FinalWin Prob.pScore
1642%93
105
2358%96
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
108.29796.1
ORL logo ORL
113.79595.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL105
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)105
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)105
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILBucks Rebound105
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILMISS Kukoc 29' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)105
6.2%
108
93.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)105
7.1%
107
92.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)105
14.6%
106
85.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLArroyo Driving Layup (17 PTS)105
37.5%
106
62.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)105
54.7%
104
45.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)104
52.2%
104
47.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)103
37.4%
104
62.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)103
40.0%
103
60.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)103
53.3%
102
46.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
24.1%
102
75.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
16.3%
102
83.7%
Q4 - 1:07ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)100
25.6%
102
74.4%
Q4 - 1:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)100
15.0%
102
85.0%
Q4 - 1:12MILMISS Ford 9' Jump Shot100
18.2%
102
81.8%
Q4 - 1:18MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
26.6%
102
73.4%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot100
23.2%
102
76.8%
Q4 - 1:39MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)100
18.3%
102
81.7%
Q4 - 1:39MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)99
16.9%
102
83.1%
Q4 - 1:43ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)98
12.9%
102
87.1%
Q4 - 1:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)98
27.9%
99
72.1%
Q4 - 1:55MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
31.1%
99
68.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
41.8%
99
58.2%
Q4 - 2:13ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 198
39.7%
99
60.3%
Q4 - 2:28MILFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)98
48.2%
97
51.8%
Q4 - 2:37ORLDooling Driving Layup (14 PTS)95
31.5%
97
68.5%
Q4 - 2:57MILMagloire Layup (6 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)95
37.4%
95
62.6%
Q4 - 3:12ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
31.7%
95
68.3%
Q4 - 3:12ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
33.1%
94
66.9%
Q4 - 3:36MILFord Driving Layup (29 PTS)93
39.6%
93
60.4%
Q4 - 3:48MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
31.5%
93
68.5%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMISS Dooling 10' Jump Shot91
28.9%
93
71.1%
Q4 - 4:15MILFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)91
23.4%
93
76.6%
Q4 - 4:28MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
12.7%
93
87.3%
Q4 - 4:29ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 188
12.1%
93
87.9%
Q4 - 4:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)88
17.1%
91
82.9%
Q4 - 4:52MILMISS Ford Layup88
18.9%
91
81.1%
Q4 - 4:54MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 4:56MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot88
18.9%
91
81.1%
Q4 - 5:16ORLDooling 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)88
25.3%
91
74.7%
Q4 - 5:40MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)88
31.8%
89
68.2%
Q4 - 5:57ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)86
25.3%
89
74.7%
Q4 - 6:17MILBell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)86
20.5%
89
79.5%
Q4 - 6:46ORLDooling 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
12.8%
89
87.2%
Q4 - 6:58MILFord Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T13)83
15.9%
87
84.1%
Q4 - 7:06ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P4.T15)83
22.9%
87
77.1%
Q4 - 7:15MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)83
17.8%
87
82.2%
Q4 - 7:15MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 282
17.1%
87
82.9%
Q4 - 7:20ORLDooling 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)82
18.3%
87
81.7%
Q4 - 7:39MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)82
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 8:00ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T14)80
18.2%
85
81.8%
Q4 - 8:19MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)80
15.7%
85
84.3%
Q4 - 8:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot77
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 8:54ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)77
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q4 - 8:55MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 177
8.2%
85
91.8%
Q4 - 8:58ORLDooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)75
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 9:26MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 9:26MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 9:30MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 273
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 9:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)73
4.5%
84
95.5%
Q4 - 9:50MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q4 - 10:06ORLMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)73
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 10:26MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)73
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 10:38ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)70
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 10:38ORLAriza Tip Shot (6 PTS)70
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 10:41ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot70
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 10:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)70
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 10:58MILMISS Kukoc Layup70
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q4 - 11:20ORLHoward Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)70
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 11:25ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 11:27MILMISS Kukoc 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q4 - 11:43ORLMilicic Layup (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)70
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL70
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)70
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
8.0%
78
92.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Milicic 18' Jump Shot67
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 267
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)66
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q3 - 1:04MILBell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)66
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 1:08MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 1:11ORLMISS Battie 8' Jump Shot64
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 1:26MILRedd Layup (17 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)64
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 1:43ORLBattie 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)62
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 1:56MILRedd Reverse Layup (15 PTS)62
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 2:06ORLStevenson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 2:21MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 2:21MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 2:22MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 2:25ORLMISS Milicic 23' Jump Shot58
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 2:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 2:38MILMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 258
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 2:38MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 2:43MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 2:44ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot57
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 3:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)57
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 3:08MILMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot57
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 3:16MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 3:18ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot57
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 3:39MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 4:00ORLHoward Driving Layup (15 PTS)54
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 4:23MILRedd Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 4:42ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 4:42ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 4:57MILFord Driving Layup (20 PTS)52
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 5:04MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 5:08ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot50
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 5:26MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)50
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 5:26MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 5:29MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Battie 8' Hook Shot48
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 5:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)48
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 6:00MILMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot48
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 6:04MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 6:07ORLMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot48
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 6:26MILFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)48
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 6:37ORLTurkoglu 4' Hook Shot (18 PTS)48
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 6:40ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 6:41ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup48
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 7:04MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)48
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 7:04MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 7:15ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 7:31MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)46
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 7:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 7:45ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot46
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 8:12MILSimmons 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)46
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 8:17MILBucks Rebound44
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 8:18MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot44
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 8:37ORLBattie 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)44
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 8:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)44
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 8:47MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q3 - 9:07ORLStevenson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)44
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 9:13MILTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)44
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 9:38ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)44
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q3 - 9:49ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q3 - 9:51MILMISS Simmons 14' Turnaround Jump Shot44
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 10:14ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)44
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 10:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)44
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q3 - 10:20MILMISS Redd Layup44
13.9%
54
86.1%
Q3 - 10:37ORLBattie Dunk (4 PTS)44
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q3 - 10:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q3 - 10:50MILMISS Bogut 19' Jump Shot44
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q3 - 11:00ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)44
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q3 - 11:05MILHoward STEAL (2 STL)44
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 11:28ORLBattie 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)44
19.6%
52
80.4%
Q3 - 11:42MILMagloire Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)44
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL42
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound42
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Simmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
20.0%
50
80.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0MILMISS Redd Layup42
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P3.T10)42
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)42
22.8%
48
77.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0MILMISS Bogut 15' Jump Shot39
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 1:04MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q2 - 1:06MILMISS Magloire 3' Hook Shot39
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q2 - 1:18MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q2 - 1:21MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot39
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q2 - 1:36ORLStevenson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)39
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q2 - 1:56MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)39
21.2%
46
78.8%
Q2 - 2:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 2:03ORLMISS Battie 4' Jump Shot37
18.6%
46
81.4%
Q2 - 2:17MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)37
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 2:17MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)36
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 2:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 2:23ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot35
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 2:48MILMISS Ford 21' Jump Shot35
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 2:54MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 2:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper35
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 3:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 3:19MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 135
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 3:22MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 3:24ORLMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 3:40MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)33
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 4:01ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 4:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 4:08MILMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot30
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 4:24MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 4:26ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot30
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 4:45MILBogut 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 5:07ORLArroyo Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)28
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 5:12MILAriza STEAL (1 STL)28
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 5:34ORLDooling 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 5:50MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P4.T7)28
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 6:10ORLOutlaw Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)28
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 6:16ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:18MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot28
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q2 - 6:33ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 6:40ORLMAGIC Rebound28
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 6:40ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 6:40ORLMISS Ariza Layup28
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Ariza Layup28
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 6:53MILBattie STEAL (1 STL)28
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 7:07ORLBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)28
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 7:23ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
21.6%
36
78.4%
Q2 - 7:24MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot28
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 7:33ORLArroyo Foul Turnover (P3.T8)28
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 7:51MILSimmons Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)28
21.5%
36
78.5%
Q2 - 8:08ORLAriza Tip Shot (4 PTS)28
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 8:11ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 8:13ORLMISS Milicic 21' Jump Shot28
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 8:27ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
25.4%
34
74.6%
Q2 - 8:30MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot28
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q2 - 8:36MILWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)28
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q2 - 8:52ORLDooling Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)27
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 9:06MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
27.6%
32
72.4%
Q2 - 9:06MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 226
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 9:27ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 9:27ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 9:43ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMISS Milicic 19' Jump Shot26
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 9:49ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 9:50ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 9:50ORLMISS Ariza Tip Shot26
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 9:51ORLMISS Dooling Layup26
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 9:56ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 9:58MILMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot26
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q2 - 10:20ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 10:20ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 226
32.9%
29
67.1%
Q2 - 10:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 10:27MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 10:51ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 10:57ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 10:59MILMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot26
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q2 - 11:07ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 11:26MILKukoc Finger Roll (2 PTS)26
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 11:39ORLAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)24
34.0%
27
66.0%
Q2 - 11:43MILGadzuric Slam Dunk (2 PTS)24
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q2 - 11:44MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q2 - 11:46MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot22
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound22
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ford 29' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
29.6%
27
70.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)22
28.6%
27
71.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (10 PTS)22
29.6%
27
70.4%
Q1 - 1:00MILRedd 11' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)22
32.1%
25
67.9%
Q1 - 1:13MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 1:16ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 220
29.5%
25
70.5%
Q1 - 1:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)20
28.4%
25
71.6%
Q1 - 1:25MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 1:33MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
31.7%
24
68.3%
Q1 - 1:34ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot20
31.3%
24
68.7%
Q1 - 1:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q1 - 1:43MILMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot20
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q1 - 2:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q1 - 2:09ORLHoward Tip Shot (8 PTS)20
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q1 - 2:12ORLMISS Milicic 5' Hook Shot20
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 2:26ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 2:28MILMISS Gadzuric Layup20
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 2:43ORLMilicic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)20
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 2:52ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 2:54MILMISS Gadzuric 7' Hook Shot20
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 3:14ORLMilicic Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)20
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 3:21ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 3:23MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot20
43.4%
18
56.6%
Q1 - 3:37ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 3:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 3:47ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
47.1%
16
52.9%
Q1 - 3:49MILMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot20
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 4:05ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 4:17MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 4:36MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot18
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMAGIC Rebound18
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMISS Howard Layup18
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 5:01ORLMAGIC Rebound18
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 5:02MILMISS Redd 17' Fadeaway Jumper18
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 5:23ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 5:44MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)18
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 5:57ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
46.5%
12
53.5%
Q1 - 6:13MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P2.T3)15
43.8%
12
56.2%
Q1 - 6:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 6:29ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 215
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 6:33MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)15
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 6:49ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 6:49ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
48.2%
10
51.8%
Q1 - 7:08MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
48.9%
9
51.1%
Q1 - 7:08MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 7:18MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 7:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot13
46.6%
9
53.4%
Q1 - 7:39MILFord 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)13
45.2%
9
54.8%
Q1 - 7:53ORLHoward Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 8:09MILFord 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 8:25ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
41.7%
7
58.3%
Q1 - 8:31MILStevenson STEAL (1 STL)8
39.7%
7
60.3%
Q1 - 8:36ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
41.7%
7
58.3%
Q1 - 8:46ORLMAGIC Rebound8
39.7%
7
60.3%
Q1 - 8:48ORLMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot8
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 9:07MILFord Driving Layup (5 PTS)8
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 9:13ORLArroyo Layup (2 PTS)6
38.1%
7
61.9%
Q1 - 9:17ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 9:28MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 9:30ORLMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot6
41.0%
5
59.0%
Q1 - 9:57MILFord 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
39.4%
5
60.6%
Q1 - 10:07ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 10:16ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 10:18MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
34.8%
5
65.2%
Q1 - 10:35ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)3
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 10:46MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
37.6%
3
62.4%
Q1 - 10:50MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.4%
3
65.6%
Q1 - 10:53ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot0
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 11:01ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.8%
3
67.2%
Q1 - 11:03MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot0
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 11:20ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)0
34.3%
3
65.7%
Q1 - 11:26ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:28MILMISS Magloire Reverse Layup0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:36MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot0
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Magloire: Tip to Nelson0
37.8%
0
62.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.5%
ORL
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
22
68%
ORL
24
33
73%
Midrange
MIL
9
32
28%
ORL
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
ORL
3
4.5
5
60%
90%
Free Throws
MIL
24
30
80%
ORL
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford3471%17.0 / 24
M. Redd2557%12.5 / 22
B. Simmons1169%5.5 / 8
C. Bell1192%5.5 / 6
J. Magloire650%3.0 / 6
T. Kukoc643%3.0 / 7
A. Bogut550%2.5 / 5
D. Gadzuric450%2.0 / 4
M. Williams338%1.5 / 4
J. Smith0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2480%12.0 / 15
D. Howard1963%9.5 / 15
C. Arroyo1765%8.5 / 13
K. Dooling1470%7.0 / 10
D. Milicic1045%5.0 / 11
T. Battie857%4.0 / 7
D. Stevenson650%3.0 / 6
T. Ariza643%3.0 / 7
J. Nelson233%1.0 / 3
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
82
+11
-15
93
ORL
77
+11
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.5%
ORL
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
106.6
MIL 108.2
ORL 113.7 +5.4
Pace
91.6
88.1
MIL 96.1 +0.3
ORL 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.6
MIL 15.0 +0.0
ORL 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.6%
MIL 51.9%
ORL 57.2% +5.3%
TO %
15.2%
16.2%
MIL 14.1% +2.9%
ORL 17.0%
ORB %
27.4%
28.6%
MIL 14.6%
ORL 22.9% +8.3%
FTrt
32.2
36.9
MIL 38.5 +3.0
ORL 35.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
51.4%
MIL 54.3% +9.1%
ORL 45.2%
STL %
7.9%
7.3%
MIL 8.2% +0.8%
ORL 7.4%
BLK %
5.4%
7.2%
MIL 7.0% +5.1%
ORL 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.5%
MIL 56.5%
ORL 60.7% +4.2%
Rim FG%
54.9%
57.7%
MIL 68.2%
ORL 72.7% +4.5%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.0%
MIL 28.1%
ORL 39.5% +11.4%
3P %
38.0%
37.6%
MIL 45.8%
ORL 60.0% +14.2%
FT %
73.8%
73.0%
MIL 80.0% +2.2%
ORL 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
39.9%
MIL 28.2%
ORL 43.4% +15.2%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
47.2%
MIL 41.0% +9.0%
ORL 50.0%
3P Att. %
20.3%
12.9%
MIL 30.8% +24.2%
ORL 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions9795
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points105108
Rebounds3343
Assists1919
Steals87
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)35 (1)
Field Goals35-7842-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2224-33
Midrange FG9-3215-38
2-Point FG24-5439-71
3-Point FG11-243-5
Free Throws24-3021-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
42.7
34
71%
6
11
2
0
4
3
2
4
11-15
73%
7-13
54%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
36.7
25
57%
6
0
1
0
3
1
0
6
8-9
89%
7-12
58%
1-6
17%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
30.0
6
50%
9
1
0
1
1
4
3
6
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
26.9
11
69%
3
0
0
0
4
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
24.5
5
50%
3
3
2
1
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 38
23.9
6
43%
1
2
0
2
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
20.6
11
92%
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
16.5
4
50%
3
0
1
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
11.8
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
6.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'6" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'5" 204 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
56%
33
19
8
5
15
0
6
27
24-30
80%
24-54
44%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.