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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Lakers42%95108
12Nuggets58%98110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
45.8
37.3
42
55%
8
1
0
2
0
3
3
5
13-14
93%
10-25
10-20
40%
48%
3-7
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.1
42.4
34.2
15
58%
13
4
0
1
1
4
5
8
5-9
56%
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
38.9
39.1
16
58%
5
3
2
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
1-2
50%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
31.7
31.7
6
30%
3
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
51%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
14.9
18.9
4
50%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
37.6
24.1
12
43%
7
6
2
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-10
2-5
30%
45%
2-4
50%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
28.7
13.8
4
33%
4
1
2
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.1
9.1
16.3
5
125%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
1-1
100%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.5
8.8
3.5
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.2
7.0
12.1
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.5
4.4
0
0-0
45%
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.4
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.4
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
44.3
35.3
33
48%
4
5
1
1
2
1
0
4
8-10
80%
11-25
9-17
44%
50%
1-5
20%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
41.2
24.6
12
71%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
3-5
60%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
40.1
31.8
15
47%
4
7
0
1
0
3
2
2
5-7
71%
5-13
4-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
40.0
31.6
10
42%
11
6
1
1
2
2
2
9
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
32.6
12.6
21
94%
11
0
1
0
0
2
6
5
5-5
100%
8-9
1-2
89%
50%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.7
27.9
23.9
9
39%
5
3
2
1
2
2
1
4
5-6
83%
2-9
4-8
22%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.9
15.5
21.2
4
69%
11
0
0
1
0
2
5
6
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
12.9
15.5
4
25%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-4
1-3
0%
41%
1-3
33%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
4.0
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
3.9
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
2.6
7.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
1.7
0
0-1
48%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.8
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.