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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers28%8987
4Mavericks72%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.2
45.0
41.1
36
59%
12
5
0
1
2
4
1
11
8-8
100%
14-25
9-18
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
38.1
36.7
12
51%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
43%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.8
32.5
28.5
17
45%
13
0
0
0
1
0
8
5
3-4
75%
7-17
5-11
41%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.9
30.6
33.6
3
19%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-7
3-7
14%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.5
27.6
27.6
4
33%
9
0
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
30.4
19.0
9
75%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
24.6
17.8
2
26%
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
11.2
15.7
4
67%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
0.0
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.3
6.2
0
0-1
44%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
5.8
0
0-1
49%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.0
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
44.8
39.1
30
50%
13
6
0
1
2
1
1
12
5-5
100%
11-25
8-16
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
43.2
32.4
17
51%
5
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
40.0
36.4
20
50%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
5-7
71%
6-13
4-8
46%
50%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.1
14.6
19.6
2
100%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
13.5
1.1
4
67%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
32.0
30.0
9
30%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-13
4-9
31%
44%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
30.5
23.9
7
66%
13
1
1
0
2
2
5
8
1-3
33%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.7
11.3
9.7
2
35%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
7.6
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
2.6
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.7
16.8
1
1-3
47%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
11.2
0
1-3
48%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.