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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers48%9389
16Bucks52%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
37.5
29.5
27
72%
9
5
1
1
4
4
0
9
5-6
83%
11-16
6-12
69%
47%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.8
36.1
34.1
8
31%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
0-4
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.1
33.9
24.5
14
109%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
3-4
75%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.1
30.4
28.7
15
66%
6
7
0
1
0
7
2
4
2-3
67%
5-7
4-9
71%
46%
1-3
33%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.2
23.9
25.0
4
67%
11
0
0
1
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 22.9
25.3
26.1
7
50%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.5
19.5
21.8
2
20%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.6
15.6
16.6
4
42%
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.1
12.2
7.9
4
29%
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.1
5.7
9.5
4
106%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.9
5.5
0
0-1
46%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.6
2.7
0
0-0
37%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.2
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
40.1
37.8
39
64%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
11-20
5-11
55%
46%
5-9
56%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.3
35.2
25.9
15
45%
8
5
1
1
0
1
4
4
3-6
50%
6-14
4-7
43%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
28.6
33.1
4
40%
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.9
27.6
19.2
6
31%
8
1
1
0
0
0
4
4
2-4
50%
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.0
24.1
33.4
4
50%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
42%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
24.4
31.2
10
73%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.3
23.9
23.8
12
46%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-12
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.5
19.4
21.9
2
17%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.7
10.4
18.4
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
6.4
17.9
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 26.2
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.3
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.2
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.9
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.