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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 30, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs58%9396
8Lakers42%9185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
40.0
33.6
10
50%
4
2
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
35.8
33.6
20
51%
13
4
0
1
3
1
3
10
2-4
50%
9-18
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
33.1
34.1
19
66%
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
9-14
7-14
64%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.7
24.6
27.3
11
47%
2
4
3
1
0
3
1
1
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
22.6
21.4
12
61%
8
0
3
0
0
3
2
6
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
25.0
20.5
12
75%
6
3
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
2-3
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
23.6
25.0
7
39%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
18.6
18.7
5
83%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
8.8
12.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
4.5
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
1.7
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
1.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
43.1
39.5
13
43%
6
2
1
1
0
2
4
2
4-5
80%
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.1
37.3
35.0
9
42%
10
0
0
1
0
1
5
5
3-6
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
37.1
39.4
23
41%
7
2
1
2
1
6
1
6
5-5
100%
9-20
9-18
45%
47%
0-6
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
24.1
32.5
4
50%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
16.4
20.7
8
67%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
25.0
23.7
10
63%
5
2
2
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
24.4
17.2
4
52%
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.1
20.6
13.3
11
110%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
3-3
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.2
9.9
6.1
2
50%
5
0
0
0
4
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.4
2.1
2.0
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.5
3.3
0
0-0
46%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.5
2.8
0
0-0
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.4
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.