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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Suns61%108129
17SuperSonics39%105120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
42.3
37.9
16
52%
9
7
0
1
0
3
2
7
2-3
67%
7-14
6-12
50%
55%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.9
39.4
39.2
24
58%
11
2
1
2
0
2
5
6
3-4
75%
9-15
7-12
60%
55%
1-4
25%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
34.8
33.8
25
96%
4
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
49%
5-8
63%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.1
33.6
30.4
23
68%
3
8
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
55%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.4
18.8
16.0
7
44%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.3
31.1
25.7
7
39%
1
6
3
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-4
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.0
20.4
29.7
23
105%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
7-7
3-7
100%
48%
3-4
75%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
15.7
14.5
4
29%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
3.9
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.1
5.7
0
0-1
48%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 22.9
2.7
0
0-1
38%
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
1.8
0
0-0
53%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
43.2
38.5
33
69%
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
6-7
86%
6-12
5-11
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
38.8
37.2
22
79%
5
2
2
1
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
9-10
5-11
90%
49%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
37.6
29.3
19
54%
5
13
1
1
1
1
1
4
7-8
88%
6-13
4-9
46%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
26.5
27.5
9
51%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
17.5
26.2
6
50%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.8
29.8
23.0
13
54%
6
7
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
1-4
25%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.2
27.2
14.3
17
88%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
6-6
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.4
12.3
16.8
1
57%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.3
7.3
16.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27.6
5.2
0
1-2
43%
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.9
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.