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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Kings23%8797
1Spurs77%9687
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.9
45.4
35.5
31
60%
7
8
0
1
0
2
0
7
10-11
91%
6-15
4-8
40%
45%
3-6
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.4
43.0
35.4
15
63%
6
3
3
2
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-10
43%
44%
3-5
60%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
40.4
32.5
19
71%
6
2
5
2
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
45%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.0
35.8
34.5
3
31%
9
6
1
1
0
5
4
5
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.7
29.0
27.3
4
40%
10
6
0
1
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
24.3
21.1
16
53%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
8-15
3-7
53%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.2
19.6
21.8
9
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.9
2.6
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
12.4
0
1-2
47%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
6.1
0
1-2
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
5.7
0
0-1
40%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.0
5.0
0
1-1
46%
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
31.0
33.2
11
47%
6
1
2
1
3
3
2
4
5-6
83%
3-9
7-14
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
30.1
34.7
16
54%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
6-12
8-14
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
27.4
34.0
7
44%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
26.9
16.2
12
79%
9
1
2
0
0
2
4
5
6-6
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.7
26.6
28.0
8
45%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.3
25.0
15.1
9
75%
4
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
23.0
26.7
7
39%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
13.7
20.3
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.4
12.4
9.9
9
64%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
10.9
16.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
6.5
4.0
2
100%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
6.5
2.0
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.