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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks21%9590
12Wizards79%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
39.0
35.4
14
48%
4
1
3
1
0
5
0
4
7-8
88%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
1-6
17%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.1
30.9
21.8
15
64%
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
1-1
100%
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 25.1
22.4
21.0
5
83%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.4
19.1
15.8
8
67%
3
1
1
1
0
6
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
42%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.3
14.9
24.1
5
53%
3
0
1
0
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
4-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.1
29.4
11.5
22
81%
8
2
0
0
2
3
4
4
6-6
100%
8-11
2-3
73%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.8
26.1
31.5
0
0%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
4-9
-
41%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.0
22.1
25.1
8
41%
4
1
2
1
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.9
18.6
16.3
8
50%
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.4
17.5
18.8
5
25%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-9
3-6
22%
47%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.1
13.8
0
2-4
48%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.4
12.1
0
2-4
48%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33.2
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.1
35.1
33.3
18
57%
8
6
3
1
1
5
1
7
3-4
75%
6-10
5-11
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
31.1
41.2
13
55%
4
13
6
2
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
6-12
43%
51%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
27.9
41.4
18
64%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
6-13
67%
50%
2-5
40%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
21.8
30.1
13
75%
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
1
4-6
67%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
14.3
23.8
13
79%
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
3-5
60%
5-6
3-5
83%
54%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.0
26.7
32.4
12
66%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
6-7
86%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.7
22.9
9.5
2
18%
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.4
20.3
10.2
9
59%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
5-6
83%
2-5
1-2
40%
55%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.2
15.7
10.5
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.6
8.9
2.7
4
41%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
8.1
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
7.2
5.3
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.9
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.