Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 5, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	24	Rockets	56%	87	75
	30	Trail Blazers	44%	85	76

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
HOU	89.3	84	87.1
POR	89.4	85	82.0

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+10

-17

POR

+13

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.95 47.5%

POR

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	HOU		75 0%	76 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	HOU	Rockets Rebound	75 1.4%	76 98.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0	HOU	MISS Yao Layup	75 0.8%	76 99.2%
Q4 - 0:01.0	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	75 1.4%	76 98.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0	HOU	MISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot	75 4.1%	76 95.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0	POR	Telfair 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)	75 45.8%	76 54.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0	POR	Telfair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	75 61.7%	74 38.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0	HOU	MISS Bogans Layup	75 67.5%	74 32.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0	POR	Randolph Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)	75 75.8%	74 24.2%
Q4 - 1:17	HOU	Head Reverse Layup (13 PTS)	75 60.1%	74 39.9%
Q4 - 1:23	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	73 49.1%	74 50.9%
Q4 - 1:24	POR	MISS Telfair Driving Layup	73 44.5%	74 55.5%
Q4 - 1:46	HOU	Howard 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Head 5 AST)	73 37.2%	74 62.8%
Q4 - 2:02	POR	Telfair Driving Layup (11 PTS)	71 30.6%	74 69.4%
Q4 - 2:16	HOU	Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	71 37.1%	72 62.9%
Q4 - 2:16	HOU	MISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 2	70 35.6%	72 64.4%
Q4 - 2:34	POR	Randolph 5' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	70 42.6%	72 57.4%
Q4 - 2:54	HOU	Yao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	70 48.5%	70 51.5%
Q4 - 2:54	HOU	MISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 2	69 47.0%	70 53.0%
Q4 - 3:18	HOU	Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 53.2%	70 46.8%
Q4 - 3:20	POR	MISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 48.5%	70 51.5%
Q4 - 3:34	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	69 42.3%	70 57.7%
Q4 - 3:36	POR	MISS Dixon 23' Jump Shot	69 48.8%	70 51.2%
Q4 - 3:58	HOU	Howard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T18)	69 41.6%	70 58.4%
Q4 - 4:21	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	69 51.3%	70 48.7%
Q4 - 4:22	POR	MISS Lenard Driving Finger Roll	69 48.2%	70 51.8%
Q4 - 4:28	POR	Lenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69 41.3%	70 58.7%
Q4 - 4:30	HOU	MISS Head Driving Layup	69 44.3%	70 55.7%
Q4 - 4:36	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)	69 51.2%	70 48.8%
Q4 - 4:54	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	69 41.1%	70 58.9%
Q4 - 4:54	POR	MISS Telfair Driving Layup	69 48.1%	70 51.9%
Q4 - 4:58	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	69 41.1%	70 58.9%
Q4 - 5:00	HOU	MISS Alston Driving Layup	69 44.1%	70 55.9%
Q4 - 5:10	HOU	Rockets Rebound	69 52.2%	70 47.8%
Q4 - 5:11	POR	MISS Telfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 49.5%	70 50.5%
Q4 - 5:16	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	69 43.5%	70 56.5%
Q4 - 5:17	POR	MISS Ratliff Driving Layup	69 49.5%	70 50.5%
Q4 - 5:32	HOU	Head Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)	69 43.5%	70 56.5%
Q4 - 5:55	POR	Dixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	69 52.2%	70 47.8%
Q4 - 5:55	POR	MISS Dixon Free Throw 1 of 2	69 53.4%	69 46.6%
Q4 - 5:59	HOU	Lenard STEAL (3 STL)	69 51.8%	69 48.2%
Q4 - 6:17	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	69 60.7%	69 39.3%
Q4 - 6:19	POR	MISS Randolph 14' Jump Shot	69 58.2%	69 41.8%
Q4 - 6:35	HOU	Howard Foul Turnover (P2.T15)	69 52.2%	69 47.8%
Q4 - 6:40	HOU	Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69 60.7%	69 39.3%
Q4 - 6:44	POR	MISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 58.2%	69 41.8%
Q4 - 7:02	HOU	Yao Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	69 53.4%	69 46.6%
Q4 - 7:02	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	66 40.6%	69 59.4%
Q4 - 7:04	HOU	MISS Alston 4' Running Jump Shot	66 35.6%	69 64.4%
Q4 - 7:22	POR	Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Telfair 5 AST)	66 40.5%	69 59.5%
Q4 - 7:36	HOU	Lenard STEAL (2 STL)	66 53.3%	66 46.7%
Q4 - 7:42	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)	66 61.0%	66 39.0%
Q4 - 8:02	HOU	Alston 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	66 53.9%	66 46.1%
Q4 - 8:13	POR	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	64 47.6%	66 52.4%
Q4 - 8:13	POR	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	64 48.9%	65 51.1%
Q4 - 8:31	HOU	Wesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)	64 53.8%	64 46.2%
Q4 - 8:34	HOU	Wesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	64 60.3%	64 39.7%
Q4 - 8:36	POR	MISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot	64 58.3%	64 41.7%
Q4 - 8:57	HOU	Howard 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 10 AST)	64 53.8%	64 46.2%
Q4 - 9:13	POR	Lenard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)	62 48.6%	64 51.4%
Q4 - 9:29	HOU	Rockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)	62 42.3%	64 57.7%
Q4 - 9:53	POR	Khryapa Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)	62 48.5%	64 51.5%
Q4 - 9:58	HOU	Ratliff STEAL (1 STL)	62 42.3%	64 57.7%
Q4 - 10:17	POR	Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Telfair 4 AST)	62 49.0%	64 51.0%
Q4 - 10:31	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	62 59.8%	61 40.2%
Q4 - 10:31	HOU	MISS Swift Reverse Layup	62 61.6%	61 38.4%
Q4 - 10:54	POR	Randolph Layup (13 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)	62 65.6%	61 34.4%
Q4 - 11:02	POR	Lenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 69.2%	59 30.8%
Q4 - 11:04	HOU	MISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	62 70.6%	59 29.4%
Q4 - 11:16	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)	62 73.8%	59 26.2%
Q4 - 11:16	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	62 69.2%	59 30.8%
Q4 - 11:16	POR	MISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot	62 72.5%	59 27.5%
Q4 - 11:47	POR	Jump Ball Khryapa vs. Yao: Tip to Randolph	62 69.3%	59 30.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR		62 73.9%	59 26.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	62 69.3%	59 30.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Lenard 44' 3PT Jump Shot	62 72.5%	59 27.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0	HOU	Yao 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)	62 69.1%	59 30.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0	POR	Khryapa 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)	60 64.5%	59 35.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0	HOU	Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)	60 69.1%	57 30.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	57 59.7%	57 40.3%
Q3 - 1:00	POR	MISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 2	57 59.0%	57 41.0%
Q3 - 1:00	POR	Miles Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	57 56.4%	57 43.6%
Q3 - 1:11	POR	Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	57 59.8%	56 40.2%
Q3 - 1:12	HOU	MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot	57 61.3%	56 38.7%
Q3 - 1:26	POR	Ratliff Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	57 64.5%	56 35.5%
Q3 - 1:26	POR	MISS Ratliff Free Throw 1 of 2	57 65.8%	55 34.2%
Q3 - 1:30	HOU	Lenard STEAL (1 STL)	57 64.4%	55 35.6%
Q3 - 1:35	POR	Telfair Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	57 68.9%	55 31.1%
Q3 - 1:50	HOU	Bogans Driving Layup (20 PTS)	57 64.4%	55 35.6%
Q3 - 1:52	POR	Lenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)	55 59.9%	55 40.1%
Q3 - 2:09	HOU	Mutombo 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)	55 54.6%	55 45.4%
Q3 - 2:26	POR	Lenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	53 50.4%	55 49.6%
Q3 - 2:26	POR	MISS Lenard Free Throw 1 of 2	53 51.4%	54 48.6%
Q3 - 2:46	HOU	Bogans 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)	53 50.0%	54 50.0%
Q3 - 3:00	POR	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	50 41.2%	54 58.8%
Q3 - 3:04	HOU	Randolph STEAL (2 STL)	50 37.4%	54 62.6%
Q3 - 3:18	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	50 41.9%	54 58.1%
Q3 - 3:21	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	50 40.5%	54 59.5%
Q3 - 3:48	HOU	Head 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)	50 37.3%	54 62.7%
Q3 - 3:59	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	47 29.6%	54 70.4%
Q3 - 4:01	POR	MISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot	47 29.5%	54 70.5%
Q3 - 4:21	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	47 26.7%	54 73.3%
Q3 - 4:23	HOU	MISS Alston 21' Jump Shot	47 27.9%	54 72.1%
Q3 - 4:45	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	47 30.7%	54 69.3%
Q3 - 4:45	POR	MISS Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 2	47 32.2%	53 67.8%
Q3 - 5:03	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	47 31.4%	53 68.6%
Q3 - 5:05	HOU	MISS Howard 5' Hook Shot	47 32.5%	53 67.5%
Q3 - 5:29	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)	47 35.3%	53 64.7%
Q3 - 5:55	HOU	Head 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)	47 31.2%	53 68.8%
Q3 - 5:58	HOU	Rockets Rebound	45 28.0%	53 72.0%
Q3 - 6:00	HOU	MISS Howard 3' Jump Shot	45 25.6%	53 74.4%
Q3 - 6:23	POR	Randolph Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	45 29.1%	53 70.9%
Q3 - 6:44	HOU	Miles STEAL (3 STL)	45 25.6%	53 74.4%
Q3 - 6:56	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 29.0%	53 71.0%
Q3 - 6:58	POR	MISS Miles 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	45 28.0%	53 72.0%
Q3 - 7:16	HOU	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	45 26.1%	53 73.9%
Q3 - 7:16	HOU	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	44 25.7%	53 74.3%
Q3 - 7:33	POR	Blake 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)	43 23.6%	53 76.4%
Q3 - 7:49	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	43 26.1%	51 73.9%
Q3 - 7:51	POR	MISS Miles 10' Jump Shot	43 28.6%	51 71.4%
Q3 - 8:14	HOU	Head Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)	43 27.0%	51 73.0%
Q3 - 8:31	POR	Dixon 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Przybilla 1 AST)	41 24.5%	51 75.5%
Q3 - 8:37	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	41 27.0%	49 73.0%
Q3 - 8:38	HOU	MISS Bogans 3' Driving Finger Roll	41 28.0%	49 72.0%
Q3 - 8:58	POR	Randolph 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)	41 30.5%	49 69.5%
Q3 - 9:14	POR	Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 34.3%	47 65.7%
Q3 - 9:15	HOU	MISS Alston Reverse Layup	41 35.3%	47 64.7%
Q3 - 9:20	HOU	Head REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	41 37.8%	47 62.2%
Q3 - 9:21	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	41 36.7%	47 63.3%
Q3 - 9:35	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	41 34.3%	47 65.7%
Q3 - 9:37	HOU	MISS Yao 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	41 35.3%	47 64.7%
Q3 - 9:54	POR	Dixon 15' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	41 37.8%	47 62.2%
Q3 - 10:00	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	41 41.1%	45 58.9%
Q3 - 10:02	HOU	MISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot	41 43.1%	45 56.9%
Q3 - 10:08	POR	Przybilla Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	41 45.8%	45 54.2%
Q3 - 10:20	HOU	Miles STEAL (2 STL)	41 41.8%	45 58.2%
Q3 - 10:46	POR	Miles Driving Dunk (4 PTS)	41 45.7%	45 54.3%
Q3 - 11:04	HOU	Head 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)	41 49.7%	43 50.3%
Q3 - 11:09	POR	Miles Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	39 46.4%	43 53.6%
Q3 - 11:29	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	39 42.8%	43 57.2%
Q3 - 11:30	HOU	MISS Alston Reverse Layup	39 43.9%	43 56.1%
Q3 - 11:39	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39 46.4%	43 53.6%
Q3 - 11:41	POR	MISS Dixon 19' Jump Shot	39 45.3%	43 54.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR		39 42.8%	43 57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU	Howard 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)	39 42.8%	43 57.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 40.0%	43 60.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0	POR	MISS Randolph 3PT Jump Shot	37 39.3%	43 60.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0	POR	Telfair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	37 37.8%	43 62.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0	POR	MISS Randolph 3PT Jump Shot	37 39.3%	43 60.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	37 37.7%	43 62.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0	HOU	MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot	37 38.4%	43 61.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0	POR	Telfair Driving Layup (9 PTS)	37 39.9%	43 60.1%
Q2 - 1:04	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	37 44.9%	41 55.1%
Q2 - 1:05	HOU	MISS Howard 3' Driving Hook Shot	37 45.4%	41 54.6%
Q2 - 1:22	POR	Telfair 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	37 46.5%	41 53.5%
Q2 - 1:46	HOU	Bogans 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Head 4 AST)	37 51.3%	39 48.7%
Q2 - 2:06	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	34 44.5%	39 55.5%
Q2 - 2:06	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	34 45.8%	38 54.2%
Q2 - 2:22	POR	Telfair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	34 47.8%	37 52.2%
Q2 - 2:24	HOU	MISS Yao 9' Jump Shot	34 48.7%	37 51.3%
Q2 - 2:42	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	34 50.6%	37 49.4%
Q2 - 2:44	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	34 49.8%	37 50.2%
Q2 - 3:12	HOU	Head Layup (2 PTS)	34 48.1%	37 51.9%
Q2 - 3:14	HOU	Head REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	32 45.5%	37 54.5%
Q2 - 3:15	HOU	Przybilla BLOCK (1 BLK)	32 43.2%	37 56.8%
Q2 - 3:21	POR	Telfair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	32 45.5%	37 54.5%
Q2 - 3:37	HOU	Yao 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)	32 42.2%	37 57.8%
Q2 - 3:53	POR	Blake Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	30 39.6%	37 60.4%
Q2 - 4:03	POR	Telfair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	30 37.6%	37 62.4%
Q2 - 4:05	POR	MISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2	30 39.9%	37 60.1%
Q2 - 4:05	POR	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	30 38.1%	37 61.9%
Q2 - 4:17	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	30 40.3%	36 59.7%
Q2 - 4:18	HOU	MISS Yao Layup	30 41.1%	36 58.9%
Q2 - 4:36	POR	Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)	30 43.1%	36 56.9%
Q2 - 4:45	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	30 48.8%	33 51.2%
Q2 - 4:46	POR	MISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot	30 50.8%	33 49.2%
Q2 - 5:07	HOU	Wesley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Head 3 AST)	30 49.0%	33 51.0%
Q2 - 5:20	POR	Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	27 43.6%	33 56.4%
Q2 - 5:41	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	27 49.0%	30 51.0%
Q2 - 5:43	HOU	MISS Head 4' Jump Shot	27 50.0%	30 50.0%
Q2 - 5:53	HOU	Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 52.1%	30 47.9%
Q2 - 5:54	POR	MISS Lenard 9' Jump Shot	27 51.1%	30 48.9%
Q2 - 6:12	HOU	Yao Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)	27 49.3%	30 50.7%
Q2 - 6:27	POR	Lenard 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	27 52.6%	30 47.4%
Q2 - 6:41	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	27 54.8%	28 45.2%
Q2 - 6:43	HOU	MISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot	27 55.8%	28 44.2%
Q2 - 7:03	POR	Lenard 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	27 58.1%	28 41.9%
Q2 - 7:20	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	27 60.5%	26 39.5%
Q2 - 7:22	HOU	MISS Swift 8' Jump Shot	27 61.3%	26 38.7%
Q2 - 7:46	POR	Ratliff Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)	27 63.1%	26 36.9%
Q2 - 8:01	HOU	Bogans Driving Layup (12 PTS)	27 65.0%	24 35.0%
Q2 - 8:08	HOU	Brunson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 63.0%	24 37.0%
Q2 - 8:10	POR	MISS Randolph 16' Jump Shot	25 62.1%	24 37.9%
Q2 - 8:23	HOU	Swift Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	25 60.2%	24 39.8%
Q2 - 8:23	HOU	MISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 2	24 59.6%	24 40.4%
Q2 - 9:02	POR	Telfair Driving Layup (5 PTS)	24 60.5%	24 39.5%
Q2 - 9:22	HOU	Wesley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)	24 62.6%	22 37.4%
Q2 - 9:34	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	22 60.5%	22 39.5%
Q2 - 9:44	HOU	Bogans 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)	22 57.8%	22 42.2%
Q2 - 10:04	POR	Telfair Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	19 53.0%	22 47.0%
Q2 - 10:09	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	19 57.6%	19 42.4%
Q2 - 10:11	HOU	Ratliff BLOCK (4 BLK)	19 58.4%	19 41.6%
Q2 - 10:28	HOU	Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	19 60.3%	19 39.7%
Q2 - 10:30	POR	MISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot	19 59.5%	19 40.5%
Q2 - 10:53	HOU	Swift 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)	19 57.6%	19 42.4%
Q2 - 11:06	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)	17 55.4%	19 44.6%
Q2 - 11:07	HOU	MISS Swift Layup	17 53.7%	19 46.3%
Q2 - 11:09	HOU	Swift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	17 55.4%	19 44.6%
Q2 - 11:11	HOU	Ratliff BLOCK (3 BLK)	17 53.7%	19 46.3%
Q2 - 11:25	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	17 55.4%	19 44.6%
Q2 - 11:27	HOU	MISS Alston 19' Jump Shot	17 53.7%	19 46.3%
Q2 - 11:39	POR	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	17 55.4%	19 44.6%
Q2 - 11:39	POR	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	17 55.9%	18 44.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	HOU		17 57.8%	17 42.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	Dixon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	17 60.1%	17 39.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0	HOU	Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	17 57.9%	17 42.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0	HOU	Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	16 57.4%	17 42.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	15 55.0%	17 45.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0	HOU	Ratliff BLOCK (2 BLK)	15 53.8%	17 46.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0	POR	Miles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	15 55.1%	17 44.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0	POR	Miles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	15 55.9%	16 44.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0	POR	Telfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 57.9%	15 42.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0	HOU	Mutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	15 59.7%	15 40.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0	HOU	MISS Mutombo Layup	15 58.5%	15 41.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0	HOU	Ratliff BLOCK (1 BLK)	15 58.5%	15 41.5%
Q1 - 1:01	HOU	Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 59.8%	15 40.2%
Q1 - 1:03	POR	MISS Khryapa 22' Jump Shot	15 59.2%	15 40.8%
Q1 - 1:15	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	15 58.0%	15 42.0%
Q1 - 1:16	HOU	MISS Howard Driving Layup	15 58.5%	15 41.5%
Q1 - 1:22	POR	Ratliff Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	15 59.8%	15 40.2%
Q1 - 1:30	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	15 58.0%	15 42.0%
Q1 - 1:32	POR	MISS Miles 21' Jump Shot	15 59.2%	15 40.8%
Q1 - 1:42	HOU	Head Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)	15 58.0%	15 42.0%
Q1 - 1:43	HOU	Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	15 59.8%	15 40.2%
Q1 - 1:45	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	15 59.2%	15 40.8%
Q1 - 2:08	HOU	Bogans Layup (7 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)	15 58.1%	15 41.9%
Q1 - 2:14	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	13 55.6%	15 44.4%
Q1 - 2:15	POR	MISS Miles Driving Layup	13 55.0%	15 45.0%
Q1 - 2:35	HOU	Howard 3' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)	13 53.5%	15 46.5%
Q1 - 2:56	POR	Ratliff Dunk (2 PTS)	11 50.9%	15 49.1%
Q1 - 2:57	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	11 53.5%	13 46.5%
Q1 - 3:00	POR	MISS Dixon 23' Jump Shot	11 55.0%	13 45.0%
Q1 - 3:08	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	11 53.4%	13 46.6%
Q1 - 3:10	HOU	MISS Head 3PT Jump Shot	11 54.2%	13 45.8%
Q1 - 3:20	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 55.9%	13 44.1%
Q1 - 3:22	POR	MISS Randolph 9' Jump Shot	11 55.2%	13 44.8%
Q1 - 3:40	HOU	Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)	11 53.4%	13 46.6%
Q1 - 4:04	POR	Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	8 49.7%	13 50.3%
Q1 - 4:28	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 53.6%	10 46.4%
Q1 - 4:29	HOU	MISS Howard 17' Jump Shot	8 54.4%	10 45.6%
Q1 - 4:46	HOU	Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 56.2%	10 43.8%
Q1 - 4:48	POR	MISS Randolph 14' Jump Shot	8 55.4%	10 44.6%
Q1 - 5:12	HOU	Bogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	8 54.1%	10 45.9%
Q1 - 5:12	HOU	Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 56.3%	10 43.7%
Q1 - 5:15	POR	MISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot	8 55.6%	10 44.4%
Q1 - 5:37	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 54.0%	10 46.0%
Q1 - 5:40	HOU	MISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot	8 54.7%	10 45.3%
Q1 - 5:58	POR	Blake Layup (2 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)	8 56.3%	10 43.7%
Q1 - 6:01	HOU	Miles STEAL (1 STL)	8 58.2%	8 41.8%
Q1 - 6:26	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 60.2%	8 39.8%
Q1 - 6:26	POR	Randolph Layup (6 PTS)	8 60.2%	8 39.8%
Q1 - 6:27	POR	MISS Randolph 3' Jump Shot	8 63.4%	6 36.6%
Q1 - 6:28	HOU	Randolph STEAL (1 STL)	8 62.1%	6 37.9%
Q1 - 6:31	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 64.0%	6 36.0%
Q1 - 6:33	POR	MISS Randolph 22' Jump Shot	8 63.4%	6 36.6%
Q1 - 6:44	POR	Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 62.1%	6 37.9%
Q1 - 6:46	HOU	MISS Yao 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	8 62.7%	6 37.3%
Q1 - 7:01	POR	Randolph 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	8 63.9%	6 36.1%
Q1 - 7:15	HOU	Bogans 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 2 AST)	8 65.5%	4 34.5%
Q1 - 7:32	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	6 63.9%	4 36.1%
Q1 - 7:32	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	6 62.0%	4 38.0%
Q1 - 7:32	POR	MISS Miles 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	6 63.3%	4 36.7%
Q1 - 8:02	HOU	Howard 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)	6 62.4%	4 37.6%
Q1 - 8:23	POR	Dixon 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	4 60.8%	4 39.2%
Q1 - 8:34	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 62.4%	2 37.6%
Q1 - 8:38	HOU	MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot	4 63.0%	2 37.0%
Q1 - 8:51	HOU	Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 64.3%	2 35.7%
Q1 - 8:53	POR	MISS Przybilla 11' Jump Shot	4 63.7%	2 36.3%
Q1 - 9:14	HOU	Yao 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4 62.1%	2 37.9%
Q1 - 9:28	HOU	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 60.8%	2 39.2%
Q1 - 9:30	POR	MISS Miles 16' Turnaround Jump Shot	2 60.1%	2 39.9%
Q1 - 9:51	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 58.5%	2 41.5%
Q1 - 9:54	HOU	MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot	2 59.2%	2 40.8%
Q1 - 10:08	POR	Dixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	2 60.6%	2 39.4%
Q1 - 10:22	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 58.5%	2 41.5%
Q1 - 10:24	HOU	MISS Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	2 59.2%	2 40.8%
Q1 - 10:52	HOU	Rockets Rebound	2 60.6%	2 39.4%
Q1 - 10:53	POR	MISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot	2 60.0%	2 40.0%
Q1 - 11:10	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 58.8%	2 41.2%
Q1 - 11:12	HOU	MISS Howard 6' Turnaround Hook Shot	2 59.3%	2 40.7%
Q1 - 11:31	POR	Randolph 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 60.4%	2 39.6%
Q1 - 11:49	HOU	Yao 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)	2 62.3%	0 37.7%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Przybilla vs. Yao: Tip to Alston	0 60.4%	0 39.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.95 47.5%

POR

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

31%

POR

60%

Midrange

HOU

57%

POR

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

10.5

44%

66%

POR

7.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

HOU

73%

POR

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bogans	20	77%	10.0 / 13
L. Head	13	59%	6.5 / 11
Yao	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Howard	12	46%	6.0 / 13
R. Alston	5	21%	2.5 / 12
D. Wesley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Mutombo	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Swift	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph	17	39%	8.5 / 22
V. Lenard	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Dixon	13	59%	6.5 / 11
S. Telfair	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Miles	5	28%	2.5 / 9
T. Ratliff	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Blake	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Przybilla	3	50%	1.5 / 3
V. Khryapa	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+10

-17

POR

+13

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.95 47.5%

POR

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	101.4 101.2	HOU 89.3 POR 89.4 +0.1
Pace	88.2 87.7	HOU 87.1 +5.1 POR 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time	16.1 16.7	HOU 16.5 +1.0 POR 17.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.1% 47.4%	HOU 47.2% +1.7% POR 45.5%
TO %	15.4% 15.6%	HOU 19.2% +1.6% POR 20.8%
ORB %	25.5% 26.6%	HOU 22.2% POR 23.5% +1.3%
FTrt	31.7 31.0	HOU 15.5 POR 31.3 +15.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.3% 53.4%	HOU 66.7% +20.3% POR 46.4%
STL %	8.1% 7.3%	HOU 14.3% +2.5% POR 11.8%
BLK %	6.6% 8.4%	HOU 13.7% +4.6% POR 9.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.3% 49.6%	HOU 47.5% +1.2% POR 46.3%
Rim FG%	56.1% 56.4%	HOU 31.3% POR 60.0% +28.7%
Mid FG%	39.3% 38.6%	HOU 56.5% +21.0% POR 35.5%
3P %	33.2% 34.9%	HOU 43.8% +12.5% POR 31.3%
FT %	75.9% 68.9%	HOU 72.7% +1.3% POR 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.1% 36.7%	HOU 45.1% +15.2% POR 29.9%
Mid Att. %	45.3% 46.7%	HOU 32.4% +13.9% POR 46.3%
3P Att. %	22.6% 16.6%	HOU 22.5% POR 23.9% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	POR
Possessions	84	85
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	75	76
Rebounds	34	36
Assists	20	13
Steals	12	10
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	17 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	28 (3)
Field Goals	30-71	28-67
At-the-Rim FG	10-32	12-20
Midrange FG	13-23	11-31
2-Point FG	23-55	23-51
3-Point FG	7-16	5-16
Free Throws	8-11	15-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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24 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rafer Alston G · 6'2" 175 · 30	43.5	5	21%	3	10	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-5	20%
Luther Head G · 6'3" 185 · 23	39.6	13	59%	3	5	3	1	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Keith Bogans F · 6'5" 215 · 26	38.7	20	77%	5	2	3	0	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-6	67%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 33	37.7	12	46%	7	0	1	0	3	5	0	7	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 26	31.1	13	50%	7	1	1	4	5	4	2	5	3-5	60%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 35	17.7	5	50%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Dikembe Mutombo C · 7'2" 260 · 40	16.9	4	67%	6	0	1	1	0	3	4	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26	10.3	3	25%	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Rick Brunson G · 6'4" 190 · 34	4.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 30
Maciej Lampe F · 6'11" 275 · 21
Bob Sura #3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Richie Frahm #14 · G · 6'5" 202 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tracy McGrady #1 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	75	48%	34	20	12	7	17	0	8	26	8-11	73%	23-55	42%	7-16	44%

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24 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rafer Alston G · 6'2" 175 · 30	43.5	5	21%	3	10	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-5	20%
Luther Head G · 6'3" 185 · 23	39.6	13	59%	3	5	3	1	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Keith Bogans F · 6'5" 215 · 26	38.7	20	77%	5	2	3	0	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-6	67%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 33	37.7	12	46%	7	0	1	0	3	5	0	7	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 26	31.1	13	50%	7	1	1	4	5	4	2	5	3-5	60%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 35	17.7	5	50%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Dikembe Mutombo C · 7'2" 260 · 40	16.9	4	67%	6	0	1	1	0	3	4	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26	10.3	3	25%	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Rick Brunson G · 6'4" 190 · 34	4.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 30
Maciej Lampe F · 6'11" 275 · 21
Bob Sura #3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Richie Frahm #14 · G · 6'5" 202 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tracy McGrady #1 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	75	48%	34	20	12	7	17	0	8	26	8-11	73%	23-55	42%	7-16	44%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 25	43.9	17	39%	8	2	2	0	5	1	1	7	5-6	83%	6-17	35%	0-2	0%
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 27	36.0	13	59%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 26	25.1	4	33%	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Darius Miles F · 6'9" 235 · 24	23.7	5	28%	3	1	3	0	1	0	0	3	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 26	23.3	3	50%	10	1	0	1	1	2	2	8	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 21	28.1	13	72%	5	5	0	0	2	3	2	3	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Theo Ratliff C · 6'10" 235 · 33	24.7	5	63%	3	0	1	4	1	4	2	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33	23.5	14	64%	2	2	3	0	2	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Viktor Khryapa · 6'9" 210 · 24	11.4	2	50%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 22	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 22
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30
Seung-Jin Ha #5 · C · 7'3" 305 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	46%	36	13	10	5	17	0	8	28	15-21	71%	23-51	45%	5-16	31%

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indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE