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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Jazz22%8983
3Heat78%99121
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.8
26.1
31.3
7
39%
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
25.8
36.2
7
30%
3
4
1
2
0
2
3
0
3-6
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
22.5
33.7
8
36%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-8
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.3
21.8
19.4
4
34%
5
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-2
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
14.7
21.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
25.5
13.3
9
50%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.3
23.8
24.9
12
50%
2
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
23.3
25.0
20
67%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
9-14
4-9
64%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
19.2
22.4
4
33%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
42%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.0
15.8
2.2
6
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
14.8
2.7
6
40%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
3-7
0-1
43%
42%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.0
6.6
4.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.9
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
29.7
27.3
5
58%
7
1
3
1
0
1
0
7
3-3
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.2
29.4
40.9
25
78%
6
6
1
2
2
3
1
5
7-7
100%
9-12
9-18
75%
52%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.2
28.5
19.3
16
86%
6
0
2
1
0
1
3
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
25.3
27.9
10
74%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.0
17.5
31.1
13
74%
7
0
0
0
3
1
1
6
1-4
25%
6-7
8-13
86%
59%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
23.5
17.4
6
45%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
6-6
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
22.7
26.7
12
68%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.1
20.6
16.7
19
89%
7
0
0
0
0
5
1
6
11-13
85%
4-5
2-4
80%
56%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
12.4
23.7
3
50%
3
1
0
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
10.6
7.3
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
9.9
3.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
9.9
2.4
7
61%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.3
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.