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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks55%8995
23Rockets45%8781
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
40.1
40.5
30
64%
11
3
1
1
3
1
1
10
8-8
100%
8-17
8-17
47%
48%
2-3
67%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
37.9
37.1
19
79%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
3-4
75%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
35.7
35.6
12
57%
5
3
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-1
0%
6-10
5-11
60%
47%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
25.6
6.1
12
68%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
1-1
57%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.1
10.4
17.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
30.4
26.0
5
43%
7
3
1
0
2
1
3
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
25.3
30.3
12
42%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
5-13
4-9
38%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.7
16.7
10.5
1
27%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
11.8
8.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
6.0
3.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
16.9
1
2-5
48%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.7
12.8
1
1-2
46%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.8
45.4
30.3
6
23%
6
6
1
1
1
1
2
4
1-3
33%
1-8
2-6
13%
43%
1-4
25%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
45.4
37.5
18
59%
2
4
0
1
0
5
1
1
3-3
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
43.9
29.1
8
69%
4
2
4
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.5
38.4
36.9
36
76%
12
2
1
0
1
2
3
9
12-15
80%
12-17
9-17
71%
53%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.1
30.2
30.2
7
29%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-11
4-9
27%
46%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.8
11.7
5.7
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
10.7
17.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.7
8.4
3.1
4
100%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.3
5.8
18.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.3
16.8
0
1-2
44%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.3
4.0
0
0-1
40%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.1
2.0
0
0-1
45%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.