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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors23%91103
9Pacers77%100111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.8
46.9
37.5
34
58%
11
8
1
1
1
6
2
9
5-7
71%
10-21
5-11
48%
46%
3-5
60%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.6
41.5
30.0
14
47%
11
1
0
1
0
0
2
9
3-4
75%
4-9
5-9
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
39.8
43.0
12
40%
7
3
0
1
1
4
4
3
2-2
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
45%
0-3
0%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
11.4
25.5
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
7.0
17.1
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.0
23.9
24.3
14
100%
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
4-5
80%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.1
20.6
13.6
6
33%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
39%
0-2
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
17.5
25.3
11
67%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
15.4
9.5
6
44%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.8
10.6
3.1
1
27%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.1
5.5
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
35%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
6.8
0
1-1
46%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 22.5
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.8
41.7
31.5
25
65%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
12-12
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
3-8
38%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.0
40.0
31.2
25
53%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
6-15
4-9
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
37.1
31.9
18
49%
9
4
0
1
5
2
3
6
4-8
50%
7-15
6-13
47%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.5
36.3
23.6
16
51%
3
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
3-6
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.2
30.4
25.4
9
63%
12
0
2
1
1
1
3
9
3-5
60%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.1
22.7
14.1
11
81%
2
7
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.0
17.0
24.3
3
26%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
54%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.9
8.6
7.0
4
41%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.6
6.1
15.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
55%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.1
27.1
1
4-8
48%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.1
6.7
0
1-1
49%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.6
2.3
0
0-0
39%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.2
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.