FinalWin Prob.pScore
2222%89
83
378%99
121
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
90.29282.7
MIA logo MIA
130.193104.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0UTAMISS Humphries 20' Jump Shot83
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T17)83
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0UTAMiles 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)83
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0UTAMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot81
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0UTAJazz Rebound81
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0UTAMISS Humphries 7' Jump Shot81
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:19MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:19MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:33UTAD. Williams Layup (8 PTS) (Collins 3 AST)81
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:47MIASimien Tip Shot (7 PTS)79
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:48MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Simien Layup79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:01MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:03UTAMISS Collins 13' Jump Shot79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:17MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:31MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:33UTAMISS D. Williams 22' Jump Shot79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:55MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Simien Free Throw 1 of 279
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 2:55MIAHEAT Rebound79
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 3:09UTAJazz Turnover: Backcourt (T#9)79
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 3:22MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 3:22MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 3:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:30UTAMISS Humphries 14' Jump Shot79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:50UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04UTAMISS Miles Driving Layup79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28UTABrown 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)79
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIAAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)77
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Simien 13' Turnaround Jump Shot77
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25UTAMcLeod 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)77
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12UTAHumphries Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)74
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)72
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42UTAMcLeod 16' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)72
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07UTAMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 170
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10UTAMISS McLeod 20' Jump Shot68
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29MIAPayton Driving Layup (12 PTS)68
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40UTAMISS Collins 14' Fadeaway Jumper68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34UTABrown 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)68
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01MIAAnderson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 9:21UTAMiles Layup (4 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)66
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIASimien 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)64
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47UTAMISS McLeod 22' Jump Shot64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54UTAJazz Rebound64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55UTAWalker BLOCK (3 BLK)64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:10UTABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:20UTAMISS Miles 16' Jump Shot64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:52UTAMISS Miles 19' Jump Shot64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35UTAHarpring Layup (20 PTS) (McLeod 4 AST)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0UTAMISS McLeod 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q3 - 1:02UTAMiles Layup (2 PTS) (Boozer 6 AST)62
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 1:20MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)60
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q3 - 1:39UTAHumphries Slam Dunk (2 PTS)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 1:59MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)58
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 2:13UTAMISS Miles 20' Jump Shot58
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 2:26MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)58
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 2:26MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 2:36UTABoozer 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (McLeod 3 AST)58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)56
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:59UTAMISS McLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 3:15MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)56
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 3:38UTAPosey STEAL (2 STL)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)56
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 4:07UTAHarpring Driving Layup (18 PTS)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 254
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 4:47UTABoozer Layup (10 PTS) (Harpring 3 AST)54
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 5:02MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)52
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 5:04UTAPosey STEAL (1 STL)52
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)52
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:30MIAHaslem Free Throw Clear Path (5 PTS)52
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 5:31UTAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)52
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T10)52
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 5:52UTAKirilenko Dunk (7 PTS) (Boozer 5 AST)52
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAHEAT Rebound50
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q3 - 6:10UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 6:44UTAMISS D. Williams Layup50
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMourning Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 7:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 7:23UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 250
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 7:23UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)49
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 7:43UTACollins Layup (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)49
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 7:54UTAOkur Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)47
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 8:31UTAKirilenko Dunk (4 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)46
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 8:33UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 8:35UTAMISS Palacio 16' Jump Shot44
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAWade Layup (23 PTS)44
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 9:00UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot44
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 9:16UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot44
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 9:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 9:34UTAMISS Palacio Driving Layup44
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 9:47UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot44
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 10:02UTACollins Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)44
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
1.0%
64
99.0%
Q3 - 10:31UTAMISS Collins 6' Hook Shot42
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 10:53MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T9)42
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 11:07UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 11:07UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 11:20MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)40
1.0%
64
99.0%
Q3 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q3 - 11:37UTAMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTABoozer 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)40
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T8)38
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)38
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0UTAMISS McLeod 18' Jump Shot38
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 1:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 1:06MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot38
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q2 - 1:25UTAOkur 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)38
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q2 - 1:49MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)36
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q2 - 2:12UTAHarpring 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)36
1.6%
57
98.4%
Q2 - 2:33MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (9 PTS)34
1.4%
57
98.6%
Q2 - 2:47UTABoozer Finger Roll (6 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)34
1.6%
55
98.4%
Q2 - 2:49UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 2:51UTAMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot32
1.3%
55
98.7%
Q2 - 3:06UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
1.6%
55
98.4%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Hook Shot32
1.5%
55
98.5%
Q2 - 3:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 3:25UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot32
1.5%
55
98.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
1.6%
55
98.4%
Q2 - 3:56UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)32
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 3:56UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)31
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 4:07UTAJazz Rebound30
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
1.3%
55
98.7%
Q2 - 4:28UTAHarpring 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)30
1.2%
55
98.8%
Q2 - 4:40UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
1.1%
55
98.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.0%
55
99.0%
Q2 - 4:56UTAHarpring 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)28
1.0%
55
99.0%
Q2 - 5:13MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
0.9%
55
99.1%
Q2 - 5:13MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
0.9%
54
99.1%
Q2 - 5:13MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 5:15UTAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)26
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 5:34UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot26
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q2 - 5:52UTAHarpring 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)26
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 5:54UTAJazz Rebound24
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q2 - 5:54UTAWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)24
0.8%
53
99.2%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)24
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 6:07MIAHEAT Rebound24
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Payton Layup24
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 6:11MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q2 - 6:12UTAAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)24
0.9%
53
99.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIAWade Dunk (21 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)24
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 6:38UTAMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot24
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 6:46UTAMcLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
1.2%
51
98.8%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
1.2%
51
98.8%
Q2 - 6:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 6:59UTAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)24
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 7:04MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
1.4%
51
98.6%
Q2 - 7:18UTAMcLeod Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
1.2%
51
98.8%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 7:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
1.2%
49
98.8%
Q2 - 7:55UTAMISS Brown 9' Hook Shot22
1.3%
49
98.7%
Q2 - 8:08UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
1.4%
49
98.6%
Q2 - 8:10UTAMISS Okur 16' Jump Shot22
1.3%
49
98.7%
Q2 - 8:21UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
1.4%
49
98.6%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
1.4%
49
98.6%
Q2 - 8:45UTAHarpring 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)22
1.3%
49
98.7%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
1.2%
49
98.8%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)20
1.2%
48
98.8%
Q2 - 9:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 9:07UTAMISS Boozer 13' Fadeaway Jumper20
1.4%
47
98.6%
Q2 - 9:31MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)20
1.5%
47
98.5%
Q2 - 9:50MIAHEAT Rebound20
1.8%
44
98.2%
Q2 - 9:50UTAMISS Harpring 19' Jump Shot20
1.9%
44
98.1%
Q2 - 10:05MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
2.1%
44
97.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
2.2%
43
97.8%
Q2 - 10:15MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
2.3%
42
97.7%
Q2 - 10:17UTAMISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot20
2.4%
42
97.6%
Q2 - 10:27UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot20
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 10:41UTABoozer Layup (4 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)20
2.3%
42
97.7%
Q2 - 10:44MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
2.1%
42
97.9%
Q2 - 10:48UTAHarpring 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
1.9%
42
98.1%
Q2 - 10:58UTAJazz Rebound16
1.7%
42
98.3%
Q2 - 11:00UTAMISS Okur 12' Fadeaway Jumper16
1.6%
42
98.4%
Q2 - 11:18UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
1.8%
42
98.2%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 216
1.8%
42
98.2%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
1.7%
42
98.3%
Q2 - 11:37UTAMcLeod 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)16
1.8%
41
98.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound14
1.5%
41
98.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 65' 3PT Jump Shot14
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAWade BLOCK (2 BLK)14
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)14
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0UTAD. Williams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)14
2.1%
38
97.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)12
1.8%
38
98.2%
Q1 - 1:02UTAHaslem STEAL (3 STL)12
2.3%
35
97.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)12
2.5%
35
97.5%
Q1 - 1:35UTAHarpring Layup (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)12
2.7%
33
97.3%
Q1 - 1:49MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
2.5%
33
97.5%
Q1 - 1:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
2.7%
31
97.3%
Q1 - 1:59UTAMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot10
2.8%
31
97.2%
Q1 - 2:10UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
3.0%
31
97.0%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot10
2.9%
31
97.1%
Q1 - 2:32UTAD. Williams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
2.8%
31
97.2%
Q1 - 2:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)8
2.5%
31
97.5%
Q1 - 2:47UTAWade STEAL (1 STL)8
3.0%
28
97.0%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)8
3.3%
28
96.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
3.8%
26
96.2%
Q1 - 3:08UTAMISS Harpring 19' Jump Shot8
3.9%
26
96.1%
Q1 - 3:21UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
4.2%
26
95.8%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 28
4.1%
26
95.9%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 28
4.0%
26
96.0%
Q1 - 3:33UTABoozer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)8
3.8%
26
96.2%
Q1 - 3:46MIAPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)6
3.5%
26
96.5%
Q1 - 3:50MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
3.8%
24
96.2%
Q1 - 3:51UTAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)6
3.9%
24
96.1%
Q1 - 4:04MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)6
4.2%
24
95.8%
Q1 - 4:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
4.5%
22
95.5%
Q1 - 4:21UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 26
4.6%
22
95.4%
Q1 - 4:21UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 26
4.8%
22
95.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
5.0%
22
95.0%
Q1 - 4:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 4:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
5.3%
20
94.7%
Q1 - 4:33UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 4:35UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
5.9%
20
94.1%
Q1 - 4:37UTAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)6
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
5.9%
20
94.1%
Q1 - 5:10UTAOkur 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)6
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
5.1%
20
94.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
5.5%
18
94.5%
Q1 - 5:41UTAMISS D. Williams 14' Jump Shot4
5.7%
18
94.3%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)4
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
6.7%
16
93.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot4
7.0%
16
93.0%
Q1 - 6:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
6.7%
16
93.3%
Q1 - 6:19UTAMISS Kirilenko 4' Jump Shot4
6.8%
16
93.2%
Q1 - 6:39MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
7.2%
16
92.8%
Q1 - 6:44UTAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)4
7.7%
14
92.3%
Q1 - 6:50UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.4%
14
91.6%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Posey 5' Jump Shot4
8.2%
14
91.8%
Q1 - 6:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
7.7%
14
92.3%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot4
8.2%
14
91.8%
Q1 - 7:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
7.7%
14
92.3%
Q1 - 7:02UTAMISS Kirilenko 4' Jump Shot4
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 7:04UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)4
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 7:06UTAMISS Okur 9' Hook Shot4
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 7:17UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 7:19UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot4
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 7:37UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 7:39UTAMISS Palacio 15' Jump Shot4
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 8:10UTAHaslem STEAL (2 STL)4
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 8:27MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
9.7%
12
90.3%
Q1 - 8:40UTAD. Williams Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)4
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 8:44UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot2
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
9.0%
10
91.0%
Q1 - 8:56UTAMISS Kirilenko 6' Jump Shot2
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)2
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 9:14UTAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)2
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
11.9%
7
88.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 22
12.2%
6
87.8%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11.7%
6
88.3%
Q1 - 9:45UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 22
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 9:45UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 22
12.3%
6
87.7%
Q1 - 9:58UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 10:00UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 12
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 10:17MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 10:23UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 10:47MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 10:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 10:53UTAMISS Palacio Driving Layup0
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 11:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 11:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
12.7%
3
87.3%
Q1 - 11:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Wade Layup0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:21UTAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Collins: Tip to Haslem0
15.2%
0
84.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.82 41.1%
MIA
1.39 69.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
19
33
58%
MIA
23
28
82%
Midrange
UTA
18
52
35%
MIA
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
UTA
6
13
46%
MIA
42
48
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Harpring2067%10.0 / 15
C. Boozer1250%6.0 / 12
K. McLeod950%4.5 / 9
D. Williams836%4.0 / 11
M. Okur744%3.5 / 8
A. Kirilenko729%3.5 / 12
C. Miles638%3.0 / 8
K. Humphries643%3.0 / 7
J. Collins433%2.0 / 6
D. Brown433%2.0 / 6
M. Palacio0-0.0 / 4
G. Ostertag0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2583%12.5 / 15
A. Mourning1986%9.5 / 11
J. Posey1689%8.0 / 9
S. O'Neal1372%6.5 / 9
G. Payton1267%6.0 / 9
J. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
W. Simien758%3.5 / 6
D. Anderson643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem563%2.5 / 4
S. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
A. Walker350%1.5 / 3
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
84
+17
-8
101
MIA
76
+11
-17
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.82 41.1%
MIA
1.39 69.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
108.0
UTA 90.2 +39.9
MIA 130.1
Pace
88.3
92.2
UTA 82.7
MIA 104.7 +22.0
Avg. Poss. Time
17.4
15.9
UTA 17.4
MIA 13.8 +3.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
51.7%
UTA 41.0%
MIA 62.7% +21.7%
TO %
16.6%
15.0%
UTA 8.3% +8.5%
MIA 16.8%
ORB %
32.4%
26.8%
UTA 22.2%
MIA 32.0% +9.8%
FTrt
39.7
36.3
UTA 13.8
MIA 76.2 +62.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
55.7%
UTA 73.7% +18.1%
MIA 55.6%
STL %
7.2%
6.9%
UTA 9.8% +1.2%
MIA 8.6%
BLK %
10.3%
8.5%
UTA 4.4%
MIA 10.6% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
53.9%
UTA 41.1%
MIA 69.5% +28.4%
Rim FG%
56.5%
64.2%
UTA 57.6%
MIA 82.1% +24.5%
Mid FG%
37.5%
38.9%
UTA 34.6%
MIA 35.3% +0.7%
3P %
33.6%
34.5%
UTA 11.1%
MIA 38.9% +27.8%
FT %
71.9%
70.0%
UTA 46.2%
MIA 87.5% +41.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
39.3%
UTA 35.1%
MIA 44.4% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
38.0%
UTA 55.3%
MIA 27.0% +28.3%
3P Att. %
14.9%
22.7%
UTA 9.6%
MIA 28.6% +19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes26.721.3
Points83121
Rebounds2950
Assists2820
Steals98
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)42 (2)
Field Goals38-9436-63
At-the-Rim FG19-3323-28
Midrange FG18-526-17
2-Point FG37-8529-45
3-Point FG1-97-18
Free Throws6-1342-48
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 260 · 27
26.1
7
44%
6
2
1
1
0
4
2
4
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
25.8
7
29%
3
4
1
0
2
1
3
0
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
22.5
8
36%
1
1
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 249 · 27
21.8
4
33%
5
3
0
0
0
3
3
2
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
14.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
25.5
9
50%
1
4
1
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 258 · 24
23.8
12
50%
2
6
2
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 30
23.3
20
67%
5
3
0
0
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
19.2
4
33%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 19
15.8
6
38%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
14.8
6
43%
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 33
6.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#10 · G · 6'6" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#54 · C · 6'10" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · G · 6'4" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
41%
29
28
9
2
8
0
12
17
6-13
46%
37-85
44%
1-9
11%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.