FinalWin Prob.pScore
255%93
95
1045%91
82
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
111.88581.1
MIA logo MIA
94.38791.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)92
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (28 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)91
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot91
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)91
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 1:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 1:47DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)89
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q4 - 2:03MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)87
97.9%
80
2.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
96.0%
80
4.0%
Q4 - 2:14DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
96.7%
80
3.3%
Q4 - 2:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
97.9%
80
2.1%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot87
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 3:07DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)87
94.8%
80
5.2%
Q4 - 3:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)84
90.2%
80
9.8%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
90.9%
79
9.1%
Q4 - 3:46DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)84
86.4%
79
13.6%
Q4 - 4:04MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (26 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)81
75.7%
79
24.3%
Q4 - 4:19DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
81.7%
77
18.3%
Q4 - 4:19DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
80.9%
77
19.1%
Q4 - 4:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
75.8%
77
24.2%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot79
73.5%
77
26.5%
Q4 - 4:56DETBillups Foul Turnover (P4.T11)79
67.7%
77
32.3%
Q4 - 5:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
73.9%
77
26.1%
Q4 - 5:16DETMISS Prince 5' Hook Shot79
68.9%
77
31.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)79
73.9%
77
26.1%
Q4 - 5:55DETPrince 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
79.7%
75
20.3%
Q4 - 6:18MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)77
72.9%
75
27.1%
Q4 - 6:34MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
65.5%
75
34.5%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
67.8%
75
32.2%
Q4 - 6:57MIAAnderson 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
72.9%
75
27.1%
Q4 - 6:58MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
77.8%
73
22.2%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Anderson Layup77
81.7%
73
18.3%
Q4 - 7:03DETAnderson STEAL (1 STL)77
76.5%
73
23.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIAAnderson Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
81.7%
73
18.3%
Q4 - 7:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
85.0%
71
15.0%
Q4 - 7:37DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot77
86.2%
71
13.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAO'Neal Layup (24 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)77
88.6%
71
11.4%
Q4 - 7:59MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q4 - 8:01DETMISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
90.1%
69
9.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)77
91.7%
69
8.3%
Q4 - 8:31MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q4 - 8:33DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot77
93.9%
67
6.1%
Q4 - 8:44DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
94.9%
67
5.1%
Q4 - 8:46DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot77
93.9%
67
6.1%
Q4 - 9:06MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)77
94.1%
67
5.9%
Q4 - 9:23DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)77
95.2%
65
4.8%
Q4 - 9:38DETDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
92.6%
65
7.4%
Q4 - 9:40DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot74
91.3%
65
8.7%
Q4 - 9:57MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
92.6%
65
7.4%
Q4 - 9:57MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q4 - 10:13DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)74
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)72
91.7%
63
8.3%
Q4 - 10:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
93.2%
61
6.8%
Q4 - 10:50DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot72
93.6%
61
6.4%
Q4 - 11:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
93.8%
61
6.2%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.3%
61
6.7%
Q4 - 11:20MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
92.3%
61
7.7%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot72
93.4%
61
6.6%
Q4 - 11:38DETDelk 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)72
92.3%
61
7.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
90.8%
61
9.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETWallace Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)70
87.8%
61
12.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)69
87.3%
61
12.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)68
86.7%
61
13.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)67
82.7%
61
17.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETPrince Driving Layup (14 PTS)67
85.5%
59
14.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
82.8%
59
17.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
81.9%
59
18.1%
Q3 - 1:01DETBillups Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)65
78.7%
59
21.3%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)65
82.0%
59
18.0%
Q3 - 1:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
84.6%
57
15.4%
Q3 - 1:35DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 165
85.0%
57
15.0%
Q3 - 1:38DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
82.0%
57
18.0%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Bank Shot63
81.1%
57
18.9%
Q3 - 2:09DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)63
77.5%
57
22.5%
Q3 - 2:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)61
74.5%
57
25.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
70.4%
57
29.6%
Q3 - 2:24DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot61
71.7%
57
28.3%
Q3 - 2:43MIAWalker Tip Shot (6 PTS)61
74.5%
57
25.5%
Q3 - 2:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
77.6%
55
22.4%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 161
80.5%
55
19.5%
Q3 - 2:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)61
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper61
85.3%
53
14.7%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
82.8%
53
17.2%
Q3 - 3:06DETO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)61
83.7%
53
16.3%
Q3 - 3:24MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS)61
85.4%
53
14.6%
Q3 - 3:41DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
87.4%
51
12.6%
Q3 - 3:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
83.0%
51
17.0%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot58
82.2%
51
17.8%
Q3 - 4:16DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)58
79.3%
51
20.7%
Q3 - 4:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q3 - 4:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
73.1%
51
26.9%
Q3 - 4:35DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 4:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup56
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q3 - 5:04DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
72.7%
51
27.3%
Q3 - 5:04DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 255
72.1%
51
27.9%
Q3 - 5:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
73.0%
51
27.0%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
71.9%
51
28.1%
Q3 - 5:30DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
69.3%
51
30.7%
Q3 - 5:30DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 254
67.6%
51
32.4%
Q3 - 5:37DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
69.6%
51
30.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot54
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 5:58DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)54
65.6%
51
34.4%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#8)52
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q3 - 6:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
57.7%
51
42.3%
Q3 - 6:19DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
59.0%
51
41.0%
Q3 - 6:49MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
65.3%
49
34.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
68.0%
49
32.0%
Q3 - 7:15DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q3 - 7:30MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T7)49
57.7%
49
42.3%
Q3 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
53.4%
49
46.6%
Q3 - 7:44DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot49
54.7%
49
45.3%
Q3 - 7:50MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
57.7%
49
42.3%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
53.4%
49
46.6%
Q3 - 8:02DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot49
55.1%
49
44.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
58.0%
49
42.0%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)49
58.6%
48
41.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAHEAT Rebound49
61.1%
47
38.9%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot49
63.9%
47
36.1%
Q3 - 8:58DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)49
61.1%
47
38.9%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)49
64.6%
47
35.4%
Q3 - 9:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
67.8%
45
32.2%
Q3 - 9:26DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot49
68.8%
45
31.2%
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)49
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)49
71.6%
44
28.4%
Q3 - 10:04DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)49
73.5%
43
26.5%
Q3 - 10:10DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
68.0%
43
32.0%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot46
66.9%
43
33.1%
Q3 - 10:33DETHamilton 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)46
64.4%
43
35.6%
Q3 - 10:35DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
61.5%
43
38.5%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot44
58.8%
43
41.2%
Q3 - 10:57MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (16 PTS)44
61.5%
43
38.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
64.4%
41
35.6%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot44
66.9%
41
33.1%
Q3 - 11:16DETBillups Driving Layup (3 PTS)44
64.7%
41
35.3%
Q3 - 11:23DETPistons Rebound42
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q3 - 11:24DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot42
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)42
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET42
58.1%
41
41.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
58.8%
41
41.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
54.5%
41
45.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot40
53.8%
41
46.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
52.2%
41
47.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
54.6%
41
45.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot40
53.8%
41
46.2%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical40
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)40
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 1:13MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
55.9%
40
44.1%
Q2 - 1:14DETO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)40
56.4%
40
43.6%
Q2 - 1:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)40
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 1:19DETMISS Prince 4' Turnaround Jump Shot40
56.4%
40
43.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)40
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 1:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
65.1%
37
34.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
66.1%
37
33.9%
Q2 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
65.1%
37
34.9%
Q2 - 1:59DETMISS Hamilton 7' Turnaround Hook Shot40
65.5%
37
34.5%
Q2 - 2:14MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#4)40
66.9%
37
33.1%
Q2 - 2:23DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q2 - 2:23DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
63.7%
37
36.3%
Q2 - 2:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
61.1%
37
38.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot38
60.3%
37
39.7%
Q2 - 2:59DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q2 - 2:59DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 237
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 3:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot37
57.4%
37
42.6%
Q2 - 3:42DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)37
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWade Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)35
52.5%
37
47.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
55.5%
35
44.5%
Q2 - 4:06DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot35
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)35
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)35
58.8%
34
41.2%
Q2 - 4:32DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 4:32DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 234
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 4:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
58.3%
33
41.7%
Q2 - 4:41DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot34
59.2%
33
40.8%
Q2 - 4:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 234
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
58.8%
33
41.2%
Q2 - 5:14DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)34
61.0%
32
39.0%
Q2 - 5:41MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)34
63.9%
32
36.1%
Q2 - 6:05DETDelk Layup (10 PTS)34
66.0%
30
34.0%
Q2 - 6:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
64.0%
30
36.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup32
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 6:34DETDelk Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
60.9%
30
39.1%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)30
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 6:46MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 6:48DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot30
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWade Layup (13 PTS)30
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
61.1%
28
38.9%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 7:21DETEvans Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)30
61.1%
28
38.9%
Q2 - 7:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
63.7%
28
36.3%
Q2 - 7:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 7:50DETDelk 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
66.0%
26
34.0%
Q2 - 7:56DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Payton Driving Finger Roll28
62.9%
26
37.1%
Q2 - 8:00MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
61.1%
26
38.9%
Q2 - 8:02DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot28
61.6%
26
38.4%
Q2 - 8:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 8:05DETMISS Delk 5' Jump Shot28
61.6%
26
38.4%
Q2 - 8:12DETEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Payton 13' Jump Shot28
62.7%
26
37.3%
Q2 - 8:34DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)28
60.8%
26
39.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIAPayton Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)26
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 9:11DETHunter Layup (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)26
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 9:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 224
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 224
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q2 - 9:47MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q2 - 9:49DETMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot24
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q2 - 10:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q2 - 10:01DETMISS Prince Layup24
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q2 - 10:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot24
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q2 - 10:27DETDelk 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q2 - 10:43DETPistons Rebound22
53.5%
24
46.5%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot22
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q2 - 10:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
50.7%
24
49.3%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot22
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q2 - 11:02DETDelk 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)22
51.0%
24
49.0%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)20
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 11:33DETMcDyess Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)20
50.9%
22
49.1%
Q2 - 11:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
53.4%
22
46.6%
Q2 - 11:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
53.3%
21
46.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)20
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
58.2%
19
41.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETMISS Hunter 15' Fadeaway Jumper20
58.8%
19
41.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
60.0%
19
40.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot20
59.5%
19
40.5%
Q1 - 1:06DETWallace Dunk (5 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)20
58.3%
19
41.7%
Q1 - 1:28MIAWade Reverse Layup (8 PTS)18
55.5%
19
44.5%
Q1 - 1:48DETMcDyess 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
58.3%
17
41.7%
Q1 - 1:54DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 1:56DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot16
54.2%
17
45.8%
Q1 - 2:16MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
55.9%
17
44.1%
Q1 - 2:32DETHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 2:41DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
60.4%
15
39.6%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 3:06DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)16
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 3:09DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Walker Layup14
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
53.6%
15
46.4%
Q1 - 3:21DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
54.4%
15
45.6%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 3:51DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
58.1%
13
41.9%
Q1 - 3:51DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 213
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 4:03DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
58.5%
13
41.5%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot13
57.7%
13
42.3%
Q1 - 4:25DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 5:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
56.1%
11
43.9%
Q1 - 5:09DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 211
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 5:09DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 211
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 5:21DETBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)11
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 5:40DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
55.6%
11
44.4%
Q1 - 5:59DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 6:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
52.2%
11
47.8%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup8
51.5%
11
48.5%
Q1 - 6:21DETWallace 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 7:04DETPrince 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 7:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 24
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)4
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot4
46.3%
10
53.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 7:43DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot4
45.4%
10
54.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)4
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 8:08MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.1%
8
50.9%
Q1 - 8:10DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot4
49.7%
8
50.3%
Q1 - 8:35MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)4
51.2%
8
48.8%
Q1 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
52.8%
6
47.2%
Q1 - 8:42DETMISS Wallace 12' Fadeaway Jumper4
53.5%
6
46.5%
Q1 - 9:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 24
54.6%
6
45.4%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 24
53.8%
6
46.2%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
52.5%
6
47.5%
Q1 - 9:16DETMISS Hamilton Layup4
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 9:40MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)4
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 9:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 9:51DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot4
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 10:26MIAHEAT Rebound4
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 10:27DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 14
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 10:54DETWade STEAL (1 STL)2
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 10:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:59DETMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot2
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:44DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)2
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to0
58.3%
0
41.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.10 55.2%
MIA
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
21
62%
MIA
22
33
67%
Midrange
DET
18
40
45%
MIA
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIA
10
0%
Free Throws
DET
18
27
67%
MIA
16
26
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2059%10.0 / 17
R. Wallace2063%10.0 / 16
R. Hamilton1950%9.5 / 19
C. Billups1464%7.0 / 11
T. Delk1286%6.0 / 7
B. Wallace650%3.0 / 6
A. McDyess233%1.0 / 3
L. Hunter225%1.0 / 4
M. Evans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2956%14.5 / 26
S. O'Neal2864%14.0 / 22
A. Walker627%3.0 / 11
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
G. Payton420%2.0 / 10
S. Anderson450%2.0 / 4
U. Haslem338%1.5 / 4
D. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+10
-10
85
MIA
78
+12
-9
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.10 55.2%
MIA
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
108.0
DET 111.8
MIA 94.3 +17.5
Pace
87.4
92.2
DET 81.1
MIA 91.5 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
15.9
DET 17.8
MIA 15.7 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
51.7%
DET 52.7% +8.1%
MIA 44.6%
TO %
12.2%
15.0%
DET 11.5%
MIA 11.4% +0.1%
ORB %
28.9%
26.8%
DET 23.7%
MIA 25.0% +1.3%
FTrt
29.7
36.3
DET 37.0 +1.9
MIA 35.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.1%
55.7%
DET 52.8% +4.3%
MIA 48.5%
STL %
8.0%
6.9%
DET 5.9% +2.5%
MIA 3.4%
BLK %
9.0%
8.5%
DET 6.3% +3.0%
MIA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.9%
DET 55.2% +9.6%
MIA 45.6%
Rim FG%
59.0%
64.2%
DET 61.9%
MIA 66.7% +4.8%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.9%
DET 45.0% +9.5%
MIA 35.5%
3P %
38.4%
34.5%
DET 41.7% +41.7%
MIA 0.0%
FT %
72.7%
70.0%
DET 66.7% +5.2%
MIA 61.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.3%
39.3%
DET 28.8%
MIA 44.6% +15.8%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
38.0%
DET 54.8%
MIA 41.9% +12.9%
3P Att. %
22.1%
22.7%
DET 16.4% +2.9%
MIA 13.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points9582
Rebounds4240
Assists1916
Steals53
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals36-7333-74
At-the-Rim FG13-2122-33
Midrange FG18-4011-31
2-Point FG31-6133-64
3-Point FG5-120-10
Free Throws18-2716-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 26
39.7
20
59%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
4-6
67%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 28
38.9
19
50%
5
3
0
0
1
1
1
4
5-6
83%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 32
37.3
20
63%
8
2
1
1
0
2
0
8
4-5
80%
5-12
42%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 240 · 32
36.0
6
50%
9
0
2
3
1
4
1
8
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
34.4
14
64%
2
9
0
0
4
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32
22.7
2
33%
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 35
13.6
2
25%
2
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 32
12.3
12
86%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27
5.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24
C · 6'11" 275 · 32
#54 · F · 6'7" 260 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'5" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
42
19
5
4
10
0
9
33
18-27
67%
31-61
51%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.