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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets18%8677
2Mavericks82%97101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
30.1
31.8
14
57%
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
6
4-5
80%
5-9
2-6
56%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.9
27.3
35.9
9
75%
5
5
0
2
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
4-10
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
23.2
22.9
4
40%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.2
22.9
23.7
9
41%
3
2
0
0
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
20.7
31.3
4
25%
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-7
6-13
14%
50%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.5
28.8
24.3
12
61%
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.5
25.7
20.7
7
44%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.9
19.5
27.7
6
75%
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
4-9
75%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
17.4
19.9
6
47%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.6
13.1
8.4
4
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
6.2
3.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
5.2
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27.7
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
31.0
34.2
9
57%
4
8
1
1
0
5
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
29.7
36.3
19
79%
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
5-9
71%
52%
3-5
60%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
29.0
37.6
20
64%
8
5
2
1
1
1
2
6
7-8
88%
5-11
8-17
45%
50%
1-1
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
26.6
29.6
19
53%
8
2
0
1
1
0
5
3
0-2
0%
8-15
6-11
53%
51%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
17.1
19.3
4
100%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.2
28.6
16.9
13
50%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
24.7
24.9
6
56%
10
0
0
0
0
1
3
7
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
21.5
16.2
7
61%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.8
19.4
11.9
0
0%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
6.2
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
6.2
4.9
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.8
7.2
0
1-1
48%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.