FinalWin Prob.pScore
1030%92
79
470%98
103
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
84.993102.7
DAL logo DAL
109.69485.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0DALMISS Marshall 13' Fadeaway Jumper79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 278
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALMISS Mbenga 6' Hook Shot78
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMISS Kleiza 23' Jump Shot78
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:06DALPowell Traveling Turnover (P1.T19)78
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:18DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:18DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:33DALArmstrong 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DENKleiza 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DALDampier Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25DENMISS Eisley 22' Jump Shot74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DENMISS Eisley 22' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DENMISS Eisley 18' Jump Shot74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04DENMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15DALHoward Driving Layup (16 PTS)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17DENHoward STEAL (2 STL)74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 4:20DALMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)74
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57DENPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 272
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07DALDampier REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)72
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 5:09DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 5:38DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)72
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P2.T18)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 270
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06DENPatterson Driving Layup (14 PTS)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:10DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26DENPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33DALTerry Driving Layup (18 PTS)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52DENPatterson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)67
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (30 PTS)65
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:31DENPatterson Layup (9 PTS) (Eisley 2 AST)65
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 7:50DALNowitzki Driving Layup (28 PTS)63
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 8:10DENHoward STEAL (1 STL)63
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:18DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 8:19DALMISS Howard Layup63
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 8:46DENBuckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Eisley 1 AST)63
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 9:12DALPowell 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)60
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34DENDiop STEAL (1 STL)60
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 9:53DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)60
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 10:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 10:13DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 10:17DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 10:19DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 10:36DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)60
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 10:47DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 10:47DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 11:09DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 11:09DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q4 - 11:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q4 - 11:15DENMISS Eisley 11' Jump Shot58
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q4 - 11:26DALDampier Foul Turnover (P2.T16)58
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q4 - 11:44DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)58
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN58
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound58
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 50' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALHoward 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)58
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T15)58
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 258
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 258
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)58
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALMISS Terry 11' Jump Shot58
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 1:16DENCamby 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)58
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 1:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 1:30DALDampier Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)56
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 1:32DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot56
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 1:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 1:51DENMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot56
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 1:54DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 1:56DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 2:17DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 2:19DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Jump Shot56
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 2:39DENMiller Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 3:00DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)54
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 3:20DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 3:21DENMISS Evans 7' Hook Shot54
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 3:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q3 - 3:35DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper54
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 3:42DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 3:44DENMISS Anthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper54
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 3:47DENNuggets Rebound54
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q3 - 3:47DENDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)54
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 4:05DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 4:05DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 4:20DENAnthony Layup (21 PTS)54
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 4:21DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 4:22DENMISS Camby 14' Jump Shot52
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 4:36DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 4:36DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)52
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 4:46DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q3 - 4:48DENMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 5:09DALDampier Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)52
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 5:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
9.1%
60
90.9%
Q3 - 5:26DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 252
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 5:26DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 252
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 5:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 5:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 5:55DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q3 - 5:55DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot52
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 6:10DALStackhouse 7' Running Finger Roll (12 PTS)52
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 6:26DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q3 - 6:26DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 251
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 6:37DALHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)51
16.6%
56
83.4%
Q3 - 6:42DENDampier STEAL (1 STL)51
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q3 - 6:59DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
21.6%
54
78.4%
Q3 - 6:59DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 251
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q3 - 7:05DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 7:06DALMISS Terry 16' Fadeaway Jumper51
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q3 - 7:26DENPatterson Foul Turnover (P6.T13)51
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 7:30DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)51
24.4%
53
75.6%
Q3 - 7:39DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 7:40DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot51
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q3 - 7:57DALMAVERICKS Rebound51
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 7:58DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q3 - 8:12DALDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)51
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 8:32DENMartin 16' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)51
26.8%
51
73.2%
Q3 - 8:51DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
24.3%
51
75.7%
Q3 - 8:51DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 249
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q3 - 9:04DALMAVERICKS Rebound49
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q3 - 9:04DALMISS Howard Layup49
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q3 - 9:08DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q3 - 9:09DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot49
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 9:23DALStackhouse 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)49
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q3 - 9:36DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll (19 PTS)49
29.4%
48
70.6%
Q3 - 9:46DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)47
26.6%
48
73.4%
Q3 - 10:02DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)47
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q3 - 10:09DENNuggets Rebound44
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q3 - 10:10DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q3 - 10:31DENPatterson Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)44
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q3 - 10:35DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)42
18.9%
46
81.1%
Q3 - 10:48DENAnthony 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q3 - 11:01DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q3 - 11:01DALMISS Howard Finger Roll40
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q3 - 11:08DENStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)40
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q3 - 11:28DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)40
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN40
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0DENDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)40
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)40
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALMISS Terry Layup40
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot40
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 1:08DALHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T13)40
22.9%
42
77.1%
Q2 - 1:26DENPatterson Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)40
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 1:28DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 1:31DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot38
18.3%
42
81.7%
Q2 - 1:58DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)38
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 2:01DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 2:02DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot35
13.1%
42
86.9%
Q2 - 2:11DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)35
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 2:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound35
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 2:11DALMISS Armstrong 7' Running Finger Roll35
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 2:38DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 2:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 2:53DALMISS Dampier 5' Hook Shot33
10.9%
42
89.1%
Q2 - 3:17DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)33
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 3:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 3:21DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot30
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 3:43DALHoward 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 3:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 3:48DENHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)30
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 4:07DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 4:07DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 4:09DENTerry STEAL (2 STL)30
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 4:19DALNowitzki Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)30
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 4:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 4:35DENMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot30
14.8%
36
85.2%
Q2 - 4:47DALTerry Driving Layup (10 PTS)30
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 4:58DENEisley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)30
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 5:04DENEisley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 5:05DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot30
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q2 - 5:11DENNuggets Rebound30
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 5:11DENTerry BLOCK (2 BLK)30
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q2 - 5:15DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 5:17DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot30
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 5:26DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 5:28DENMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 5:48DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 5:51DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 5:53DENMISS Eisley 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
23.5%
31
76.5%
Q2 - 5:59DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 6:01DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
23.4%
31
76.6%
Q2 - 6:12DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)30
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 6:48DENAnthony Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 7:00DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 7:01DALMISS Howard Layup28
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 7:13DENNajera Foul Turnover (P1.T9)28
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 7:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 7:31DALMISS Howard 6' Running Jump Shot28
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 7:43DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Buckner 5' Running Jump Shot28
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 8:02DENNuggets Rebound28
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 8:04DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper28
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 8:22DENEisley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 8:42DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)26
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q2 - 8:56DENBuckner Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 9:00DALArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)24
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 9:14DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q2 - 9:23DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q2 - 9:26DALMISS Powell 7' Jump Shot22
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 9:44DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 9:44DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q2 - 9:56DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)20
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q2 - 10:11DENPatterson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)20
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q2 - 10:19DENPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q2 - 10:21DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q2 - 10:40DENPatterson Layup (3 PTS)20
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q2 - 10:40DENPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q2 - 10:41DENMarshall BLOCK (1 BLK)18
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 11:03DALPowell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)18
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q2 - 11:22DENPatterson Foul Turnover (P4.T7)18
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q2 - 11:36DENNuggets Rebound18
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q2 - 11:37DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot18
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL18
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMiller 74' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)15
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)15
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)15
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMiller Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
10.2%
26
89.8%
Q1 - 0:12.0DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot13
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound13
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENMISS Miller 14' Running Jump Shot13
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALTerry Layup (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)13
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DALMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENMbenga BLOCK (1 BLK)13
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 1:01DALMbenga Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)13
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 1:17DALMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 1:19DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 213
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 1:19DENPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 1:23DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)12
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 1:26DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q1 - 1:29DENTerry BLOCK (1 BLK)12
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 1:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)12
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 1:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 1:46DALNowitzki Tip Shot (9 PTS)12
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 1:47DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q1 - 1:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q1 - 1:54DENMISS Evans Layup12
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 2:01DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
13.1%
21
86.9%
Q1 - 2:03DENMISS Anthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot12
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 2:19DALStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)12
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q1 - 2:40DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 2:40DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
13.8%
19
86.2%
Q1 - 2:54DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 3:14DENEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T6)10
14.3%
17
85.7%
Q1 - 3:20DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)10
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 3:31DENMiller Running Layup (4 PTS)10
14.3%
17
85.7%
Q1 - 3:38DENNuggets Rebound8
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 3:39DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot8
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 4:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 4:03DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot8
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:22DALDampier Foul Turnover (P1.T4)8
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 4:38DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 4:40DENMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot8
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:47DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical8
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 5:05DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)8
13.5%
17
86.5%
Q1 - 5:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 5:15DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 5:26DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)8
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 5:37DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
15.4%
14
84.6%
Q1 - 5:37DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 5:51DALTerry Driving Dunk (4 PTS)6
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 6:05DENMartin 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
15.6%
12
84.4%
Q1 - 6:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 6:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
14.7%
11
85.3%
Q1 - 6:36DENPatterson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T5)4
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 6:57DALHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 7:01DENTerry STEAL (1 STL)4
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 7:17DALDiop Layup (2 PTS)4
17.0%
10
83.0%
Q1 - 7:18DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 7:20DALMISS Howard 4' Running Jump Shot4
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 7:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Anthony Layup4
18.3%
8
81.7%
Q1 - 7:41DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 7:55DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 7:57DENMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot4
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 8:17DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 8:33DENMiller 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 8:58DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 9:19DENMartin 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 9:40DALDiop 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)0
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 9:55DENCamby Foul Turnover (P1.T3)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 10:10DENNuggets Rebound0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:12DENMISS Camby 22' Jump Shot0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:27DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot0
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 10:32DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:34DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:55DALTerry 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:01DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:14DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:21DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:22DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot0
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 11:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 11:34DALMISS Terry 11' Jump Shot0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:47DENAnthony Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Camby: Tip to Miller0
23.8%
0
76.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.90 44.9%
DAL
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
21
67%
DAL
15
23
65%
Midrange
DEN
11
38
29%
DAL
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
DAL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
DEN
17
24
71%
DAL
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2548%12.5 / 26
A. Miller1470%7.0 / 10
R. Patterson1470%7.0 / 10
K. Martin638%3.0 / 8
G. Buckner531%2.5 / 8
M. Camby433%2.0 / 6
R. Evans440%2.0 / 5
L. Kleiza338%1.5 / 4
H. Eisley214%1.0 / 7
D. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
E. Najera0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3065%15.0 / 23
J. Terry2162%10.5 / 17
J. Howard2056%10.0 / 18
J. Stackhouse1458%7.0 / 12
E. Dampier1063%5.0 / 8
J. Powell467%2.0 / 3
D. Diop2100%1.0 / 1
D. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
R. Marshall0-0.0 / 1
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
74
+13
-19
87
DAL
77
+12
-17
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.90 44.9%
DAL
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
111.3
DEN 84.9 +24.6
DAL 109.6
Pace
93.9
88.2
DEN 102.7 +16.8
DAL 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.9
DEN 14.0 +2.7
DAL 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
49.5%
DEN 41.3%
DAL 54.2% +12.9%
TO %
15.1%
14.4%
DEN 18.2% +0.1%
DAL 18.3%
ORB %
26.9%
31.9%
DEN 22.0%
DAL 32.3% +10.3%
FTrt
34.7
36.4
DEN 32.0
DAL 45.1 +13.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
50.0%
DEN 41.4%
DAL 43.2% +1.8%
STL %
8.9%
8.1%
DEN 8.6% +0.1%
DAL 8.5%
BLK %
8.8%
9.4%
DEN 6.6%
DAL 11.9% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
53.3%
DEN 44.9%
DAL 57.2% +12.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
55.4%
DEN 66.7% +1.5%
DAL 65.2%
Mid FG%
39.7%
43.4%
DEN 28.9%
DAL 50.0% +21.1%
3P %
32.5%
37.4%
DEN 25.0%
DAL 30.0% +5.0%
FT %
74.4%
78.3%
DEN 70.8%
DAL 81.3% +10.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
32.5%
DEN 28.0%
DAL 32.4% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
45.1%
50.0%
DEN 50.7% +2.9%
DAL 53.5%
3P Att. %
16.1%
17.5%
DEN 21.3% +7.2%
DAL 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points79103
Rebounds3042
Assists1216
Steals88
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)32 (4)
Field Goals29-7537-71
At-the-Rim FG14-2115-23
Midrange FG11-3819-38
2-Point FG25-5934-61
3-Point FG4-163-10
Free Throws17-2426-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
37.5
25
48%
3
0
0
1
4
5
1
2
5-6
83%
7-17
41%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
34.7
14
70%
1
3
1
0
2
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 32
28.1
4
33%
4
1
2
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 223 · 31
27.4
14
70%
3
0
1
1
6
4
1
2
2-6
33%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
19.5
6
38%
5
3
1
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 30
31.4
5
31%
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26
23.5
4
40%
5
0
1
0
1
3
2
3
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
17.4
2
14%
1
2
0
0
3
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
11.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 21
4.7
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26
4.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'7" 220 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 5'5" 133 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
45%
30
12
8
4
19
0
9
21
17-24
71%
25-59
42%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.