FinalWin Prob.pScore
2632%91
88
2068%97
105
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.08893.9
ORL logo ORL
120.78782.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLBatista Layup (10 PTS)88
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)86
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLChildress 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLStevenson Layup (14 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09ATLBatista Layup (8 PTS) (Grundy 2 AST)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23ORLMAGIC Rebound82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 182
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)80
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 2:53ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot80
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 3:10ORLStevenson 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)80
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 3:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 180
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 3:44ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)78
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 4:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)78
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMISS Smith Layup78
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 4:30ORLStevenson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)78
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 4:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 4:53ATLMISS Childress 3PT Jump Shot78
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 5:09ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 5:10ORLMISS Nelson Layup78
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 5:31ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 5:33ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot78
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 5:56ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 5:56ORLStevenson Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)78
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 5:57ORLMISS Nelson Layup78
9.9%
83
90.1%
Q4 - 6:02ATLTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)78
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q4 - 6:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
12.1%
83
87.9%
Q4 - 6:08ATLMISS Williams Layup78
9.8%
83
90.2%
Q4 - 6:12ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)78
12.1%
83
87.9%
Q4 - 6:36ATLHarrington Driving Layup (19 PTS)78
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 6:52ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot76
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q4 - 7:09ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 7:09ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)75
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 7:09ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 7:12ORLMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot74
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 7:33ATLChildress 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)74
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 7:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 7:46ORLMISS Milicic 21' Jump Shot71
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 8:09ATLHarrington 15' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)71
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 8:13ATLHawks Rebound69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 8:13ATLBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)69
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 8:38ORLMilicic 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)69
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 8:57ATLHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 9:09ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T11)69
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 9:22ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 9:22ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 9:24ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 9:26ATLMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot67
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 9:28ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 9:30ATLMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)67
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 9:47ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMISS Dooling Finger Roll67
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 10:05ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T10)67
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 10:22ORLAugmon Layup (4 PTS)67
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 10:24ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 10:26ORLMISS Howard Layup67
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 10:45ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)67
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 11:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 11:05ORLMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 11:23ORLMAGIC Rebound65
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 11:25ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot65
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q4 - 11:36ORLDooling Palming Turnover (P3.T10)65
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 11:44ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 265
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 11:45ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL65
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)65
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)65
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Dooling Driving Layup65
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 265
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)65
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Grundy 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 1:12ATLGrundy Driving Layup (2 PTS)65
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 1:22ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Dooling Layup63
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 1:36ATLBatista Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Batista Free Throw 1 of 262
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 1:49ORLHoward Dunk (12 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)62
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 1:57ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 1:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)61
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 1:59ORLDooling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)60
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 2:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 2:06ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 2:28ORLMilicic 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)60
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 2:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 2:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)59
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q3 - 2:50ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 3:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)58
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 3:03ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 3:18ORLDooling 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 6 AST)58
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 3:30ATLLue Foul Turnover (P2.T9)58
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 3:48ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)58
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 4:14ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)58
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 4:29ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 4:34ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 4:35ATLMISS Lue Driving Layup55
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 4:49ATLHawks Rebound55
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 4:50ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot55
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 5:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 5:08ATLMISS Batista Free Throw 2 of 255
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 5:08ATLBatista Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
14.9%
61
85.1%
Q3 - 5:08ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 5:10ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 5:16ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 5:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Running Jump Shot54
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 5:32ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 5:33ATLMISS Lue 20' Fadeaway Jumper54
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 5:56ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 5:58ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 254
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q3 - 5:58ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 5:58ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 5:59ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 6:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
13.7%
60
86.3%
Q3 - 6:22ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 6:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
15.9%
60
84.1%
Q3 - 6:30ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 6:52ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
13.7%
60
86.3%
Q3 - 7:01ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 7:03ORLMISS Battie 5' Turnaround Jump Shot52
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 7:24ATLLue 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 7:32ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)50
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q3 - 7:50ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 7:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 7:51ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot49
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 7:52ORLMISS Nelson Layup49
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 7:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 8:00ATLMISS Harrington Layup49
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 8:17ORLNelson Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 8:23ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q3 - 8:26ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot49
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 8:44ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q3 - 8:45ORLMISS Howard Layup49
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q3 - 9:12ATLLue 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)49
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 9:19ORLHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)47
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 9:31ATLTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)47
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 9:51ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)47
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 10:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 10:08ATLMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot47
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 10:15ATLHawks Rebound47
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Ivey 17' Jump Shot47
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 10:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 10:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 247
11.8%
55
88.2%
Q3 - 10:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 10:34ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot47
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q3 - 10:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 10:44ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Layup47
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q3 - 10:53ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 10:55ATLMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot47
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 11:15ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)47
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q3 - 11:38ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)47
16.2%
52
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL47
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound47
16.2%
52
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Stevenson 38' 3PT Jump Shot47
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLBattie STEAL (1 STL)47
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 247
18.1%
52
81.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)47
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)47
23.3%
49
76.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot47
23.8%
49
76.2%
Q2 - 1:04ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)47
25.0%
49
75.0%
Q2 - 1:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
31.4%
46
68.6%
Q2 - 1:19ATLMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot47
31.9%
46
68.1%
Q2 - 1:53ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)47
32.9%
46
67.1%
Q2 - 2:16ATLJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 2:35ORLMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
36.0%
43
64.0%
Q2 - 2:46ATLLue 16' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
33.5%
43
66.5%
Q2 - 2:55ORLHoward Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)43
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 3:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 3:14ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 243
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 3:14ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 3:37ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 3:40ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)42
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 3:55ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 3:55ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
33.4%
40
66.6%
Q2 - 4:16ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 4:17ATLMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot42
35.7%
39
64.3%
Q2 - 4:38ORLMilicic 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)42
37.5%
39
62.5%
Q2 - 4:45ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 4:49ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper42
41.1%
37
58.9%
Q2 - 5:11ORLDooling 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
42.7%
37
57.3%
Q2 - 5:30ATLJohnson Driving Layup (7 PTS)42
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 5:42ORLMilicic 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)40
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 6:03ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)40
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 6:18ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)40
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 6:26ATLMISS Harrington Layup40
45.4%
33
54.6%
Q2 - 6:48ORLMilicic 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)40
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 7:03ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 7:04ATLMISS Batista Layup40
49.9%
31
50.1%
Q2 - 7:06ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
51.8%
31
48.2%
Q2 - 7:07ATLOutlaw BLOCK (2 BLK)40
49.9%
31
50.1%
Q2 - 7:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
51.9%
31
48.1%
Q2 - 7:16ORLMISS Dooling Layup40
51.0%
31
49.0%
Q2 - 7:35ATLBatista Layup (4 PTS)40
49.1%
31
50.9%
Q2 - 7:36ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q2 - 7:39ATLMISS Childress 16' Running Jump Shot38
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 8:03ORLDooling 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)38
46.2%
31
53.8%
Q2 - 8:22ATLHarrington 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)38
48.4%
29
51.6%
Q2 - 8:27ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
46.2%
29
53.8%
Q2 - 8:30ORLMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 8:35ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q2 - 8:39ATLMISS Grundy 14' Fadeaway Jumper36
44.2%
29
55.8%
Q2 - 8:55ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
46.2%
29
53.8%
Q2 - 8:57ORLMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot36
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 9:17ATLWilliams Layup (3 PTS)36
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 9:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 9:21ATLOutlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)34
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 9:31ORLAriza Layup (4 PTS)34
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q2 - 9:32ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q2 - 9:34ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q2 - 9:34ORLMISS Ariza Follow Up Dunk34
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q2 - 9:37ORLMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot34
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q2 - 9:59ATLHarrington 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Grundy 1 AST)34
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q2 - 10:13ORLDooling Slam Dunk (2 PTS)32
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q2 - 10:24ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q2 - 10:24ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
42.0%
25
58.0%
Q2 - 10:36ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 10:36ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q2 - 10:53ATLHarrington 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
42.4%
23
57.6%
Q2 - 11:15ORLAriza Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)28
39.3%
23
60.7%
Q2 - 11:38ATLHarrington Driving Layup (8 PTS)28
41.8%
21
58.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL26
39.4%
21
60.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound26
39.4%
21
60.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot26
37.8%
21
62.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLTurkoglu 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)26
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
41.5%
19
58.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 126
41.7%
19
58.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.7%
19
61.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot24
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 224
37.2%
19
62.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 1:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q1 - 1:12ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 223
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 1:12ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 1:27ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 1:45ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 1:57ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 2:15ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 2:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 2:22ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup17
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 2:41ATLChildress 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
26.6%
17
73.4%
Q1 - 3:09ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)15
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 3:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 3:16ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot15
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 3:22ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 3:26ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot15
28.6%
14
71.4%
Q1 - 3:43ORLStevenson Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 3:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.8%
12
68.2%
Q1 - 4:00ATLMISS Williams Layup15
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 4:18ORLHoward Driving Dunk (4 PTS)15
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMAGIC Rebound15
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMISS Stevenson Layup15
36.9%
10
63.1%
Q1 - 4:28ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 4:30ATLMISS Smith Driving Layup15
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 4:43ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)15
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 4:54ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 4:56ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot14
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 5:13ATLHarrington Layup (6 PTS)14
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 5:36ORLStevenson Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)12
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 5:54ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 6:10ORLBattie Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)10
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 6:23ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 6:24ATLMISS Lue 5' Jump Shot10
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 6:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 6:50ORLMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot10
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 6:57ORLMAGIC Rebound10
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 6:58ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Dunk10
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 7:14ATLBatista Layup (2 PTS)10
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 7:16ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 7:18ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 7:37ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 7:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 28
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 7:37ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 28
28.9%
6
71.1%
Q1 - 7:54ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:02ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 8:19ATLJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)8
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 8:24ORLBattie Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 8:33ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
25.2%
6
74.8%
Q1 - 8:33ATLHarrington Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
25.2%
6
74.8%
Q1 - 8:35ATLMISS Harrington Layup4
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 8:36ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 8:37ATLMISS Harrington Layup4
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 8:57ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 8:59ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Turnaround Jump Shot4
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 9:25ATLIvey 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 9:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
21.3%
6
78.7%
Q1 - 9:42ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 9:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 9:51ATLMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot2
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 10:08ORLTurkoglu Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 10:20ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 10:27ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:29ORLMISS Battie 13' Turnaround Jump Shot2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:44ATLHarrington 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:02ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 11:10ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.0%
0
75.0%
Q1 - 11:12ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:20ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:39ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:40ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Nelson0
25.0%
0
75.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.3%
ORL
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
33
52%
ORL
22
38
58%
Midrange
ATL
15
33
45%
ORL
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
ORL
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
ATL
18
26
69%
ORL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington1941%9.5 / 23
J. Childress1381%6.5 / 8
J. Johnson1250%6.0 / 12
T. Lue1260%6.0 / 10
M. Williams1139%5.5 / 14
E. Batista1071%5.0 / 7
J. Smith735%3.5 / 10
R. Ivey250%1.0 / 2
A. Grundy233%1.0 / 3
J. Edwards0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2063%10.0 / 16
J. Nelson1750%8.5 / 17
H. Turkoglu1680%8.0 / 10
D. Stevenson1458%7.0 / 12
D. Milicic1381%6.5 / 8
K. Dooling1045%5.0 / 11
T. Battie750%3.5 / 7
T. Ariza450%2.0 / 4
S. Augmon4100%2.0 / 2
T. Diener0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+16
-11
93
ORL
75
+15
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.3%
ORL
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.6
ATL 100.0
ORL 120.7 +20.7
Pace
90.3
88.1
ATL 93.9 +11.2
ORL 82.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.6
ATL 15.3 +2.1
ORL 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.6%
ATL 44.3%
ORL 56.4% +12.1%
TO %
16.5%
16.2%
ATL 12.6%
ORL 11.9% +0.7%
ORB %
31.5%
28.6%
ATL 27.7%
ORL 31.6% +3.9%
FTrt
34.0
36.9
ATL 32.9 +2.1
ORL 30.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
51.4%
ATL 29.4%
ORL 65.9% +36.5%
STL %
7.8%
7.3%
ATL 8.0% +3.4%
ORL 4.6%
BLK %
7.5%
7.2%
ATL 6.2% +0.1%
ORL 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.5%
ATL 47.3%
ORL 57.7% +10.4%
Rim FG%
55.8%
57.7%
ATL 51.5%
ORL 57.9% +6.4%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.0%
ATL 45.5%
ORL 48.1% +2.6%
3P %
36.7%
37.6%
ATL 15.4%
ORL 46.2% +30.8%
FT %
75.0%
73.0%
ATL 69.2%
ORL 70.8% +1.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.9%
ATL 41.8%
ORL 48.7% +6.9%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
47.2%
ATL 41.8%
ORL 34.6% +7.2%
3P Att. %
17.8%
12.9%
ATL 16.5%
ORL 16.7% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes22.525.3
Points88105
Rebounds3946
Assists1027
Steals74
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals34-7941-78
At-the-Rim FG17-3322-38
Midrange FG15-3313-27
2-Point FG32-6635-65
3-Point FG2-136-13
Free Throws18-2617-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 20
38.6
7
35%
5
2
0
3
3
4
0
5
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
33.3
19
41%
8
1
2
0
1
2
3
5
1-2
50%
9-21
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
32.9
12
50%
4
3
0
1
3
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
6.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 25
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
33.9
13
81%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 237 · 20
31.5
11
39%
7
1
2
0
1
1
3
4
5-7
71%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
27.6
10
71%
10
0
1
0
0
2
4
6
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
19.8
12
60%
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
9.8
2
33%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 215 · 22
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
#20 · G · 6'1" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
47%
39
10
7
4
11
0
13
26
18-26
69%
32-66
48%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.