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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Rockets46%9487
22SuperSonics54%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
37.7
37.1
16
50%
3
4
3
1
0
5
1
2
1-2
50%
3-10
3-7
30%
47%
3-5
60%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
35.2
33.6
6
50%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.2
27.8
26.9
13
44%
10
2
0
1
0
2
3
7
3-4
75%
5-13
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.6
27.6
35.8
22
59%
10
2
1
1
1
2
1
9
8-8
100%
7-15
10-17
47%
55%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
21.3
37.3
4
32%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-3
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.8
23.3
6.0
4
50%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.6
18.2
17.1
8
58%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.8
17.4
10.0
5
42%
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
41%
1-1
100%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.4
14.7
21.1
7
47%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.4
14.2
2.1
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.2
2.7
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.8
3.8
0
0-0
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
41.4
32.1
32
63%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
7-8
88%
8-13
4-9
62%
48%
3-9
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
38.8
28.7
26
71%
24
0
0
1
2
3
7
17
8-12
67%
9-13
5-9
69%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
30.4
26.2
10
52%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
4-6
67%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.3
27.3
20.7
8
58%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.2
21.2
21.4
4
29%
5
6
3
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
26.8
20.0
10
43%
4
1
1
1
1
4
0
4
3-4
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.8
24.3
26.8
7
44%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.4
20.3
18.9
6
80%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
9.7
10.7
1
27%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.2
23.8
0
3-6
51%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
16.0
0
2-4
53%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.9
10.0
0
1-2
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.