FinalWin Prob.pScore
846%98
99
1154%99
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.29589.6
WAS logo WAS
91.594100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0WASMISS Taylor 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAKapono Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)99
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0WASBlatche 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)99
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0WASBlatche Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)99
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIASimien Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02WASStorey Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02WASMISS Storey Free Throw 1 of 299
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02WASStorey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIABlatche BLOCK (1 BLK)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22WASTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43WASThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIATaylor STEAL (2 STL)97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIASimien Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)97
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIASimien Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)96
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 2:17MIAStorey BLOCK (1 BLK)95
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 2:34WASStorey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)95
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 2:34WASStorey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34WASWIZARDS Rebound95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIAHeat Rebound95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot95
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 3:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)95
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19WASMISS Blatche 3PT Jump Shot95
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 3:29MIATaylor STEAL (1 STL)95
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 3:48WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)95
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 3:48WASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 295
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 4:01MIAAnderson 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)95
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 4:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)93
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 4:16WASMISS Taylor 5' Jump Shot93
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 4:25WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 4:43WASBlatche 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)93
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 5:01WASTaylor Free Throw Clear Path (1 PTS)93
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 5:02WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot93
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 5:12WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18)93
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 5:38WASDaniels 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)91
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 5:45MIAO'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (27 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)91
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 5:50MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot89
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 6:04MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 6:05WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 289
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 6:05WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)89
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 6:16MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 6:16MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 6:32WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)87
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 6:37WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot87
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 6:54MIAHeat Rebound87
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Anderson 3' Jump Shot87
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 7:01WASBooth Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)87
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 7:08WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 7:10WASMISS Taylor 3PT Jump Shot87
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 7:20WASBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Payton 2' Layup87
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 7:51WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAO'Neal Layup (25 PTS)87
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 8:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Payton 10' Jump Shot85
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 8:24WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)85
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 8:24WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 285
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 8:29MIADaniels STEAL (2 STL)85
97.9%
69
2.1%
Q4 - 8:45WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
98.4%
69
1.6%
Q4 - 8:45WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
98.5%
68
1.5%
Q4 - 8:58MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)85
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 9:24MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q4 - 9:26WASMISS Blatche 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q4 - 9:49MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T14)82
96.7%
67
3.3%
Q4 - 9:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q4 - 9:56WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)82
96.0%
67
4.0%
Q4 - 10:37WASBooth 1' Layup (4 PTS)79
94.0%
67
6.0%
Q4 - 10:39WASBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 10:41WASMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot79
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q4 - 10:57MIAO'Neal 6' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)79
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 11:22WASBooth 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)77
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)77
94.3%
63
5.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound75
93.1%
63
6.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot75
92.0%
63
8.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)75
92.1%
63
7.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)75
90.5%
63
9.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0WASDaniels Foul Turnover (P3.T15)75
92.1%
63
7.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
90.5%
63
9.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot75
91.1%
63
8.9%
Q3 - 1:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)75
91.1%
63
8.9%
Q3 - 1:09WASMISS Blatche 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
90.6%
63
9.4%
Q3 - 1:20WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
89.4%
63
10.6%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Payton 11' Jump Shot75
90.0%
63
10.0%
Q3 - 1:36MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
91.2%
63
8.8%
Q3 - 1:37WASMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
90.7%
63
9.3%
Q3 - 1:58MIAHaslem Layup (13 PTS)75
89.4%
63
10.6%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)73
87.5%
63
12.5%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot73
84.3%
63
15.7%
Q3 - 2:19WASDaniels Driving Layup (20 PTS)73
86.2%
63
13.8%
Q3 - 2:42MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)73
88.1%
61
11.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
90.1%
61
9.9%
Q3 - 2:59WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 273
89.9%
61
10.1%
Q3 - 2:59WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 273
88.9%
61
11.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIADoleac 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)73
87.3%
61
12.7%
Q3 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)71
85.4%
61
14.6%
Q3 - 3:32WASMISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot71
84.6%
61
15.4%
Q3 - 3:48MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T11)71
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 3:58WASArenas Foul Turnover (P4.T14)71
85.4%
61
14.6%
Q3 - 4:01WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
81.5%
61
18.5%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Walker 1' Layup71
82.4%
61
17.6%
Q3 - 4:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
84.4%
61
15.6%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot71
82.5%
61
17.5%
Q3 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
84.4%
61
15.6%
Q3 - 4:27WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot71
83.6%
61
16.4%
Q3 - 4:45WASWIZARDS Rebound71
81.7%
61
18.3%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
82.6%
61
17.4%
Q3 - 5:09WASArenas 12' Jump Bank Shot (28 PTS)71
83.4%
61
16.6%
Q3 - 5:15WASWIZARDS Rebound71
85.5%
59
14.5%
Q3 - 5:17WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot71
87.0%
59
13.0%
Q3 - 5:36MIAO'Neal 3' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)71
85.5%
59
14.5%
Q3 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
83.5%
59
16.5%
Q3 - 5:54WASMISS Haywood 5' Jump Shot69
82.7%
59
17.3%
Q3 - 6:16MIAPayton 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)69
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 6:30MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
77.3%
59
22.7%
Q3 - 6:32WASMISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot67
76.4%
59
23.6%
Q3 - 6:46WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
74.2%
59
25.8%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 267
74.6%
59
25.4%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 267
75.9%
59
24.1%
Q3 - 7:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 7:09WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
75.3%
59
24.7%
Q3 - 7:21MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)67
73.0%
59
27.0%
Q3 - 7:26WASHaywood Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)65
70.3%
59
29.7%
Q3 - 7:28WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
66.5%
59
33.5%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot65
67.7%
59
32.3%
Q3 - 7:44WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
70.3%
59
29.7%
Q3 - 7:44WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
70.8%
58
29.2%
Q3 - 7:56MIAO'Neal 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)65
73.0%
57
27.0%
Q3 - 8:01WASDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
69.9%
57
30.1%
Q3 - 8:07WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
66.2%
57
33.8%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
67.3%
57
32.7%
Q3 - 8:25WASHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)63
69.9%
57
30.1%
Q3 - 8:34WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
66.2%
57
33.8%
Q3 - 8:36WASMISS Arenas 1' Layup63
68.8%
57
31.2%
Q3 - 8:41WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
66.2%
57
33.8%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
67.3%
57
32.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
69.9%
57
30.1%
Q3 - 8:57WASMISS Jamison 4' Jump Shot63
68.8%
57
31.2%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T10)63
65.5%
57
34.5%
Q3 - 9:24WASArenas Foul Turnover (P3.T10)63
68.9%
57
31.1%
Q3 - 9:28WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
65.5%
57
34.5%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
66.6%
57
33.4%
Q3 - 9:53WASJamison 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)63
68.9%
57
31.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAPayton 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 10:22WASArenas 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)61
68.4%
55
31.6%
Q3 - 10:43MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)61
71.1%
53
28.9%
Q3 - 10:57WASJamison 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)59
68.4%
53
31.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAPayton 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)59
70.6%
51
29.4%
Q3 - 11:20WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)57
67.8%
51
32.2%
Q3 - 11:31MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)57
64.5%
51
35.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path (7 PTS)57
67.8%
51
32.2%
Q3 - 11:45WASDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)56
64.7%
51
35.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
64.7%
51
35.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Jeffries 39' 3PT Jump Shot56
62.8%
51
37.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJeffries STEAL (2 STL)56
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0WASRuffin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
63.6%
51
36.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWalker 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
57.3%
51
42.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
57.7%
50
42.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
61.4%
49
38.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot54
62.1%
49
37.9%
Q2 - 1:15WASJeffries Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)54
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q2 - 1:21WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Anderson 14' Jump Shot54
61.7%
49
38.3%
Q2 - 1:42WASJamison 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)54
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q2 - 1:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
67.2%
47
32.8%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 253
66.6%
47
33.4%
Q2 - 2:00MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
65.8%
47
34.2%
Q2 - 2:02WASMISS Daniels 3' Layup53
64.9%
47
35.1%
Q2 - 2:15MIAPayton 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)53
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q2 - 2:33WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)51
59.9%
47
40.1%
Q2 - 2:56MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS)51
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
62.9%
44
37.1%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Anderson 4' Jump Shot49
61.0%
44
39.0%
Q2 - 3:16WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)49
62.4%
44
37.6%
Q2 - 3:21WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup49
68.4%
41
31.6%
Q2 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
70.4%
41
29.6%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot49
68.4%
41
31.6%
Q2 - 3:43WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
70.4%
41
29.6%
Q2 - 3:43WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
70.8%
40
29.2%
Q2 - 3:49WASArenas Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)49
72.6%
39
27.4%
Q2 - 4:06MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)49
74.0%
38
26.0%
Q2 - 4:24WASJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)47
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 4:31MIAO'Neal 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)47
69.4%
38
30.6%
Q2 - 4:47WASDaniels 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)45
66.9%
38
33.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)45
68.9%
36
31.1%
Q2 - 5:12WASJeffries Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)43
66.6%
36
33.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)43
63.8%
36
36.2%
Q2 - 5:34MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
61.4%
36
38.6%
Q2 - 5:36WASMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot41
60.5%
36
39.5%
Q2 - 5:51MIAAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)41
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q2 - 6:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
53.1%
36
46.9%
Q2 - 6:02WASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 238
52.7%
36
47.3%
Q2 - 6:02WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)38
50.8%
36
49.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
52.6%
35
47.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
50.4%
35
49.6%
Q2 - 6:22WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot36
49.4%
35
50.6%
Q2 - 6:31WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 136
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
44.9%
35
55.1%
Q2 - 6:40WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
43.9%
35
56.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)34
41.7%
35
58.3%
Q2 - 7:13WASRuffin Foul Turnover (P1.T3)32
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 7:16WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 7:17WASMISS Daniels 8' Jump Shot32
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 7:23MIAJeffries STEAL (1 STL)32
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 7:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 7:26WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 7:44WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 232
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q2 - 7:46MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
39.2%
35
60.8%
Q2 - 7:57WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)31
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 7:57WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)31
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
37.3%
33
62.7%
Q2 - 8:25WASMISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot29
36.5%
33
63.5%
Q2 - 8:41WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
34.6%
33
65.4%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 8:47MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
37.3%
33
62.7%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot29
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 9:06WASArenas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)29
37.4%
33
62.6%
Q2 - 9:26MIAAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)29
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 9:35WASMISS Daniels 3' Jump Shot26
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)26
32.5%
31
67.5%
Q2 - 10:04WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)23
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 10:04WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 10:30MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)23
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 10:42MIAHeat Rebound21
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot21
27.1%
29
72.9%
Q2 - 10:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q2 - 10:55WASMISS Booth 18' Jump Shot21
28.0%
29
72.0%
Q2 - 11:15MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)21
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q2 - 11:21MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.9%
29
75.1%
Q2 - 11:23WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot19
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 11:40WASWIZARDS Rebound19
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 11:40WASMISS Ruffin 1' Layup19
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 11:41WASRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 11:42WASMISS Daniels 3' Jump Shot19
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS19
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q1 - 0:14.0WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)19
24.9%
29
75.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIADoleac 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)19
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0WASDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q1 - 1:15MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T6)17
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q1 - 1:27WASArenas Foul Turnover (P1.T1)17
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q1 - 1:31WASWIZARDS Rebound17
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q1 - 1:31WASMISS Arenas 4' Jump Shot17
26.5%
26
73.5%
Q1 - 1:39MIAArenas STEAL (1 STL)17
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q1 - 1:57WASJamison 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q1 - 2:14WASWIZARDS Rebound17
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Kapono 1' Layup17
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q1 - 2:25WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q1 - 2:36MIAAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)17
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 2:58WASArenas 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)14
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q1 - 3:17MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T4)14
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 3:29MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 3:31WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 3:33WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 3:34WASMISS Jamison 2' Layup14
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 3:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)14
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 4:10WASDaniels 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)11
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q1 - 4:17WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 4:41WASHaywood Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 4:42WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 4:43WASMISS Jeffries 18' Jump Shot11
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 5:04WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 5:15WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)11
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 5:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 5:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 6:01WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
34.5%
15
65.5%
Q1 - 6:01WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
34.7%
14
65.3%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 6:24WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot9
37.6%
13
62.4%
Q1 - 6:32MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)9
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 6:42WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 6:42WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 29
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 7:06MIAO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
38.4%
12
61.6%
Q1 - 7:16WASJeffries 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)7
36.8%
12
63.2%
Q1 - 7:27MIAPayton 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
38.4%
10
61.6%
Q1 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 7:53WASJeffries 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)5
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 7:56WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot5
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 8:12WASMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot5
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 8:24WASWIZARDS Rebound5
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup5
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 8:39WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jeffries 1 AST)5
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 8:58MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 9:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
42.5%
5
57.5%
Q1 - 9:04WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 9:16WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Payton 9' Jump Shot3
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 9:45WASDaniels 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)3
42.5%
5
57.5%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJamison STEAL (1 STL)3
43.9%
3
56.1%
Q1 - 10:06WASArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 10:13WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot3
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAHeat Rebound3
51.6%
0
48.4%
Q1 - 10:28MIAJeffries BLOCK (1 BLK)3
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
51.6%
0
48.4%
Q1 - 10:37WASMISS Daniels 21' Jump Shot3
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 10:55MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)3
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 11:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 11:19WASMISS Jeffries 19' Jump Shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:41WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Jeffries vs. O'Neal: Tip to Walker0
45.8%
0
54.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
WAS
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
34
65%
WAS
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
9
26
35%
WAS
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
WAS
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
16
21
76%
WAS
26
34
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2779%13.5 / 17
D. Anderson2053%10.0 / 19
G. Payton1346%6.5 / 14
U. Haslem1354%6.5 / 12
D. Wade1161%5.5 / 9
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
A. Walker531%2.5 / 8
J. Kapono233%1.0 / 3
W. Simien2-0.0 / 0
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas3071%15.0 / 21
A. Daniels2566%12.5 / 19
A. Jamison822%4.0 / 18
A. Blatche857%4.0 / 7
J. Jeffries433%2.0 / 6
C. Booth467%2.0 / 3
B. Haywood350%1.5 / 3
A. Storey3150%1.5 / 1
D. Taylor117%0.5 / 3
M. Ruffin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+17
-18
94
WAS
75
+10
-19
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
WAS
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
108.6
MIA 104.2
WAS 91.5 +12.7
Pace
92.2
93.0
MIA 89.6
WAS 100.1 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.3
MIA 16.1
WAS 14.4 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
48.4%
MIA 50.6% +6.5%
WAS 44.1%
TO %
15.0%
14.3%
MIA 17.2% +2.2%
WAS 19.4%
ORB %
26.8%
29.5%
MIA 31.6% +14.5%
WAS 17.1%
FTrt
36.3
37.5
MIA 25.6
WAS 50.0 +24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
51.2%
MIA 73.7% +36.7%
WAS 37.0%
STL %
6.9%
8.6%
MIA 11.6% +3.1%
WAS 8.5%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 10.6% +5.6%
WAS 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.4%
MIA 52.7% +2.1%
WAS 50.6%
Rim FG%
64.2%
58.0%
MIA 64.7% +14.7%
WAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.9%
37.8%
MIA 34.6%
WAS 40.0% +5.4%
3P %
34.5%
35.7%
MIA 31.8% +3.2%
WAS 28.6%
FT %
70.0%
75.7%
MIA 76.2%
WAS 76.5% +0.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
36.3%
MIA 41.5% +9.1%
WAS 32.4%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
42.8%
MIA 31.7% +5.1%
WAS 36.8%
3P Att. %
22.7%
20.9%
MIA 26.8%
WAS 30.9% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.422.5
Points9986
Rebounds4633
Assists2810
Steals118
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)26 (4)
Field Goals38-8227-68
At-the-Rim FG22-3411-22
Midrange FG9-2610-25
2-Point FG31-6021-47
3-Point FG7-226-21
Free Throws16-2126-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
33.9
13
46%
4
8
2
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
32.4
13
54%
14
1
0
1
1
2
4
10
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
32.0
27
79%
10
3
1
4
4
2
3
7
1-4
25%
13-16
81%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
28.6
5
31%
3
0
0
0
3
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
21.5
11
61%
3
8
3
0
4
5
0
3
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
37.8
20
53%
4
4
2
0
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
5-10
50%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
26.6
0
0%
5
3
1
0
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
16.0
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
6.6
2
33%
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
3.0
2
0%
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
46
28
11
5
18
0
12
34
16-21
76%
31-60
52%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.