FinalWin Prob.pScore
2133%90
93
1067%95
84
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
109.48591.7
MIA logo MIA
95.58882.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL93
84
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWright 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)93
84
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
82
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot93
82
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)93
82
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
80
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot93
80
Q4 - 1:19MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)93
80
Q4 - 1:39ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)93
78
Q4 - 1:53MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
78
Q4 - 1:53MIAHEAT Rebound93
77
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 293
77
Q4 - 1:53ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T3)93
77
Q4 - 1:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
77
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Simien 8' Hook Shot93
77
Q4 - 2:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
77
Q4 - 2:13ORLMagic Rebound92
77
Q4 - 2:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 292
77
Q4 - 2:13MIASUB: Wright FOR Anderson92
77
Q4 - 2:13MIAPayton S.FOUL (P3.PN)92
77
Q4 - 2:16ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
77
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
77
Q4 - 2:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
77
Q4 - 2:37ORLMagic Rebound92
77
Q4 - 2:37ORLMISS Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 292
77
Q4 - 2:37MIASUB: Simien FOR Haslem92
77
Q4 - 2:37ORLMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 292
77
Q4 - 2:37MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wade92
77
Q4 - 2:37MIAWalker P.FOUL (P4.PN)92
77
Q4 - 2:41ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
77
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot92
77
Q4 - 2:57ORLOutlaw Layup (4 PTS)92
77
Q4 - 2:59ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
77
Q4 - 3:01ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
77
Q4 - 3:13MIASUB: Walker FOR O'Neal90
77
Q4 - 3:13ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)90
77
Q4 - 3:19ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
77
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
77
Q4 - 3:34MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
77
Q4 - 3:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper90
77
Q4 - 4:04MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)90
77
Q4 - 4:13MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
75
Q4 - 4:15ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot90
75
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade Foul Turnover (P7.T20)90
75
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)90
75
Q4 - 4:34MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
75
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 290
75
Q4 - 4:36ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
75
Q4 - 4:36MIAO'Neal L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)89
75
Q4 - 4:36ORLMagic Rebound89
75
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper89
75
Q4 - 5:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
75
Q4 - 5:00ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)89
75
Q4 - 5:01ORLMISS Dooling Driving Layup87
75
Q4 - 5:26MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS)87
75
Q4 - 5:45MIASUB: Wade FOR Anderson87
73
Q4 - 5:4587
73
Q4 - 5:45ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)87
73
Q4 - 5:45ORLNelson OFF.Foul (P2)87
73
Q4 - 6:02MIAAnderson P.FOUL (P4.T4)87
73
Q4 - 6:04MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)87
73
Q4 - 6:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
73
Q4 - 6:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 187
73
Q4 - 6:22MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)87
73
Q4 - 6:22ORLHoward Dunk (12 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)87
73
Q4 - 6:34ORLMagic Rebound85
73
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup85
73
Q4 - 6:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
73
Q4 - 6:53MIASUB: Haslem FOR Wade84
73
Q4 - 6:53MIASUB: Payton FOR Simien84
73
Q4 - 6:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
73
Q4 - 6:53MIASimien S.FOUL (P3.T2)83
73
Q4 - 7:07MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)83
73
Q4 - 7:25ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ariza83
73
Q4 - 7:25ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)83
73
Q4 - 7:39MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)83
73
Q4 - 7:46MIASimien REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
73
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk83
73
Q4 - 8:05ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)83
73
Q4 - 8:22MIASUB: Anderson FOR Kapono80
73
Q4 - 8:22MIASimien L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)80
73
Q4 - 8:22ORLMagic Rebound80
73
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot80
73
Q4 - 8:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
73
Q4 - 8:40ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot80
73
Q4 - 8:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)80
73
Q4 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound80
72
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
72
Q4 - 8:59ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T2)80
72
Q4 - 9:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
72
Q4 - 9:10ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
72
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)80
72
Q4 - 9:30MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac80
71
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)80
71
Q4 - 9:30ORLOutlaw S.FOUL (P4.T1)80
70
Q4 - 9:43ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Turkoglu80
70
Q4 - 9:43MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)80
70
Q4 - 9:52ORLDooling 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)80
70
Q4 - 10:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
70
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Simien 17' Jump Shot77
70
Q4 - 10:34ORLDooling 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)77
70
Q4 - 10:57MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)75
70
Q4 - 11:13ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)75
68
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS)75
68
Q4 - 12:0075
66
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL75
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)75
66
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Milicic75
64
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Stevenson75
64
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
64
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup75
64
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
64
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot75
64
Q3 - 0:46.0MIASimien 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)75
64
Q3 - 1:02ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
62
Q3 - 1:17ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending73
62
Q3 - 1:17MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
62
Q3 - 1:24MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
60
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot73
60
Q3 - 1:32MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
60
Q3 - 1:34ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)73
60
Q3 - 1:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
60
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Doleac 14' Jump Shot73
60
Q3 - 2:04MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
60
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 273
60
Q3 - 2:05MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal73
60
Q3 - 2:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
60
Q3 - 2:05ORLStevenson S.FOUL (P3.T4)73
59
Q3 - 2:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
59
Q3 - 2:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 273
59
Q3 - 2:24ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
59
Q3 - 2:24ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)72
59
Q3 - 2:24MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)72
59
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)72
59
Q3 - 2:38MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
59
Q3 - 2:42ORLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)72
59
Q3 - 3:05MIASimien 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)72
59
Q3 - 3:16ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Nelson72
57
Q3 - 3:16ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Battie72
57
Q3 - 3:16ORLStevenson P.FOUL (P2.T3)72
57
Q3 - 3:24ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
57
Q3 - 3:24ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)71
57
Q3 - 3:24MIASimien S.FOUL (P1.T4)70
57
Q3 - 3:39MIASimien 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)70
57
Q3 - 3:59ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)70
55
Q3 - 3:59ORLMagic Rebound70
55
Q3 - 4:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
55
Q3 - 4:29MIAKapono 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
55
Q3 - 4:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 2)70
53
Q3 - 4:49MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
53
Q3 - 4:51ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot70
53
Q3 - 5:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
53
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot70
53
Q3 - 5:13MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
53
Q3 - 5:15ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot70
53
Q3 - 5:32MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
53
Q3 - 5:52ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
50
Q3 - 6:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
50
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 268
50
Q3 - 6:12MIAHEAT Rebound68
50
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 268
50
Q3 - 6:12ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T2)68
50
Q3 - 6:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
50
Q3 - 6:32ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Bank Shot68
50
Q3 - 6:53MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
50
Q3 - 6:53MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
49
Q3 - 6:53ORLBattie S.FOUL (P3.T1)68
48
Q3 - 6:53MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
48
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot68
48
Q3 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
48
Q3 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
48
Q3 - 7:11MIASUB: Simien FOR Haslem66
48
Q3 - 7:11MIAAnderson S.FOUL (P3.T3)66
48
Q3 - 7:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
48
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot66
48
Q3 - 7:26ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
48
Q3 - 7:46MIAAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)64
48
Q3 - 8:04MIASUB: Kapono FOR Payton64
45
Q3 - 8:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
45
Q3 - 8:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot64
45
Q3 - 8:20MIASUB: Anderson FOR Walker64
45
Q3 - 8:20MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)64
45
Q3 - 8:38ORLNelson Driving Layup (19 PTS)64
45
Q3 - 8:56MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)62
45
Q3 - 9:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
45
Q3 - 9:03ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot62
45
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)62
45
Q3 - 9:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
45
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Payton Finger Roll62
45
Q3 - 9:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
45
Q3 - 9:38MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 2)61
45
Q3 - 9:38ORLMagic Rebound61
45
Q3 - 9:38ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 261
45
Q3 - 9:38MIAWalker P.FOUL (P3.T2)61
45
Q3 - 9:58MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
45
Q3 - 10:17ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)61
43
Q3 - 10:21ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
43
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade Reverse Dunk58
43
Q3 - 10:28ORLWade STEAL (4 STL)58
43
Q3 - 10:41ORLMagic Rebound58
43
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot58
43
Q3 - 11:01ORLStevenson Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
43
Q3 - 11:13MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.T1)56
43
Q3 - 11:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
43
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot56
43
Q3 - 11:41MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
43
Q3 - 11:43ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot56
43
Q3 - 12:0056
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
43
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
43
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
43
Q2 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Anderson FOR Payton53
42
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
42
Q2 - 0:11.0ORLStevenson P.FOUL (P1.PN)53
41
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
41
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 253
41
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMagic Rebound53
41
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 253
41
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.PN)53
41
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)53
41
Q2 - 1:06ORLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)53
39
Q2 - 1:26MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
39
Q2 - 1:42ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
37
Q2 - 1:42ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)52
37
Q2 - 1:42ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Battie51
37
Q2 - 1:42MIAPayton T.FOUL (P1.PN)51
37
Q2 - 1:42ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
37
Q2 - 1:42MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.PN)50
37
Q2 - 1:46MIASUB: Anderson FOR Walker50
37
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T12)50
37
Q2 - 2:13ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
37
Q2 - 2:24MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)48
37
Q2 - 2:46MIAHEAT Rebound48
37
Q2 - 2:4648
37
Q2 - 2:47ORLWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)48
37
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)48
37
Q2 - 3:06ORLStevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)48
37
Q2 - 3:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
37
Q2 - 3:27ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Outlaw46
36
Q2 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound46
36
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 246
36
Q2 - 3:27ORLOutlaw P.FOUL (P3.PN)46
36
Q2 - 3:43ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)46
36
Q2 - 3:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)44
36
Q2 - 4:07MIAHaslem Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
34
Q2 - 4:07MIAHaslem Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
33
Q2 - 4:07ORLBattie FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.PN)44
32
Q2 - 4:14ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)44
32
Q2 - 4:14MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
32
Q2 - 4:14ORLStevenson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)43
32
Q2 - 4:34MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)41
32
Q2 - 4:56ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)41
32
Q2 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
32
Q2 - 5:13MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anderson39
31
Q2 - 5:13ORLOutlaw S.FOUL (P2.PN)39
31
Q2 - 5:13MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)39
31
Q2 - 5:30ORLAriza 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
29
Q2 - 5:36ORLMagic Rebound37
29
Q2 - 5:37ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)37
29
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)37
29
Q2 - 5:51MIASUB: Wade FOR Anderson37
29
Q2 - 5:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)37
29
Q2 - 5:59ORLAriza Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)37
29
Q2 - 6:03MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
29
Q2 - 6:22MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 6:24ORLMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
29
Q2 - 6:44ORLSUB: Battie FOR Milicic35
28
Q2 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound35
28
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
28
Q2 - 6:44ORLMilicic P.FOUL (P3.PN)35
28
Q2 - 6:57ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
28
Q2 - 6:57ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
28
Q2 - 6:57MIAAnderson S.FOUL (P2.T4)33
28
Q2 - 7:11MIAWalker P.FOUL (P2.T3)33
28
Q2 - 7:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
28
Q2 - 7:19MIAWalker Tip Shot (4 PTS)33
28
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup33
26
Q2 - 7:29ORLSUB: Stevenson FOR Dooling33
26
Q2 - 7:29ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo33
26
Q2 - 7:29ORLMilicic P.FOUL (P2.T4)33
26
Q2 - 7:33ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
26
Q2 - 7:33ORLOutlaw Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
26
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Milicic 12' Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 7:49ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
26
Q2 - 7:52ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 8:09MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)31
26
Q2 - 8:30MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade31
24
Q2 - 8:30MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac31
24
Q2 - 8:30ORLDooling Foul Turnover (P3.T7)31
24
Q2 - 8:30ORLDooling OFF.Foul (P2)31
24
Q2 - 8:36ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
24
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
24
Q2 - 8:55ORLDooling Driving Dunk (4 PTS)31
24
Q2 - 9:13ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot29
24
Q2 - 9:29ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
24
Q2 - 9:29ORLOutlaw P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
24
Q2 - 9:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
24
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Milicic 19' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 9:57MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)29
24
Q2 - 10:07ORLDooling P.FOUL (P1.T2)29
22
Q2 - 10:20ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Turkoglu29
22
Q2 - 10:20ORLDooling Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)29
22
Q2 - 10:41MIAAnderson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)29
22
Q2 - 11:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
20
Q2 - 11:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
20
Q2 - 11:00MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T2)27
20
Q2 - 11:06MIAAnderson L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)27
20
Q2 - 11:06ORLMagic Rebound27
20
Q2 - 11:08ORLMISS Milicic 10' Hook Shot27
20
Q2 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
20
Q2 - 11:28MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem27
19
Q2 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)27
19
Q2 - 11:28ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
18
Q2 - 11:43ORLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)27
18
Q2 - 12:0027
18
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
18
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound27
18
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 50' 3PT Jump Shot27
18
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
18
Q1 - 0:02.0MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.PN)26
18
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
18
Q1 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal24
18
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T3)24
18
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)24
18
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMilicic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)24
16
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAO'Neal Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)22
16
Q1 - 1:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
14
Q1 - 1:09ORLMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot22
14
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)22
14
Q1 - 1:30ORLDooling 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)22
14
Q1 - 1:49MIAWade Running Dunk (8 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 1:54ORLWade STEAL (3 STL)20
12
Q1 - 2:04ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot20
12
Q1 - 2:16ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson20
12
Q1 - 2:16ORLBattie P.FOUL (P1.T3)20
12
Q1 - 2:34ORLTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
12
Q1 - 2:57ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
12
Q1 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)18
12
Q1 - 2:57MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)18
12
Q1 - 3:13ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Howard18
12
Q1 - 3:13ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
12
Q1 - 3:13ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P2)18
12
Q1 - 3:32MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)18
12
Q1 - 3:45ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Stevenson18
10
Q1 - 3:45ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
10
Q1 - 3:47ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)18
10
Q1 - 4:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
10
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
10
Q1 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
10
Q1 - 4:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot18
10
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)18
10
Q1 - 4:55MIASUB: Anderson FOR Payton18
8
Q1 - 4:55MIASUB: Anderson FOR Walker18
8
Q1 - 4:55ORLHoward P.FOUL (P1.T1)18
8
Q1 - 5:12ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
8
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade Layup (6 PTS)16
8
Q1 - 5:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
6
Q1 - 5:31ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot16
6
Q1 - 5:49MIAWalker L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)16
6
Q1 - 5:50MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
6
Q1 - 6:12ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)16
6
Q1 - 6:17ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
6
Q1 - 6:32MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)14
6
Q1 - 6:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
6
Q1 - 6:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
6
Q1 - 6:38MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
6
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
6
Q1 - 6:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
6
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot12
6
Q1 - 6:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
6
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot12
6
Q1 - 7:20ORLStevenson Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)12
6
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
6
Q1 - 7:42ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)10
6
Q1 - 7:50MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)8
6
Q1 - 7:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
4
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
4
Q1 - 8:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:31MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS)8
4
Q1 - 8:35ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)8
2
Q1 - 8:47MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
2
Q1 - 9:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)8
2
Q1 - 9:07ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 9:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
2
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 9:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 9:27ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 9:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
2
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot6
2
Q1 - 9:57ORLNelson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 10:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:29ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:37ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:52ORLStevenson Running Dunk (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:12MIAWade 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:25ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 11:44ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Haslem0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
20
75%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
ORL
15
39
38%
MIA
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
7
57%
86%
MIA
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
ORL
21
30
70%
MIA
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2672%13.0 / 18
D. Howard1667%8.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu1447%7.0 / 15
D. Stevenson1192%5.5 / 6
K. Dooling950%4.5 / 9
B. Outlaw467%2.0 / 3
T. Ariza440%2.0 / 5
D. Milicic433%2.0 / 6
C. Arroyo375%1.5 / 2
T. Battie233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2761%13.5 / 22
S. O'Neal1657%8.0 / 14
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
D. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
W. Simien867%4.0 / 6
A. Walker536%2.5 / 7
J. Kapono450%2.0 / 4
D. Wright4100%2.0 / 2
M. Doleac250%1.0 / 2
G. Payton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
73
+8
-12
81
MIA
68
+10
-20
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.0
ORL 109.4
MIA 95.5 +14.0
Pace
88.1
92.2
ORL 91.7 +9.6
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.9
ORL 15.7 +1.8
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.7%
ORL 54.5% +3.0%
MIA 51.5%
TO %
16.2%
15.0%
ORL 15.0% +5.8%
MIA 20.8%
ORB %
28.6%
26.8%
ORL 12.1%
MIA 27.6% +15.5%
FTrt
36.9
36.3
ORL 45.5 +10.7
MIA 34.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
55.7%
ORL 38.2%
MIA 54.5% +16.3%
STL %
7.3%
6.9%
ORL 12.9% +6.1%
MIA 6.8%
BLK %
7.2%
8.5%
ORL 3.5%
MIA 8.5% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.9%
ORL 56.0% +2.2%
MIA 53.8%
Rim FG%
57.7%
64.2%
ORL 75.0% +3.0%
MIA 72.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.9%
ORL 38.5%
MIA 40.6% +2.1%
3P %
37.6%
34.5%
ORL 57.1% +34.9%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
73.0%
70.0%
ORL 70.0% +0.4%
MIA 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
39.3%
ORL 30.3%
MIA 37.9% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
38.0%
ORL 59.1%
MIA 48.5% +10.6%
3P Att. %
12.9%
22.7%
ORL 10.6%
MIA 13.6% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8588
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points9384
Rebounds2537
Assists1318
Steals116
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)29 (1)
Field Goals34-6633-66
At-the-Rim FG15-2018-25
Midrange FG15-3913-32
2-Point FG30-5931-57
3-Point FG4-72-9
Free Throws21-3016-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
38.8
14
47%
3
1
1
0
4
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
35.7
26
72%
2
1
2
0
3
2
0
2
5-5
100%
6-12
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
32.8
16
67%
8
1
2
1
1
3
1
7
8-13
62%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
27.7
11
92%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
25.8
2
33%
1
1
2
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
23.5
9
50%
0
1
1
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
22.3
4
67%
6
1
2
1
0
4
3
3
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
15.0
4
40%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
11.7
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
6.8
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#41 · C · 7'1" 260 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
56%
25
13
11
2
12
0
4
21
21-30
70%
30-59
51%
4-7
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.