Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	6	Kings	71%	96	106
	30	Trail Blazers	29%	89	90

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	130.9	81	81.1
POR	112.5	80	80.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+12

-6

POR

+13

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.22 60.9%

POR

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC		106	90
Q4 - 0:12.0	POR	Outlaw Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)	106	90
Q4 - 0:14.0	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	106	88
Q4 - 0:16.0	SAC	Outlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)	106	88
Q4 - 0:38.0	POR	Jack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	106	88
Q4 - 0:46.0	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	106	88
Q4 - 0:48.0	SAC	MISS Monia 16' Jump Shot	106	88
Q4 - 1:08	SAC	Monia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	106	88
Q4 - 1:10	POR	MISS Khryapa 18' Jump Shot	106	88
Q4 - 1:26	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	106	88
Q4 - 1:27	SAC	MISS Price 22' Jump Shot	106	88
Q4 - 1:44	POR	Khryapa 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)	106	88
Q4 - 1:54	SAC	Potapenko 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garcia 6 AST)	106	86
Q4 - 2:04	POR	SUB: Khryapa FOR Przybilla	104	86
Q4 - 2:04	SAC	SUB: Monia FOR Abdur-Rahim	104	86
Q4 - 2:04	SAC	Kings Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)	104	86
Q4 - 2:11	SAC	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	104	86
Q4 - 2:13	POR	MISS Jack 20' Jump Shot	104	86
Q4 - 2:27	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	104	86
Q4 - 2:27	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	103	86
Q4 - 2:27	POR	Webster P.FOUL (P3.PN)	102	86
Q4 - 2:44	POR	Webster Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	102	86
Q4 - 2:44	POR	Webster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	102	85
Q4 - 2:44	SAC	Abdur-Rahim P.FOUL (P5.PN)	102	84
Q4 - 2:53	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	102	84
Q4 - 2:55	SAC	MISS Garcia 22' Jump Shot	102	84
Q4 - 3:07	SAC	SUB: Potapenko FOR Miller	102	84
Q4 - 3:07	SAC	SUB: Price FOR Wells	102	84
Q4 - 3:07	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	102	84
Q4 - 3:12	POR	Webster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	102	84
Q4 - 3:12	POR	SUB: Outlaw FOR Khryapa	102	83
Q4 - 3:12	POR	Webster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	102	83
Q4 - 3:12	POR	SUB: Telfair FOR Blake	102	82
Q4 - 3:12	SAC	SUB: Garcia FOR World Peace	102	82
Q4 - 3:12	SAC	World Peace P.FOUL (P1.PN)	102	82
Q4 - 3:19	SAC	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	102	82
Q4 - 3:19	SAC	SUB: Hart FOR Bibby	101	82
Q4 - 3:19	SAC	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	101	82
Q4 - 3:19	POR	Przybilla P.FOUL (P3.PN)	100	82
Q4 - 3:38	POR	Jack 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	100	82
Q4 - 4:02	SAC	Wells 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	100	80
Q4 - 4:12	SAC	Wells REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	98	80
Q4 - 4:14	SAC	MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot	98	80
Q4 - 4:29	POR	Khryapa P.FOUL (P5.T4)	98	80
Q4 - 4:42	POR	Blake 11' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)	98	80
Q4 - 4:54	SAC	Wells P.FOUL (P2.T4)	98	78
Q4 - 5:15	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	98	78
Q4 - 5:17	SAC	MISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot	98	78
Q4 - 5:23	POR	SUB: Przybilla FOR Randolph	98	78
Q4 - 5:23			98	78
Q4 - 5:23	SAC	Kings Rebound	98	78
Q4 - 5:24	SAC	MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot	98	78
Q4 - 5:42	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	98	78
Q4 - 5:43	POR	MISS Webster Driving Layup	98	78
Q4 - 6:01	SAC	Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	98	78
Q4 - 6:01	SAC	Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	97	78
Q4 - 6:01	POR	Khryapa S.FOUL (P4.T3)	96	78
Q4 - 6:07	POR	SUB: Jack FOR Telfair	96	78
Q4 - 6:07	POR	SUB: Blake FOR Przybilla	96	78
Q4 - 6:07	POR	SUB: Khryapa FOR Dixon	96	78
Q4 - 6:07	SAC	SUB: Wells FOR Garcia	96	78
Q4 - 6:07	SAC	SUB: Bibby FOR Hart	96	78
Q4 - 6:07	POR	Webster P.FOUL (P2.T2)	96	78
Q4 - 6:23	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	96	78
Q4 - 6:25	POR	MISS Telfair 21' Jump Shot	96	78
Q4 - 6:45	SAC	Abdur-Rahim 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hart 4 AST)	96	78
Q4 - 7:06	POR	Dixon 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	94	78
Q4 - 7:29	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	94	76
Q4 - 7:31	SAC	MISS Hart 18' Jump Shot	94	76
Q4 - 7:51	POR	Telfair Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	94	76
Q4 - 7:51	POR	Telfair Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	94	75
Q4 - 7:51	SAC	Abdur-Rahim S.FOUL (P4.T3)	94	74
Q4 - 8:05	SAC	Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Garcia 5 AST)	94	74
Q4 - 8:23	SAC	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	92	74
Q4 - 8:25	POR	MISS Telfair 3PT Jump Shot	92	74
Q4 - 8:29	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)	92	74
Q4 - 8:31	POR	MISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot	92	74
Q4 - 8:50	POR	SUB: Przybilla FOR Skinner	92	74
Q4 - 8:50	POR	SUB: Webster FOR Outlaw	92	74
Q4 - 8:50	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)	92	74
Q4 - 8:58	SAC	Hart Layup (6 PTS) (World Peace 6 AST)	92	74
Q4 - 9:04	POR	Outlaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	90	74
Q4 - 9:17	POR	Dixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	90	74
Q4 - 9:21	SAC	Skinner BLOCK (1 BLK)	90	74
Q4 - 9:34	POR	Telfair Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	90	74
Q4 - 9:34	POR	SUB: Randolph FOR Khryapa	90	73
Q4 - 9:34	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	90	73
Q4 - 9:34	POR	MISS Telfair Free Throw 1 of 2	90	73
Q4 - 9:34	SAC	Hart S.FOUL (P1.T2)	90	73
Q4 - 9:47	SAC	Abdur-Rahim 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hart 3 AST)	90	73
Q4 - 9:54	SAC	Hart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	88	73
Q4 - 9:56	POR	MISS Dixon 22' Jump Shot	88	73
Q4 - 10:11	POR	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	88	73
Q4 - 10:12	SAC	MISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2	88	73
Q4 - 10:12	SAC	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)	88	73
Q4 - 10:12	POR	Skinner S.FOUL (P3.T1)	87	73
Q4 - 10:26	POR	Khryapa Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	87	73
Q4 - 10:26	SAC	SUB: World Peace FOR Bibby	87	72
Q4 - 10:26	SAC	Abdur-Rahim S.FOUL (P3.T1)	87	72
Q4 - 10:26	POR	Khryapa Driving Dunk (15 PTS)	87	72
Q4 - 10:48	SAC	Hart 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garcia 4 AST)	87	70
Q4 - 11:10	POR	Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)	85	70
Q4 - 11:23	SAC	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	85	67
Q4 - 11:39	POR	Outlaw 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	82	67
Q4 - 11:48	POR	SUB: Telfair FOR Jack	82	65
Q4 - 12:00			82	65
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR		82	65
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 4 AST)	82	65
Q3 - 0:02.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	79	65
Q3 - 0:03.0	SAC	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	79	65
Q3 - 0:25.0	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	79	65
Q3 - 0:26.0	POR	MISS Outlaw 18' Jump Shot	79	65
Q3 - 0:43.0	SAC	Abdur-Rahim 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wells 5 AST)	79	65
Q3 - 0:55.0	POR	Randolph 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	77	65
Q3 - 1:14	SAC	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	77	63
Q3 - 1:19	POR	SUB: Outlaw FOR Przybilla	74	63
Q3 - 1:19	POR	Khryapa P.FOUL (P3.T4)	74	63
Q3 - 1:28	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	74	63
Q3 - 1:28	POR	Randolph Layup (12 PTS)	74	63
Q3 - 1:32	POR	MISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot	74	61
Q3 - 1:55	SAC	Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Garcia 3 AST)	74	61
Q3 - 2:05	SAC	Kings Rebound	72	61
Q3 - 2:05	POR	Jump Ball Khryapa vs. Abdur-Rahim: Tip to Miller	72	61
Q3 - 2:07	SAC	MISS Wells 18' Jump Shot	72	61
Q3 - 2:27	POR	Blake Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	72	61
Q3 - 2:27	SAC	SUB: Garcia FOR Thomas	72	60
Q3 - 2:27	SAC	SUB: Abdur-Rahim FOR World Peace	72	60
Q3 - 2:27	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	72	60
Q3 - 2:27	SAC	Miller S.FOUL (P3.T4)	72	60
Q3 - 2:27	POR	Blake Driving Layup (14 PTS)	72	60
Q3 - 2:41	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	72	58
Q3 - 2:43	POR	MISS Khryapa Layup	72	58
Q3 - 2:47	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	72	58
Q3 - 2:49	SAC	MISS Miller 23' Jump Shot	72	58
Q3 - 3:14	POR	Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)	72	58
Q3 - 3:24	SAC	Przybilla STEAL (2 STL)	72	55
Q3 - 3:41	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	72	55
Q3 - 3:42	POR	MISS Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 2	72	55
Q3 - 3:42	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	72	55
Q3 - 3:42	POR	MISS Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 2	72	55
Q3 - 3:42	SAC	Miller S.FOUL (P2.T3)	72	55
Q3 - 3:55	SAC	Thomas P.FOUL (P2.T2)	72	55
Q3 - 4:10	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)	72	55
Q3 - 4:10	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)	71	55
Q3 - 4:10	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)	70	55
Q3 - 4:10	POR	Blake S.FOUL (P3.T3)	69	55
Q3 - 4:23	POR	Khryapa Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	69	55
Q3 - 4:38	SAC	Jack STEAL (2 STL)	69	55
Q3 - 4:40	POR	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	69	55
Q3 - 4:48	SAC	Wells P.FOUL (P1.T1)	69	55
Q3 - 5:05	SAC	Thomas Layup (10 PTS)	69	55
Q3 - 5:13	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	67	55
Q3 - 5:16	POR	MISS Randolph 7' Jump Bank Shot	67	55
Q3 - 5:28	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	67	55
Q3 - 5:30	SAC	Randolph BLOCK (1 BLK)	67	55
Q3 - 5:38	SAC	Kings Rebound	67	55
Q3 - 5:38	SAC	Przybilla BLOCK (2 BLK)	67	55
Q3 - 5:48	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	67	55
Q3 - 5:49	POR	MISS Khryapa 3PT Jump Shot	67	55
Q3 - 5:56	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	67	55
Q3 - 5:58	SAC	MISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot	67	55
Q3 - 6:16	POR	Khryapa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)	67	55
Q3 - 6:32	SAC	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	67	52
Q3 - 6:32	SAC	Kings Rebound	66	52
Q3 - 6:32	SAC	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2	66	52
Q3 - 6:32	POR	Randolph S.FOUL (P3.T2)	66	52
Q3 - 6:52	POR	Blake 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Khryapa 3 AST)	66	52
Q3 - 6:58	SAC	Jack STEAL (1 STL)	66	50
Q3 - 7:14	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	66	50
Q3 - 7:17	POR	Randolph 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)	66	50
Q3 - 7:28	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	66	48
Q3 - 7:30	SAC	MISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot	66	48
Q3 - 7:44	SAC	Wells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	66	48
Q3 - 7:46	POR	MISS Randolph 21' Jump Shot	66	48
Q3 - 7:57	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	66	48
Q3 - 7:59	POR	MISS Jack 10' Jump Shot	66	48
Q3 - 8:14	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66	48
Q3 - 8:16	SAC	MISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot	66	48
Q3 - 8:37	POR	Khryapa Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)	66	48
Q3 - 8:44	SAC	Przybilla STEAL (1 STL)	66	46
Q3 - 9:01	SAC	Wells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	66	46
Q3 - 9:03	POR	MISS Khryapa 15' Jump Shot	66	46
Q3 - 9:07	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	66	46
Q3 - 9:08	POR	MISS Randolph 16' Jump Shot	66	46
Q3 - 9:23	SAC	World Peace 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	66	46
Q3 - 9:44	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	64	46
Q3 - 9:46	POR	MISS Przybilla 14' Jump Shot	64	46
Q3 - 10:00	SAC	World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	64	46
Q3 - 10:14	POR	Przybilla P.FOUL (P2.T1)	61	46
Q3 - 10:33	POR	Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)	61	46
Q3 - 10:53	SAC	World Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	61	43
Q3 - 11:15	POR	Khryapa Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)	61	43
Q3 - 11:18	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	61	41
Q3 - 11:18	POR	MISS Blake Layup	61	41
Q3 - 11:26	SAC	World Peace Violation:Kicked Ball	61	41
Q3 - 11:41	SAC	World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)	61	41
Q3 - 12:00			58	41
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR		58	41
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	58	41
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Khryapa 53' 3PT Jump Shot	58	41
Q2 - 0:01.0	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	58	41
Q2 - 0:02.0	SAC	MISS Miller Layup	58	41
Q2 - 0:04.0	POR	Blake P.FOUL (P2.T4)	58	41
Q2 - 0:10.0	POR	Jack 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	58	41
Q2 - 0:11.0	POR	Jack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	58	39
Q2 - 0:12.0	POR	MISS Przybilla Layup	58	39
Q2 - 0:32.0	SAC	Miller 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 3 AST)	58	39
Q2 - 0:52.0	POR	Khryapa 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)	55	39
Q2 - 1:17	SAC	Wells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	55	37
Q2 - 1:17	SAC	Wells Layup (4 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)	55	37
Q2 - 1:20	SAC	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	53	37
Q2 - 1:20	SAC	MISS Abdur-Rahim Layup	53	37
Q2 - 1:21	SAC	MISS World Peace Layup	53	37
Q2 - 1:32	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53	37
Q2 - 1:34	POR	MISS Khryapa 22' Jump Shot	53	37
Q2 - 1:48	SAC	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 2 AST)	53	37
Q2 - 2:02	POR	Khryapa Dunk (4 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)	50	37
Q2 - 2:04	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	50	35
Q2 - 2:05	SAC	MISS Bibby Layup	50	35
Q2 - 2:07	SAC	Kings Rebound	50	35
Q2 - 2:09	SAC	MISS Abdur-Rahim 4' Jump Shot	50	35
Q2 - 2:20	POR	Jack Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	50	35
Q2 - 2:20	POR	Jack Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	50	34
Q2 - 2:20	SAC	SUB: World Peace FOR Garcia	50	33
Q2 - 2:20	SAC	Bibby P.FOUL (P1.PN)	50	33
Q2 - 2:35	SAC	Abdur-Rahim 3' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)	50	33
Q2 - 2:36	SAC	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	48	33
Q2 - 2:38	SAC	MISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot	48	33
Q2 - 2:53	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	48	33
Q2 - 2:53	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	48	32
Q2 - 2:53	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	48	31
Q2 - 2:53	SAC	Abdur-Rahim S.FOUL (P2.T4)	48	31
Q2 - 3:00	POR	SUB: Outlaw FOR Randolph	48	31
Q2 - 3:00	SAC	Wells Violation:Kicked Ball	48	31
Q2 - 3:16	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	48	31
Q2 - 3:18	POR	MISS Jack 15' Jump Shot	48	31
Q2 - 3:30	SAC	Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	48	31
Q2 - 3:30	SAC	Kings Rebound	47	31
Q2 - 3:30	SAC	MISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2	47	31
Q2 - 3:30	POR	SUB: Jack FOR Telfair	47	31
Q2 - 3:30	SAC	SUB: Bibby FOR Hart	47	31
Q2 - 3:30	SAC	SUB: Wells FOR World Peace	47	31
Q2 - 3:30	POR	Randolph P.FOUL (P2.T3)	47	31
Q2 - 3:30	SAC	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	47	31
Q2 - 3:32	SAC	MISS Hart 18' Jump Shot	47	31
Q2 - 3:39	POR	Randolph Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	47	31
Q2 - 3:52	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	47	31
Q2 - 3:54	SAC	MISS World Peace 13' Fadeaway Jumper	47	31
Q2 - 4:16	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	47	31
Q2 - 4:18	POR	MISS Telfair 20' Jump Shot	47	31
Q2 - 4:40	SAC	Miller 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)	47	31
Q2 - 5:06	POR	Telfair 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Przybilla 2 AST)	44	31
Q2 - 5:20	SAC	Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)	44	28
Q2 - 5:39	POR	Randolph 11' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)	42	28
Q2 - 5:53	POR	SUB: Khryapa FOR Webster	42	26
Q2 - 5:53			42	26
Q2 - 6:05	SAC	Miller 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)	42	26
Q2 - 6:25	POR	Webster Layup (2 PTS)	40	26
Q2 - 6:50	SAC	Miller Layup (9 PTS) (Garcia 2 AST)	40	24
Q2 - 6:56	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38	24
Q2 - 6:58	POR	MISS Blake 20' Jump Shot	38	24
Q2 - 7:16	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38	24
Q2 - 7:18	SAC	MISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot	38	24
Q2 - 7:30	POR	SUB: Blake FOR Dixon	38	24
Q2 - 7:30	POR	Randolph P.FOUL (P1.T2)	38	24
Q2 - 7:42	SAC	Kings Rebound	38	24
Q2 - 7:43	POR	MISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot	38	24
Q2 - 8:04	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	38	24
Q2 - 8:06	SAC	MISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot	38	24
Q2 - 8:23	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38	24
Q2 - 8:24	POR	MISS Przybilla Layup	38	24
Q2 - 8:26	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	38	24
Q2 - 8:28	POR	MISS Przybilla Layup	38	24
Q2 - 8:39	SAC	Abdur-Rahim P.FOUL (P1.T3)	38	24
Q2 - 8:46	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	38	24
Q2 - 8:53	SAC	Hart 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)	38	24
Q2 - 9:00	SAC	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36	24
Q2 - 9:02	POR	MISS Randolph 11' Jump Shot	36	24
Q2 - 9:17	SAC	Garcia 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)	36	24
Q2 - 9:39	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	34	24
Q2 - 9:39	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	34	23
Q2 - 9:39	POR	MISS Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 2	34	23
Q2 - 9:39	SAC	Miller S.FOUL (P1.T2)	34	23
Q2 - 9:39	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	34	23
Q2 - 9:40	POR	MISS Dixon Reverse Layup	34	23
Q2 - 10:00	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	34	23
Q2 - 10:01	SAC	MISS Garcia Driving Layup	34	23
Q2 - 10:07	SAC	SUB: Hart FOR Bibby	34	23
Q2 - 10:07	SAC	SUB: Miller FOR Thomas	34	23
Q2 - 10:07	SAC	SUB: World Peace FOR Wells	34	23
Q2 - 10:09	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	34	23
Q2 - 10:12	POR	MISS Telfair 19' Jump Shot	34	23
Q2 - 10:28	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	34	23
Q2 - 10:31	SAC	MISS Wells 3PT Jump Shot	34	23
Q2 - 10:49	POR	Randolph Layup (6 PTS) (Przybilla 1 AST)	34	23
Q2 - 11:08	SAC	Abdur-Rahim Dunk (4 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)	34	21
Q2 - 11:27	POR	Dixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	32	21
Q2 - 11:27	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	32	20
Q2 - 11:27	POR	MISS Dixon Free Throw 1 of 2	32	20
Q2 - 11:27	SAC	Garcia S.FOUL (P1.T1)	32	20
Q2 - 11:43	SAC	Garcia 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)	32	20
Q2 - 11:52	POR	Webster P.FOUL (P1.T1)	29	20
Q2 - 12:00			29	20
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		29	20
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	Thomas Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	29	20
Q1 - 0:11.0	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	27	20
Q1 - 0:13.0	SAC	MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot	27	20
Q1 - 0:19.0	POR	Dixon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	27	20
Q1 - 0:27.0	SAC	Wells 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	27	20
Q1 - 0:46.0	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25	20
Q1 - 0:48.0	POR	MISS Miles 13' Jump Shot	25	20
Q1 - 0:59.0	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	25	20
Q1 - 1:01	POR	MISS Dixon 22' Jump Shot	25	20
Q1 - 1:20	SAC	Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	25	20
Q1 - 1:20	SAC	Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	24	20
Q1 - 1:20	POR	Skinner P.FOUL (P2.PN)	23	20
Q1 - 1:33	POR	SUB: Telfair FOR Blake	23	20
Q1 - 1:33	POR	Skinner Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	23	20
Q1 - 1:33	POR	Skinner OFF.Foul (P1)	23	20
Q1 - 1:48	SAC	Bibby 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	23	20
Q1 - 1:56	SAC	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21	20
Q1 - 1:57	POR	MISS Miles 21' Jump Shot	21	20
Q1 - 2:04	SAC	SUB: Abdur-Rahim FOR Miller	21	20
Q1 - 2:04	SAC	Thomas P.FOUL (P1.T1)	21	20
Q1 - 2:13	SAC	Thomas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wells 4 AST)	21	20
Q1 - 2:24	POR	SUB: Skinner FOR Jack	19	20
Q1 - 2:24	POR	SUB: Dixon FOR Randolph	19	20
Q1 - 2:24	POR	SUB: Outlaw FOR Przybilla	19	20
Q1 - 2:24	SAC	SUB: Garcia FOR World Peace	19	20
Q1 - 2:24	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	19	20
Q1 - 2:36	POR	Przybilla Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)	19	20
Q1 - 3:02	SAC	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)	19	18
Q1 - 3:08	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	16	18
Q1 - 3:14	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	16	18
Q1 - 3:15	SAC	Przybilla BLOCK (1 BLK)	16	18
Q1 - 3:36	POR	Blake 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)	16	18
Q1 - 3:45	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16	15
Q1 - 3:47	SAC	MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot	16	15
Q1 - 4:09	POR	Miles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	16	15
Q1 - 4:21	SAC	Blake STEAL (1 STL)	16	15
Q1 - 4:26	POR	SUB: Miles FOR Khryapa	16	15
Q1 - 4:26	POR	Khryapa P.FOUL (P2.T4)	16	15
Q1 - 4:43	POR	Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Khryapa 2 AST)	16	15
Q1 - 4:52	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16	12
Q1 - 4:55	SAC	MISS Wells Layup	16	12
Q1 - 5:11	POR	Przybilla L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)	16	12
Q1 - 5:11	SAC	Kings Rebound	16	12
Q1 - 5:11	POR	MISS Khryapa 18' Jump Shot	16	12
Q1 - 5:16	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16	12
Q1 - 5:18	SAC	Khryapa BLOCK (1 BLK)	16	12
Q1 - 5:37	POR	Blake 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Khryapa 1 AST)	16	12
Q1 - 5:51	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	16	10
Q1 - 5:58	SAC	Miller Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	16	10
Q1 - 6:05	SAC	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14	10
Q1 - 6:07	POR	MISS Blake 23' Jump Shot	14	10
Q1 - 6:36	SAC	Thomas Driving Layup (4 PTS)	14	10
Q1 - 6:44	POR	Blake P.FOUL (P1.T2)	12	10
Q1 - 6:49	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	12	10
Q1 - 6:51	POR	MISS Khryapa 10' Jump Shot	12	10
Q1 - 7:07	SAC	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	12	10
Q1 - 7:09	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9	10
Q1 - 7:12	SAC	MISS Wells 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	9	10
Q1 - 7:31	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	9	10
Q1 - 7:33	POR	MISS Blake 22' Jump Shot	9	10
Q1 - 7:49	SAC	Thomas Layup (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)	9	10
Q1 - 8:07	POR	Khryapa 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)	7	10
Q1 - 8:23	SAC	World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wells 3 AST)	7	8
Q1 - 8:37	POR	Khryapa P.FOUL (P1.T1)	4	8
Q1 - 8:51	POR	Blake 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4	8
Q1 - 8:59	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4	6
Q1 - 9:01	SAC	MISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot	4	6
Q1 - 9:15	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4	6
Q1 - 9:18	POR	MISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot	4	6
Q1 - 9:30	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4	6
Q1 - 9:33	SAC	MISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot	4	6
Q1 - 9:42	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4	6
Q1 - 9:44	POR	MISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot	4	6
Q1 - 9:58	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4	6
Q1 - 10:00	SAC	MISS Wells 11' Jump Shot	4	6
Q1 - 10:20	POR	Przybilla Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	4	6
Q1 - 10:37	SAC	Bibby 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wells 2 AST)	4	4
Q1 - 10:51	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2	4
Q1 - 10:51	POR	Randolph Tip Shot (4 PTS)	2	4
Q1 - 10:54	POR	MISS Jack 19' Jump Shot	2	2
Q1 - 11:13	SAC	Miller 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)	2	2
Q1 - 11:34	POR	Randolph 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	0	2
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Przybilla vs. Miller: Tip to Randolph	0	0
Q1 - 12:00			0	0

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.22 60.9%

POR

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

48%

POR

65%

Midrange

SAC

46%

POR

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

67%

100%

POR

10.5

58%

88%

Free Throws

SAC

82%

POR

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	24	67%	12.0 / 18
S. Abdur-Rahim	21	75%	10.5 / 14
M. Bibby	19	79%	9.5 / 12
M. World Peace	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Thomas	10	83%	5.0 / 6
F. Garcia	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Wells	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Hart	6	60%	3.0 / 5
V. Potapenko	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Price	0	-	0.0 / 1
S. Monia	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Khryapa	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. Blake	17	77%	8.5 / 11
Z. Randolph	14	44%	7.0 / 16
J. Jack	12	67%	6.0 / 9
S. Telfair	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Webster	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Outlaw	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Dixon	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Przybilla	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Miles	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+12

-6

POR

+13

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.22 60.9%

POR

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.2 101.2	SAC 130.9 +18.4 POR 112.5
Pace	92.4 87.7	SAC 81.1 +0.4 POR 80.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15.3 16.7	SAC 17.8 +0.1 POR 17.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.2% 47.4%	SAC 59.0% +8.3% POR 50.7%
TO %	15.0% 15.6%	SAC 6.6% +3.2% POR 9.8%
ORB %	25.4% 26.6%	SAC 20.6% POR 27.8% +7.2%
FTrt	33.4 31.0	SAC 21.8 POR 27.0 +5.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	61.8% 53.4%	SAC 82.5% +23.7% POR 58.8%
STL %	8.0% 7.3%	SAC 7.4% +1.1% POR 6.3%
BLK %	5.5% 8.4%	SAC 4.8% POR 10.0% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.9% 49.6%	SAC 60.9% +8.6% POR 52.3%
Rim FG%	60.4% 56.4%	SAC 47.6% POR 65.0% +17.4%
Mid FG%	40.0% 38.6%	SAC 46.2% +12.9% POR 33.3%
3P %	35.1% 34.9%	SAC 66.7% +8.4% POR 58.3%
FT %	78.4% 68.9%	SAC 82.4% +7.4% POR 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.1% 36.7%	SAC 26.9% POR 27.0% +0.1%
Mid Att. %	46.3% 46.7%	SAC 50.0% +6.8% POR 56.8%
3P Att. %	21.7% 16.6%	SAC 23.1% +6.9% POR 16.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	POR
Possessions	81	80
Possession Minutes	24.0	23.8
Points	106	90
Rebounds	33	37
Assists	33	20
Steals	6	5
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	27 (0)
Field Goals	40-78	34-74
At-the-Rim FG	10-21	13-20
Midrange FG	18-39	14-42
2-Point FG	28-60	27-62
3-Point FG	12-18	7-12
Free Throws	14-17	15-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

6 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	40.9	24	67%	5	3	0	1	0	3	1	4	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	4-6	67%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 26	35.3	11	50%	3	6	2	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-8	13%	3-3	100%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	33.8	19	79%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	4-5	80%
Bonzi Wells G · 6'5" 210 · 29	32.4	6	33%	6	5	0	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Kenny Thomas F · 6'7" 245 · 29	23.4	10	83%	8	2	2	0	1	2	1	7	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	26.4	21	75%	6	4	1	0	0	5	3	3	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	23.6	7	50%	2	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	15.8	6	60%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Vitaly Potapenko C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31	3.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 23	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sergei Monia F · 6'8" 220 · 23	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32
Jamal Sampson #31 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	61%	33	33	6	3	6	0	7	26	14-17	82%	28-60	47%	12-18	67%

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6 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	40.9	24	67%	5	3	0	1	0	3	1	4	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	4-6	67%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 26	35.3	11	50%	3	6	2	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-8	13%	3-3	100%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	33.8	19	79%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	4-5	80%
Bonzi Wells G · 6'5" 210 · 29	32.4	6	33%	6	5	0	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Kenny Thomas F · 6'7" 245 · 29	23.4	10	83%	8	2	2	0	1	2	1	7	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	26.4	21	75%	6	4	1	0	0	5	3	3	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	23.6	7	50%	2	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	15.8	6	60%	1	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Vitaly Potapenko C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31	3.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 23	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sergei Monia F · 6'8" 220 · 23	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32
Jamal Sampson #31 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	61%	33	33	6	3	6	0	7	26	14-17	82%	28-60	47%	12-18	67%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 26	38.3	5	31%	12	2	2	2	0	3	5	7	1-4	25%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 25	34.8	14	44%	7	2	0	1	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	7-14	50%	0-2	0%
Viktor Khryapa F · 6'9" 210 · 24	32.9	18	56%	5	3	0	1	1	5	1	4	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 26	32.9	17	77%	4	5	1	0	1	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	2-2	100%
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 22	31.4	12	67%	1	5	2	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 21	18.9	6	43%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 19	14.9	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 22	13.1	6	75%	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 27	12.8	6	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Darius Miles F · 6'9" 235 · 24	4.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33
Seung-Jin Ha #5 · C · 7'3" 305 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Theo Ratliff #42 · C · 6'10" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	37	20	5	6	9	0	10	27	15-20	75%	27-62	44%	7-12	58%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE