FinalWin Prob.pScore
2727%94
120
1673%102
114
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
123.79791.0
MIL logo MIL
116.398104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL120
100%
114
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)120
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2120
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2120
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)120
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILSimmons Layup (18 PTS)120
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILMISS Redd Layup120
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)120
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)119
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)118
99.8%
112
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 2118
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)118
99.8%
111
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot118
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)118
99.3%
111
0.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2118
99.3%
111
0.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)118
99.6%
111
0.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)117
99.4%
111
0.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.1%
111
0.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLPachulia Dunk (16 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)117
97.9%
111
2.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Bogut 7 AST)115
96.4%
111
3.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)115
98.4%
108
1.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot115
99.0%
108
1.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)115
97.7%
108
2.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)114
97.4%
108
2.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)113
95.6%
108
4.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0MILMISS Ford 14' Jump Shot113
94.3%
108
5.7%
Q4 - 1:00ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P4.T16)113
90.0%
108
10.0%
Q4 - 1:02MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)113
94.5%
108
5.5%
Q4 - 1:02MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)113
95.4%
107
4.6%
Q4 - 1:02MILBUCKS Rebound113
96.7%
106
3.3%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot113
97.3%
106
2.7%
Q4 - 1:26ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)113
96.8%
106
3.2%
Q4 - 1:28MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
96.0%
106
4.0%
Q4 - 1:43ATLLue 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pachulia 5 AST)113
92.6%
106
7.4%
Q4 - 2:03MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)111
88.1%
106
11.9%
Q4 - 2:08MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)111
93.8%
103
6.2%
Q4 - 2:10MILMISS Redd Layup111
96.1%
103
3.9%
Q4 - 2:22ATLPachulia 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)111
93.6%
103
6.4%
Q4 - 2:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)109
92.2%
103
7.8%
Q4 - 2:40MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
90.5%
103
9.5%
Q4 - 3:05ATLPachulia Layup (12 PTS)109
83.0%
103
17.0%
Q4 - 3:26MILRedd Traveling Turnover (P5.T17)107
79.3%
103
20.7%
Q4 - 3:39ATLLue 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)107
63.6%
103
36.4%
Q4 - 4:00MILRedd Free Throw Technical (30 PTS)105
55.9%
103
44.1%
Q4 - 4:01MILFord Layup (9 PTS)105
64.8%
102
35.2%
Q4 - 4:05MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
72.5%
100
27.5%
Q4 - 4:06ATLMISS Pachulia Layup105
74.8%
100
25.2%
Q4 - 4:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)105
79.7%
100
20.3%
Q4 - 4:10ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)105
79.7%
100
20.3%
Q4 - 4:10ATLMISS Williams Layup105
74.9%
100
25.1%
Q4 - 4:11ATLMISS Pachulia Layup105
74.9%
100
25.1%
Q4 - 4:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)105
80.0%
100
20.0%
Q4 - 4:30MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 2105
79.1%
100
20.9%
Q4 - 4:30MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)105
74.1%
100
25.9%
Q4 - 4:47ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)105
79.8%
99
20.2%
Q4 - 4:47ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)104
79.1%
99
20.9%
Q4 - 4:55MILKukoc Foul Turnover (P1.T16)103
73.5%
99
26.5%
Q4 - 5:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)103
59.7%
99
40.3%
Q4 - 5:11ATLWilliams Tip Shot (19 PTS)103
59.7%
99
40.3%
Q4 - 5:12ATLMISS Williams Layup101
45.8%
99
54.2%
Q4 - 5:32MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)101
52.0%
99
48.0%
Q4 - 5:32MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)101
52.9%
98
47.1%
Q4 - 5:41ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)101
60.0%
97
40.0%
Q4 - 5:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)101
68.1%
97
31.9%
Q4 - 6:01MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot101
61.1%
97
38.9%
Q4 - 6:15ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)101
55.4%
97
44.6%
Q4 - 6:32MILRedd Layup (26 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)101
63.9%
97
36.1%
Q4 - 6:51ATLPachulia Dunk (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)101
69.7%
95
30.3%
Q4 - 6:56MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
64.0%
95
36.0%
Q4 - 6:56MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 299
64.8%
94
35.2%
Q4 - 7:01ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)99
59.3%
94
40.7%
Q4 - 7:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
66.6%
94
33.4%
Q4 - 7:17MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
64.5%
94
35.5%
Q4 - 7:33ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)99
59.5%
94
40.5%
Q4 - 7:55MILBogut Layup (22 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)96
46.8%
94
53.2%
Q4 - 7:59ATLFord STEAL (2 STL)96
52.8%
92
47.2%
Q4 - 8:13MILBell Layup (10 PTS) (Redd 8 AST)96
57.5%
92
42.5%
Q4 - 8:28ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)96
63.5%
90
36.5%
Q4 - 8:44MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)96
69.4%
90
30.6%
Q4 - 8:44MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
70.7%
89
29.3%
Q4 - 9:00ATLSmith Layup (26 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)96
74.5%
88
25.5%
Q4 - 9:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)94
66.6%
88
33.4%
Q4 - 9:11MILMISS Kukoc Layup94
64.9%
88
35.1%
Q4 - 9:28MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
60.9%
88
39.1%
Q4 - 9:29ATLMISS Grundy Free Throw 1 of 194
61.7%
88
38.3%
Q4 - 9:38MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)92
55.4%
88
44.6%
Q4 - 9:45MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
61.0%
86
39.0%
Q4 - 9:46ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot92
62.8%
86
37.2%
Q4 - 9:58ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)92
66.8%
86
33.2%
Q4 - 9:59ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
62.8%
86
37.2%
Q4 - 10:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
64.6%
86
35.4%
Q4 - 10:18MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 292
63.8%
86
36.2%
Q4 - 10:18MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)92
60.5%
86
39.5%
Q4 - 10:32ATLLue 17' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
64.2%
85
35.8%
Q4 - 10:46MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)90
59.3%
85
40.7%
Q4 - 10:58MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
53.3%
85
46.7%
Q4 - 10:59ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
55.1%
85
44.9%
Q4 - 11:20MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)90
57.9%
85
42.1%
Q4 - 11:20MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)90
59.2%
84
40.8%
Q4 - 11:41ATLGrundy Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)90
62.9%
83
37.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL87
52.6%
83
47.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)87
46.9%
83
53.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot87
49.0%
83
51.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)87
45.6%
83
54.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
35.7%
83
64.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
36.4%
82
63.6%
Q3 - 1:07ATLLue 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
39.2%
81
60.8%
Q3 - 1:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)82
34.9%
81
65.1%
Q3 - 1:24MILBogut Tip Shot (20 PTS)82
34.9%
81
65.1%
Q3 - 1:26MILMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot82
42.7%
79
57.3%
Q3 - 1:48ATLSmith Dunk (21 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)82
39.3%
79
60.7%
Q3 - 1:52MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)80
34.9%
79
65.1%
Q3 - 2:08ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)80
29.5%
79
70.5%
Q3 - 2:24MILRedd Reverse Layup (23 PTS) (Bogut 6 AST)80
33.9%
79
66.1%
Q3 - 2:38ATLLue 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
37.9%
77
62.1%
Q3 - 3:06MILRedd 6' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bogut 5 AST)78
33.7%
77
66.3%
Q3 - 3:18ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
37.5%
75
62.5%
Q3 - 3:18ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 277
36.6%
75
63.4%
Q3 - 3:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
37.8%
75
62.2%
Q3 - 3:20ATLMISS Pachulia 5' Hook Shot77
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q3 - 3:44MILBogut 9' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)77
37.8%
75
62.2%
Q3 - 4:08ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
40.3%
73
59.7%
Q3 - 4:08ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
39.3%
73
60.7%
Q3 - 4:31MILFord 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
36.9%
73
63.1%
Q3 - 4:37MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
40.4%
71
59.6%
Q3 - 4:38ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot75
41.9%
71
58.1%
Q3 - 4:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
45.3%
71
54.7%
Q3 - 4:56MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
43.8%
71
56.2%
Q3 - 5:04ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
39.9%
71
60.1%
Q3 - 5:04ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
38.9%
71
61.1%
Q3 - 5:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
36.2%
71
63.8%
Q3 - 5:07ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
33.4%
71
66.6%
Q3 - 5:14ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
36.2%
71
63.8%
Q3 - 5:16MILMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
35.0%
71
65.0%
Q3 - 5:24MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
32.2%
71
67.8%
Q3 - 5:26ATLMISS Pachulia 20' Jump Shot73
33.4%
71
66.6%
Q3 - 5:39MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)73
36.2%
71
63.8%
Q3 - 5:39MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
36.7%
70
63.3%
Q3 - 5:46MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
39.8%
69
60.2%
Q3 - 5:48ATLMISS Ivey 20' Jump Shot73
41.2%
69
58.8%
Q3 - 6:06MILMagloire Dunk (8 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)73
42.9%
69
57.1%
Q3 - 6:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)73
46.7%
67
53.3%
Q3 - 6:26ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot73
48.0%
67
52.0%
Q3 - 6:37MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)73
51.0%
67
49.0%
Q3 - 6:47ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)73
46.7%
67
53.3%
Q3 - 6:54MILSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)71
43.1%
67
56.9%
Q3 - 7:02MILBUCKS Rebound71
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 7:04MILMISS Redd Layup71
40.8%
67
59.2%
Q3 - 7:19ATLIvey 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)71
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 7:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
34.9%
67
65.1%
Q3 - 7:27MILMISS Simmons 28' 3PT Jump Shot69
33.6%
67
66.4%
Q3 - 7:55ATLSmith 4' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)69
30.9%
67
69.1%
Q3 - 8:12MILSimmons 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)67
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 8:35ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)67
34.0%
64
66.0%
Q3 - 8:37ATLHawks Rebound65
31.1%
64
68.9%
Q3 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot65
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 8:55MILMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)65
31.1%
64
68.9%
Q3 - 9:15ATLJohnson 3' Hook Shot (11 PTS)65
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q3 - 9:27MILBogut Layup (16 PTS)63
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q3 - 9:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)63
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q3 - 9:29MILMISS Magloire Hook Shot63
29.1%
62
70.9%
Q3 - 9:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q3 - 9:48MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
29.2%
62
70.8%
Q3 - 10:08ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)63
26.3%
62
73.7%
Q3 - 10:24MILRedd 29' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)60
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 11:23ATLPachulia 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 11:45MILBogut Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Redd 7 AST)56
23.5%
57
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL56
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound56
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Bogut 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
28.0%
55
72.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)56
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILFord Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)53
20.8%
55
79.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLEdwards Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
19.3%
55
80.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLEdwards Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
18.7%
55
81.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)51
16.8%
55
83.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILSimmons Dunk (10 PTS) (Redd 6 AST)50
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLMagloire STEAL (2 STL)50
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILBogut 3' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Redd 5 AST)50
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q2 - 1:08MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
21.8%
51
78.2%
Q2 - 1:10ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot50
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q2 - 1:30MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)50
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q2 - 1:43ATLSmith Layup (11 PTS) (Grundy 2 AST)50
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 1:48ATLGrundy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 1:50MILMISS Magloire 3' Hook Shot48
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 2:04ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS) (Grundy 1 AST)48
23.4%
48
76.6%
Q2 - 2:22MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
21.1%
48
78.9%
Q2 - 2:22MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
21.4%
47
78.6%
Q2 - 2:38ATLSmith Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)46
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 2:51ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 2:53MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.5%
46
79.5%
Q2 - 3:01MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
19.0%
46
81.0%
Q2 - 3:03ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot44
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 3:15MILMagloire 3' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS)44
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 3:31ATLGrundy Reverse Layup (2 PTS)44
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q2 - 3:45MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 3:45MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
21.8%
43
78.2%
Q2 - 3:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 3:46MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 142
25.1%
42
74.9%
Q2 - 4:02ATLSmith Running Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 4:13MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)40
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 4:20ATLBell STEAL (1 STL)40
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 4:30MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)40
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 4:35MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 4:37ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 4:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 4:46MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot40
24.2%
40
75.8%
Q2 - 5:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 5:00ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 239
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 5:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
22.7%
40
77.3%
Q2 - 5:20MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot39
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 5:31MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 5:33ATLMISS Grundy 21' Jump Shot39
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 5:52MILWilliams 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
22.7%
40
77.3%
Q2 - 6:01ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 6:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 6:06MILMISS Smith 3' Hook Shot36
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 6:16MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 236
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 236
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 6:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 6:22MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot36
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 6:34ATLBatista Foul Turnover (P2.T7)36
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 6:48MILGadzuric Dunk (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)36
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 6:53MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 6:55MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q2 - 6:59MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 7:01MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 7:13ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
22.4%
36
77.6%
Q2 - 7:13ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
22.0%
36
78.0%
Q2 - 7:29MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)34
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 7:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 7:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
23.9%
33
76.1%
Q2 - 7:54MILSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)32
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 8:06ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)32
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q2 - 8:19MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 8:19MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 232
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 8:19MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 8:21MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
23.7%
32
76.3%
Q2 - 8:45ATLBatista 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)32
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 9:06ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 9:08MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot32
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 9:12MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 9:14ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot32
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 9:38MILRedd Layup (9 PTS)32
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 9:43MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 9:44ATLMISS Batista Layup32
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q2 - 9:45ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q2 - 9:47ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot32
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q2 - 9:56ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q2 - 9:57MILMISS Simmons 13' Jump Shot32
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 10:17ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 10:17ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 10:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 10:18ATLMISS Williams Layup30
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 10:27ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 10:29MILMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot30
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 10:42ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 10:57MILSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
20.6%
30
79.4%
Q2 - 11:10ATLWilliams Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)28
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 11:15MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)26
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q2 - 11:35ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 11:47ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 11:48MILMISS Redd Layup24
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLLue 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILSimmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)22
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLSimmons STEAL (1 STL)22
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Batista Layup22
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q1 - 1:08MILSimmons 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)22
12.4%
30
87.6%
Q1 - 1:27ATLSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)22
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q1 - 1:48MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)20
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q1 - 2:01MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
14.8%
25
85.2%
Q1 - 2:03ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot20
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 2:17MILRedd Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)20
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q1 - 2:37ATLSmith 4' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)20
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 2:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 2:55MILMISS Ford 4' Jump Shot18
15.6%
23
84.4%
Q1 - 3:04ATLPachulia 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)18
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 3:25MILBogut Dunk (6 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)16
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q1 - 3:28ATLMagloire STEAL (1 STL)16
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 3:55MILFord 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 3:59MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q1 - 4:02ATLMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)16
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 4:12MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)16
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 4:19MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
19.6%
17
80.4%
Q1 - 4:20ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot16
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 4:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
21.3%
17
78.7%
Q1 - 4:21ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
21.3%
17
78.7%
Q1 - 4:21ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot16
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 4:22ATLMISS Williams Layup16
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 4:39MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
21.4%
17
78.6%
Q1 - 4:43MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
19.6%
17
80.4%
Q1 - 4:45ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 5:07MILMagloire 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)16
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 5:35ATLPachulia Layup (3 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)16
22.2%
15
77.8%
Q1 - 5:52MILFord Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)14
20.9%
15
79.1%
Q1 - 5:57MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 5:58ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 214
19.6%
15
80.4%
Q1 - 5:58ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 6:21MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)13
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 6:28ATLFord STEAL (1 STL)13
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 6:31ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 6:33MILMISS Simmons Hook Shot13
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 6:51ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 6:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
19.4%
13
80.6%
Q1 - 7:01MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
18.9%
13
81.1%
Q1 - 7:25ATLSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 7:39ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 7:41MILMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot8
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 8:07ATLIvey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)8
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 8:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.0%
13
86.0%
Q1 - 8:16MILMISS Magloire 18' Jump Shot6
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 8:22MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 8:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 8:23MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot6
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 8:25MILMISS Bogut Layup6
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 8:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 8:34ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot6
13.3%
13
86.7%
Q1 - 8:52MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)6
14.0%
13
86.0%
Q1 - 9:09ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 9:23MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)4
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 9:38ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS)4
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 9:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 9:57MILMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot2
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 10:11ATLWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)2
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 10:23MILFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 10:29MILBUCKS Rebound0
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 10:29ATLMISS Pachulia Layup0
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 10:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 10:35ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot0
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 10:52MILRedd Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)0
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 10:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 10:59MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:14ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:29MILMagloire Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)0
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 11:35MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.0%
0
80.0%
Q1 - 11:37ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson0
21.2%
0
78.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.26 63.2%
MIL
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
26
44
59%
MIL
26
39
67%
Midrange
ATL
16
26
62%
MIL
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
MIL
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
Free Throws
ATL
27
36
75%
MIL
24
30
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2861%14.0 / 23
M. Williams1956%9.5 / 17
Z. Pachulia1657%8.0 / 14
J. Johnson1568%7.5 / 11
D. Smith1583%7.5 / 9
T. Lue1470%7.0 / 10
A. Grundy788%3.5 / 4
R. Ivey467%2.0 / 3
J. Edwards2100%1.0 / 1
E. Batista0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd3662%18.0 / 29
A. Bogut2486%12.0 / 14
B. Simmons1864%9.0 / 14
C. Bell1056%5.0 / 9
T. Ford950%4.5 / 9
J. Magloire850%4.0 / 8
M. Williams433%2.0 / 6
D. Gadzuric375%1.5 / 2
T. Kukoc225%1.0 / 4
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+13
-16
94
MIL
81
+18
-17
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.26 63.2%
MIL
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.9
ATL 123.7 +7.4
MIL 116.3
Pace
90.3
91.6
ATL 91.0
MIL 104.9 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.6
ATL 15.8
MIL 13.7 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.2%
ATL 58.9% +5.3%
MIL 53.6%
TO %
16.5%
15.2%
ATL 14.4% +0.5%
MIL 14.9%
ORB %
31.5%
27.4%
ATL 33.3%
MIL 34.9% +1.6%
FTrt
34.0
32.2
ATL 45.6 +9.9
MIL 35.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
59.4%
ATL 55.6%
MIL 68.3% +12.7%
STL %
7.8%
7.9%
ATL 6.2% +0.1%
MIL 6.1%
BLK %
7.5%
5.4%
ATL 8.6% +7.2%
MIL 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
52.0%
ATL 63.2% +5.6%
MIL 57.6%
Rim FG%
55.8%
54.9%
ATL 59.1%
MIL 66.7% +7.6%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.6%
ATL 61.5% +24.7%
MIL 36.8%
3P %
36.7%
38.0%
ATL 33.3% +2.5%
MIL 30.8%
FT %
75.0%
73.8%
ATL 75.0%
MIL 80.0% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.7%
ATL 55.7% +9.3%
MIL 46.4%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
40.0%
ATL 32.9%
MIL 22.6% +10.3%
3P Att. %
17.8%
20.3%
ATL 11.4%
MIL 31.0% +19.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points120114
Rebounds4039
Assists2528
Steals66
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)24 (2)
Field Goals45-7941-84
At-the-Rim FG26-4426-39
Midrange FG16-267-19
2-Point FG42-7033-58
3-Point FG3-98-26
Free Throws27-3624-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 237 · 20
40.7
19
56%
10
3
1
1
1
3
6
4
7-7
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 20
40.1
28
61%
7
7
0
3
1
4
0
7
6-8
75%
8-15
53%
2-4
50%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
37.6
15
68%
1
4
0
0
5
2
0
1
4-5
80%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
33.1
16
57%
10
5
2
0
4
5
5
5
2-4
50%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
13.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 22
25.6
15
83%
3
2
2
0
2
2
0
3
3-6
50%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
25.3
14
70%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
11.8
7
88%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
10.6
0
0%
3
0
0
1
2
5
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 25
2.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
#20 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
63%
40
25
6
5
16
0
12
28
27-36
75%
42-70
60%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.