FinalWin Prob.pScore
1324%88
105
276%98
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
116.79096.6
DET logo DET
124.49084.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET105
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)105
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)105
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)105
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)105
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)104
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)103
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILPrince BLOCK (3 BLK)103
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)103
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)103
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMISS Redd Layup103
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)103
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 1:10MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (35 PTS)103
10.0%
105
90.0%
Q4 - 1:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
6.5%
105
93.5%
Q4 - 1:15MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
4.3%
105
95.7%
Q4 - 1:37DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)101
7.5%
105
92.5%
Q4 - 1:50DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
18.3%
102
81.7%
Q4 - 1:53MILPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)101
20.6%
102
79.4%
Q4 - 2:11DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)101
28.1%
102
71.9%
Q4 - 2:25MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)101
33.6%
100
66.4%
Q4 - 2:25MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)100
32.4%
100
67.6%
Q4 - 2:37MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
28.3%
100
71.7%
Q4 - 2:39DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
24.1%
100
75.9%
Q4 - 3:09MILRedd 11' Running Jump Shot (31 PTS)99
17.7%
100
82.3%
Q4 - 3:33MILBucks Rebound97
14.9%
100
85.1%
Q4 - 3:34DETMISS Prince Layup97
13.5%
100
86.5%
Q4 - 3:54MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)97
10.5%
100
89.5%
Q4 - 4:01MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
5.3%
100
94.7%
Q4 - 4:04DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot94
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 4:20MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
3.6%
100
96.4%
Q4 - 4:20MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q4 - 4:35DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)92
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 4:35DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
2.9%
99
97.1%
Q4 - 4:53DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 4:56MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 5:19DETPrince Dunk (23 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)92
6.1%
98
93.9%
Q4 - 5:36MILBucks Rebound92
8.2%
96
91.8%
Q4 - 5:36MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)92
8.2%
96
91.8%
Q4 - 5:36MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 291
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 5:38MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
8.4%
96
91.6%
Q4 - 5:39MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 5:59DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
8.3%
96
91.7%
Q4 - 5:59DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)91
9.2%
95
90.8%
Q4 - 5:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
11.2%
94
88.8%
Q4 - 6:00DETMISS Prince Layup91
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 6:16DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q4 - 6:19MILMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)91
12.6%
94
87.4%
Q4 - 6:33DETWallace 9' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)91
15.6%
94
84.4%
Q4 - 6:48MILWilliams Driving Layup (12 PTS)91
19.3%
92
80.7%
Q4 - 7:12DETPrince Dunk (21 PTS) (Hunter 5 AST)89
16.0%
92
84.0%
Q4 - 7:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
19.5%
90
80.5%
Q4 - 7:18MILHunter BLOCK (1 BLK)89
21.1%
90
78.9%
Q4 - 7:33MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
24.9%
90
75.1%
Q4 - 7:34DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 289
24.1%
90
75.9%
Q4 - 7:34DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
20.7%
90
79.3%
Q4 - 7:57DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
24.2%
89
75.8%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
28.5%
89
71.5%
Q4 - 8:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
24.6%
89
75.4%
Q4 - 8:16MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot89
26.1%
89
73.9%
Q4 - 8:32DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
29.7%
89
70.3%
Q4 - 8:32DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)89
30.5%
88
69.5%
Q4 - 8:56MILKukoc 13' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)89
35.2%
87
64.8%
Q4 - 9:21DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)87
29.0%
87
71.0%
Q4 - 9:40MILBell Driving Layup (16 PTS)87
34.0%
85
66.0%
Q4 - 9:56DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)85
29.1%
85
70.9%
Q4 - 10:10DETEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
33.2%
83
66.8%
Q4 - 10:11MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 285
33.9%
83
66.1%
Q4 - 10:11MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 285
37.5%
83
62.5%
Q4 - 10:29DETEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)85
38.8%
83
61.2%
Q4 - 10:44MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
49.6%
80
50.4%
Q4 - 10:44MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 284
48.6%
80
51.4%
Q4 - 10:56MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
50.1%
80
49.9%
Q4 - 10:59DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot84
48.2%
80
51.8%
Q4 - 11:13MILBell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)84
43.4%
80
56.6%
Q4 - 11:38DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)81
33.4%
80
66.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL81
38.1%
78
61.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)81
43.7%
78
56.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILGadzuric Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T13)81
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILBucks Rebound81
52.3%
76
47.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 281
51.6%
76
48.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 281
48.1%
76
51.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)81
47.2%
76
52.8%
Q3 - 1:04DETPrince Tip Shot (19 PTS)79
40.4%
76
59.6%
Q3 - 1:05DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
45.1%
74
54.9%
Q3 - 1:06DETMISS Hamilton Layup79
48.6%
74
51.4%
Q3 - 1:11DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
45.1%
74
54.9%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot79
48.6%
74
51.4%
Q3 - 1:18MILPrince STEAL (3 STL)79
45.1%
74
54.9%
Q3 - 1:38DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)79
50.2%
74
49.8%
Q3 - 1:41DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
55.0%
72
45.0%
Q3 - 1:43MILPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)79
56.5%
72
43.5%
Q3 - 1:48MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
59.9%
72
40.1%
Q3 - 1:49DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
58.4%
72
41.6%
Q3 - 2:15MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)79
52.4%
72
47.6%
Q3 - 2:32DETWallace Tip Shot (4 PTS)77
48.2%
72
51.8%
Q3 - 2:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
52.5%
70
47.5%
Q3 - 2:34DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot77
56.0%
70
44.0%
Q3 - 2:53MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
52.5%
70
47.5%
Q3 - 3:08DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
47.1%
70
52.9%
Q3 - 3:08DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
47.5%
69
52.5%
Q3 - 3:23MILRedd 22' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)75
51.4%
68
48.6%
Q3 - 3:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
47.2%
68
52.8%
Q3 - 3:35MILWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)73
43.9%
68
56.1%
Q3 - 3:48DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
47.2%
68
52.8%
Q3 - 3:48DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
48.2%
67
51.8%
Q3 - 4:04MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
49.1%
66
50.9%
Q3 - 4:19DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)71
45.6%
66
54.4%
Q3 - 4:22DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 4:24MILWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)71
55.1%
63
44.9%
Q3 - 4:41MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
58.6%
63
41.4%
Q3 - 4:43DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
57.1%
63
42.9%
Q3 - 4:48DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
53.7%
63
46.3%
Q3 - 4:50MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot71
55.2%
63
44.8%
Q3 - 5:02MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 5:04DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
55.4%
63
44.6%
Q3 - 5:22MILPrince STEAL (2 STL)71
52.4%
63
47.6%
Q3 - 5:39DETPrince Layup (17 PTS)71
56.9%
63
43.1%
Q3 - 6:01MILBogut Dunk (6 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)71
58.4%
61
41.6%
Q3 - 6:03DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)69
54.8%
61
45.2%
Q3 - 6:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
50.5%
61
49.5%
Q3 - 6:07MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
51.8%
61
48.2%
Q3 - 6:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
54.9%
61
45.1%
Q3 - 6:22DETMISS Billups 9' Jump Shot69
53.6%
61
46.4%
Q3 - 6:31MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)69
50.7%
61
49.3%
Q3 - 6:51DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)69
55.0%
61
45.0%
Q3 - 6:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
62.5%
58
37.5%
Q3 - 7:00MILMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot69
63.7%
58
36.3%
Q3 - 7:21DETPrince Layup (15 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)69
64.8%
58
35.2%
Q3 - 7:38DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)69
67.8%
56
32.2%
Q3 - 7:39MILHamilton STEAL (1 STL)69
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 7:48DETBillups Layup (5 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)69
74.6%
55
25.4%
Q3 - 7:53MILPrince STEAL (1 STL)69
77.0%
53
23.0%
Q3 - 8:02MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
78.7%
53
21.3%
Q3 - 8:05MILMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot69
76.7%
53
23.3%
Q3 - 8:23DETPrince Dunk (13 PTS)69
78.8%
53
21.2%
Q3 - 8:45MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)69
80.9%
51
19.1%
Q3 - 8:51MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
78.8%
51
21.2%
Q3 - 8:53DETMISS Wallace Dunk67
77.9%
51
22.1%
Q3 - 8:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
75.8%
51
24.2%
Q3 - 8:56DETMISS Hamilton Layup67
78.0%
51
22.0%
Q3 - 9:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
73.7%
51
26.3%
Q3 - 9:13MILWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)67
74.6%
51
25.4%
Q3 - 9:24DETHamilton Driving Layup (16 PTS)67
76.6%
51
23.4%
Q3 - 9:37MILBell Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 9:46DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
76.7%
49
23.3%
Q3 - 9:46DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
77.2%
48
22.8%
Q3 - 9:50MILWallace STEAL (2 STL)65
79.2%
47
20.8%
Q3 - 10:02MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
79.7%
47
20.3%
Q3 - 10:04DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot65
78.9%
47
21.1%
Q3 - 10:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
77.2%
47
22.8%
Q3 - 10:33MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 265
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q3 - 10:33MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
79.0%
47
21.0%
Q3 - 10:43DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)64
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q3 - 11:01MILBell Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
72.7%
47
27.3%
Q3 - 11:18DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)62
70.1%
47
29.9%
Q3 - 11:40MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)62
72.8%
45
27.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL59
67.2%
45
32.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
64.6%
45
35.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
64.0%
45
36.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILSimmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)59
62.6%
45
37.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)56
55.3%
45
44.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 256
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q2 - 1:00MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)56
56.3%
44
43.7%
Q2 - 1:18DETWallace Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)53
47.5%
44
52.5%
Q2 - 1:39MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)53
45.8%
44
54.2%
Q2 - 1:55DETWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T5)50
38.1%
44
61.9%
Q2 - 2:12MILRedd Layup (18 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)50
35.1%
44
64.9%
Q2 - 2:23MILRedd Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)48
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 2:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q2 - 2:25DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot47
28.8%
44
71.2%
Q2 - 2:43MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)47
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 2:49MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
22.3%
44
77.7%
Q2 - 2:51DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
21.7%
44
78.3%
Q2 - 3:04DETPISTONS Rebound44
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 3:06MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 3:23DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)44
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 3:27DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
24.0%
42
76.0%
Q2 - 3:28MILDelfino BLOCK (1 BLK)44
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 3:41DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 3:41DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
26.8%
41
73.2%
Q2 - 3:53DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
28.6%
40
71.4%
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Smith Layup44
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 4:13DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 4:33DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 4:35MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot44
33.6%
38
66.4%
Q2 - 4:41MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 4:43DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot44
34.6%
38
65.4%
Q2 - 5:06MILBell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)44
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 5:20MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 5:21DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
26.9%
38
73.1%
Q2 - 5:27DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 5:29DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot41
26.9%
38
73.1%
Q2 - 5:45MILSimmons 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)41
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 6:07DETHamilton Layup (8 PTS) (Hunter 4 AST)39
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 6:11MILHunter STEAL (1 STL)39
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 6:24DETDelfino 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)39
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 6:45MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 7:03DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 7:03DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
27.0%
33
73.0%
Q2 - 7:14DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 7:16MILMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot37
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 7:19MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 7:21MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)37
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 7:32DETPrince Layup (9 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)37
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 7:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
33.2%
30
66.8%
Q2 - 7:40MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 7:45MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
35.8%
30
64.2%
Q2 - 7:47DETMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 7:54MILMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)37
33.3%
30
66.7%
Q2 - 8:15DETMcDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)37
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q2 - 8:32MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
37.5%
28
62.5%
Q2 - 8:44MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
35.4%
28
64.6%
Q2 - 8:44DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 135
35.0%
28
65.0%
Q2 - 9:04MILGadzuric Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)35
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 9:17MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q2 - 9:18DETMISS Delk 8' Running Jump Shot33
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q2 - 9:38DETDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
32.1%
26
67.9%
Q2 - 9:40MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot33
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 9:58MILBucks Rebound33
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q2 - 9:59DETMISS McDyess 7' Jump Shot33
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q2 - 10:24MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)33
31.9%
26
68.1%
Q2 - 10:32DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
30.1%
26
69.9%
Q2 - 10:32DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q2 - 10:53MILRedd Layup (12 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)31
31.9%
24
68.1%
Q2 - 11:11DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)29
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 11:24MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)29
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q2 - 11:35MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q2 - 11:36DETMISS Hunter 15' Jump Shot27
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q2 - 11:48MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot27
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILKukoc 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
27.0%
22
73.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)25
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot23
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 1:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 1:10DETMISS Delk 17' Running Jump Shot23
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 1:35MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 1:35MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 1:55DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 1:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 2:00MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot21
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 2:23DETPrince Dunk (3 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)21
24.8%
18
75.2%
Q1 - 2:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 2:30MILMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot21
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 2:56DETWallace Layup (2 PTS)21
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 2:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 2:59DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot21
31.8%
14
68.2%
Q1 - 3:14MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)21
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 3:28DETWallace 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)21
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 3:46MILRedd Driving Layup (10 PTS)21
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 4:03DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)19
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 4:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 4:18MILMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot19
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:32MILBucks Rebound19
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 4:33MILWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)19
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:34MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 4:35MILMISS Bogut 17' Jump Shot19
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:44MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 4:46DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
34.2%
10
65.8%
Q1 - 4:57MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)19
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 4:57MILBucks Rebound19
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 4:58MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot19
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 5:26DETWallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)19
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 5:31MILBillups STEAL (1 STL)19
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 5:46DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)19
37.3%
8
62.7%
Q1 - 6:03MILSimmons 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)19
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 6:23DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)17
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 6:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.7%
3
60.3%
Q1 - 6:43MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
40.3%
3
59.7%
Q1 - 6:55MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
41.7%
3
58.3%
Q1 - 6:57DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot17
41.1%
3
58.9%
Q1 - 7:23MILMagloire Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)17
37.6%
3
62.4%
Q1 - 7:36DETWallace Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)15
36.1%
3
63.9%
Q1 - 7:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
34.2%
3
65.8%
Q1 - 7:45MILMISS Bell Layup15
34.8%
3
65.2%
Q1 - 8:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
36.2%
3
63.8%
Q1 - 8:01DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 215
35.4%
3
64.6%
Q1 - 8:01DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
34.2%
3
65.8%
Q1 - 8:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 8:05DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 8:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 8:15MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot15
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 8:30DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)15
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 8:49MILMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)15
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 9:02DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 9:23MILRedd Driving Layup (8 PTS)13
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 9:27DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 9:40MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)11
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 9:54MILBucks Rebound8
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 9:56DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot8
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 10:17MILBell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 10:30MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 10:32DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot5
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 10:48MILBogut Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 10:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 10:50MILMISS Bogut Layup3
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:03MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:04DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot3
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:21MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)3
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:27MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:28MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:30MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:31MILMISS Magloire Layup0
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:42DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Magloire: Tip to Prince0
16.8%
0
83.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.7%
DET
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
29
52%
DET
19
24
79%
Midrange
MIL
15
31
48%
DET
17
37
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
11
16.5
19
58%
87%
DET
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIL
12
17
71%
DET
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd3784%18.5 / 22
C. Bell1673%8.0 / 11
M. Williams1563%7.5 / 12
B. Simmons956%4.5 / 8
J. Smith735%3.5 / 10
A. Bogut633%3.0 / 9
T. Kukoc675%3.0 / 4
D. Gadzuric583%2.5 / 3
J. Magloire425%2.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2569%12.5 / 18
T. Prince2566%12.5 / 19
R. Wallace2150%10.5 / 21
A. McDyess1875%9.0 / 12
C. Billups1255%6.0 / 11
B. Wallace6100%3.0 / 3
M. Evans3150%1.5 / 1
C. Delfino250%1.0 / 2
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
T. Delk0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+13
-12
91
DET
82
+10
-8
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.7%
DET
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
110.1
MIL 116.7
DET 124.4 +7.8
Pace
91.6
87.4
MIL 96.6 +12.3
DET 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
17.3
MIL 14.9 +2.2
DET 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.7%
MIL 58.9% +2.4%
DET 56.5%
TO %
15.2%
12.2%
MIL 13.1%
DET 8.1% +5.0%
ORB %
27.4%
28.9%
MIL 27.0%
DET 27.8% +0.8%
FTrt
32.2
29.7
MIL 21.5
DET 40.3 +18.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
66.1%
MIL 58.5%
DET 78.0% +19.5%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
MIL 4.4%
DET 11.1% +6.7%
BLK %
5.4%
9.0%
MIL 4.9%
DET 21.7% +16.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.1%
MIL 57.7%
DET 60.9% +3.2%
Rim FG%
54.9%
59.0%
MIL 51.7%
DET 79.2% +27.5%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.0%
MIL 48.4% +2.5%
DET 45.9%
3P %
38.0%
38.4%
MIL 57.9% +26.6%
DET 31.3%
FT %
73.8%
72.7%
MIL 70.6%
DET 80.6% +10.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
28.3%
MIL 36.7% +5.5%
DET 31.2%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
49.6%
MIL 39.2% +8.8%
DET 48.1%
3P Att. %
20.3%
22.1%
MIL 24.1% +3.3%
DET 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points105112
Rebounds3637
Assists2432
Steals410
Blocks313
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)27 (1)
Field Goals41-7941-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2919-24
Midrange FG15-3117-37
2-Point FG30-6036-61
3-Point FG11-195-16
Free Throws12-1725-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
37.7
37
84%
5
4
2
0
3
3
2
3
5-5
100%
7-12
58%
6-8
75%
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
32.9
9
56%
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
29.7
16
73%
4
3
1
1
3
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
28.8
6
33%
7
2
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
17.8
4
25%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
28.9
15
63%
3
8
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
23.0
7
35%
4
0
0
0
0
5
1
3
1-4
25%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 38
22.3
6
75%
2
5
0
0
2
4
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
18.9
5
83%
4
0
0
1
1
3
0
4
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
#34 · G · 6'6" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'0" 165 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
58%
36
24
4
3
12
0
10
26
12-17
71%
30-60
50%
11-19
58%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.