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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Jazz40%87108
26Magic60%90114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.3
47.0
24.1
30
60%
10
1
1
1
0
3
7
3
4-5
80%
13-23
4-8
57%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
46.9
30.6
21
68%
9
7
1
1
4
2
2
7
8-8
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.8
46.9
28.3
30
58%
11
3
1
0
1
2
4
7
8-9
89%
11-18
4-8
61%
48%
0-4
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
44.7
24.0
18
44%
3
2
3
1
0
3
3
0
5-10
50%
5-15
4-8
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
16.6
27.7
4
52%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
42%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
31.5
19.4
5
36%
0
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
40%
1-4
25%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
13.5
18.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.3
12.1
20.7
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
5.8
20.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.0
9.5
0
1-2
44%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
9.3
0
1-3
44%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.0
6.2
0
0-1
48%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.9
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
42.4
30.6
20
70%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
3-6
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
42.0
32.0
16
68%
11
1
0
1
3
6
1
10
8-11
73%
4-7
5-10
57%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
34.5
25.8
19
75%
7
3
1
1
2
0
4
3
5-6
83%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.9
33.7
26.0
10
46%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.1
33.2
25.8
25
65%
0
9
1
1
1
1
0
0
5-5
100%
10-16
4-8
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
24.6
21.0
3
39%
5
3
1
1
5
3
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.6
20.7
22.4
13
79%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-5
80%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.9
18.6
22.5
6
51%
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.6
10.7
12.5
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
4.6
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.7
2.6
0
0-0
45%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.6
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.9
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.