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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Rockets31%8788
12Lakers69%93104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
42.7
35.0
12
43%
3
6
1
1
0
5
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
40.7
37.0
7
32%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
43%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.6
38.7
35.0
33
63%
16
3
2
0
0
4
5
11
1-3
33%
16-25
9-16
64%
53%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
30.7
37.3
6
28%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
1-4
25%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.1
27.4
27.2
7
40%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.4
22.3
20.7
10
50%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.6
21.3
14.4
9
64%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
3-5
60%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.8
8.7
10.8
2
53%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.8
6.3
5.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.2
1.2
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.8
5.4
0
0-1
48%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.4
2.4
0
0-0
39%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.4
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
43.5
38.1
21
65%
6
3
1
1
1
3
0
6
5-7
71%
5-6
4-7
83%
50%
2-7
29%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.1
37.9
33.1
10
63%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
36.2
29.8
15
84%
5
10
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
3-5
60%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
36.0
39.6
43
65%
3
6
1
2
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
16-27
10-20
59%
48%
3-5
60%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
18.1
19.5
3
75%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
26.1
23.2
10
63%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.1
15.8
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.2
12.4
11.7
0
0%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
6.4
18.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.5
3.9
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.5
3.9
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.4
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.4
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.