for complete access.
All Games Sunday, April 9, 2006
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Magic
33%90
93
10
Heat
67%95
84
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
109.48591.7
MIA logo MIA
95.58882.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL93
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWright 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Simien 8' Hook Shot93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 292
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:37ORLMagic Rebound92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37ORLMISS Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 292
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:37ORLMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 292
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:41ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57ORLOutlaw Layup (4 PTS)92
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 2:59ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)90
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 3:01ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 3:19ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 3:34MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 3:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper90
98.4%
77
1.6%
Q4 - 4:04MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)90
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 4:13MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 4:15ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot90
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade Foul Turnover (P7.T20)90
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 4:34MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 290
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 4:36ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMagic Rebound89
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper89
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 5:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 5:00ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)89
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 5:01ORLMISS Dooling Driving Layup87
96.6%
75
3.4%
Q4 - 5:26MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS)87
97.4%
75
2.6%
Q4 - 5:45ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)87
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)87
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 6:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q4 - 6:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 187
97.1%
73
2.9%
Q4 - 6:34ORLMagic Rebound85
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup85
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 6:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
94.6%
73
5.4%
Q4 - 6:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
94.1%
73
5.9%
Q4 - 7:07MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)83
90.8%
73
9.2%
Q4 - 7:25ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)83
88.0%
73
12.0%
Q4 - 7:39MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)83
91.0%
73
9.0%
Q4 - 7:46MIASimien REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
88.1%
73
11.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk83
90.2%
73
9.8%
Q4 - 8:05ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)83
85.8%
73
14.2%
Q4 - 8:22ORLMagic Rebound80
78.6%
73
21.4%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot80
77.2%
73
22.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
73.9%
73
26.1%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot80
75.5%
73
24.5%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)80
78.7%
73
21.3%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
79.5%
72
20.5%
Q4 - 9:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
76.0%
72
24.0%
Q4 - 9:10ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
77.4%
72
22.6%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)80
80.4%
72
19.6%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)80
81.1%
71
18.9%
Q4 - 9:52ORLDooling 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)80
83.9%
70
16.1%
Q4 - 10:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
74.3%
70
25.7%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Simien 17' Jump Shot77
72.9%
70
27.1%
Q4 - 10:34ORLDooling 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)77
69.5%
70
30.5%
Q4 - 10:57MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)75
64.9%
70
35.1%
Q4 - 11:13ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)75
68.1%
68
31.9%
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS)75
72.9%
68
27.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL75
76.8%
66
23.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)75
80.6%
66
19.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
81.7%
64
18.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup75
83.7%
64
16.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
81.8%
64
18.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot75
82.7%
64
17.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIASimien 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)75
84.8%
64
15.2%
Q3 - 1:02ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
85.3%
62
14.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
82.9%
62
17.1%
Q3 - 1:24MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
85.4%
60
14.6%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot73
87.1%
60
12.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
85.4%
60
14.6%
Q3 - 1:34ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)73
86.2%
60
13.8%
Q3 - 1:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
87.8%
60
12.2%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Doleac 14' Jump Shot73
87.2%
60
12.8%
Q3 - 2:04MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
83.4%
60
16.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 273
85.7%
60
14.3%
Q3 - 2:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
84.1%
60
15.9%
Q3 - 2:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
85.9%
59
14.1%
Q3 - 2:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 273
86.2%
59
13.8%
Q3 - 2:24ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
87.3%
59
12.7%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)72
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q3 - 2:38MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
83.5%
59
16.5%
Q3 - 2:42ORLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)72
84.4%
59
15.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIASimien 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)72
84.9%
59
15.1%
Q3 - 3:24ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
87.0%
57
13.0%
Q3 - 3:24ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)71
86.6%
57
13.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIASimien 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)70
85.0%
57
15.0%
Q3 - 3:59ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)70
87.0%
55
13.0%
Q3 - 3:59ORLMagic Rebound70
89.0%
55
11.0%
Q3 - 4:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
87.7%
55
12.3%
Q3 - 4:29MIAKapono 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
87.8%
55
12.2%
Q3 - 4:49MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
89.3%
53
10.7%
Q3 - 4:51ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot70
89.9%
53
10.1%
Q3 - 5:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
89.9%
53
10.1%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot70
89.4%
53
10.6%
Q3 - 5:13MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
88.2%
53
11.8%
Q3 - 5:15ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot70
88.8%
53
11.2%
Q3 - 5:32MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
90.0%
53
10.0%
Q3 - 5:52ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
92.6%
50
7.4%
Q3 - 6:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
90.2%
50
9.8%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 268
90.0%
50
10.0%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 268
89.4%
50
10.6%
Q3 - 6:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
88.7%
50
11.3%
Q3 - 6:32ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Bank Shot68
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 6:53MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
90.3%
50
9.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
90.6%
49
9.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
91.5%
48
8.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot68
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
90.5%
48
9.5%
Q3 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
90.3%
48
9.7%
Q3 - 7:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
89.3%
48
10.7%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot66
88.8%
48
11.2%
Q3 - 7:26ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
87.5%
48
12.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIAAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)64
86.0%
48
14.0%
Q3 - 8:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
88.4%
45
11.6%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot64
88.9%
45
11.1%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)64
90.0%
45
10.0%
Q3 - 8:38ORLNelson Driving Layup (19 PTS)64
88.4%
45
11.6%
Q3 - 8:56MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)62
87.0%
45
13.0%
Q3 - 9:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
83.5%
45
16.5%
Q3 - 9:03ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot62
84.1%
45
15.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)62
85.5%
45
14.5%
Q3 - 9:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
83.6%
45
16.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Payton Finger Roll62
85.0%
45
15.0%
Q3 - 9:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
83.7%
45
16.3%
Q3 - 9:38ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 261
83.0%
45
17.0%
Q3 - 9:58MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
83.8%
45
16.2%
Q3 - 10:17ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)61
84.2%
43
15.8%
Q3 - 10:21ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
80.3%
43
19.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade Reverse Dunk58
79.6%
43
20.4%
Q3 - 10:28ORLWade STEAL (4 STL)58
77.7%
43
22.3%
Q3 - 10:41ORLMagic Rebound58
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot58
79.6%
43
20.4%
Q3 - 11:01ORLStevenson Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
76.4%
43
23.6%
Q3 - 11:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
74.0%
43
26.0%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot56
73.2%
43
26.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
71.2%
43
28.8%
Q3 - 11:43ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot56
72.1%
43
27.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
74.1%
43
25.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
63.4%
43
36.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
64.0%
42
36.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
67.4%
41
32.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 253
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 253
69.4%
41
30.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)53
69.5%
41
30.5%
Q2 - 1:06ORLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)53
72.1%
39
27.9%
Q2 - 1:26MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
73.5%
39
26.5%
Q2 - 1:42ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
77.1%
37
22.9%
Q2 - 1:42ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)52
76.0%
37
24.0%
Q2 - 1:42ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
74.2%
37
25.8%
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T12)50
70.9%
37
29.1%
Q2 - 2:13ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
67.7%
37
32.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)48
64.7%
37
35.3%
Q2 - 2:46MIAHEAT Rebound48
62.1%
37
37.9%
Q2 - 2:47ORLWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)48
62.9%
37
37.1%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)48
64.7%
37
35.3%
Q2 - 3:06ORLStevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)48
60.0%
37
40.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
57.5%
37
42.5%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 246
58.8%
36
41.2%
Q2 - 3:43ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)46
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)44
54.7%
36
45.3%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHaslem Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
55.9%
34
44.1%
Q2 - 4:07MIAHaslem Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
56.5%
33
43.5%
Q2 - 4:14ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)44
61.5%
32
38.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)41
56.0%
32
44.0%
Q2 - 4:56ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)41
53.2%
32
46.8%
Q2 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 5:30ORLAriza 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q2 - 5:36ORLMagic Rebound37
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 5:37ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)37
50.4%
29
49.6%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)37
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 5:59ORLAriza Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)37
49.5%
29
50.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
46.4%
29
53.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
43.2%
29
56.8%
Q2 - 6:24ORLMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot35
44.2%
29
55.8%
Q2 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
45.9%
28
54.1%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q2 - 7:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
42.9%
28
57.1%
Q2 - 7:19MIAWalker Tip Shot (4 PTS)33
42.9%
28
57.1%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup33
47.3%
26
52.7%
Q2 - 7:33ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 7:33ORLOutlaw Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Milicic 12' Jump Shot31
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 7:49ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q2 - 7:52ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot31
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 8:09MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)31
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:30ORLDooling Foul Turnover (P3.T7)31
44.8%
24
55.2%
Q2 - 8:36ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
46.8%
24
53.2%
Q2 - 8:55ORLDooling Driving Dunk (4 PTS)31
44.8%
24
55.2%
Q2 - 9:13ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot29
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q2 - 9:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Milicic 19' Jump Shot29
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q2 - 9:57MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)29
42.0%
24
58.0%
Q2 - 10:20ORLDooling Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)29
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q2 - 10:41MIAAnderson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)29
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q2 - 11:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
48.8%
20
51.2%
Q2 - 11:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q2 - 11:06ORLMagic Rebound27
45.5%
20
54.5%
Q2 - 11:08ORLMISS Milicic 10' Hook Shot27
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q2 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q2 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)27
46.0%
19
54.0%
Q2 - 11:43ORLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)27
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound27
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 50' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
47.7%
18
52.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)24
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMilicic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)24
45.3%
16
54.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAO'Neal Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)22
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 1:09ORLMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot22
45.7%
14
54.3%
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)22
47.0%
14
53.0%
Q1 - 1:30ORLDooling 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)22
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAWade Running Dunk (8 PTS)20
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 1:54ORLWade STEAL (3 STL)20
45.2%
12
54.8%
Q1 - 2:04ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
47.0%
12
53.0%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot20
46.4%
12
53.6%
Q1 - 2:34ORLTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
44.9%
12
55.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)18
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 3:13ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 3:32MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)18
41.8%
12
58.2%
Q1 - 3:47ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)18
43.8%
10
56.2%
Q1 - 4:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
45.6%
10
54.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 4:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot18
43.8%
10
56.2%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)18
45.6%
10
54.4%
Q1 - 5:12ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade Layup (6 PTS)16
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 5:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 5:31ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot16
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 5:50MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
48.5%
6
51.5%
Q1 - 6:12ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)16
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 6:17ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 6:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 6:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 6:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot12
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 6:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot12
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 7:20ORLStevenson Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)12
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 7:42ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)10
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 7:50MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)8
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 7:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot8
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 8:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 8:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot8
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 8:31MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS)8
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 8:35ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)8
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 8:47MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 9:07ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 9:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot6
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 9:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 9:27ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot6
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 9:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot6
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 9:57ORLNelson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot4
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:29ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 10:37ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 10:52ORLStevenson Running Dunk (2 PTS)2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 11:12MIAWade 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:25ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:44ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Haslem0
26.3%
0
73.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
20
75%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
ORL
15
39
38%
MIA
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
7
57%
86%
MIA
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
ORL
21
30
70%
MIA
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2672%13.0 / 18
D. Howard1667%8.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu1447%7.0 / 15
D. Stevenson1192%5.5 / 6
K. Dooling950%4.5 / 9
B. Outlaw467%2.0 / 3
T. Ariza440%2.0 / 5
D. Milicic433%2.0 / 6
C. Arroyo375%1.5 / 2
T. Battie233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2761%13.5 / 22
S. O'Neal1657%8.0 / 14
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
D. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
W. Simien867%4.0 / 6
A. Walker536%2.5 / 7
J. Kapono450%2.0 / 4
D. Wright4100%2.0 / 2
M. Doleac250%1.0 / 2
G. Payton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
73
+8
-12
81
MIA
68
+10
-20
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.12 56.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.0
ORL 109.4
MIA 95.5 +14.0
Pace
88.1
92.2
ORL 91.7 +9.6
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.9
ORL 15.7 +1.8
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.7%
ORL 54.5% +3.0%
MIA 51.5%
TO %
16.2%
15.0%
ORL 15.0% +5.8%
MIA 20.8%
ORB %
28.6%
26.8%
ORL 12.1%
MIA 27.6% +15.5%
FTrt
36.9
36.3
ORL 45.5 +10.7
MIA 34.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
55.7%
ORL 38.2%
MIA 54.5% +16.3%
STL %
7.3%
6.9%
ORL 12.9% +6.1%
MIA 6.8%
BLK %
7.2%
8.5%
ORL 3.5%
MIA 8.5% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.9%
ORL 56.0% +2.2%
MIA 53.8%
Rim FG%
57.7%
64.2%
ORL 75.0% +3.0%
MIA 72.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.9%
ORL 38.5%
MIA 40.6% +2.1%
3P %
37.6%
34.5%
ORL 57.1% +34.9%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
73.0%
70.0%
ORL 70.0% +0.4%
MIA 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
39.3%
ORL 30.3%
MIA 37.9% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
38.0%
ORL 59.1%
MIA 48.5% +10.6%
3P Att. %
12.9%
22.7%
ORL 10.6%
MIA 13.6% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8588
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points9384
Rebounds2537
Assists1318
Steals116
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)29 (1)
Field Goals34-6633-66
At-the-Rim FG15-2018-25
Midrange FG15-3913-32
2-Point FG30-5931-57
3-Point FG4-72-9
Free Throws21-3016-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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21 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
38.8
14
47%
3
1
1
0
4
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
35.7
26
72%
2
1
2
0
3
2
0
2
5-5
100%
6-12
50%
3-4
75%
Dwight Howard
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
32.8
16
67%
8
1
2
1
1
3
1
7
8-13
62%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
27.7
11
92%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
25.8
2
33%
1
1
2
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
23.5
9
50%
0
1
1
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
22.3
4
67%
6
1
2
1
0
4
3
3
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
15.0
4
40%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
11.7
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
6.8
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
Travis Diener
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mario Kasun
#41 · C · 7'1" 260 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Grant Hill
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
56%
25
13
11
2
12
0
4
21
21-30
70%
30-59
51%
4-7
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.