FinalWin Prob.pScore
463%93
99
2437%89
108
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
107.69292.4
ORL logo ORL
117.49291.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALORL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL99
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 299
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)99
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)99
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)98
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (26 PTS)97
1.3%
105
98.7%
Q4 - 1:15DALStackhouse Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)97
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 1:19ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)95
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 1:19ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)95
2.7%
102
97.3%
Q4 - 1:38DALTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)95
5.3%
101
94.7%
Q4 - 1:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)95
9.2%
101
90.8%
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
8.0%
101
92.0%
Q4 - 2:01ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
6.5%
101
93.5%
Q4 - 2:02DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 295
7.0%
101
93.0%
Q4 - 2:02DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
9.4%
101
90.6%
Q4 - 2:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)94
7.9%
101
92.1%
Q4 - 2:07ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
6.6%
101
93.4%
Q4 - 2:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)94
4.2%
101
95.8%
Q4 - 2:32DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper94
5.2%
101
94.8%
Q4 - 2:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)94
8.5%
101
91.5%
Q4 - 2:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)94
9.0%
100
91.0%
Q4 - 3:01DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T11)94
11.9%
99
88.1%
Q4 - 3:14DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
20.1%
99
79.9%
Q4 - 3:16DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
13.9%
99
86.1%
Q4 - 3:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)94
23.8%
99
76.2%
Q4 - 3:34ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup94
21.7%
99
78.3%
Q4 - 3:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)94
16.8%
99
83.2%
Q4 - 3:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)93
16.2%
99
83.8%
Q4 - 4:03ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)92
12.2%
99
87.8%
Q4 - 4:03ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
13.0%
98
87.0%
Q4 - 4:23DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)92
16.2%
97
83.8%
Q4 - 4:38DALMavericks Rebound89
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 4:38ORLMISS Nelson Layup89
7.6%
97
92.4%
Q4 - 4:50DALTerry Driving Layup (17 PTS)89
5.8%
97
94.2%
Q4 - 5:04ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS)87
6.5%
97
93.5%
Q4 - 5:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
8.5%
95
91.5%
Q4 - 5:20DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 187
8.9%
95
91.1%
Q4 - 5:30DALMavericks Rebound85
6.3%
95
93.7%
Q4 - 5:30DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q4 - 5:49ORLStevenson Driving Dunk (6 PTS)85
6.3%
95
93.7%
Q4 - 6:08ORLMAGIC Rebound85
11.1%
93
88.9%
Q4 - 6:08DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 6:26ORLTurkoglu 12' Jump Shot (23 PTS)85
14.9%
93
85.1%
Q4 - 6:43DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)85
18.3%
91
81.7%
Q4 - 6:55DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
11.3%
91
88.7%
Q4 - 6:57ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 282
10.8%
91
89.2%
Q4 - 6:57ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
9.4%
91
90.6%
Q4 - 7:16DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)82
14.0%
90
86.0%
Q4 - 7:28DALMavericks Rebound79
8.8%
90
91.2%
Q4 - 7:30DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
7.2%
90
92.8%
Q4 - 7:40DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
8.8%
90
91.3%
Q4 - 7:42ORLMISS Arroyo Layup79
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q4 - 7:59DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)79
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q4 - 8:05DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 8:07ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 8:27DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 8:27DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 8:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 8:36ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot74
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 8:59DALPowell Driving Layup (2 PTS)74
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 9:20DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 9:22ORLMISS Ariza Reverse Dunk72
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 9:37ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 9:38DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 9:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMISS Milicic 21' Jump Shot72
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 10:12DALDampier Foul Turnover (P3.T10)72
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 10:26ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 10:26ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 10:48ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 10:50DALMISS Stackhouse 21' Jump Shot72
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 11:06ORLArroyo Foul Turnover (P4.T14)72
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 11:28DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS)72
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 11:32ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)70
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 12:00ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)70
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL70
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound70
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot70
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot70
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALStackhouse Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)70
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLStevenson Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T12)70
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0DALStevenson STEAL (1 STL)70
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLAriza Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)70
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0DALMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)70
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
8.1%
85
91.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0DALMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)70
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q3 - 1:16ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q3 - 1:29DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q3 - 1:29DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
10.9%
83
89.1%
Q3 - 1:48ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q3 - 2:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q3 - 2:02DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 168
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q3 - 2:18ORLHoward Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)66
10.7%
81
89.3%
Q3 - 2:28DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
12.4%
79
87.6%
Q3 - 2:28DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q3 - 2:39ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)64
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q3 - 2:56DALStackhouse 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 3:06ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 3:26DALDampier 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)62
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 3:45ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
13.7%
74
86.3%
Q3 - 4:07DALArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)60
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 4:22ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)57
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 4:39DALStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 4:54ORLBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)55
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 5:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 5:14DALMISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot55
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 5:26DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q3 - 5:28ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot55
13.3%
70
86.7%
Q3 - 5:50DALStackhouse Reverse Layup (6 PTS)55
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q3 - 6:09ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)53
11.6%
70
88.4%
Q3 - 6:14ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 6:15DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 6:35ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)53
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q3 - 6:50ORLMAGIC Rebound53
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 6:51ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.6%
67
83.4%
Q3 - 7:01ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 7:03DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot53
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 7:26ORLBattie Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)53
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 7:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 7:44DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
21.2%
65
78.8%
Q3 - 7:48DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
23.4%
65
76.6%
Q3 - 7:51DALMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot53
21.2%
65
78.8%
Q3 - 8:10ORLNelson Driving Layup (18 PTS)53
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 8:27DALHoward Layup (8 PTS)53
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 8:42ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
24.4%
63
75.6%
Q3 - 8:42ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)51
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q3 - 8:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
26.9%
61
73.1%
Q3 - 8:53DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.9%
61
72.1%
Q3 - 9:18ORLNelson Driving Layup (14 PTS)51
31.5%
61
68.5%
Q3 - 9:30DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
34.6%
59
65.4%
Q3 - 9:30DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
34.1%
59
65.9%
Q3 - 9:32ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)49
31.5%
59
68.5%
Q3 - 9:33ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
28.3%
59
71.7%
Q3 - 9:35DALTurkoglu BLOCK (2 BLK)49
29.2%
59
70.8%
Q3 - 9:49ORLBattie 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)49
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 10:06DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)49
35.9%
57
64.1%
Q3 - 10:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 10:21ORLMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot46
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 10:34ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)46
26.7%
57
73.3%
Q3 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
29.6%
56
70.4%
Q3 - 10:52DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot46
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 10:59ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)46
32.9%
56
67.1%
Q3 - 11:14DALNowitzki Dunk (23 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)46
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 11:19ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q3 - 11:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
25.5%
56
74.5%
Q3 - 11:34DALMISS Stackhouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
26.4%
56
73.6%
Q3 - 12:00DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical44
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL44
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound44
25.5%
56
74.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALMavericks Rebound42
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 242
23.9%
56
76.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 242
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki 9' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)42
22.4%
56
77.6%
Q2 - 1:00ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)40
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q2 - 1:14DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)40
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q2 - 1:34ORLNelson Layup (9 PTS)38
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q2 - 1:37DALNelson STEAL (2 STL)38
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 1:45ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
27.4%
51
72.6%
Q2 - 2:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)38
31.9%
49
68.1%
Q2 - 2:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)37
31.6%
49
68.4%
Q2 - 2:14ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
29.1%
49
70.9%
Q2 - 2:14ORLMilicic Tip Shot (4 PTS)36
29.1%
49
70.9%
Q2 - 2:17ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup36
33.7%
47
66.3%
Q2 - 2:39DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)36
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 2:56ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
28.9%
47
71.1%
Q2 - 3:04ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
33.4%
45
66.6%
Q2 - 3:05DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q2 - 3:29ORLMilicic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
36.3%
45
63.7%
Q2 - 3:52DALAriza STEAL (2 STL)34
38.7%
43
61.3%
Q2 - 4:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
43.0%
43
57.0%
Q2 - 4:03ORLMISS Howard Reverse Layup34
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 4:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)34
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 4:28ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)31
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 4:49DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)31
37.4%
41
62.6%
Q2 - 5:09ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 5:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
38.1%
39
61.9%
Q2 - 5:17DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot29
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 5:35ORLAriza 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)29
41.0%
39
59.0%
Q2 - 5:58ORLMAGIC Rebound29
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q2 - 5:59DALMISS Dampier 9' Hook Shot29
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 6:18ORLDooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)29
47.6%
37
52.4%
Q2 - 6:21DALDooling STEAL (1 STL)29
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 6:24ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
47.6%
37
52.4%
Q2 - 6:44ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 6:49DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
45.3%
37
54.7%
Q2 - 7:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)29
48.5%
37
51.5%
Q2 - 7:09ORLMISS Milicic 20' Jump Shot29
47.7%
37
52.3%
Q2 - 7:29ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 7:32DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot29
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 7:55ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)29
48.5%
37
51.5%
Q2 - 8:00DALAriza STEAL (1 STL)29
50.9%
35
49.1%
Q2 - 8:09ORLDooling Layup (4 PTS)29
53.9%
35
46.1%
Q2 - 8:15ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
56.1%
33
43.9%
Q2 - 8:17DALMISS Van Horn Layup29
57.0%
33
43.0%
Q2 - 8:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q2 - 8:23ORLMISS Ariza Driving Layup29
58.1%
33
41.9%
Q2 - 8:36DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P2.T3)29
56.1%
33
43.9%
Q2 - 8:48ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q2 - 8:48ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 8:54ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
61.2%
31
38.8%
Q2 - 8:56DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
62.0%
31
38.0%
Q2 - 9:06ORLArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)29
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q2 - 9:23DALVan Horn Dunk (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)29
61.4%
31
38.6%
Q2 - 9:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)27
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 9:33DALMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.4%
31
42.6%
Q2 - 9:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 9:48DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.4%
31
42.6%
Q2 - 10:10ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
59.2%
31
40.8%
Q2 - 10:10ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
59.6%
30
40.4%
Q2 - 10:24ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
61.3%
29
38.7%
Q2 - 10:26DALMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot27
62.1%
29
37.9%
Q2 - 10:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
63.9%
29
36.1%
Q2 - 10:47ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot27
63.1%
29
36.9%
Q2 - 10:56ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
61.3%
29
38.7%
Q2 - 10:59DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
62.1%
29
37.9%
Q2 - 11:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
64.0%
29
36.0%
Q2 - 11:20ORLMISS Milicic 19' Jump Shot27
63.3%
29
36.7%
Q2 - 11:42ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 11:44DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot27
62.4%
29
37.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL27
63.9%
29
36.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
63.6%
29
36.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)27
66.3%
27
33.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0DALMISS Howard Layup27
68.9%
26
31.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLHoward Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)27
70.0%
26
30.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMAGIC Rebound27
72.4%
24
27.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)27
72.8%
24
27.2%
Q1 - 1:14ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)27
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q1 - 1:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
77.7%
21
22.3%
Q1 - 1:30ORLMISS Milicic 18' Jump Shot27
78.6%
21
21.4%
Q1 - 1:44DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)27
77.7%
21
22.3%
Q1 - 2:04ORLDooling 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
76.0%
21
24.0%
Q1 - 2:19DALNowitzki Layup (8 PTS)25
77.7%
19
22.3%
Q1 - 2:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
75.9%
19
24.1%
Q1 - 2:22DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot23
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q1 - 2:31DALMavericks Rebound23
75.9%
19
24.1%
Q1 - 2:31DALHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)23
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q1 - 2:40DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
75.9%
19
24.1%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Battie Layup23
75.4%
19
24.6%
Q1 - 2:57DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
74.3%
19
25.7%
Q1 - 2:57DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
70.4%
19
29.6%
Q1 - 2:58DALMISS Terry 11' Running Jump Shot20
69.1%
19
30.9%
Q1 - 3:08ORLStevenson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
70.5%
19
29.5%
Q1 - 3:25DALNelson STEAL (1 STL)20
72.2%
17
27.8%
Q1 - 3:29ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
74.1%
17
25.9%
Q1 - 3:42DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)20
72.2%
17
27.8%
Q1 - 4:00ORLTurkoglu 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
70.5%
17
29.5%
Q1 - 4:13ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw Technical18
72.2%
15
27.8%
Q1 - 4:28ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
72.2%
15
27.8%
Q1 - 4:29DALBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)18
72.8%
15
27.2%
Q1 - 4:40DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot18
73.6%
15
26.4%
Q1 - 4:55DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)18
72.2%
15
27.8%
Q1 - 5:02DALMavericks Rebound16
70.7%
15
29.3%
Q1 - 5:03DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot16
69.4%
15
30.6%
Q1 - 5:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
70.7%
15
29.3%
Q1 - 5:09ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
70.1%
15
29.9%
Q1 - 5:22DALHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)16
68.8%
15
31.2%
Q1 - 5:37DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
67.1%
15
32.9%
Q1 - 5:39ORLMISS Stevenson Reverse Layup14
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 5:58DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
65.0%
15
35.0%
Q1 - 5:58DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
64.7%
15
35.3%
Q1 - 6:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
63.4%
15
36.6%
Q1 - 6:03ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot12
62.8%
15
37.2%
Q1 - 6:21ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
61.4%
15
38.6%
Q1 - 6:23DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 6:42DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
63.4%
15
36.6%
Q1 - 6:44ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot12
62.8%
15
37.2%
Q1 - 6:57ORLMAGIC Rebound12
61.4%
15
38.6%
Q1 - 6:58DALMISS Terry 17' Turnaround Jump Shot12
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 7:14ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 7:14ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
64.2%
14
35.8%
Q1 - 7:24DALNowitzki Layup (6 PTS)12
65.5%
13
34.5%
Q1 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
63.9%
13
36.1%
Q1 - 7:46DALTerry Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)10
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 7:47ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
63.9%
13
36.1%
Q1 - 7:52DALStackhouse Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)10
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 8:08ORLHoward Layup (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
61.0%
13
39.0%
Q1 - 8:25DALStackhouse Driving Dunk (2 PTS)8
62.6%
11
37.4%
Q1 - 8:41ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
61.0%
11
39.0%
Q1 - 8:57DALNowitzki 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 8:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 9:01DALMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot4
61.2%
8
38.8%
Q1 - 9:21ORLTurkoglu Layup (4 PTS)4
62.8%
8
37.2%
Q1 - 9:40DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
64.1%
6
35.9%
Q1 - 9:40DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
63.7%
6
36.3%
Q1 - 9:44DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.8%
6
37.2%
Q1 - 9:46ORLMISS Battie 9' Turnaround Jump Shot2
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 10:01DALNowitzki 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 10:24ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 10:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 10:44DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot0
61.3%
4
38.7%
Q1 - 11:07ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)0
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 11:12ORLMAGIC Rebound0
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 11:12ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup0
65.6%
2
34.4%
Q1 - 11:21ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 11:23DALMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot0
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 11:42ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS)0
66.1%
2
33.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Diop: Tip to Nelson0
67.8%
0
32.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.06 53.2%
ORL
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
15
23
65%
ORL
15
27
56%
Midrange
DAL
15
32
47%
ORL
19
31
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
26
23%
35%
ORL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
DAL
21
25
84%
ORL
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3866%19.0 / 29
J. Terry2357%11.5 / 20
J. Stackhouse1450%7.0 / 14
J. Howard1050%5.0 / 10
E. Dampier450%2.0 / 4
D. Diop375%1.5 / 2
D. Armstrong350%1.5 / 3
J. Powell2100%1.0 / 1
K. Van Horn217%1.0 / 6
R. Marshall0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2775%13.5 / 18
H. Turkoglu2583%12.5 / 15
D. Howard1464%7.0 / 11
C. Arroyo1275%6.0 / 8
T. Ariza867%4.0 / 6
D. Stevenson643%3.0 / 6
T. Battie650%3.0 / 6
D. Milicic536%2.5 / 7
K. Dooling550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
80
+13
-12
93
ORL
78
+7
-14
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.06 53.2%
ORL
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
106.6
DAL 107.6
ORL 117.4 +9.8
Pace
88.2
88.1
DAL 92.4 +0.6
ORL 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.6
DAL 15.6 +0.1
ORL 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
49.6%
DAL 48.1%
ORL 59.3% +11.2%
TO %
14.4%
16.2%
DAL 11.5% +2.9%
ORL 14.4%
ORB %
31.9%
28.6%
DAL 20.5% +9.8%
ORL 10.7%
FTrt
36.4
36.9
DAL 30.9
ORL 42.9 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.0%
51.4%
DAL 47.2% +13.9%
ORL 33.3%
STL %
8.1%
7.3%
DAL 8.7% +1.1%
ORL 7.6%
BLK %
9.4%
7.2%
DAL 8.6%
ORL 10.9% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
52.5%
DAL 53.2%
ORL 63.5% +10.3%
Rim FG%
55.4%
57.7%
DAL 65.2% +9.6%
ORL 55.6%
Mid FG%
43.4%
41.0%
DAL 46.9%
ORL 61.3% +14.4%
3P %
37.4%
37.6%
DAL 23.1%
ORL 41.7% +18.6%
FT %
78.3%
73.0%
DAL 84.0% +0.7%
ORL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
39.9%
DAL 28.4%
ORL 38.6% +10.2%
Mid Att. %
50.0%
47.2%
DAL 39.5% +4.8%
ORL 44.3%
3P Att. %
17.5%
12.9%
DAL 32.1% +15.0%
ORL 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALORL
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points99108
Rebounds3334
Assists1713
Steals87
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)31 (4)
Field Goals36-8139-70
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-27
Midrange FG15-3219-31
2-Point FG30-5534-58
3-Point FG6-265-12
Free Throws21-2525-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 28
43.6
38
66%
15
4
0
1
3
2
4
11
5-7
71%
12-17
71%
3-10
30%
G · 6'6" 218 · 31
39.8
14
50%
2
5
1
0
3
4
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
39.5
23
57%
1
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
9-10
90%
4-7
57%
2-8
25%
C · 7'0" 280 · 24
27.4
3
75%
4
0
3
4
0
6
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 26
26.8
10
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
20.0
4
50%
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 38
14.7
3
50%
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 23
12.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 30
11.1
2
17%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 25
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
#44 · G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · C · 7'5" 260 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
33
17
8
5
12
0
8
25
21-25
84%
30-55
55%
6-26
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.