FinalWin Prob.pScore
1637%95
89
1163%99
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
93.795106.6
MIA logo MIA
125.09283.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL89
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)89
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Simien 13' Jump Shot89
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIABarron Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:04MILMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:10MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)87
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:27MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIASimien 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS)87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MILFord 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWright 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 6 AST)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MILWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MILWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)84
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAKapono Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MILKapono STEAL (1 STL)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MILWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MILMISS Welsch Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24MILMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Simien 9' Hook Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Doleac Layup81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Bell Driving Layup81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIASimien 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MILFord 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Simien 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 179
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MILDoleac STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MILBell Running Dunk (27 PTS)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 175
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57MILBell 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 9:04MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot72
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18MIAAnderson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 9:36MILJohnson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)72
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 9:48MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 10:06MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 10:06MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 269
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 10:21MIAAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)69
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 10:41MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 10:42MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot69
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 11:00MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 11:18MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot69
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 11:30MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 11:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS O'Neal Layup69
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 52' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T10)69
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)69
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)65
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0MILBogut 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)65
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWalker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)63
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 1:09MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)63
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 1:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 1:39MILMISS Redd Driving Layup63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 1:57MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 2:07MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 2:10MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 2:13MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 2:16MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 2:34MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 263
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 2:36MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 2:53MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 2:53MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 3:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 3:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 3:13MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 3:15MILWade BLOCK (1 BLK)61
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 3:36MIAPayton 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)61
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 4:01MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 4:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 4:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 4:30MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 4:46MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)59
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 5:02MILKukoc Foul Turnover (P3.T12)59
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 5:18MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)59
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 5:34MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)59
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 5:42MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Payton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot56
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 5:57MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 5:57MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 6:12MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)54
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 6:21MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 6:33MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Bank Shot54
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 6:53MILKukoc 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 7:08MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 152
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 7:24MILBell Layup (22 PTS)52
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)50
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 7:48MILRedd 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)50
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)48
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)48
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 8:25MILMISS Kukoc 20' Jump Shot48
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 8:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)48
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 8:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 8:52MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 9:17MILWade STEAL (2 STL)48
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 9:27MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)48
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 9:42MILMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)48
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q3 - 9:56MIAPayton Driving Layup (8 PTS)48
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 10:09MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 248
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 10:09MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 10:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
8.3%
60
91.7%
Q3 - 10:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 10:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q3 - 10:37MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 11:10MILRedd 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHaslem Dunk (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)45
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 11:42MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound43
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot43
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 243
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILPayton STEAL (1 STL)43
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)43
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 2 of 243
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
14.3%
51
85.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILMISS Bell Driving Layup42
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
14.3%
51
85.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Haslem 11' Turnaround Jump Shot42
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 1:04MILBogut Dunk (2 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)42
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q2 - 1:16MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup40
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
11.0%
51
89.0%
Q2 - 1:37MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 1:53MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 240
11.6%
51
88.4%
Q2 - 1:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
10.6%
51
89.4%
Q2 - 2:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q2 - 2:07MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot40
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 2:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)40
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 2:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot40
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 2:54MILHaslem STEAL (2 STL)40
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 2:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot40
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 3:24MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)40
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 3:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup37
13.9%
47
86.1%
Q2 - 3:57MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)37
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 4:06MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot34
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 4:30MILKukoc 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)34
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 4:42MILBucks Rebound32
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q2 - 4:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 4:53MILMISS Kukoc 4' Hook Shot32
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 5:01MILSimmons Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)32
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 5:18MIADoleac 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)30
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 5:27MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
8.1%
45
91.9%
Q2 - 5:29MILMISS Bogut 5' Jump Shot30
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 5:48MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.0%
45
91.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 130
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 5:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 6:02MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q2 - 6:20MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)30
11.5%
43
88.5%
Q2 - 6:38MILSimmons Reverse Layup (2 PTS)30
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 6:44MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 7:11MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)28
10.9%
41
89.1%
Q2 - 7:26MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot25
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 7:43MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 7:46MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 225
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 7:46MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 225
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 7:48MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 7:49MILO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)25
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 8:05MIAWalker Driving Dunk (11 PTS)25
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
10.1%
39
89.9%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot25
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 8:32MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)25
10.1%
39
89.9%
Q2 - 8:52MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS)22
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 9:16MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)22
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 9:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot19
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 9:52MIAHEAT Rebound19
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q2 - 9:54MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot19
7.4%
37
92.6%
Q2 - 10:01MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
8.1%
37
91.9%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 119
8.0%
37
92.0%
Q2 - 10:16MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
8.8%
35
91.2%
Q2 - 10:16MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
8.7%
35
91.3%
Q2 - 10:31MIAAnderson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
8.1%
35
91.9%
Q2 - 10:44MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)17
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)14
7.4%
33
92.6%
Q2 - 11:06MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T7)14
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q2 - 11:20MIAWalker 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)14
7.6%
33
92.4%
Q2 - 11:49MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)14
8.3%
31
91.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL14
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMISS Williams Driving Layup14
8.8%
31
91.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)14
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0MILRedd Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
10.2%
29
89.8%
Q1 - 1:06MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade Layup12
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q1 - 1:15MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
8.7%
29
91.3%
Q1 - 1:17MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
8.8%
29
91.2%
Q1 - 1:40MIAAnderson Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)12
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q1 - 1:45MILWalker STEAL (1 STL)12
10.3%
27
89.7%
Q1 - 2:08MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)12
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q1 - 2:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13.3%
24
86.7%
Q1 - 2:27MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot12
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)12
14.3%
24
85.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHEAT Rebound12
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 3:05MILMISS Kukoc 19' Jump Shot12
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 3:11MILBucks Rebound12
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 3:12MILO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)12
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 3:28MIAAnderson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
18.5%
21
81.5%
Q1 - 3:47MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
19.8%
19
80.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 4:09MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot10
17.6%
19
82.4%
Q1 - 4:26MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 210
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
17.6%
19
82.4%
Q1 - 4:46MILBell Layup (8 PTS)10
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)8
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 5:14MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 5:34MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)5
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 5:53MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)5
16.3%
15
83.7%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 6:13MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
16.7%
15
83.3%
Q1 - 6:13MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
16.5%
15
83.5%
Q1 - 6:18MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)3
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 6:36MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)3
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 6:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 6:42MILO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)0
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 6:45MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 6:47MILMISS Bogut 10' Jump Shot0
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)0
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 7:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 7:13MILMISS Magloire 11' Hook Shot0
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)0
17.4%
11
82.6%
Q1 - 7:43MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)0
18.4%
9
81.6%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)0
19.7%
9
80.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
20.8%
7
79.2%
Q1 - 8:23MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot0
21.3%
7
78.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.8%
7
79.2%
Q1 - 8:55MILMISS Bell 13' Jump Shot0
21.3%
7
78.7%
Q1 - 9:14MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)0
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 9:35MILWade STEAL (1 STL)0
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 9:43MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot0
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Payton 6' Jump Shot0
24.3%
5
75.7%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 10:13MILMISS Bogut Layup0
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 10:15MILBucks Rebound0
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 10:16MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 11:02MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.3%
3
73.7%
Q1 - 11:16MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.6%
3
72.4%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 20
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
26.4%
3
73.6%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 11:27MILMISS Simmons 12' Jump Shot0
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 11:38MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 11:38MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
29.4%
1
70.6%
Q1 - 11:44MIAHEAT Rebound0
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Magloire: Tip to Payton0
30.7%
0
69.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
22
50%
MIA
21
28
75%
Midrange
MIL
10
30
33%
MIA
19
35
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
MIA
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
20
29
69%
MIA
20
33
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bell2976%14.5 / 19
M. Redd1647%8.0 / 17
T. Kukoc1359%6.5 / 11
T. Ford867%4.0 / 6
B. Simmons758%3.5 / 6
A. Bogut433%2.0 / 6
D. Gadzuric375%1.5 / 2
J. Welsch375%1.5 / 2
M. Williams214%1.0 / 7
E. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
J. Magloire18%0.5 / 6
J. Smith125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2475%12.0 / 16
U. Haslem1765%8.5 / 13
D. Wade1458%7.0 / 12
A. Walker14117%7.0 / 6
D. Anderson1470%7.0 / 10
G. Payton1359%6.5 / 11
M. Doleac563%2.5 / 4
S. Anderson450%2.0 / 4
W. Simien440%2.0 / 5
J. Kapono2100%1.0 / 1
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
E. Barron2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+7
-14
88
MIA
76
+9
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.32 66.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
108.0
MIL 93.7 +31.3
MIA 125.0
Pace
91.6
92.2
MIL 106.6 +23.1
MIA 83.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.9
MIL 13.5 +3.7
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.7%
MIL 48.6%
MIA 65.1% +16.5%
TO %
15.2%
15.0%
MIL 14.3% +1.2%
MIA 15.5%
ORB %
27.4%
26.8%
MIL 9.8%
MIA 20.0% +10.2%
FTrt
32.2
36.3
MIL 40.8
MIA 45.2 +4.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
55.7%
MIL 46.7%
MIA 55.6% +8.9%
STL %
7.9%
6.9%
MIL 11.6% +2.9%
MIA 8.7%
BLK %
5.4%
8.5%
MIL 3.2%
MIA 9.6% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
53.9%
MIL 50.6%
MIA 66.1% +15.5%
Rim FG%
54.9%
64.2%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 75.0% +25.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
38.9%
MIL 33.3%
MIA 54.3% +21.0%
3P %
38.0%
34.5%
MIL 47.4%
MIA 50.0% +2.6%
FT %
73.8%
70.0%
MIL 69.0% +8.4%
MIA 60.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
39.3%
MIL 31.0%
MIA 38.4% +7.4%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
38.0%
MIL 42.3% +5.7%
MIA 47.9%
3P Att. %
20.3%
22.7%
MIL 26.8% +13.1%
MIA 13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9592
Possession Minutes21.426.4
Points89115
Rebounds3244
Assists1425
Steals118
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals30-7145-73
At-the-Rim FG11-2221-28
Midrange FG10-3019-35
2-Point FG21-5240-63
3-Point FG9-195-10
Free Throws20-2920-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
33.4
16
47%
2
1
2
0
1
2
0
2
6-6
100%
5-12
42%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
24.0
1
8%
5
0
0
1
1
5
2
3
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
18.5
8
67%
2
0
0
0
4
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
17.6
7
58%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
16.7
4
33%
4
2
0
0
1
5
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
38.5
29
76%
3
1
2
0
1
2
0
3
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
6-9
67%
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
29.5
2
14%
4
5
2
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 38
25.0
13
59%
7
4
4
0
3
3
0
7
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
12.6
1
25%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
10.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
8.8
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
5.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#34 · G · 6'6" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'5" 204 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
32
14
11
2
14
0
4
28
20-29
69%
21-52
40%
9-19
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.