| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 110.2 | 88 | 98.4 |
 MIA | 121.8 | 87 | 78.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
78
+8
-10
86
MIA
78
+13
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.13 56.4%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 97 0% | 106 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:19.0 | TOR | Barrett Layup (2 PTS) | 97 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | MIA | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | MIA | Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | TOR | Bonner Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | TOR | Bonner Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS) | 94 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | TOR | MISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 3 | 93 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | TOR | Sow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 93 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | MIA | MISS Simien 14' Jump Shot | 93 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | TOR | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 93 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | TOR | Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 91 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | MIA | MISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 2 | 91 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | MIA | Payton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 91 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 91 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | TOR | MISS James 3PT Jump Shot | 91 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIA | Payton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9) | 91 0.2% | 103 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:48 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 91 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:50 | TOR | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:10 | MIA | Payton Layup (14 PTS) (Walker 5 AST) | 91 0.2% | 103 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:29 | TOR | James Foul Turnover (P5.T11) | 91 0.3% | 101 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:31 | TOR | Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 91 0.7% | 101 99.3% |
| Q4 - 2:33 | MIA | MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 0.5% | 101 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 91 0.5% | 101 99.5% |
| Q4 - 3:00 | TOR | MISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 0.6% | 101 99.4% |
| Q4 - 3:09 | TOR | Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 91 0.9% | 101 99.1% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | MIA | MISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 0.7% | 101 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | TOR | James Driving Layup (32 PTS) | 91 1.0% | 101 99.0% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | TOR | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 89 0.7% | 101 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | MIA | MISS Anderson 11' Jump Shot | 89 0.6% | 101 99.4% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | TOR | Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 89 0.4% | 101 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:19 | TOR | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 86 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MIA | MISS Walker 14' Jump Shot | 86 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:46 | TOR | Villanueva Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10) | 86 0.1% | 101 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | TOR | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 86 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | TOR | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIA | Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Payton 3 AST) | 86 0.4% | 101 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 86 0.7% | 98 99.3% |
| Q4 - 5:33 | TOR | MISS Villanueva 15' Jump Shot | 86 0.8% | 98 99.2% |
| Q4 - 5:41 | TOR | Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 86 1.0% | 98 99.0% |
| Q4 - 5:43 | TOR | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 0.8% | 98 99.2% |
| Q4 - 6:00 | MIA | Anderson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST) | 86 1.0% | 98 99.0% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | TOR | Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 86 1.7% | 96 98.3% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | TOR | MISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 | 85 1.6% | 96 98.4% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | MIA | Walker 10' Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 85 1.8% | 96 98.2% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | TOR | Walker STEAL (2 STL) | 85 2.3% | 94 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | MIA | Anderson Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 10 AST) | 85 4.0% | 94 96.0% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 85 5.0% | 92 95.0% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | TOR | MISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot | 85 5.4% | 92 94.6% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 85 6.6% | 92 93.4% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | MISS Anderson 9' Jump Bank Shot | 85 6.1% | 92 93.9% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | TOR | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Martin 2 AST) | 85 5.8% | 92 94.2% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | TOR | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 82 3.6% | 92 96.4% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | MIA | MISS Walker 5' Hook Shot | 82 3.3% | 92 96.7% |
| Q4 - 8:35 | TOR | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 82 2.8% | 92 97.2% |
| Q4 - 8:35 | TOR | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 81 2.7% | 92 97.3% |
| Q4 - 8:48 | MIA | Haslem 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST) | 80 2.2% | 92 97.8% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 80 3.2% | 90 96.8% |
| Q4 - 9:06 | TOR | MISS Graham 5' Jump Shot | 80 3.4% | 90 96.6% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | MIA | Doleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 4 AST) | 80 4.0% | 90 96.0% |
| Q4 - 9:49 | TOR | Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 80 5.0% | 88 95.0% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 77 3.6% | 88 96.4% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 77 3.9% | 87 96.1% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 77 4.4% | 86 95.6% |
| Q4 - 10:21 | TOR | MISS Bonner 13' Jump Shot | 77 4.7% | 86 95.3% |
| Q4 - 10:43 | MIA | Walker Driving Layup (25 PTS) | 77 5.6% | 86 94.4% |
| Q4 - 10:48 | TOR | Walker STEAL (1 STL) | 77 6.8% | 84 93.2% |
| Q4 - 11:06 | TOR | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 77 9.1% | 84 90.9% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | MIA | MISS Payton Driving Layup | 77 8.6% | 84 91.4% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 77 7.4% | 84 92.6% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | TOR | MISS Villanueva 4' Jump Bank Shot | 77 7.9% | 84 92.1% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | MIA | Haslem 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 77 9.1% | 84 90.9% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 77 10.9% | 82 89.1% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | MIA | MISS Doleac Layup | 77 12.6% | 82 87.4% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 77 10.9% | 82 89.1% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | MIA | MISS Doleac 6' Jump Shot | 77 12.6% | 82 87.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 77 10.9% | 82 89.1% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 77 13.4% | 82 86.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Peterson 34' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 11.6% | 82 88.4% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 77 13.7% | 82 86.3% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 13.0% | 82 87.0% |
| Q3 - 0:08.0 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 77 11.4% | 82 88.6% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | TOR | MISS Bonner 15' Jump Shot | 77 12.1% | 82 87.9% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | TOR | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 77 13.7% | 82 86.3% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIA | MISS Payton 7' Running Hook Shot | 77 12.9% | 82 87.1% |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 77 11.4% | 82 88.6% |
| Q3 - 0:52.0 | TOR | MISS Peterson 16' Jump Shot | 77 12.1% | 82 87.9% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | MIA | Anderson Layup (15 PTS) | 77 14.0% | 82 86.0% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 77 16.4% | 80 83.6% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | MIA | MISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot | 77 18.4% | 80 81.6% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | TOR | James 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 77 16.4% | 80 83.6% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 74 11.8% | 80 88.2% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | MISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 74 12.1% | 79 87.9% |
| Q3 - 2:04 | TOR | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 74 11.9% | 79 88.1% |
| Q3 - 2:04 | TOR | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 73 11.5% | 79 88.5% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | MIA | O'Neal Follow Up Dunk (15 PTS) | 72 10.2% | 79 89.8% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 72 11.9% | 77 88.1% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | MIA | MISS Walker 7' Jump Shot | 72 13.4% | 77 86.6% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | TOR | James Foul Turnover (P3.T7) | 72 11.9% | 77 88.1% |
| Q3 - 2:44 | TOR | Woods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 72 14.2% | 77 85.8% |
| Q3 - 2:46 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot | 72 13.4% | 77 86.6% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | TOR | Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 72 12.3% | 77 87.7% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 | 69 8.8% | 77 91.2% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (13 PTS) | 69 9.0% | 77 91.0% |
| Q3 - 3:28 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 69 10.5% | 75 89.5% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | MIA | MISS Walker Driving Layup | 69 11.8% | 75 88.2% |
| Q3 - 3:58 | TOR | Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST) | 69 10.5% | 75 89.5% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | TOR | James Free Throw Technical (20 PTS) | 66 7.9% | 75 92.1% |
| Q3 - 4:21 | MIA | Payton 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 9 AST) | 65 6.7% | 75 93.3% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | TOR | Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST) | 65 7.7% | 73 92.3% |
| Q3 - 4:58 | TOR | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 62 5.7% | 73 94.3% |
| Q3 - 5:00 | MIA | MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot | 62 5.4% | 73 94.6% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 62 5.1% | 73 94.9% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | TOR | MISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 62 5.2% | 73 94.8% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 62 5.8% | 73 94.2% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | MIA | Walker Layup (23 PTS) (O'Neal 8 AST) | 61 5.1% | 73 94.9% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 61 5.9% | 71 94.1% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | TOR | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 61 6.2% | 71 93.8% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | Anderson 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 7 AST) | 61 7.0% | 71 93.0% |
| Q3 - 6:22 | TOR | Bonner 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 61 8.3% | 69 91.7% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | TOR | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 59 7.3% | 69 92.7% |
| Q3 - 6:33 | MIA | MISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 6.9% | 69 93.1% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | TOR | Payton STEAL (2 STL) | 59 6.2% | 69 93.8% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | TOR | Woods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 7.3% | 69 92.7% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | TOR | MISS Woods Free Throw 2 of 2 | 59 6.3% | 69 93.7% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | TOR | Woods Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 59 6.9% | 69 93.1% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | TOR | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 6.3% | 69 93.7% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | MIA | MISS Walker Driving Layup | 58 6.0% | 69 94.0% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 58 5.5% | 69 94.5% |
| Q3 - 7:22 | TOR | MISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot | 58 5.8% | 69 94.2% |
| Q3 - 7:41 | MIA | Walker Dunk (21 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST) | 58 6.5% | 69 93.5% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | TOR | Peterson 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 58 7.4% | 67 92.6% |
| Q3 - 8:13 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Walker 3 AST) | 56 6.7% | 67 93.3% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 56 7.6% | 65 92.4% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | TOR | MISS James 6' Hook Shot | 56 8.0% | 65 92.0% |
| Q3 - 8:37 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 56 8.9% | 65 91.1% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | MIA | MISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot | 56 8.5% | 65 91.5% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 56 7.6% | 65 92.4% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | TOR | MISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 8.0% | 65 92.0% |
| Q3 - 9:09 | TOR | Sow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 8.9% | 65 91.1% |
| Q3 - 9:11 | MIA | MISS Anderson Layup | 56 8.5% | 65 91.5% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 56 7.7% | 65 92.3% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | TOR | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 56 7.9% | 65 92.1% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | TOR | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 56 8.6% | 65 91.4% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Payton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 55 7.8% | 65 92.2% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Payton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 55 8.0% | 64 92.0% |
| Q3 - 10:05 | TOR | Peterson 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 55 8.9% | 63 91.1% |
| Q3 - 10:17 | MIA | Haslem 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 53 7.9% | 63 92.1% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | TOR | Woods 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 53 8.9% | 61 91.1% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | TOR | Woods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 51 7.9% | 61 92.1% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | MIA | MISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 7.6% | 61 92.4% |
| Q3 - 11:02 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 51 7.0% | 61 93.0% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | TOR | MISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot | 51 7.3% | 61 92.7% |
| Q3 - 11:16 | TOR | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 51 8.0% | 61 92.0% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | TOR | Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK) | 51 7.3% | 61 92.7% |
| Q3 - 11:28 | MIA | O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 51 8.0% | 61 92.0% |
| Q3 - 11:50 | TOR | Sow Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 51 7.0% | 61 93.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 51 8.0% | 61 92.0% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 51 7.0% | 61 93.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot | 51 7.7% | 61 92.3% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 51 7.5% | 61 92.5% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 8.0% | 61 92.0% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 51 7.5% | 61 92.5% |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | TOR | MISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 7.7% | 61 92.3% |
| Q2 - 0:16.0 | TOR | Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 51 8.2% | 61 91.8% |
| Q2 - 0:18.0 | TOR | Walker BLOCK (1 BLK) | 51 7.7% | 61 92.3% |
| Q2 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 51 8.2% | 61 91.8% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | TOR | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 51 10.7% | 58 89.3% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | TOR | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 50 10.5% | 58 89.5% |
| Q2 - 1:14 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (9 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 49 9.4% | 58 90.6% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | TOR | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 49 11.2% | 56 88.8% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | TOR | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 48 10.9% | 56 89.1% |
| Q2 - 1:43 | MIA | Walker 5' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Payton 2 AST) | 47 9.4% | 56 90.6% |
| Q2 - 1:48 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 47 11.2% | 54 88.8% |
| Q2 - 1:51 | TOR | MISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 11.4% | 54 88.6% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 47 12.3% | 54 87.7% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | MIA | Walker Tip Shot (17 PTS) | 47 12.3% | 54 87.7% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | MIA | MISS Payton Driving Layup | 47 14.8% | 52 85.2% |
| Q2 - 2:27 | TOR | James 5' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS) | 47 13.9% | 52 86.1% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | MIA | Haslem Inbound Turnover (P1.T7) | 45 12.3% | 52 87.7% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | TOR | James Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 45 11.1% | 52 88.9% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | MIA | Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST) | 43 10.2% | 52 89.8% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | TOR | Woods Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 43 12.5% | 49 87.5% |
| Q2 - 3:38 | MIA | Walker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 43 14.0% | 49 86.0% |
| Q2 - 3:52 | TOR | Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Martin 1 AST) | 43 12.5% | 49 87.5% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 40 10.3% | 49 89.7% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | MIA | MISS Payton Driving Layup | 40 10.0% | 49 90.0% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | TOR | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 40 9.3% | 49 90.7% |
| Q2 - 4:28 | TOR | Woods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 7.5% | 49 92.5% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | MIA | MISS Payton Driving Layup | 37 7.3% | 49 92.7% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 37 6.7% | 49 93.3% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | TOR | MISS Villanueva 12' Jump Shot | 37 7.0% | 49 93.0% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (7 PTS) | 37 7.6% | 49 92.4% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 37 8.4% | 47 91.6% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Layup | 37 9.1% | 47 90.9% |
| Q2 - 5:14 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 37 8.4% | 47 91.6% |
| Q2 - 5:16 | MIA | MISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot | 37 9.1% | 47 90.9% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | TOR | Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST) | 37 8.4% | 47 91.6% |
| Q2 - 5:50 | MIA | Haslem Layup (9 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST) | 34 6.9% | 47 93.1% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 7.7% | 45 92.3% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 34 8.6% | 45 91.4% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 34 8.2% | 45 91.8% |
| Q2 - 6:12 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 7.7% | 45 92.3% |
| Q2 - 6:14 | TOR | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 8.0% | 45 92.0% |
| Q2 - 6:29 | MIA | Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST) | 34 8.7% | 45 91.3% |
| Q2 - 6:52 | TOR | Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 34 10.4% | 42 89.6% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | MIA | Anderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 31 8.7% | 42 91.3% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 8.2% | 42 91.8% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | TOR | MISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot | 31 8.4% | 42 91.6% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 31 9.0% | 42 91.0% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 31 9.4% | 41 90.6% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 31 8.9% | 41 91.1% |
| Q2 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 9.6% | 41 90.4% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | TOR | Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 31 8.9% | 41 91.1% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | TOR | Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 30 8.8% | 41 91.2% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | MIA | Kapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 29 8.3% | 41 91.7% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | MIA | Kapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 29 8.4% | 40 91.6% |
| Q2 - 8:15 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 9.0% | 39 91.0% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | TOR | MISS Graham Free Throw 2 of 2 | 29 9.1% | 39 90.9% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | TOR | MISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 2 | 29 9.7% | 39 90.3% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | MIA | O'Neal 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST) | 29 10.0% | 39 90.0% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | TOR | Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Graham 1 AST) | 29 10.9% | 37 89.1% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 26 9.2% | 37 90.8% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | MIA | MISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot | 26 9.0% | 37 91.0% |
| Q2 - 9:28 | TOR | Graham Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 26 8.3% | 37 91.7% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | MIA | Walker Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 23 7.0% | 37 93.0% |
| Q2 - 9:51 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 7.6% | 35 92.4% |
| Q2 - 9:53 | TOR | MISS Barrett 16' Jump Shot | 23 7.8% | 35 92.2% |
| Q2 - 10:01 | TOR | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 8.6% | 35 91.4% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | MIA | MISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot | 23 8.3% | 35 91.7% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 23 7.8% | 35 92.2% |
| Q2 - 10:20 | TOR | MISS Villanueva 11' Jump Shot | 23 8.0% | 35 92.0% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST) | 23 8.6% | 35 91.4% |
| Q2 - 10:40 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 9.3% | 33 90.7% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 10.0% | 33 90.0% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 23 9.4% | 33 90.6% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 22 9.2% | 33 90.8% |
| Q2 - 11:28 | MIA | Walker Layup (13 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST) | 21 8.6% | 33 91.4% |
| Q2 - 11:37 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 9.4% | 31 90.6% |
| Q2 - 11:41 | TOR | O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK) | 21 9.6% | 31 90.4% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 21 10.2% | 31 89.8% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 10.2% | 31 89.8% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 10.0% | 31 90.0% |
| Q1 - 0:16.0 | TOR | Raptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3) | 21 9.6% | 31 90.4% |
| Q1 - 0:16.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 21 10.2% | 31 89.8% |
| Q1 - 0:16.0 | TOR | MISS Bonner 19' Jump Shot | 21 9.8% | 31 90.2% |
| Q1 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 21 10.2% | 31 89.8% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | TOR | Sow Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST) | 21 12.4% | 28 87.6% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 19 11.2% | 28 88.8% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Payton 21' Jump Shot | 19 11.0% | 28 89.0% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | TOR | James 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 19 10.5% | 28 89.5% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | MIA | Anderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST) | 17 9.6% | 28 90.4% |
| Q1 - 2:25 | TOR | Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 17 10.5% | 26 89.5% |
| Q1 - 2:35 | TOR | Sow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 8.8% | 26 91.2% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | MIA | MISS Walker Driving Layup | 14 8.6% | 26 91.4% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 14 8.1% | 26 91.9% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | TOR | MISS Graham 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 8.3% | 26 91.7% |
| Q1 - 3:14 | MIA | Walker 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 1 AST) | 14 9.1% | 26 90.9% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 10.6% | 23 89.4% |
| Q1 - 3:28 | TOR | MISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot | 14 10.9% | 23 89.1% |
| Q1 - 3:41 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 14 11.6% | 23 88.4% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | TOR | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 14 13.4% | 20 86.6% |
| Q1 - 3:59 | MIA | Payton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 14 14.6% | 20 85.4% |
| Q1 - 4:04 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 13.3% | 20 86.7% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | TOR | MISS James 17' Jump Shot | 14 13.7% | 20 86.3% |
| Q1 - 4:15 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 14 14.6% | 20 85.4% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | TOR | Villanueva 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 14 16.6% | 17 83.4% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 15.7% | 17 84.3% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | MIA | MISS Walker Layup | 12 15.3% | 17 84.7% |
| Q1 - 5:00 | TOR | James Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 12 14.3% | 17 85.7% |
| Q1 - 5:15 | MIA | Payton 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 10 13.5% | 17 86.5% |
| Q1 - 5:23 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 14.4% | 15 85.6% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | TOR | MISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 14.7% | 15 85.3% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | MIA | Haslem 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 10 15.6% | 15 84.4% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 10 16.6% | 13 83.4% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | TOR | Peterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 16.4% | 13 83.6% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 8 15.6% | 13 84.4% |
| Q1 - 6:03 | TOR | MISS Bonner 23' Jump Shot | 8 14.8% | 13 85.2% |
| Q1 - 6:23 | MIA | Walker Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 8 15.6% | 13 84.4% |
| Q1 - 6:38 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 16.6% | 11 83.4% |
| Q1 - 6:39 | TOR | MISS Bonner 20' Jump Shot | 8 17.0% | 11 83.0% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | MIA | Payton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 8 17.8% | 11 82.2% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 16.6% | 11 83.4% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | TOR | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 8 16.9% | 11 83.1% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 8 17.8% | 11 82.2% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 8 18.0% | 10 82.0% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 17.7% | 10 82.3% |
| Q1 - 7:35 | TOR | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 8 18.1% | 10 81.9% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | TOR | James Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 8 18.9% | 10 81.1% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | MIA | O'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2) | 7 17.8% | 10 82.2% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 16.6% | 10 83.4% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | TOR | MISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot | 7 17.0% | 10 83.0% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | MIA | Haslem Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 7 17.7% | 10 82.3% |
| Q1 - 8:35 | TOR | James 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 7 18.7% | 8 81.3% |
| Q1 - 8:52 | MIA | Payton 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 5 17.7% | 8 82.3% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | TOR | Villanueva 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST) | 5 18.4% | 6 81.6% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 3 17.6% | 6 82.4% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 17.8% | 5 82.2% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | TOR | Peterson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 3 18.4% | 4 81.6% |
| Q1 - 10:04 | MIA | O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 1 17.5% | 4 82.5% |
| Q1 - 10:24 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 1 16.3% | 4 83.7% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | TOR | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 1 16.6% | 4 83.4% |
| Q1 - 10:35 | TOR | MISS James Free Throw Technical | 1 17.5% | 4 82.5% |
| Q1 - 10:51 | MIA | Payton 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 1 17.5% | 4 82.5% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | TOR | Sow Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 18.5% | 2 81.5% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | TOR | MISS Sow Free Throw 1 of 2 | 0 18.2% | 2 81.8% |
| Q1 - 11:23 | MIA | Payton Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 0 18.4% | 2 81.6% |
| Q1 - 11:35 | TOR | Payton STEAL (1 STL) | 0 19.6% | 0 80.4% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | TOR | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 20.7% | 0 79.3% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | MIA | MISS Payton 16' Jump Shot | 0 20.4% | 0 79.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Sow: Tip to Payton | 0 19.6% | 0 80.4% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.13 56.4%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
7
11
64%
MIA
22
34
65%
Midrange
TOR
9
31
29%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
TOR
26
35
74%
MIA
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. James | 32 | 59% | 16.0 / 27 | |
| M. Peterson | 23 | 61% | 11.5 / 19 | |
| D. Martin | 13 | 108% | 6.5 / 6 | |
| M. Bonner | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| C. Villanueva | 8 | 36% | 4.0 / 11 | |
| P. Sow | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| J. Graham | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| L. Woods | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| A. Barrett | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| R. Araujo | 0 | - | 0.0 / 0 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Walker | 32 | 59% | 16.0 / 27 | |
| D. Anderson | 17 | 65% | 8.5 / 13 | |
| U. Haslem | 15 | 94% | 7.5 / 8 | |
| G. Payton | 15 | 44% | 7.5 / 17 | |
| S. O'Neal | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| S. Anderson | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| M. Doleac | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| J. Kapono | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| W. Simien | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
78
+8
-10
86
MIA
78
+13
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.13 56.4%
MIA
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.7 108.0 | TOR 110.2 MIA 121.8 +11.6 |
| Pace | 91.8 92.2 | TOR 98.4 +19.7 MIA 78.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.7 15.9 | TOR 14.6 +3.7 MIA 18.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 51.7% | TOR 52.2% MIA 56.3% +4.1% |
| TO % | 13.4% 15.0% | TOR 11.7% MIA 9.1% +2.6% |
| ORB % | 25.5% 26.8% | TOR 15.4% MIA 30.6% +15.2% |
| FTrt | 31.5 36.3 | TOR 51.5 +22.7 MIA 28.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 52.9% 55.7% | TOR 48.3% MIA 61.9% +13.6% |
| STL % | 7.0% 6.9% | TOR 3.4% MIA 4.6% +1.2% |
| BLK % | 5.3% 8.5% | TOR 1.6% MIA 7.1% +5.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.4% 53.9% | TOR 56.4% MIA 57.0% +0.6% |
| Rim FG% | 57.4% 64.2% | TOR 63.6% MIA 64.7% +1.1% |
| Mid FG% | 41.3% 38.9% | TOR 29.0% MIA 48.3% +19.3% |
| 3P % | 37.5% 34.5% | TOR 50.0% +14.7% MIA 35.3% |
| FT % | 79.1% 70.0% | TOR 74.3% +4.7% MIA 69.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 31.1% 39.3% | TOR 16.2% MIA 42.5% +26.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.5% 38.0% | TOR 45.6% MIA 36.3% +9.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.4% 22.7% | TOR 38.2% +17.0% MIA 21.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
| Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 21.5 | 26.5 |
| Points | 97 | 106 |
| Rebounds | 31 | 44 |
| Assists | 14 | 26 |
| Steals | 3 | 4 |
| Blocks | 1 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (1) | 9 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 6 (2) | 11 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 25 (3) | 33 (2) |
| Field Goals | 29-68 | 42-80 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 7-11 | 22-34 |
| Midrange FG | 9-31 | 14-29 |
| 2-Point FG | 16-42 | 36-63 |
| 3-Point FG | 13-26 | 6-17 |
| Free Throws | 26-35 | 16-23 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.