FinalWin Prob.pScore
2727%85
83
973%93
97
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
91.29188.5
IND logo IND
105.49294.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLArroyo 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)83
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDPACERS Rebound81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLHoward 2' Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLStevenson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot77
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 1:31INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 277
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 1:37INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 2:16ORLFoster STEAL (2 STL)77
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 2:41INDTinsley 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)77
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 2:55INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 2:57ORLMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot77
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 3:11INDStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 3:31ORLTinsley STEAL (1 STL)77
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 3:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)77
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 3:45ORLMISS Howard 2' Dunk77
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 4:08INDGranger 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)77
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 4:27INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)77
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 4:29ORLMISS Battie 13' Jump Shot77
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q4 - 4:41ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
16.0%
80
84.0%
Q4 - 4:43INDMISS Tinsley 12' Jump Shot77
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q4 - 4:57ORLTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)77
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 5:08ORLMagic Rebound75
9.3%
80
90.7%
Q4 - 5:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 275
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 5:08ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)75
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q4 - 5:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q4 - 5:18INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot74
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q4 - 5:44ORLDooling 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)74
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 5:59INDJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harrison 1 AST)72
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q4 - 6:19ORLArroyo 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 6:45INDJohnson 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q4 - 6:51INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q4 - 6:53ORLMISS Augmon 5' Jump Shot70
8.2%
75
91.8%
Q4 - 7:11INDHarrison 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)70
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q4 - 7:23INDPACERS Rebound70
13.7%
73
86.3%
Q4 - 7:27INDMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 7:53INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)70
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q4 - 7:55ORLMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot70
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q4 - 8:10ORLMagic Rebound70
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q4 - 8:10ORLMISS Milicic 2' Layup70
15.7%
73
84.3%
Q4 - 8:36INDHarrison 3' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)70
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q4 - 8:52ORLHarrison STEAL (2 STL)70
22.3%
71
77.7%
Q4 - 9:11ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
26.8%
71
73.2%
Q4 - 9:13ORLMISS Dooling 2' Layup70
23.5%
71
76.5%
Q4 - 9:22ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
26.9%
71
73.1%
Q4 - 9:24INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 2 of 270
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q4 - 9:24INDHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q4 - 9:24INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q4 - 9:25INDMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot70
30.2%
70
69.8%
Q4 - 9:51ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
26.7%
70
73.3%
Q4 - 10:00INDHarrison 2' Layup (9 PTS)68
22.4%
70
77.6%
Q4 - 10:04INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
26.5%
68
73.5%
Q4 - 10:06INDMISS Jones 24' Jump Shot68
29.9%
68
70.1%
Q4 - 10:30ORLAugmon 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)68
26.5%
68
73.5%
Q4 - 10:52INDHarrison 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
22.6%
68
77.4%
Q4 - 11:16ORLMilicic 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)66
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q4 - 11:32INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P2.T13)64
22.9%
66
77.1%
Q4 - 11:43ORLMilicic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)64
19.2%
66
80.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND62
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLDooling 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)62
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDMISS Harrison 2' Layup60
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)60
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)60
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
16.4%
63
83.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDMISS Tinsley 22' Jump Shot60
18.4%
63
81.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
16.4%
63
83.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLHarrison BLOCK (1 BLK)60
17.3%
63
82.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0INDMISS Jones 2' Dunk60
18.4%
63
81.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
16.4%
63
83.6%
Q3 - 1:02ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot60
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 1:06ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 1:09INDMISS Tinsley 5' Jump Shot60
18.5%
63
81.5%
Q3 - 1:20INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
16.5%
63
83.5%
Q3 - 1:22ORLMISS Milicic 19' Jump Shot60
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 1:37ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 1:38INDMISS Harrison 6' Jump Shot60
18.5%
63
81.5%
Q3 - 1:54INDStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
16.5%
63
83.5%
Q3 - 1:56ORLMISS Battie 6' Jump Shot60
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 2:15INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)60
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q3 - 2:35ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
22.2%
61
77.8%
Q3 - 2:35ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
21.6%
61
78.4%
Q3 - 2:44INDGranger 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS)58
19.4%
61
80.6%
Q3 - 2:46INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 2:48INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup58
24.8%
59
75.2%
Q3 - 2:59ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)58
22.2%
59
77.8%
Q3 - 2:59ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 3:09ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q3 - 3:09INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 156
19.3%
59
80.7%
Q3 - 3:26ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)56
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 3:38INDStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 3:38INDStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 3:51ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
19.4%
55
80.6%
Q3 - 3:51ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 252
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q3 - 4:09INDHarrison 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Pollard 2 AST)52
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q3 - 4:28INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 4:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Jump Shot52
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q3 - 4:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)52
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q3 - 4:47INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q3 - 5:06ORLStevenson 2' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)52
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q3 - 5:20ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q3 - 5:22INDMISS Pollard 17' Jump Shot50
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q3 - 5:42ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)50
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q3 - 6:19INDJohnson 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 6:24INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 6:25ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot48
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q3 - 6:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q3 - 6:44INDMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot48
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q3 - 7:07ORLBattie 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)48
16.9%
51
83.1%
Q3 - 7:23ORLMagic Rebound46
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q3 - 7:23INDMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot46
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q3 - 7:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q3 - 7:38ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot46
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q3 - 7:55INDPollard 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)46
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q3 - 8:13ORLTurkoglu 21' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)46
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q3 - 8:40INDStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)44
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q3 - 8:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q3 - 8:49ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot44
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q3 - 9:13INDStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
21.5%
46
78.5%
Q3 - 9:13INDStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q3 - 9:15INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q3 - 9:16ORLJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)44
24.8%
44
75.2%
Q3 - 9:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
26.9%
44
73.1%
Q3 - 9:39INDMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot44
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q3 - 9:56ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)44
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMagic Rebound44
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
24.3%
44
75.7%
Q3 - 10:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q3 - 10:14INDMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot44
25.5%
44
74.5%
Q3 - 10:39ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q3 - 10:39ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
22.7%
44
77.3%
Q3 - 10:47INDStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)42
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q3 - 11:03ORLBattie 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)42
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q3 - 11:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q3 - 11:20INDMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot40
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q3 - 11:36ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)40
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q3 - 11:48INDJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)38
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL38
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 0:18.0ORLFoster BLOCK (3 BLK)38
15.7%
42
84.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMagic Rebound38
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 2 of 238
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 238
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)38
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDJohnson 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)36
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 1:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot36
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 1:14ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup36
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 1:36INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P2.T10)36
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 1:48ORLMilicic 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)36
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 2:05INDHarrison 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)34
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 2:20ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
15.5%
38
84.5%
Q2 - 2:20ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 233
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 2:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 2:24ORLMISS Stevenson 2' Layup33
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 2:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 2:31INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 2:37INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 2:39ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot33
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 2:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
15.3%
38
84.7%
Q2 - 2:52INDMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot33
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 3:18ORLStevenson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)33
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 3:30INDPollard Foul Turnover (P2.T9)31
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q2 - 3:52ORLHoward 2' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)31
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 4:06INDJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)29
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 4:21ORLMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)29
9.3%
38
90.7%
Q2 - 4:34INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)29
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 4:34INDPACERS Rebound29
9.3%
38
90.7%
Q2 - 4:34INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot29
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 5:02ORLHoward 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)29
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 5:22ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 5:24INDMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
8.2%
38
91.8%
Q2 - 5:45INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 5:46ORLMISS Arroyo 23' Jump Shot27
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 5:58INDStojakovic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)27
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 6:11INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 6:13ORLMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot27
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 6:28INDGranger 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)27
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 6:42ORLMilicic 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)27
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q2 - 6:44ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 6:46ORLFoster BLOCK (2 BLK)25
8.0%
36
92.0%
Q2 - 7:00ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 7:03INDMISS Foster 3' Layup25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 7:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 7:06INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 7:11INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 7:13ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot25
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 7:30INDTinsley 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 7:50ORLAugmon 3' Layup (2 PTS)25
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 7:52ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 7:53ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot23
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 8:11ORLMagic Rebound23
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q2 - 8:12INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot23
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 8:35ORLAugmon Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)23
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q2 - 8:44ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q2 - 8:46INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot23
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 9:00INDStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot23
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 9:10ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 9:12INDMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 9:19INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 9:21ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot23
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 9:40INDGranger 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)23
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 9:54INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q2 - 9:55ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot23
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q2 - 10:13INDJones 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q2 - 10:23INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
12.2%
30
87.8%
Q2 - 10:25ORLMISS Dooling 3' Layup23
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q2 - 10:34INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 10:34INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 10:48INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 10:49ORLMISS Milicic 21' Jump Shot23
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 11:10INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)23
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q2 - 11:17INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 11:18ORLMISS Arroyo 5' Jump Shot23
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q2 - 11:38INDJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)23
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q2 - 11:40INDPACERS Rebound23
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 11:41INDMISS Harrison 12' Jump Shot23
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound23
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Harrison 2' Layup23
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup23
20.9%
24
79.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLOutlaw 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)23
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDHarrison 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)21
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Milicic 2' Layup21
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 1:01INDTinsley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q1 - 1:09ORLHarrison STEAL (1 STL)21
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 1:30INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 1:30INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 221
21.9%
21
78.1%
Q1 - 1:44INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 1:46ORLMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot21
22.0%
21
78.0%
Q1 - 2:05INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)21
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 2:22INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 2:23ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot21
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q1 - 2:42INDJones 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
26.5%
19
73.5%
Q1 - 3:03ORLNelson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 3:07INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 3:14ORLGranger STEAL (1 STL)19
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 3:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 3:22INDMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 3:33ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)19
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 3:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 3:44INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 219
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 3:44INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 3:58INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 3:59ORLMISS Turkoglu 5' Jump Shot19
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 4:11ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
27.5%
16
72.5%
Q1 - 4:13INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup19
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 4:19INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 4:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 4:35INDJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)19
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 4:59ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)19
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 5:03INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 5:17ORLHoward 9' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)17
26.5%
13
73.5%
Q1 - 5:30ORLMagic Rebound15
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 5:30INDMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
24.6%
13
75.4%
Q1 - 5:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
23.4%
13
76.6%
Q1 - 5:41ORLFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)15
23.9%
13
76.1%
Q1 - 5:58INDStojakovic 3' Layup (5 PTS)15
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 5:59INDStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 6:01INDMISS Stojakovic 2' Layup15
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:16ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
26.1%
11
73.9%
Q1 - 6:16ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
25.7%
11
74.3%
Q1 - 6:16ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 6:20ORLMISS Battie 4' Jump Shot13
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 6:37INDStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pollard 1 AST)13
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 6:52ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)13
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 7:05INDPollard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 7:24ORLHoward 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)11
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 7:30INDJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 7:36ORLFoster STEAL (1 STL)9
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 7:57INDJohnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)9
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 8:04ORLNelson 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)9
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 8:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 8:10INDMISS Jackson 3' Layup7
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 8:20INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 8:22ORLMISS Battie 8' Jump Shot7
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 8:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 8:31INDMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot7
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 8:47ORLHoward 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)7
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 9:15INDJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)5
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 9:30ORLTurkoglu 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)5
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 9:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 9:42INDMISS Pollard 15' Jump Shot3
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 9:58ORLNelson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)3
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:15INDFoster 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)3
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:24ORLJackson STEAL (1 STL)3
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 10:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:43INDMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot3
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 10:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 10:58INDMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot3
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:29INDJackson 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
20.9%
0
79.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.7%
IND
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
20
37
54%
IND
17
29
59%
Midrange
ORL
15
38
39%
IND
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
0%
IND
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
ORL
13
16
81%
IND
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2261%11.0 / 18
C. Arroyo1042%5.0 / 12
D. Stevenson950%4.5 / 9
T. Battie956%4.5 / 8
H. Turkoglu833%4.0 / 12
D. Milicic850%4.0 / 8
J. Nelson744%3.5 / 8
K. Dooling429%2.0 / 7
S. Augmon467%2.0 / 3
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Johnson2175%10.5 / 14
D. Granger2181%10.5 / 13
P. Stojakovic1454%7.0 / 13
D. Harrison1454%7.0 / 13
J. Tinsley1243%6.0 / 14
F. Jones643%3.0 / 7
S. Jackson317%1.5 / 9
J. Foster250%1.0 / 2
S. Pollard233%1.0 / 3
E. Gill2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+10
-14
87
IND
80
+13
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.95 47.7%
IND
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.9
ORL 91.2 +14.2
IND 105.4
Pace
88.1
90.1
ORL 88.5
IND 94.7 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.0
ORL 16.3
IND 15.2 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
48.7%
ORL 44.3%
IND 49.3% +5.0%
TO %
16.2%
16.3%
ORL 14.0%
IND 12.8% +1.2%
ORB %
28.6%
27.1%
ORL 17.1%
IND 25.0% +7.9%
FTrt
36.9
34.4
ORL 20.3
IND 40.0 +19.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
58.5%
ORL 62.9% +8.6%
IND 54.3%
STL %
7.3%
8.1%
ORL 5.5%
IND 9.8% +4.3%
BLK %
7.2%
7.5%
ORL 9.7% +3.0%
IND 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
51.7%
ORL 47.7%
IND 52.2% +4.5%
Rim FG%
57.7%
57.7%
ORL 54.1%
IND 58.6% +4.5%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.0%
ORL 39.5%
IND 42.4% +2.9%
3P %
37.6%
34.9%
ORL 0.0%
IND 30.8% +30.8%
FT %
73.0%
73.7%
ORL 81.3% +4.6%
IND 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
34.3%
ORL 46.8% +8.2%
IND 38.7%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
41.2%
ORL 48.1%
IND 44.0% +4.1%
3P Att. %
12.9%
24.5%
ORL 5.1%
IND 17.3% +12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points8397
Rebounds3443
Assists2219
Steals59
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)34 (1)
Field Goals35-7935-75
At-the-Rim FG20-3717-29
Midrange FG15-3814-33
2-Point FG35-7531-62
3-Point FG0-44-13
Free Throws13-1623-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
36.5
22
61%
11
1
1
1
3
5
2
9
2-3
67%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
35.3
8
33%
3
3
2
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
28.9
9
50%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
27.5
7
44%
2
10
1
0
4
5
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
27.2
9
56%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
23.5
8
50%
3
2
0
5
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
22.5
10
42%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
20.7
4
29%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
12.8
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
5.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#41 · C · 7'1" 260 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
48%
34
22
5
6
14
0
7
27
13-16
81%
35-75
47%
0-4
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.