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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Wizards56%99119
28Bobcats44%97114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
45.2
40.5
34
71%
2
7
0
2
0
4
0
2
11-11
100%
10-13
7-14
77%
48%
1-6
17%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.0
44.8
36.9
25
58%
8
3
2
2
0
1
2
6
7-8
88%
9-16
6-12
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
42.3
35.3
35
81%
16
4
1
1
0
6
1
15
4-6
67%
8-10
5-11
80%
47%
5-9
56%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
22.1
19.0
5
53%
3
0
1
1
1
3
2
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.3
19.4
18.1
8
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.0
34.3
36.1
7
46%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.1
11.8
11.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
11.8
22.5
3
80%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.6
3.2
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.6
2.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
2.5
3.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.3
37.3
31.8
13
60%
4
8
1
2
1
2
0
4
1-4
25%
6-9
4-10
67%
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
33.9
22.8
15
49%
6
0
5
1
0
3
2
4
7-10
70%
4-10
3-7
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.1
29.8
35.9
18
54%
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
5-6
83%
2-8
3-7
25%
49%
3-6
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.4
28.6
26.6
10
63%
9
1
0
0
0
2
3
6
2-2
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
52%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.7
27.4
33.4
17
57%
4
3
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-2
0%
4-8
3-8
50%
43%
3-6
50%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
23.8
11.7
8
59%
5
3
2
1
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
19.9
21.9
10
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-7
57%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
16.1
19.8
7
50%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
14.8
18.7
11
56%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
8.3
11.8
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
8.1
0
1-2
45%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.1
4.4
0
1-1
46%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.9
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.