FinalWin Prob.pScore
2016%83
92
284%96
80
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
113.68180.7
SAS logo SAS
95.28484.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASMISS Barry 4' Jump Shot90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLMISS Stevenson 16' Jump Shot90
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 1:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 1:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q4 - 1:26ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot90
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 1:38ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Horry 13' Jump Bank Shot90
98.3%
80
1.7%
Q4 - 1:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)90
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 1:45SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 1:53SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
97.3%
80
2.7%
Q4 - 1:55ORLMISS Milicic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot90
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 2:11ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
98.1%
80
1.9%
Q4 - 2:12SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot90
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 2:27ORLStevenson 3' Layup (10 PTS)90
96.1%
80
3.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)88
93.4%
80
6.6%
Q4 - 2:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)88
96.7%
77
3.3%
Q4 - 3:01ORLMISS Nelson 4' Jump Shot88
97.2%
77
2.8%
Q4 - 3:14ORLMagic Rebound88
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot88
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 3:31SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
93.5%
77
6.5%
Q4 - 3:33ORLMISS Milicic 20' Jump Shot88
94.3%
77
5.7%
Q4 - 3:49SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T16)88
95.9%
77
4.1%
Q4 - 4:07ORLHoward 2' Layup (22 PTS)88
94.4%
77
5.6%
Q4 - 4:27SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)86
92.4%
77
7.6%
Q4 - 4:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)86
89.3%
77
10.7%
Q4 - 4:45SASMISS Duncan 3' Slam Dunk86
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q4 - 5:03SASSPURS Rebound86
83.7%
77
16.3%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot86
85.1%
77
14.9%
Q4 - 5:13ORLMagic Rebound86
88.0%
77
12.0%
Q4 - 5:13ORLHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)86
85.2%
77
14.8%
Q4 - 5:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)86
88.1%
77
11.9%
Q4 - 5:24SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)86
89.1%
76
10.9%
Q4 - 5:32SASSPURS Rebound86
91.1%
75
8.9%
Q4 - 5:33SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup86
92.9%
75
7.1%
Q4 - 5:43ORLDuncan STEAL (2 STL)86
91.2%
75
8.8%
Q4 - 5:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
93.6%
75
6.4%
Q4 - 5:49ORLMISS Stevenson 14' Jump Shot86
92.0%
75
8.0%
Q4 - 6:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
90.3%
75
9.7%
Q4 - 6:09SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot86
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q4 - 6:26ORLMilicic 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)86
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q4 - 6:47ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
84.0%
75
16.0%
Q4 - 7:09ORLFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)84
75.4%
75
24.6%
Q4 - 7:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
79.4%
75
20.6%
Q4 - 7:33SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 284
78.7%
75
21.3%
Q4 - 7:33SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 284
75.8%
75
24.2%
Q4 - 7:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)84
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q4 - 7:46ORLMISS Battie 7' Jump Shot84
75.7%
75
24.3%
Q4 - 8:04ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
75.3%
75
24.7%
Q4 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot84
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q4 - 8:30ORLStevenson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)84
70.4%
75
29.6%
Q4 - 8:54SASHorry 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)84
75.7%
75
24.3%
Q4 - 9:13ORLDooling 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
76.3%
73
23.7%
Q4 - 9:37SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)82
72.1%
73
27.9%
Q4 - 9:55SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
80.6%
70
19.4%
Q4 - 9:57SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot82
83.2%
70
16.8%
Q4 - 10:14ORLBattie 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)82
77.7%
70
22.3%
Q4 - 10:37SASSPURS Rebound80
73.9%
70
26.1%
Q4 - 10:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)80
73.9%
70
26.1%
Q4 - 10:37SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 280
75.2%
69
24.8%
Q4 - 10:46SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
73.6%
69
26.4%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
76.8%
69
23.2%
Q4 - 10:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)80
73.6%
69
26.4%
Q4 - 10:56ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)80
75.1%
69
24.9%
Q4 - 11:08ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
76.1%
69
23.9%
Q4 - 11:10SASMISS Horry 17' Jump Shot80
74.8%
69
25.2%
Q4 - 11:29ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
71.8%
69
28.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL78
67.5%
69
32.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
67.5%
69
32.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup78
65.9%
69
34.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLMilicic 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)78
59.2%
69
40.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
54.3%
69
45.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot76
52.7%
69
47.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
49.2%
69
50.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMilicic 1' Layup (8 PTS)76
49.2%
69
50.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
44.1%
69
55.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Milicic 1' Tip Shot74
40.6%
69
59.4%
Q3 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot74
40.6%
69
59.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)74
44.2%
69
55.8%
Q3 - 1:01SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
51.2%
66
48.8%
Q3 - 1:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
56.2%
66
43.8%
Q3 - 1:03ORLMISS Battie 3' Tip Shot74
52.7%
66
47.3%
Q3 - 1:04ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
56.2%
66
43.8%
Q3 - 1:04ORLMISS Battie 2' Layup74
52.7%
66
47.3%
Q3 - 1:06ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
52.7%
66
47.3%
Q3 - 1:24SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T14)74
56.3%
66
43.7%
Q3 - 1:34SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
51.4%
66
48.6%
Q3 - 1:36ORLMISS Nelson 14' Jump Shot74
52.9%
66
47.1%
Q3 - 1:57SASHorry 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)74
56.5%
66
43.5%
Q3 - 2:12ORLFinley STEAL (2 STL)74
57.6%
64
42.4%
Q3 - 2:26SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
62.6%
64
37.4%
Q3 - 2:48ORLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)74
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 2:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
71.0%
62
29.0%
Q3 - 2:53SASMISS Udrih 5' Running Jump Shot74
69.7%
62
30.3%
Q3 - 3:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
64.7%
62
35.3%
Q3 - 3:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 273
63.4%
62
36.6%
Q3 - 3:35SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)73
65.0%
62
35.0%
Q3 - 3:55ORLDooling 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)73
60.6%
62
39.4%
Q3 - 4:00ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
56.5%
62
43.5%
Q3 - 4:03SASMISS Barry 3' Layup71
52.3%
62
47.7%
Q3 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
48.9%
62
51.1%
Q3 - 4:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot71
50.5%
62
49.5%
Q3 - 4:38SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Barry 5 AST)71
54.1%
62
45.9%
Q3 - 5:01ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
55.9%
60
44.1%
Q3 - 5:17SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (26 PTS)69
52.1%
60
47.9%
Q3 - 5:38SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
55.9%
58
44.1%
Q3 - 5:40ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
57.3%
58
42.7%
Q3 - 5:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
60.4%
58
39.6%
Q3 - 5:53SASMISS Barry 8' Jump Shot69
59.0%
58
41.0%
Q3 - 6:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 169
54.0%
58
46.0%
Q3 - 6:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 6:08ORLHoward 2' Layup (19 PTS)69
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 6:10ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Jump Shot67
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 6:34SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
49.9%
58
50.1%
Q3 - 6:34SASHorry 2' Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)67
49.9%
58
50.1%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot67
56.6%
56
43.4%
Q3 - 7:01ORLNelson 2' Layup (17 PTS)67
51.6%
56
48.4%
Q3 - 7:04SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)65
48.3%
56
51.7%
Q3 - 7:13ORLTurkoglu 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)65
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q3 - 7:28SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T11)63
40.7%
56
59.3%
Q3 - 7:33SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
36.5%
56
63.5%
Q3 - 7:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Finger Roll63
37.8%
56
62.2%
Q3 - 8:01SASParker 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)63
39.6%
56
60.4%
Q3 - 8:15ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)63
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q3 - 8:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
36.1%
54
63.9%
Q3 - 8:36SASNesterovic 2' Layup (2 PTS)60
36.1%
54
63.9%
Q3 - 8:38SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
42.1%
52
57.9%
Q3 - 8:51ORLBattie 1' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)60
39.2%
52
60.8%
Q3 - 9:08SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)58
34.0%
52
66.0%
Q3 - 9:29ORLStevenson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)58
30.8%
52
69.2%
Q3 - 9:35SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)56
27.9%
52
72.1%
Q3 - 9:52ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)56
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q3 - 10:00ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
22.4%
52
77.6%
Q3 - 10:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 154
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q3 - 10:14SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q3 - 10:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot54
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q3 - 10:30SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)54
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 10:42ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)54
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q3 - 10:59ORLMagic Rebound54
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 11:00SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot54
25.9%
50
74.1%
Q3 - 11:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 11:20ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot54
23.7%
50
76.3%
Q3 - 11:43SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)54
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL54
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 7' Tip Shot54
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)54
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)51
17.9%
50
82.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)51
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 1:10SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)48
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 1:38ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 1:56SASMohammed 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)46
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 2:20ORLTurkoglu 7' Running Finger Roll (9 PTS)46
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q2 - 2:46SASDuncan 6' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)44
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 3:07ORLNelson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)44
19.0%
41
81.0%
Q2 - 3:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
17.4%
41
82.6%
Q2 - 3:15SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot42
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 3:35ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)42
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 3:51ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 3:53ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot39
11.9%
41
88.1%
Q2 - 4:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
12.5%
41
87.5%
Q2 - 4:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 239
12.3%
41
87.7%
Q2 - 4:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)39
11.6%
41
88.4%
Q2 - 4:36SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 4:37ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot39
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q2 - 4:42SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)39
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 5:00ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 5:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 5:06SASMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot37
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 5:15ORLVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)37
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 5:36SASDuncan 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)37
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 5:54SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
12.3%
38
87.7%
Q2 - 5:56ORLMISS Stevenson 15' Jump Shot37
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q2 - 6:15SASParker 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)37
13.6%
38
86.4%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Finley Free Throw Technical37
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 6:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 6:45ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 237
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 6:45ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 6:49ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
15.0%
36
85.0%
Q2 - 6:51SASMISS Mohammed 1' Layup36
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 6:59ORLFinley STEAL (1 STL)36
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 7:08ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 7:10SASMISS Mohammed 12' Turnaround Jump Shot36
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 7:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 7:18SASMISS Barry 4' Jump Shot36
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 7:20SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 7:22SASMISS Barry 8' Jump Shot36
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot36
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 7:54SASMohammed Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)36
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 8:01SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 8:03ORLMISS Dooling 2' Layup36
13.7%
36
86.3%
Q2 - 8:07SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)36
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 8:22SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMISS Battie 9' Jump Shot36
13.7%
36
86.3%
Q2 - 8:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)36
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 8:56ORLDooling 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q2 - 9:08SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)34
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q2 - 9:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 9:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 234
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 9:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 9:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 9:32SASMISS Horry 2' Layup33
14.0%
33
86.0%
Q2 - 9:46ORLMilicic 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)33
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 9:53ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 10:08ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 10:08ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 10:35SASFinley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)29
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 10:43SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q2 - 11:02SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q2 - 11:04SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot29
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 11:27ORLMilicic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)29
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q2 - 11:49SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)27
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS27
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot27
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASFinley 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)25
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLHoward 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 1:00SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q1 - 1:11ORLNelson 1' Layup (6 PTS)23
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 1:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot21
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 1:37SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 1:39ORLHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)21
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 1:54SASFinley 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)21
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 2:07ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
9.9%
24
90.1%
Q1 - 2:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 2:15SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot19
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q1 - 2:35ORLHoward 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)19
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 2:49SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
7.6%
24
92.4%
Q1 - 2:49SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
7.7%
23
92.3%
Q1 - 2:53SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 2:55ORLMISS Nelson 1' Layup17
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q1 - 3:10SASDuncan Reverse Dunk (12 PTS)17
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 3:37ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)17
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 3:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 4:00SASMISS Duncan 3' Alley Oop Layup15
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 4:15SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 4:18ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot15
8.4%
20
91.6%
Q1 - 4:33SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)15
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 4:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 4:55ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 4:55ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)15
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 4:57ORLMISS Howard Layup15
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 5:02ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 5:06SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Hook Shot15
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 5:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 5:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 5:45SASParker 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)13
8.8%
18
91.2%
Q1 - 5:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 5:54ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot13
9.7%
16
90.3%
Q1 - 6:13SASParker Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T2)13
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 6:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 6:26ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 113
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 6:45SASDuncan 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)11
8.8%
16
91.2%
Q1 - 6:50ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)11
9.4%
14
90.6%
Q1 - 7:01SASParker 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 7:16ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 7:35SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 7:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 7:51ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot11
12.6%
10
87.4%
Q1 - 8:12SASParker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 8:15ORLHoward 7' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)11
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 8:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
13.0%
8
87.0%
Q1 - 8:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 8:50SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 8:52ORLMISS Stevenson 1' Reverse Layup9
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 8:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 8:57ORLMISS Battie 12' Turnaround Jump Shot9
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 9:12SASDuncan Dunk (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)9
14.7%
6
85.3%
Q1 - 9:14SASSPURS Rebound9
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 9:14SASMISS Barry 7' Jump Shot9
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 9:36ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 9:54ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 9:56SASMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 17
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 10:12ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)7
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 10:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 10:18SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 10:36ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)5
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 10:44SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 11:03ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 11:15SASParker 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)0
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 11:41ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Mohammed vs. Howard: Tip to Turkoglu0
11.8%
0
88.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.06 52.9%
SAS
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
32
47%
SAS
17
29
59%
Midrange
ORL
21
41
51%
SAS
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
4
50%
75%
SAS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
ORL
14
19
74%
SAS
9
16
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2261%11.0 / 18
J. Nelson1953%9.5 / 18
H. Turkoglu1563%7.5 / 12
D. Milicic1464%7.0 / 11
D. Stevenson1050%5.0 / 10
T. Battie633%3.0 / 9
K. Dooling650%3.0 / 6
T. Ariza0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3167%15.5 / 23
M. Finley1673%8.0 / 11
T. Parker1255%6.0 / 11
R. Horry950%4.5 / 9
B. Barry523%2.5 / 11
B. Bowen375%1.5 / 2
N. Mohammed225%1.0 / 4
R. Nesterovic233%1.0 / 3
N. Van Exel0-0.0 / 3
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
72
+11
-9
83
SAS
68
+14
-16
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.06 52.9%
SAS
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
107.1
ORL 113.6
SAS 95.2 +18.3
Pace
88.1
88.8
ORL 80.7
SAS 84.4 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.9
ORL 17.9
SAS 17.1 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.3%
ORL 50.6% +2.0%
SAS 48.6%
TO %
16.2%
14.8%
ORL 9.5% +7.2%
SAS 16.7%
ORB %
28.6%
26.1%
ORL 24.4%
SAS 27.5% +3.1%
FTrt
36.9
29.8
ORL 24.7 +2.8
SAS 21.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
57.4%
ORL 39.5%
SAS 66.7% +27.2%
STL %
7.3%
7.4%
ORL 11.1% +4.0%
SAS 7.1%
BLK %
7.2%
8.4%
ORL 8.5% +1.7%
SAS 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.1%
ORL 52.9% +3.5%
SAS 49.4%
Rim FG%
57.7%
61.7%
ORL 46.9%
SAS 58.6% +11.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.0%
ORL 51.2% +14.5%
SAS 36.7%
3P %
37.6%
38.5%
ORL 50.0% +14.3%
SAS 35.7%
FT %
73.0%
70.2%
ORL 73.7% +17.4%
SAS 56.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
36.7%
ORL 41.6% +1.8%
SAS 39.7%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
41.8%
ORL 53.2%
SAS 41.1% +12.2%
3P Att. %
12.9%
21.5%
ORL 5.2%
SAS 19.2% +14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions8184
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points9280
Rebounds3942
Assists1522
Steals96
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals38-7733-73
At-the-Rim FG15-3217-29
Midrange FG21-4111-30
2-Point FG36-7328-59
3-Point FG2-45-14
Free Throws14-199-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
40.3
10
50%
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
37.8
22
61%
13
1
1
1
2
2
3
10
4-7
57%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
35.9
15
63%
4
1
1
0
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
5-10
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
35.5
19
53%
7
8
2
0
3
3
0
7
2-2
100%
7-15
47%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
30.6
6
33%
4
2
2
1
0
5
3
1
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
27.6
14
64%
7
0
1
3
1
2
3
4
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
20.1
6
50%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
12.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
#41 · C · 7'1" 260 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · G · 6'2" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
53%
39
15
9
5
9
0
10
29
14-19
74%
36-73
49%
2-4
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.