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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 31, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies65%89102
28Hornets35%84107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
42.6
38.2
14
55%
6
7
0
1
2
0
2
4
2-4
50%
6-11
8-16
55%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.6
40.9
30.9
24
90%
10
0
1
1
0
3
3
7
2-3
67%
8-9
2-4
89%
50%
2-3
67%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.4
34.6
28.3
0
0%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
21.7
22.9
4
52%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.6
20.3
26.3
7
32%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.1
35.3
29.9
23
80%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
10-10
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.0
28.8
20.8
26
78%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
4-7
57%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
12.7
13.4
4
67%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
3.1
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.7
9.2
0
1-3
48%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.1
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.8
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.6
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
43.4
35.3
15
83%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
3-3
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.9
38.7
34.3
21
71%
7
5
2
2
0
3
1
6
11-13
85%
5-7
4-9
71%
46%
0-2
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.2
36.5
20.9
24
68%
7
2
1
0
0
3
4
3
4-4
100%
10-16
3-7
63%
44%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
31.6
20.9
16
82%
8
1
0
1
2
2
2
6
4-4
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
40%
0-1
0%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
26.9
18.7
9
92%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.9
36.8
18.3
8
43%
0
8
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.6
14.7
14.3
10
69%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
11.4
6.2
4
40%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
17.6
0
4-7
51%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
14.4
0
2-4
46%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.8
13.9
0
1-3
43%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
8.4
0
1-2
40%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27.6
5.2
0
1-2
43%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.5
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.