FinalWin Prob.pScore
2516%82
81
184%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
96.48494.7
SAS logo SAS
111.68677.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS81
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)81
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASMarks 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13NOKButler 1' Layup (9 PTS)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13NOKBarry BLOCK (1 BLK)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18SASUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43NOKUdrih BLOCK (1 BLK)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14NOKPaul 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29SASDuncan 3' Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45NOKMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:34NOKJackson 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)77
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 3:43SASMohammed 2' Layup (12 PTS)75
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 3:47SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot75
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 4:09NOKSnyder 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS)75
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 4:14NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 4:15SASMISS Parker 2' Layup73
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:19NOKParker STEAL (4 STL)73
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 4:31NOKHornets Rebound73
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:31SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 4:46SASMISS Bowen 3' Driving Layup73
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 5:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 5:02NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 273
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 5:02NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 5:21SASBowen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)72
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 5:27NOKBowen STEAL (3 STL)72
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 5:52SASMohammed 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)72
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 6:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 6:09NOKMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot72
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 6:30SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 6:30SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 6:31SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 6:32SASMISS Mohammed 2' Layup72
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 6:37NOKMohammed STEAL (1 STL)72
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 6:57SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)72
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 7:12SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 7:14NOKGinobili BLOCK (2 BLK)72
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 7:21SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)72
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 7:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 7:26SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 7:43NOKButler 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)72
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 7:50SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)70
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 8:08NOKPaul 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 8:29NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot68
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 8:45NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)68
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 8:50SASUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 8:58SASSPURS Rebound65
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 8:58SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot65
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 9:08SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Udrih 10' Jump Shot65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 9:26SASSPURS Rebound65
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 9:26NOKHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 9:43NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 9:45SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 9:50SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 9:52NOKMISS Claxton 3' Reverse Layup65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 10:10SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 10:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 10:23SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot65
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 10:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 10:48NOKMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 11:07NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 11:22NOKWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)65
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 11:38SASBowen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)65
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS65
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASUdrih 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)65
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0NOKMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot65
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)65
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0NOKSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)65
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0NOKMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 264
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0NOKSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 1:03NOKPaul 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)64
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 1:20SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:20SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 262
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 1:22NOKParker STEAL (3 STL)62
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 1:24NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 1:26NOKMISS Jackson 3' Layup62
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 1:48SASBarry 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 1:57NOKWest 9' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)62
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 2:14SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)60
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 2:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 2:46NOKMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot60
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:55NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 2:57SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot60
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 3:20SASSPURS Rebound60
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 3:20NOKMISS Claxton 5' Jump Shot60
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 3:29SASParker 2' Layup (19 PTS)60
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 3:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 3:51NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 4:08SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)60
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 4:25NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 4:25NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 4:40SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)58
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 4:51NOKWest 3' Layup (12 PTS)58
6.8%
64
93.2%
Q3 - 5:16SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)56
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 5:30NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 5:30NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 255
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 5:52SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)55
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 6:19NOKClaxton 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)55
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 6:36NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot52
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 6:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 6:55NOKMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot52
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q3 - 7:23SASDuncan 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)52
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 7:43NOKJackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 2 AST)52
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 7:58SASParker 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)50
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 8:03NOKBowen STEAL (2 STL)50
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 8:11NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 8:13SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q3 - 8:31SASSPURS Rebound50
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 8:32NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 8:32NOKGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)50
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 8:34NOKMISS Paul 7' Jump Bank Shot50
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 8:39NOKHornets Rebound50
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 8:39NOKDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)50
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 8:40NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 8:41NOKMISS Paul 3' Layup50
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 8:50NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 8:51SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q3 - 9:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 9:12NOKMISS West 18' Jump Shot50
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 9:31SASBowen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)50
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 9:56NOKSnyder 4' Slam Dunk (7 PTS)50
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 10:03NOKHornets Rebound48
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:03NOKMISS Snyder 5' Jump Bank Shot48
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 10:08NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:10SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot48
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 10:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 10:21NOKMISS Snyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 10:34NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot48
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 10:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 10:42SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot48
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 11:02NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)48
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q3 - 11:25NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q3 - 11:26SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 246
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 11:26SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 11:42NOKJackson 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)46
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK44
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKHornets Rebound44
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOKMISS Paul 15' Running Jump Shot44
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)44
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0NOKMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Parker 3' Layup44
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0NOKBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)44
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q2 - 1:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
6.8%
51
93.2%
Q2 - 1:06NOKMISS Paul 4' Jump Shot44
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q2 - 1:22NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 1:23SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 1:40NOKWest Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
6.8%
51
93.2%
Q2 - 1:56SASBowen 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)44
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 2:21NOKSnyder 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)44
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 2:27NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Parker 1' Layup42
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 2:35NOKBowen STEAL (1 STL)42
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 2:57SASParker 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)42
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 3:17NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)42
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q2 - 3:32NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 3:33SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot39
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 3:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 3:48SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 239
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 3:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 3:56SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 3:57NOKMISS West 17' Jump Shot39
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 4:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 4:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
7.8%
45
92.2%
Q2 - 4:24SASSPURS Rebound39
8.4%
44
91.6%
Q2 - 4:24NOKMISS Snyder 3' Layup39
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 4:44SASParker 2' Layup (13 PTS)39
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 5:04NOKSnyder 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS)39
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 5:19NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 5:20SASMISS Mohammed 10' Jump Shot37
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 5:39NOKButler 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Snyder 3 AST)37
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 6:01NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q2 - 6:04SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot35
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 6:26NOKSnyder Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 6:26NOKMISS Snyder Free Throw 1 of 234
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 6:31SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)34
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 6:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 6:35SASMISS Parker 3' Layup34
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 6:40NOKParker STEAL (2 STL)34
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 6:52NOKHornets Rebound34
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 6:56NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot34
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 7:13NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 7:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 234
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 7:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 7:19SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 7:21NOKMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot34
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 7:27NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
7.7%
41
92.3%
Q2 - 7:29SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup34
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 7:48NOKPaul 3' Layup (8 PTS)34
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 7:57SASDuncan 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 8:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 8:11NOKMISS West 20' Jump Shot32
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 8:23SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
7.8%
39
92.2%
Q2 - 8:23SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
8.0%
38
92.0%
Q2 - 8:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
8.5%
37
91.5%
Q2 - 8:44NOKMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 232
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 8:44NOKJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 8:44SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)31
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 8:57NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 8:59SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 9:19NOKWest 3' Layup (7 PTS)31
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 9:36SASUdrih 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)29
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 9:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 9:42NOKMISS Smith 1' Layup29
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 9:46SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)29
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 9:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 10:06SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
7.2%
34
92.8%
Q2 - 10:06SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)26
7.4%
33
92.6%
Q2 - 10:16NOKNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)26
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 10:29SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q2 - 10:49SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 10:49SASMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 226
8.5%
32
91.5%
Q2 - 10:49SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
8.0%
32
92.0%
Q2 - 11:03NOKUdrih STEAL (1 STL)26
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 11:06NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q2 - 11:08NOKMISS West 18' Jump Shot26
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q2 - 11:20SASHorry Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)26
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q2 - 11:20SASSPURS Rebound26
8.5%
31
91.5%
Q2 - 11:20SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot26
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q2 - 11:42SASSPURS Rebound26
8.5%
31
91.5%
Q2 - 11:43NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q2 - 11:43NOKMISS Claxton 3' Layup26
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q2 - 11:45NOKMISS Claxton 6' Jump Bank Shot26
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK26
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKHornets Rebound26
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot26
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASBarry 2' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)26
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0NOKMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot26
10.4%
29
89.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 226
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)24
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q1 - 1:08NOKClaxton 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 1:15NOKWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 1:17SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Hook Shot22
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q1 - 1:37SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.2%
25
89.8%
Q1 - 1:38NOKMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 222
10.3%
25
89.7%
Q1 - 1:38NOKWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 1:55SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 221
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 2:10SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 2:12SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 2:33NOKFinley STEAL (1 STL)21
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 2:57SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)21
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 3:15NOKClaxton 2' Layup (2 PTS)21
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 3:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)19
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q1 - 3:46NOKParker STEAL (1 STL)19
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 3:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 3:58SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 4:11SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15.4%
16
84.6%
Q1 - 4:12NOKNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)19
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 4:34SASNesterovic 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)19
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 4:58NOKPaul 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 5:29SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)17
16.2%
14
83.8%
Q1 - 5:46SASSPURS Rebound17
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 5:48SASMISS Bowen 10' Jump Shot17
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 6:07NOKWest 7' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)17
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 6:15NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 6:18SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot15
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 6:33SASSPURS Rebound15
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:33NOKDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)15
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 6:42SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 7:08NOKPaul 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)15
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 7:16NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 7:18SASMISS Parker 2' Layup13
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 7:24NOKPaul 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 7:46SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
11.8%
12
88.2%
Q1 - 8:00NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)11
12.5%
10
87.5%
Q1 - 8:14SASMohammed 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)9
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:31NOKJackson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)9
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 8:46SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 8:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
11.8%
7
88.2%
Q1 - 9:05NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 9:08NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:10SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup4
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 9:14SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 9:16NOKMISS Snyder 14' Jump Shot4
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 9:35SASMohammed 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:16NOKJackson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)4
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 10:36SASParker 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
10.6%
4
89.4%
Q1 - 10:45NOKJackson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)2
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 10:57NOKHornets Rebound0
10.6%
2
89.4%
Q1 - 10:57SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 11:20SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.9%
2
90.1%
Q1 - 11:21NOKMISS Mason 10' Jump Hook Shot0
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 11:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 11:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
10.7%
1
89.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Mohammed vs. West: Tip to Parker0
11.3%
0
88.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.96 48.2%
SAS
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
16
35
46%
SAS
18
27
67%
Midrange
NOK
16
32
50%
SAS
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
SAS
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
NOK
14
20
70%
SAS
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1647%8.0 / 17
M. Jackson1657%8.0 / 14
D. West1454%7.0 / 13
S. Claxton1464%7.0 / 11
K. Snyder950%4.5 / 9
R. Butler964%4.5 / 7
L. Johnson125%0.5 / 2
J. Smith117%0.5 / 3
A. Williams117%0.5 / 3
D. Mason0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2056%10.0 / 18
T. Duncan1771%8.5 / 12
B. Barry16133%8.0 / 6
N. Mohammed1275%6.0 / 8
B. Udrih1063%5.0 / 8
B. Bowen735%3.5 / 10
M. Ginobili525%2.5 / 10
M. Finley429%2.0 / 7
R. Nesterovic225%1.0 / 4
S. Marks2100%1.0 / 1
R. Horry125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
70
+11
-14
81
SAS
72
+16
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.96 48.2%
SAS
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
107.1
NOK 96.4 +15.2
SAS 111.6
Pace
89.6
88.8
NOK 94.7 +17.5
SAS 77.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.9
NOK 15.2 +3.4
SAS 18.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
51.3%
NOK 45.9%
SAS 50.7% +4.8%
TO %
13.9%
14.8%
NOK 15.5%
SAS 15.0% +0.5%
ORB %
27.0%
26.1%
NOK 18.8%
SAS 34.2% +15.4%
FTrt
33.9
29.8
NOK 27.4
SAS 41.7 +14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
57.4%
NOK 48.5%
SAS 78.8% +30.3%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
NOK 10.7%
SAS 12.8% +2.1%
BLK %
6.5%
8.4%
NOK 3.9%
SAS 13.4% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
53.1%
NOK 48.2%
SAS 53.9% +5.7%
Rim FG%
53.8%
61.7%
NOK 45.7%
SAS 66.7% +21.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
39.0%
NOK 50.0% +16.7%
SAS 33.3%
3P %
33.9%
38.5%
NOK 16.7%
SAS 33.3% +16.6%
FT %
75.8%
70.2%
NOK 70.0%
SAS 76.7% +6.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
36.7%
NOK 47.9% +10.4%
SAS 37.5%
Mid Att. %
49.3%
41.8%
NOK 43.8%
SAS 33.3% +10.5%
3P Att. %
13.8%
21.5%
NOK 8.2%
SAS 29.2% +20.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOKSAS
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points8196
Rebounds3139
Assists1626
Steals911
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)26 (6)
Field Goals33-7333-72
At-the-Rim FG16-3518-27
Midrange FG16-328-24
2-Point FG32-6726-51
3-Point FG1-67-21
Free Throws14-2023-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 21
37.1
16
47%
1
7
3
0
3
2
0
1
2-4
50%
7-14
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
36.5
14
54%
5
2
1
0
3
5
1
4
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 253 · 31
36.2
16
57%
6
1
1
0
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 23
25.4
9
50%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'5" 222 · 28
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 27
41.6
9
64%
8
2
2
1
3
1
1
7
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 5'11" 170 · 28
18.7
14
64%
3
1
0
0
0
4
1
2
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 205 · 26
14.7
1
25%
3
0
2
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21
14.5
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34
12.2
1
17%
1
0
0
0
2
5
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 21
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 33
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · G · 6'4" 214 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
48%
31
16
9
2
14
0
6
25
14-20
70%
32-67
48%
1-6
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.