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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Cavaliers39%9792
9Wizards61%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.3
29.5
35.4
17
50%
5
4
1
1
1
3
0
5
1-2
50%
8-16
8-16
50%
51%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.2
26.2
30.6
11
44%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
24.9
26.7
4
29%
9
1
1
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
23.6
21.9
14
70%
7
0
0
0
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
7-10
4-9
70%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.0
16.3
23.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
31.8
30.3
14
43%
0
4
1
1
0
6
0
0
4-5
80%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
0-3
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
23.1
20.5
12
69%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
4-6
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
16.6
21.9
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
15.3
20.5
6
50%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
14.5
7.8
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.4
9.1
10.0
7
79%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
9.1
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.1
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
44.0
41.1
35
59%
2
5
1
2
0
3
0
2
6-8
75%
13-22
7-13
59%
48%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.1
41.7
23.5
21
46%
8
3
4
1
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
7-19
4-8
37%
47%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
38.6
38.3
16
42%
11
1
2
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
5-15
6-13
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
31.4
32.4
8
57%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.4
30.5
23.9
7
60%
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.1
33.2
38.6
17
73%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
2-2
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.2
16.5
18.1
0
0%
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
4.0
8.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.7
7.3
0
1-2
46%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.6
5.2
0
1-2
51%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.