
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
31.9
25.5
11
62%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
53%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
23.8
23.5
8
57%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
23.6
33.5
2
14%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
4-10
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.7
27.0
18.5
12
49%
0
10
2
1
0
3
0
0
1-3
33%
4-8
1-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
19.1
11.7
7
93%
9
0
0
0
1
2
3
6
3-4
75%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.3
14.0
19.3
9
92%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.2
13.0
21.0
5
48%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
3-5
60%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27.6
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
5.6
0
1-1
47%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
3.5
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.