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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics46%9494
17Bulls54%96100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.5
38.5
33.1
18
41%
7
9
1
1
0
2
1
6
10-11
91%
4-13
6-13
31%
49%
0-4
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.1
38.2
30.4
28
72%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
11-15
4-9
73%
51%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.7
34.0
36.7
8
34%
3
6
2
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
1-4
25%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
28.9
23.1
8
40%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
0-4
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.6
28.2
29.5
7
33%
8
4
1
1
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
2-9
4-8
22%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.2
28.9
20.0
10
67%
2
0
2
1
2
1
1
1
0-1
0%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.2
16.8
7.3
7
58%
8
1
1
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.4
14.2
22.6
2
57%
4
0
0
0
2
5
0
4
2-4
50%
0-0
3-5
-
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
6.7
15.5
3
34%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
5.5
12.2
3
80%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.8
0.1
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.0
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.5
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
38.0
37.4
25
61%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
5-6
83%
7-14
4-10
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
37.2
37.9
14
55%
6
4
2
1
1
3
0
6
6-6
100%
4-8
7-14
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.3
35.8
33.0
13
42%
11
2
2
1
1
3
2
9
5-6
83%
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
22.2
30.3
4
52%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.4
17.1
17.1
14
66%
6
0
0
0
1
2
3
3
4-6
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
29.2
27.7
14
63%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-7
71%
0-5
4-9
0%
43%
3-3
100%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.5
27.3
24.2
3
24%
11
1
0
1
2
2
9
2
1-3
33%
1-5
2-3
20%
53%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.4
17.8
7.7
5
51%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
9.6
5.6
7
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
1-6
1-2
17%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
3.4
15.0
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.0
2.4
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.2
3.2
0
0-1
54%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.5
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.1
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.