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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Warriors25%9392
10Nuggets75%10295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
40.1
32.7
8
43%
19
1
1
1
0
2
4
15
2-3
67%
3-7
4-9
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.7
39.1
35.6
19
47%
1
9
2
2
0
5
0
1
6-7
86%
5-13
4-9
38%
41%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.6
33.4
33.3
18
51%
10
3
0
1
0
2
2
8
6-6
100%
3-12
4-8
25%
47%
2-3
67%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.1
24.9
27.3
3
31%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
20.3
19.1
6
32%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.4
30.8
17.8
13
44%
5
5
1
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-10
2-5
30%
44%
2-4
50%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
22.8
15.5
19
77%
4
0
0
0
1
5
2
2
3-3
100%
8-11
3-5
73%
49%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
13.6
4.4
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
7.9
10.8
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.7
7.2
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
36.0
1
5-11
47%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
6.7
0
1-1
60%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.0
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
36.9
32.8
5
23%
17
4
0
1
8
2
3
14
1-2
50%
2-10
5-10
20%
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
35.4
36.4
28
63%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
10-14
71%
9-16
9-18
56%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
34.8
29.3
11
50%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
3-8
38%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
31.3
19.7
13
87%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
29.9
33.0
6
31%
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-8
5-9
25%
50%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.7
21.7
24.1
12
44%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-8
25%
5-9
4-8
56%
54%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.9
20.2
18.3
4
31%
10
0
1
1
0
3
4
6
4-10
40%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
19.9
13.8
11
65%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
2-5
40%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
10.0
9.8
5
63%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
22.6
1
4-8
52%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
5.9
0
1-1
48%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
4.2
0
1-1
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.8
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.