FinalWin Prob.pScore
2032%92
117
768%98
93
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
125.89395.7
MIA logo MIA
98.99491.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI117
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)117
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0CHIMISS Sweetney 19' Jump Shot117
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)117
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0CHIPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sweetney 1 AST)117
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)114
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Barron Driving Layup114
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21CHISweetney Layup (4 PTS)114
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38MIAAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49CHIDeng 14' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)110
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot110
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)110
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)107
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 2:46CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 3:01MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P2.T15)107
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 3:17CHINocioni Driving Layup (18 PTS)107
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 3:30MIAAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)105
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 3:46CHIHinrich Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12)105
97.5%
93
2.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIASimien Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)105
98.4%
93
1.6%
Q4 - 4:13CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)105
97.7%
93
2.3%
Q4 - 4:13CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)104
97.5%
93
2.5%
Q4 - 4:28MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)103
96.8%
93
3.2%
Q4 - 4:47CHIHinrich Driving Layup (17 PTS)103
97.8%
91
2.2%
Q4 - 4:56MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)101
96.9%
91
3.1%
Q4 - 4:58CHIPosey STEAL (1 STL)101
95.4%
91
4.6%
Q4 - 5:17CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)101
94.8%
91
5.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot101
94.3%
91
5.7%
Q4 - 5:21MIAHEAT Rebound101
92.9%
91
7.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Simien 5' Hook Shot101
94.3%
91
5.7%
Q4 - 5:42MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
93.0%
91
7.0%
Q4 - 5:44CHIMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot101
93.6%
91
6.4%
Q4 - 5:48CHIBulls Rebound101
94.9%
91
5.1%
Q4 - 5:50CHIMISS Gordon 14' Jump Shot101
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 6:00MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)101
95.0%
91
5.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)101
95.2%
90
4.8%
Q4 - 6:15CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)101
94.3%
89
5.7%
Q4 - 6:15CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)100
94.1%
89
5.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIADoleac 9' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)99
92.9%
89
7.1%
Q4 - 6:35MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
94.4%
87
5.6%
Q4 - 6:37CHIDoleac BLOCK (2 BLK)99
95.0%
87
5.0%
Q4 - 6:46CHIDeng Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
96.0%
87
4.0%
Q4 - 6:46CHIMISS Deng Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 298
95.7%
87
4.3%
Q4 - 6:49CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
90.7%
87
9.3%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
89.8%
87
10.2%
Q4 - 7:06MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
84.2%
87
15.8%
Q4 - 7:08CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot96
85.4%
87
14.6%
Q4 - 7:13CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
87.9%
87
12.1%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot96
86.9%
87
13.1%
Q4 - 7:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
84.3%
87
15.7%
Q4 - 7:25CHIMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot96
85.5%
87
14.5%
Q4 - 7:37MIASimien 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)96
88.1%
87
11.9%
Q4 - 7:56CHIHinrich 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)96
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 8:11MIASimien 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)94
85.4%
85
14.6%
Q4 - 8:35CHIAllen 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)94
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 8:48MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
85.6%
83
14.4%
Q4 - 9:06MIAHEAT Rebound92
86.3%
81
13.7%
Q4 - 9:07CHIMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot92
87.1%
81
12.9%
Q4 - 9:33MIAPosey Driving Layup (7 PTS)92
89.1%
81
10.9%
Q4 - 9:43MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
91.1%
79
8.9%
Q4 - 9:45CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
91.7%
79
8.3%
Q4 - 9:53MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
93.0%
79
7.0%
Q4 - 9:53MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
93.3%
78
6.7%
Q4 - 10:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
93.0%
77
7.0%
Q4 - 10:07CHIMISS Schenscher Free Throw 1 of 192
93.3%
77
6.7%
Q4 - 10:24MIADoleac Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)90
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q4 - 10:39CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)90
93.1%
75
6.9%
Q4 - 10:50CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
91.7%
75
8.3%
Q4 - 10:52CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
90.3%
75
9.7%
Q4 - 11:04MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)88
90.4%
75
9.6%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Simien Free Throw 1 of 288
90.8%
74
9.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q4 - 11:23CHIMISS Schenscher 12' Jump Shot88
91.0%
74
9.0%
Q4 - 11:36CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
92.2%
74
7.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot88
91.7%
74
8.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
90.5%
74
9.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
90.5%
74
9.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 33' 3PT Jump Shot88
91.7%
74
8.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0CHISimien STEAL (1 STL)88
88.9%
74
11.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
90.8%
74
9.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Simien Tip Shot88
90.3%
74
9.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
88.9%
74
11.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Williams Layup88
90.3%
74
9.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHISchenscher 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)88
89.0%
74
11.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
86.8%
74
13.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHIDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)86
85.1%
74
14.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
86.8%
74
13.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Simien 8' Turnaround Hook Shot86
86.1%
74
13.9%
Q3 - 1:02CHISchenscher 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)86
82.2%
74
17.8%
Q3 - 1:15MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
79.3%
74
20.7%
Q3 - 1:15MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
79.8%
73
20.2%
Q3 - 1:23MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
82.3%
72
17.7%
Q3 - 1:25CHIMISS Nocioni 12' Jump Shot84
83.2%
72
16.8%
Q3 - 1:36MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
85.1%
72
14.9%
Q3 - 1:36MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)84
85.4%
71
14.6%
Q3 - 1:49CHIDeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)84
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q3 - 2:00CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
89.4%
70
10.6%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
87.0%
70
13.0%
Q3 - 2:15CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)84
85.4%
70
14.6%
Q3 - 2:30MIADoleac 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)81
80.4%
70
19.6%
Q3 - 2:53CHIDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)81
77.1%
70
22.9%
Q3 - 3:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
68.8%
70
31.2%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot78
67.6%
70
32.4%
Q3 - 3:29CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
64.6%
70
35.4%
Q3 - 3:29CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q3 - 3:29CHIBulls Rebound76
60.7%
70
39.3%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q3 - 3:50CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
56.1%
70
43.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAWilliams 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
50.7%
70
49.3%
Q3 - 4:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
54.4%
68
45.6%
Q3 - 4:25CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 274
55.1%
68
44.9%
Q3 - 4:25CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
58.0%
68
42.0%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
55.1%
68
44.9%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
55.7%
67
44.3%
Q3 - 4:43MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
58.7%
66
41.3%
Q3 - 4:45CHIMISS Nocioni 17' Jump Shot73
60.2%
66
39.8%
Q3 - 5:02MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)73
61.9%
66
38.1%
Q3 - 5:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
69.2%
63
30.8%
Q3 - 5:16CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
70.4%
63
29.6%
Q3 - 5:23CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
72.9%
63
27.1%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Payton Finger Roll73
71.8%
63
28.2%
Q3 - 5:45CHINocioni 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)73
69.2%
63
30.8%
Q3 - 5:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
65.9%
63
34.1%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
67.5%
62
32.5%
Q3 - 6:10CHIGordon Driving Layup (13 PTS)71
63.9%
62
36.1%
Q3 - 6:26CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
60.5%
62
39.5%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot69
59.2%
62
40.8%
Q3 - 6:55CHIAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)69
56.4%
62
43.6%
Q3 - 7:11CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot67
50.3%
62
49.7%
Q3 - 7:31CHIWalker STEAL (1 STL)67
47.2%
62
52.8%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWilliams Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)67
51.7%
62
48.3%
Q3 - 7:54CHIPayton STEAL (1 STL)67
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q3 - 8:15MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (13 PTS)67
58.5%
60
41.5%
Q3 - 8:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
64.4%
58
35.6%
Q3 - 8:30CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)67
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 8:32CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
65.6%
58
34.4%
Q3 - 8:34CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
62.9%
58
37.1%
Q3 - 8:49CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
65.6%
58
34.4%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 267
65.1%
58
34.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
63.7%
58
36.3%
Q3 - 9:03CHIGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)67
63.6%
57
36.4%
Q3 - 9:08CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
67.0%
57
33.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot67
66.0%
57
34.0%
Q3 - 9:27CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
63.7%
57
36.3%
Q3 - 9:27CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
63.1%
57
36.9%
Q3 - 9:34CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
60.4%
57
39.6%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper65
59.3%
57
40.7%
Q3 - 10:06CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)65
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 10:17MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)62
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 10:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
51.7%
55
48.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot62
54.4%
55
45.6%
Q3 - 10:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
51.7%
55
48.3%
Q3 - 10:37CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
52.9%
55
47.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWalker Driving Layup (19 PTS)62
55.7%
55
44.3%
Q3 - 11:12CHIAllen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
57.6%
53
42.4%
Q3 - 11:30CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
54.4%
53
45.6%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot60
53.3%
53
46.7%
Q3 - 11:48CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)60
50.8%
53
49.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI58
47.5%
53
52.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
46.0%
53
54.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot58
45.4%
53
54.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
43.8%
53
56.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0CHIMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot58
44.5%
53
55.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
46.1%
53
53.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot58
45.4%
53
54.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
43.8%
53
56.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot58
44.5%
53
55.5%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)58
45.3%
53
54.7%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
43.7%
53
56.3%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
44.8%
53
55.2%
Q2 - 1:26CHIHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
43.7%
53
56.3%
Q2 - 1:26CHIMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 257
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q2 - 1:26CHIBulls Rebound57
42.2%
53
57.8%
Q2 - 1:27CHIMISS Hinrich 22' Jump Shot57
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T9)57
42.2%
53
57.8%
Q2 - 1:52CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q2 - 1:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
33.1%
53
66.9%
Q2 - 2:10CHIHarrington 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)54
30.9%
53
69.1%
Q2 - 2:22CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
28.1%
53
71.9%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup52
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q2 - 2:46CHIDeng 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
25.9%
53
74.1%
Q2 - 3:05CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot50
22.8%
53
77.2%
Q2 - 3:21CHIDeng Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)50
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q2 - 3:26CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 3:28CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot48
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 3:35CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot48
18.9%
53
81.1%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q2 - 3:45CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q2 - 3:54MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)48
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 4:13CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 4:13CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
22.6%
50
77.4%
Q2 - 4:13CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
21.3%
50
78.7%
Q2 - 4:14CHIMISS Chandler Layup46
20.0%
50
80.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)46
21.3%
50
78.7%
Q2 - 4:40CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 4:40CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 245
23.0%
48
77.0%
Q2 - 4:42CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot45
22.7%
48
77.3%
Q2 - 5:07CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)45
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 5:25MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T7)42
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 5:42CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 142
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 5:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 240
15.4%
47
84.6%
Q2 - 6:13CHIHinrich Driving Layup (9 PTS)40
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 6:47CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 6:49CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot36
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 6:55CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot36
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 7:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot36
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 7:34CHIHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 7:34CHIMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 235
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 7:42MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 7:57CHIHinrich Layup (7 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)35
15.2%
42
84.8%
Q2 - 8:08MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
14.2%
42
85.8%
Q2 - 8:37CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)30
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 8:49CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot30
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 8:56CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot30
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 9:18CHIDeng 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)30
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 9:33CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Walker 6' Hook Shot28
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 9:55CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 9:55CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 227
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 9:55CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 9:57CHIMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 10:16MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 10:31CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)27
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 10:45MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)25
8.5%
40
91.5%
Q2 - 10:50MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 10:52CHIMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot25
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 11:33CHIChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 11:42MIASimien Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 11:52CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P2.T3)25
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup25
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)25
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHIDeng 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0CHIBulls Rebound23
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot23
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIASimien 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHIDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)23
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q1 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q1 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q1 - 1:20CHIDeng Layup (6 PTS)20
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q1 - 1:21CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q1 - 1:23CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q1 - 1:32MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)18
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q1 - 1:50CHIHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 1:50CHIHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 1:50CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 1:52CHIMISS Deng 8' Hook Shot16
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)16
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)16
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q1 - 2:16MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
13.6%
25
86.4%
Q1 - 2:17CHIMISS Harrington Layup16
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q1 - 2:19CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q1 - 2:21CHIMISS Gordon 12' Jump Bank Shot16
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q1 - 2:41MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot16
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 3:00MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot16
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 3:29CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)16
16.1%
23
83.9%
Q1 - 3:37CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 10' Hook Shot14
14.6%
23
85.4%
Q1 - 3:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q1 - 3:53CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot14
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 4:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 4:24CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)14
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)12
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 4:55CHIMISS Nocioni 19' Jump Shot12
15.3%
20
84.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)12
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 5:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
17.4%
18
82.6%
Q1 - 5:25CHIMISS Gordon 8' Running Jump Shot12
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 5:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot12
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 5:59CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Finger Roll12
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 6:11MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 6:15CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)12
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 6:26MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS)12
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 6:39CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 6:39CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)11
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 6:54MIAWalker 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 7:21CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)10
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 7:33MIAWalker 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)8
25.7%
9
74.3%
Q1 - 7:50CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 7:50CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 27
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 7:55CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
27.2%
7
72.8%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot7
26.7%
7
73.3%
Q1 - 8:13CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)7
25.4%
7
74.6%
Q1 - 8:23CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot4
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 8:39CHINocioni Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
21.4%
7
78.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 9:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:11CHIO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 9:27MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)2
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 9:42MIAHEAT Rebound2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade Layup2
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 9:54MIAHEAT Rebound2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:55CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 10:05CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot2
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:29CHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 10:30CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:31CHIMISS Sweetney Tip Shot2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 10:32CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:34CHIMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 10:48MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:55CHIMISS Nocioni 19' Jump Shot2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 11:12MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 11:28CHISweetney 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWalker 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Sweetney: Tip to Haslem0
25.2%
0
74.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
15
21
71%
MIA
14
25
56%
Midrange
CHI
20
46
43%
MIA
12
37
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
CHI
23
32
72%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2676%13.0 / 17
B. Gordon1864%9.0 / 14
A. Nocioni1856%9.0 / 16
K. Hinrich1747%8.5 / 18
T. Chandler7117%3.5 / 3
M. Allen638%3.0 / 8
C. Duhon675%3.0 / 4
L. Schenscher675%3.0 / 4
O. Harrington650%3.0 / 6
M. Sweetney440%2.0 / 5
J. Pargo3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2279%11.0 / 14
S. O'Neal1464%7.0 / 11
M. Doleac1275%6.0 / 8
D. Anderson1063%5.0 / 8
J. Williams950%4.5 / 9
D. Wade829%4.0 / 14
J. Posey758%3.5 / 6
W. Simien750%3.5 / 7
G. Payton440%2.0 / 5
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 4
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
E. Barron0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
81
+17
-12
98
MIA
79
+13
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
108.0
CHI 125.8
MIA 98.9 +26.9
Pace
92.6
92.2
CHI 95.7 +4.1
MIA 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.9
CHI 15.1 +0.7
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
51.7%
CHI 55.3% +9.2%
MIA 46.1%
TO %
15.6%
15.0%
CHI 10.8% +4.6%
MIA 15.4%
ORB %
26.4%
26.8%
CHI 35.0% +12.5%
MIA 22.5%
FTrt
29.2
36.3
CHI 37.6 +2.1
MIA 35.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.7%
CHI 55.8% +15.2%
MIA 40.6%
STL %
6.6%
6.9%
CHI 4.3%
MIA 6.4% +2.1%
BLK %
6.8%
8.5%
CHI 8.1% +2.1%
MIA 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
53.9%
CHI 59.7% +9.2%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
53.9%
64.2%
CHI 71.4% +15.4%
MIA 56.0%
Mid FG%
41.3%
38.9%
CHI 43.5% +11.1%
MIA 32.4%
3P %
37.9%
34.5%
CHI 44.4% +1.5%
MIA 42.9%
FT %
73.8%
70.0%
CHI 71.9%
MIA 85.2% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
39.3%
CHI 24.7%
MIA 32.9% +8.2%
Mid Att. %
46.0%
38.0%
CHI 54.1%
MIA 48.7% +5.4%
3P Att. %
21.9%
22.7%
CHI 21.2% +2.8%
MIA 18.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.324.6
Points11793
Rebounds4535
Assists2413
Steals46
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)26 (2)
Field Goals43-8532-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2114-25
Midrange FG20-4612-37
2-Point FG35-6726-62
3-Point FG8-186-14
Free Throws23-3223-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
40.1
18
64%
1
4
1
0
3
2
0
1
5-5
100%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
36.6
17
47%
6
8
1
1
3
1
0
6
4-6
67%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
27.2
18
56%
8
2
0
0
1
5
2
6
5-6
83%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 255 · 28
21.6
6
38%
5
1
0
2
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'8" 270 · 23
10.4
4
40%
4
1
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
34.5
26
76%
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
5
2-5
40%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
25.4
7
117%
7
3
0
1
1
4
3
4
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
17.7
6
75%
3
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 265 · 24
12.8
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32
10.5
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 26
1.6
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 248 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'4" 209 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
60%
45
24
4
5
12
0
14
31
23-32
72%
35-67
52%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.