FinalWin Prob.pScore
2631%94
87
1869%101
88
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
97.88993.2
MIL logo MIL
97.89086.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL87
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
29.5%
88
70.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot87
23.3%
88
76.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
14.1%
88
85.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
11.8%
88
88.2%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
10.9%
88
89.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
12.0%
87
88.0%
Q4 - 1:04MILBUCKS Rebound85
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q4 - 1:04ATLMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot85
22.8%
86
77.2%
Q4 - 1:26MILSmith 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)85
31.6%
86
68.4%
Q4 - 1:49ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 17 AST)85
41.9%
84
58.1%
Q4 - 2:10ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
33.0%
84
67.0%
Q4 - 2:12MILMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot83
28.6%
84
71.4%
Q4 - 2:35ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 16 AST)83
19.9%
84
80.1%
Q4 - 2:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
17.1%
84
82.9%
Q4 - 2:59MILMISS Magloire 14' Jump Shot81
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q4 - 3:21MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
10.1%
84
89.9%
Q4 - 3:23MILMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot81
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q4 - 3:47ATLSmith Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Johnson 15 AST)81
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 4:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 4:07MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 279
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 4:07MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 279
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 4:07MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 4:09MILMISS Smith Layup79
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q4 - 4:22ATLPachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)79
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 4:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q4 - 4:27ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 4:39MILFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)79
9.1%
84
90.9%
Q4 - 4:55ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
17.3%
81
82.7%
Q4 - 5:09MILMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T21)77
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 5:25MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)77
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 5:26MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)77
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 5:26MILMISS Magloire Tip Shot77
12.8%
81
87.2%
Q4 - 5:27MILMISS Ford Layup77
12.8%
81
87.2%
Q4 - 5:32MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)77
11.3%
81
88.7%
Q4 - 5:57MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 5:57MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 277
14.9%
80
85.1%
Q4 - 6:22ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q4 - 6:22ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 276
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q4 - 6:41ATLHawks Rebound76
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 6:42MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot76
13.7%
80
86.3%
Q4 - 7:01ATLIvey 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 14 AST)76
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q4 - 7:18MILSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)74
9.9%
80
90.1%
Q4 - 7:38ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q4 - 7:38ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q4 - 7:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 7:44MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q4 - 8:02ATLIvey 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 13 AST)72
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q4 - 8:19MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)70
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q4 - 8:33ATLIvey Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Harrington 5 AST)70
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q4 - 8:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 8:47MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot68
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q4 - 9:02ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P5.T17)68
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q4 - 9:06MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)68
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q4 - 9:28ATLWilliams Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 12 AST)68
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q4 - 9:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 9:33MILMISS Bogut Layup66
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 9:48ATLJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)66
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 10:08MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 10:23ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q4 - 10:40MILSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T18)64
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q4 - 11:08MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 11:09ATLWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)64
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q4 - 11:20ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q4 - 11:22MILMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot64
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q4 - 11:36ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T15)64
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 11:46MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)64
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL64
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)64
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)64
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 264
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLStoudamire Dunk (21 PTS)64
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)62
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 1:16ATLWilliams Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)62
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 1:24ATLSmith Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 1:24ATLSmith Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 1:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 1:27MILMISS Williams Layup58
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 1:44MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)58
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 1:47ATLMISS Stoudamire 15' Jump Shot58
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 2:15MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bogut 5 AST)58
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 2:26MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)58
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:28ATLMISS Stoudamire 14' Jump Shot58
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:34ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 2:36MILMISS Simmons 14' Jump Shot58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 2:55ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P3.T13)58
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 3:01ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 3:02MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 258
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 3:02MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 3:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 3:11ATLMISS Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:29MILRedd 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)58
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 3:43MILBUCKS Rebound58
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 3:59MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P5.T14)58
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 4:12ATLStoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)58
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 4:28MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 4:28MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 4:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 4:36ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot55
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 4:51MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 4:51MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 4:53MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 4:55ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot55
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 5:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 5:06MILMISS Ford Layup55
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 5:20ATLSmith 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)55
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 5:37ATLHawks Rebound53
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q3 - 5:38MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot53
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 5:57MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q3 - 5:59ATLMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot53
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 6:14MILBogut Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)53
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 6:20MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)53
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 6:22ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 6:38MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 6:51ATLPachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)53
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 7:04ATLHawks Rebound53
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 7:05MILMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot53
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 7:27ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)53
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 7:36ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 7:37MILMISS Simmons Layup51
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 7:55ATLHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)51
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q3 - 8:08MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)48
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 8:12MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
6.7%
59
93.3%
Q3 - 8:14ATLMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot48
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 8:34MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q3 - 8:34MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q3 - 8:36ATLRedd STEAL (1 STL)48
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q3 - 8:47MILSimmons 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)48
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q3 - 8:53MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q3 - 8:54ATLMISS Harrington Layup48
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q3 - 9:16MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)48
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q3 - 9:29ATLStoudamire Layup (16 PTS)48
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 9:49MILFord Layup (8 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)46
11.9%
54
88.1%
Q3 - 10:05ATLStoudamire 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)46
13.5%
52
86.5%
Q3 - 10:24MILRedd Layup (11 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)44
12.1%
52
87.9%
Q3 - 10:34ATLFord STEAL (2 STL)44
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q3 - 10:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q3 - 10:58MILBogut Tip Shot (4 PTS)44
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q3 - 11:01MILMISS Magloire 3' Layup44
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q3 - 11:21ATLHarrington 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)44
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q3 - 11:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q3 - 11:35MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 142
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q3 - 11:39ATLMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot42
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q3 - 11:39MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)42
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL42
19.4%
46
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound42
19.4%
46
80.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILRedd Running Layup (9 PTS)42
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)42
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 15' Jump Shot42
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 242
22.3%
44
77.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 242
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
23.8%
44
76.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Ivey 16' Jump Shot42
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 1:07ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 1:10ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 1:24MILFord Foul Turnover (P2.T12)42
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 1:26MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 1:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 1:27ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot42
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 1:28ATLMISS Harrington Layup42
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 1:42MILRedd 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 1:59ATLSmith 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)42
27.3%
42
72.7%
Q2 - 2:18MILSimmons Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)39
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 2:35ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
20.0%
42
80.0%
Q2 - 2:41ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 2:43MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot37
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 3:05ATLSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)37
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 3:11ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 3:13MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 3:21MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
13.3%
42
86.7%
Q2 - 3:23ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 3:51MILMagloire Dunk (7 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)35
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 4:12ATLIvey 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)35
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 4:27MILFord 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 4:33MILBUCKS Rebound33
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 4:33ATLMISS Johnson Layup33
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 4:55MILMagloire 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)33
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 5:10MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
19.8%
36
80.2%
Q2 - 5:12ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot33
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 5:15ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
21.9%
36
78.1%
Q2 - 5:18ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot33
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 5:42MILBell Layup (5 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)33
21.9%
36
78.1%
Q2 - 5:50MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 5:51MILMISS Bogut Layup33
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 6:02ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
23.5%
34
76.5%
Q2 - 6:02ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 232
23.1%
34
76.9%
Q2 - 6:02MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)32
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 6:22ATLStoudamire 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)32
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 6:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 6:30MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
19.5%
34
80.5%
Q2 - 6:42ATLHarrington Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T9)30
18.1%
34
81.9%
Q2 - 7:05MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)30
20.3%
34
79.7%
Q2 - 7:16MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 7:18MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot30
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 7:37ATLBatista Foul Turnover (P3.T8)30
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 7:47MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)30
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 8:14ATLStoudamire Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)30
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 8:14ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)29
23.4%
31
76.6%
Q2 - 8:14ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)28
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 8:27MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)27
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q2 - 8:45ATLBatista Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q2 - 8:45ATLBatista Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 8:45ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 8:46ATLMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot25
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 8:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 9:01MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot25
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q2 - 9:21ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)25
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 9:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 9:28MILMISS Bell 14' Jump Shot22
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 9:54ATLStoudamire Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 10:13MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q2 - 10:21MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 10:24ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q2 - 10:45MILSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)20
13.5%
29
86.5%
Q2 - 10:47MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 10:48ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot20
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q2 - 11:04MILWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q2 - 11:19ATLStoudamire 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q2 - 11:34MILWilliams 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)18
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q2 - 11:38ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)18
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL18
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound18
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Williams 35' 3PT Jump Shot18
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)18
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
14.8%
25
85.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 216
13.3%
25
86.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
12.6%
25
87.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLWilliams 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)16
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
12.3%
24
87.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 1:00ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
13.6%
22
86.4%
Q1 - 1:00ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
13.3%
22
86.7%
Q1 - 1:17MILWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)12
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 1:30ATLBatista Foul Turnover (P1.T6)12
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 1:52MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)12
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 1:52MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)12
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 2:10MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 2:12ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot12
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:32MILRedd Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)12
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 2:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
16.0%
19
84.0%
Q1 - 2:33MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 212
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 2:33MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 212
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 2:49ATLFord STEAL (1 STL)12
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 3:03MILMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 3:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 3:25ATLMISS Pachulia Layup12
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:42MILFord Layup (2 PTS)12
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 3:46ATLMagloire STEAL (2 STL)12
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 4:00MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)12
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 4:16ATLJohnson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q1 - 4:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
16.2%
17
83.8%
Q1 - 4:35ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot10
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 4:50MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)10
16.2%
17
83.8%
Q1 - 5:12ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)10
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 5:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:16ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot8
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 5:33MILSimmons 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)8
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 5:46ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T3)8
17.3%
13
82.7%
Q1 - 6:00MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 6:09MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 6:10ATLMISS Pachulia Layup8
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 6:30MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)8
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 6:46ATLIvey Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)8
19.9%
11
80.1%
Q1 - 6:50MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 7:05ATLHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
17.6%
11
82.4%
Q1 - 7:16ATLHawks Rebound6
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 7:18MILMISS Ford 7' Jump Shot6
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 7:32ATLPachulia 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)6
17.6%
11
82.4%
Q1 - 7:40MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 7:56MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 7:57ATLMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot4
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 8:20MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 8:38MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 8:41ATLMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 8:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 8:58MILMISS Magloire Layup4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:23ATLIvey Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 9:31ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 9:33MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot2
19.4%
6
80.6%
Q1 - 9:49ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)2
18.4%
6
81.6%
Q1 - 9:58MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:58MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
17.7%
5
82.3%
Q1 - 10:01ATLMagloire STEAL (1 STL)0
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:10ATLHawks Rebound0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:12ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot0
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 10:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:24MILMISS Bogut Layup0
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 10:32MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:34ATLMISS Ivey 18' Jump Shot0
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 10:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:58MILBogut Layup (2 PTS)0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 11:00MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 11:21MILBUCKS Rebound0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:21ATLMISS Johnson Layup0
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 11:43MILMagloire Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)0
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Smith: Tip to Ford0
23.5%
0
76.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.02 51.2%
MIL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
20
55%
MIL
18
30
60%
Midrange
ATL
18
36
50%
MIL
11
26
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIL
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
ATL
17
21
81%
MIL
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2574%12.5 / 17
S. Stoudamire2170%10.5 / 15
R. Ivey1275%6.0 / 8
J. Johnson930%4.5 / 15
M. Williams956%4.5 / 8
A. Harrington729%3.5 / 12
Z. Pachulia217%1.0 / 6
E. Batista2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Simmons1875%9.0 / 12
M. Redd1662%8.0 / 13
T. Ford1458%7.0 / 12
A. Bogut1056%5.0 / 9
M. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
J. Magloire941%4.5 / 11
J. Smith643%3.0 / 7
C. Bell550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
71
+11
-18
82
MIL
70
+8
-20
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.02 51.2%
MIL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.9
ATL 97.8
MIL 97.8 +0.0
Pace
90.3
91.6
ATL 93.2 +7.1
MIL 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.6
ATL 15.4 +1.3
MIL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.2%
ATL 47.9%
MIL 52.3% +4.4%
TO %
16.5%
15.2%
ATL 18.0% +3.4%
MIL 21.4%
ORB %
31.5%
27.4%
ATL 23.5%
MIL 24.2% +0.7%
FTrt
34.0
32.2
ATL 28.8
MIL 46.9 +18.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
59.4%
ATL 72.7% +10.2%
MIL 62.5%
STL %
7.8%
7.9%
ATL 11.2% +4.5%
MIL 6.7%
BLK %
7.5%
5.4%
ATL 3.6%
MIL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.0%
ATL 51.2%
MIL 55.7% +4.5%
Rim FG%
55.8%
54.9%
ATL 55.0%
MIL 60.0% +5.0%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.6%
ATL 50.0% +7.7%
MIL 42.3%
3P %
36.7%
38.0%
ATL 23.5%
MIL 37.5% +14.0%
FT %
75.0%
73.8%
ATL 81.0% +11.0%
MIL 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.7%
ATL 27.4%
MIL 46.9% +19.5%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
40.0%
ATL 49.3%
MIL 40.6% +8.7%
3P Att. %
17.8%
20.3%
ATL 23.3% +10.8%
MIL 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points8788
Rebounds3334
Assists2420
Steals106
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)26 (4)
Field Goals33-7332-64
At-the-Rim FG11-2018-30
Midrange FG18-3611-26
2-Point FG29-5629-56
3-Point FG4-173-8
Free Throws17-2121-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
46.5
9
30%
9
17
2
0
4
2
0
9
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 20
38.0
25
74%
4
0
2
1
1
6
1
3
4-6
67%
9-11
82%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
32.8
2
17%
7
0
0
1
4
5
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
30.5
7
29%
5
5
1
0
5
5
1
4
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
20.5
12
75%
1
2
1
0
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
27.5
21
70%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 237 · 20
26.8
9
56%
3
0
3
0
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
10.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
3
3
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 22
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 25
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
C · 6'10" 305 · 22
#10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
33
24
10
2
18
0
8
25
17-21
81%
29-56
52%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.